0:00Are you ready for the season to start? Yeah, you are.
0:03You know you love that NFL tradition, Wednesday night football.
0:06Tomorrow we've got football for you and week one will begin.
0:09But right now it's awards time here on Fantasy Football Today.
0:12We're giving out awards before the season even starts.
0:14Who's going to be the fantasy MVP? Who's going to be the fantasy rookie of the year?
0:19And thank you so much for being with us for the next hour or so.
0:23As we go through it, we're also going to give you some big injury updates and some storylines that we're looking forward to seeing.
0:29In week one, I am Adam Azer with Dave Richard.
0:32Dave, is it true that in high school you were voted most likely to be on a famous game show?
0:38No, that was not true. I was most likely to be in the movies in high school.
0:42I had a completely different career path. Oh yeah.
0:45Something to talk about another time. Yeah, I would actually like to hear that story.
0:49Jamie Eisenberg, is it true you were voted most likely to have a famous family member?
0:53No, the family member was famous before I was in high school.
0:56So that was already established. So you're 0 for 2.
0:59Good job. Okay. Would you believe, I'm sure you would, that I was voted most humorous in eighth grade?
1:04Right? I would believe that. I would also believe that you were voted most likely to be the worst backup goalie in the history of your high school.
1:12Weren't you homeschooled? No, I wasn't. That was a good one.
1:15You should have been most humorous. All right, let's talk about week one injuries here and let's talk about the 49ers.
1:21They should sponsor an injury segment. McCaffrey, Evans, Kittle.
1:23Dave, how are you ranking all of these guys who have been banged up?
1:27I'm ranking them as if they're going to play.
1:29And in the case of McCaffrey and Kittle, these are must start guys.
1:33I'm not going to think twice about it as long as they're out there.
1:37I know it's a tough matchup for McCaffrey, especially, but I want him in my lineup.
1:41And you drafted Mike Evans probably in that wide receiver two flex range.
1:44I'm okay with him as a flex as well.
1:47A little bit worried about just how effective he'll be.
1:50I do like the improvements that the Rams made on defense.
1:53Obviously, that's easy to say with Myles Garrett and Aaron Donald being there, but even in their secondary, they have both the
1:59starting cornerbacks from the Chiefs last year. I think that was done to improve their man-to-man coverage and that'll make it a little bit harder on Mike Evans.
2:06So I would have expectations in check for Mike Evans, but I'm happy that he's going to play and that he downplayed
2:12his injuries because we want Mike Evans to play.
2:15Jamie, do you consider George Kittle a must start?
2:17I'm just worried about his snap share. I do not consider him a must start.
2:21I think this is the one game where you kind of want to see what he looks like and see exactly what
2:27he's going to do from a playing time standpoint.
2:30So you're right. I think if you picked up or drafted Juwan Johnson along with George Kittle, I know you did that a lot.
2:36That's a move that I would make. I would start Johnson over Kittle.
2:40I think if you drafted early in the process and you drafted Jake Tonjes, for example, I'd probably play Kittle over Tonjes,
2:46but there's a sliding scale of the tight ends that I would play over him.
2:50So like Mark Andrews was somebody that we saw paired with Kittle.
2:53Dallas Goddard, we saw that pairing as well. You know, those guys I think are just in a better spot than Kittle this week.
3:00As we know with him, it could take one play and he's going to make your fantasy week.
3:04But Dave just alluded to it. The defensive additions and changes for the Rams are so good that if you have a
3:10question mark, and I really do about Kittle, I'm sure a lot of people do as well, I would sit in this week.
3:17Okay. Pukinokua we're expecting to play. He'll be in lineups as long as he's active.
3:21But Travion Henderson on Wednesday, Dave, doesn't look like Travion's going to play.
3:24How good of a start is Ramondre Stevenson against what was a really tough matchup in 2025?
3:29And I still think it's going to be a really tough matchup, but I would absolutely use any running back that's going
3:35to get almost all of the touches in his team's offense.
3:38And that's what it looks like is going to happen for Ramondre Stevenson this week.
3:42And let's not forget that by the time that the Patriots played in the Super Bowl against the Seahawks, it was their 21st game of the year.
3:49Their left tackle was banged up. The interior of that offensive line was as good.
3:53Now look at what the Patriots have done this offseason.
3:56They added Elijah Veritaker at guard. They're healthier now.
3:59Will Campbell is healthier now. They kicked Jared Wilson inside.
4:01I think this is a better offensive line across the board for New England.
4:05And I think Ramondre Stevenson can benefit in this first game.
4:08I'm starting him. Jamie, let's talk about the Bears facing the Panthers this week and a couple of playoff teams from last year.
4:14We got Romo Dunze and Kyle Monongai on the injury report.
4:17How much does their availability impact the rankings this week?
4:20I mean, we're going to find out just how healthy they are.
4:23You know, Dunze, they downplayed the injury when he got hurt last week, same day that DeAndre Swift got hurt and gave us all a scare.
4:30So if he's out, that makes Luther Burden easily a top 15 wide receiver.
4:34He's already a top 20 wide receiver for this week.
4:37So I think you just continue to start him with confidence.
4:40So Dunze, I'm going to be a little bit cautious about now, just depending on who I'm comparing him to in the rankings.
4:46But you hope to see him get in some level of practice this week.
4:50And it's not going to change anything for Colston Loveland or Caleb Williams.
4:53I think in the case of Monongai practicing, that's a very positive sign for him.
4:58I'm not going to play him, but I am going to be a little bit more cautious with DeAndre Swift.
5:03Certainly if I'm still drafting on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, anytime before Sunday, I'm going to lower some of the expectations I had
5:09for him because we heard week to week with Monongai.
5:12And the fact that he's able to practice leading into week one is a very positive sign for him.
5:17So we'll see just in terms of his participation and what his level of game script will be.
5:22But I don't expect to see much from Monongai, at least for this week.
5:26But it's a positive sign, again, that he's practicing prior to week one.
5:29Ashton Gentry facing the Dolphins. Jeremiah Love at the Chargers.
5:32Both look like they're going to play certainly Gentry.
5:34And the Cardinals said they're optimistic about Jeremiah Love.
5:37I guess I shouldn't say certainly Gentry, but it's trending in that direction.
5:40Dave, if Gentry and Love play this week, are they must-start running backs?
5:44They're number two running backs. I can find 12 other runners that I'd rather start than either one of these guys.
5:50And I like the matchup for Gentry considerably better than the one that I like for Jeremiah Love.
5:54And really, the whole bottom line is, are these guys going to get workhorse touches, or are they going to end up splitting with another running back?
6:02We know that Jeremiah Love will have company in Tyler Algier.
6:05Here, Algier, certainly a successful short yardage and goal line running back.
6:08That's just one area that the Cardinals can take some pressure off of Jeremiah Love.
6:12And then Gentry certainly can handle that role. But Mike Washington had a great preseason.
6:16He had a great training camp by all accounts.
6:19He could end up taking some low-value touches away from Ashton Gentry.
6:22And then Gentry has in the neighborhood of 15 touches and not 20 touches.
6:26I like Gentry better. He's closer to a top 12 running back.
6:29Both of them are top 24. All right, we're going to keep an eye on Jonathan Brooks.
6:34We're going to keep an eye on Emeka Egbuka.
6:36It looks like Alec Pierce is going to play this week.
6:39We've had a pretty good injury report, I think, over the last few days.
6:43Some guys that we had questions about are trending in the right direction for Week 1.
6:47So I want to ask you guys some of the storylines that you're looking forward to seeing.
6:52I mean, we've been speculating about backfields and wide receiver units and how targets are going to be distributed and those types of things.
6:58But, Jamie, I'll ask you, which backfields are you keeping a close eye on in Week 1 that you think could really
7:04tell us about what's going to happen in the future?
7:07Pittsburgh is certainly one of the ones on the top of the list.
7:11You know, I think we're not going to get really a full example of maybe how this works because I think the Steelers play with a lead.
7:18And by doing so, I don't know if we get the full scope of who's going to be the best pass-catching running
7:24back there, especially if they're chasing points. So I actually prefer Rico Dowdle for Week 1.
7:28I prefer Jalen Warren for the season, but they've been basically ranked back-to-back, and I've shuffled them back and forth almost on a week-to-week basis.
7:35So that's one I kind of want to see what the usage is, if there's a goal line opportunity or two, if
7:41there's some obvious third-down situations, you know, to see who's going to be on there, if they're going to throw to their
7:47running backs on first and second down. Remember, it's a new offense.
7:50So Mike McCarthy's system different than Arthur Smith's system, but you still have a very immobile Aaron Rodgers who's probably going to
7:56need his running backs to catch passes, which both guys can do, and they kind of sort of interchange their roles.
8:02I think you want to see what happens in Washington with those two guys there, Ja'Cory Krosky-Meritt and Rashad White.
8:07That's one you want to kind of keep an eye on and see how that sort of unfolds.
8:12Jacksonville, to see what happens between Bejal Tootin and Chris Rodriguez.
8:15I think they both could be successful in the game against Cleveland, meaning maybe one finds the end zone, maybe the other
8:21gets the majority of the work, and I think you could probably figure out which does which, with Tootin being hopefully the workhorse guy there.
8:28So there's several backfields I think we kind of want to see just how this workload is distributed in Week 1.
8:34I just don't know if we're going to get the definitive answer in some of these situations.
8:38I'll give you one more, and it's in the very first game of the year.
8:43It's Seattle with Jadarian Price and George Helani. I know we're all excited about Jadarian Price, and certainly he's got the talent
8:48to be a great running back, but think about what this Seahawks team did last year with its running backs, and think
8:54about how they might want to ease this rookie in in a spotlight game, his first NFL game.
8:59Obviously, if he gets a hot hand, they will let him run, but they trust what they've got in George Helani.
9:05That's a running back that might belong on fantasy benches to begin the year.
9:09Yeah, and I think Bucky Irving is someone I'm keeping a close eye on here.
9:13With Sean Tucker, a game-time decision this week, but I just want to see Bucky Irving get off to a great start
9:19here because I think he could end up being a really good pick in fantasy drafts if you took him in Round
9:255 earlier in the process, or maybe he moved up.
9:28I know we were always a little lower on him than ADP, but if you took him in Round 4, he could still really pay off.
9:35I certainly expect Gainwell to play on passing downs, but if Bucky Irving can get 15 or more touches, I think that'd be awesome for him.
9:42I think they're both great plays this week, though, Adam, because this is the highest projected total of the week one slate.
9:48So you could see Bucky getting the rushing opportunities, especially, like you said, if Tucker's out, and then if he gets into
9:54a shootout like we expect, then Kenneth Gainwell can definitely be at least a flex for you.
9:58Yeah, I mean, there's so much. I would love to just maybe do a mock draft after week one.
10:04And see what changes. I don't think we'll do it.
10:06It'll be kind of an interesting exercise. We should.
10:09It sounds fun. We should. Yeah, we should do it.
10:11All right. How about target distributions? Receivers and tight ends and running backs and all that.
10:16Dave, give me a team you're looking at in terms of how they're going to distribute those targets.
10:21I'm real curious to see what the Broncos do.
10:23They got Jalen Waddell this offseason. I've certainly talked him up from the moment that the trade went down, thinking that he
10:29was going to be the target leader for the Broncos.
10:32How big of a target leader will he be?
10:34And this is a big-time game for them against Kansas City.
10:37And I mentioned that Kansas City lost both of their starting quarterbacks to L.A.
10:41this offseason. That means they're starting two new guys, one guy they've had on the team before, but the other one is first-round pick Mansoor Delane.
10:48I'm real curious to see how Denver deploys Waddell in this game.
10:51Is he going to play in the slot a lot?
10:54And does that mean that the target volume won't be there for Corlin Sutton?
10:58Pat Bryant's name got a lot of attention in training camp.
11:01What kind of workload does he get through the air?
11:04So I'm real curious to see. That would probably be the first team on the list for me.
11:09Jamie? Yeah, Arizona. I think just looking at what happens with Marvin Harrison and Michael Wilson and just to see how those
11:15two guys are going to be used. We heard the start of the offseason when Michael Floor says, we're going to have
11:21Wilson in the Puka Nakua role, and we're going to see Marvin Harrison in the Devontae Adams role, but there was no
11:27Trey McBride with the Rams, so how does that all come together?
11:30And then you see Harrison have a very bad start to training camp with a lot of drops, and then just it's highlight after highlight after highlight.
11:37We don't hear a lot of Michael Wilson, but you like what his usage is in the preseason.
11:42So I think there's still a lot of unanswered questions for this, the duo there, and then Factory and McBride as well.
11:48The run game should be better. The schedule's going to be awful.
11:51It's just hard to get past how little Michael Wilson did last year when Marvin Harrison was healthy.
11:56And so hopefully that's not the case for people that are investing in Michael Wilson.
12:00And it would be nice to see a full season of Marvin Harrison with Jacoby Brissett because those four games when those
12:06guys were together, it looked like we were going to get that Harrison breakout.
12:10So it would be nice to see that happen in his third year in the NFL.
12:14Yep, Arizona for sure. I think San Francisco, although I don't know that we can draw too much from any team that's
12:20going to play the Rams this year. It's just like a really, really tough matchup.
12:24But how is San Francisco going to distribute those targets?
12:27What does Stribling do in his first game? That's really interesting.
12:30Pittsburgh will be interesting. And you know what, guys?
12:33Before we go to break, I'm just looking. I heard what you said, Dave, about Jalen Waddell against this secondary that's going to be starting a rookie.
12:40And LeJarius Sneed looks like he might be their slot corner, and he's been pretty bad for the last couple years.
12:46And I'm looking at the line, man. How are the Chiefs favored?
12:49Bold prediction. The Broncos smash the Chiefs in Arrowhead on Monday Night Football.
12:52They win by at least 10 points. The Broncos are a better team.
12:56They should be favored in this game. What do you think?
12:59I think if that were the public perception, it would be a much closer line.
13:03But I think the public perception is Patrick Mahomes is coming back and Kenneth Walker's in Kansas City, and it's Andy Reid, and it's a Chiefs home game.
13:11And so the public is going to lean toward Kansas City.
13:14Jamie? I mean, you're not wrong. The Broncos are a better team.
13:17It's just, you know, sometimes we see these week one upsets where it's like, oh, I forgot about this team.
13:22I forgot about this player. Not that people are forgetting about the Chiefs.
13:26But you don't hear them Super Bowl favorites like we've heard every year for the last, you know, 10-plus years or whatever
13:32it is, eight-plus years since Mahomes has been in the NFL.
13:35Wouldn't shock me if they win this one. And then they kind of go on a little bit of a run here to start.
13:41Their schedule, they get the Dolphins and the Raiders before they're by.
13:45So, like, they could get off to a great start.
13:47And if they do so with this particular game, I think we get, you know, back in the – we get the
13:53Chiefs back in the mix of some fun conversation.
13:56So it wouldn't surprise me if they win this one.
13:59Yeah, I mean, the Chiefs are really good probably, but the Broncos should have gone to the Super Bowl last year.
14:04They would have if Bo Nix didn't get hurt.
14:07Anyway, most likely to beat the Chiefs in week one would be the Broncos.
14:11We will have more superlatives when we come back on Fantasy Football Today.
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15:02Terms apply. See site for details. Let the awards begin.
15:05We have a lot of—we have so many awards.
15:08We're going to win an award for most awards on this show.
15:11I think we'll at least be nominated. Okay, let's start out with some good, positive— You know what award we won't win?
15:17What's that? Best host? Best game show with Who Has More.
15:20You're saying that Who Has More is so good that it will take the awards away from this episode, or you're saying Who Has More sucks?
15:27Yes. Okay. We don't know. Good awards. Fantasy MVP.
15:29Dave, who's the fantasy MVP? And this takes into account draft value.
15:33I wish I had more of my life back after the way that this segment started.
15:37I'm going to go with Jared Goff as the fantasy MVP.
15:40Drafted late, potent offense. We all know what he's capable of doing in Detroit.
15:44He could have a Stafford 2025 type season. Better yet, he could have a Jared Goff 2024 type season.
15:49Remember that year? He got off to a little bit of a slow start and then finished from week four on with
15:5525.5 fantasy points per game in six point for passing touchdown leagues.
15:58The offensive line's okay. The defense is a huge question mark, and we know that the pass catchers are awesome.
16:04Who you got, Jamie? Oh, Devontae Smith. You know, obviously somebody very excited about since they made the move of getting rid of A.J.
16:10Brown, and I think we're going to see a big season for him.
16:14Thankfully, he's over the hamstring injury that he dealt with in training camp, and we've said this nonstop that the opportunity is there in front of him.
16:21The three games that A.J. Brown missed, nine targets per game is what he averaged.
16:25Over 16 PPR points per game is what he's averaged.
16:28I know you'll talk about, since you did this morning, what he'll do without Dallas Goddard, so I don't want to steal
16:34your thunder because you have him coming up in a later category.
16:37But, you know, for a wide receiver that you got somewhere in round three, we've seen him go at the beginning part.
16:43We've seen him go at the end part of round three.
16:46Anywhere from, like, wide receiver 13 through 18, I think he's got an opportunity to finish as potentially a top five wide receiver.
16:52There's just that much upside for him. So we've never really seen him in this role for an entire year.
16:58And so hopefully he stays healthy. Hopefully Jalen Hurts can get back on track because the last few years have been a
17:04little bit of a struggle for him. And once again, another new coordinator.
17:07But I do think Sean Mannion's system will favor Jalen Hurts in doing some different things.
17:12And I think that will open up some opportunities for Devontae Smith to be that alpha, to command those targets, and to
17:18reward fantasy managers that took him in round three and probably should have said, Oh, I might have taken this guy in round two.
17:24I could have been better off. I'm going to go with Mike Evans.
17:28Probably not in week one. And he does have a lot of tough matchups this year.
17:32And that could be a problem. But the 49ers the last two years, Juwan Jennings has led the team each of the
17:38last two years in end zone targets. I think Mike Evans is going to be that guy this year.
17:43And what I love about it, looking at CBS average draft position, if you're drafting on Tuesday, this guy's going in the seventh round now.
17:50So he has fallen so much because of the injuries.
17:53But hearing him say the injuries were no big deal, he could have played through them.
17:57I think he's going to have a really good year.
18:00I think he'll be about 1,000 yards. And I think he's going to score double-digit touchdowns.
18:04And because he's going so late, you're going to get a top 20 wide receiver as, you know, wide receiver 30-something maybe in ADP.
18:11So he's my pick for fantasy MVP. How about fantasy rookie of the year?
18:15Dave, we're going to keep it with the 49ers.
18:17We're going to keep it with the 49ers and the guy that would obviously benefit if Mike Evans misses time.
18:22And that's DeJuan Stribling, who was fast-tracked in the offense this preseason.
18:26Certainly looks like he's going to play a lot as the number two receiver.
18:29Yeah, that means ahead of Debo Samuel. Might be third on the team in targets over the course of the season.
18:35Actually, he might be fourth, which doesn't sound good.
18:38But it's the contingency upside that I would bank on here.
18:41And that's why he's on the bench in a number of my leagues.
18:44We know that Mike Evans, over 30, has a history of getting banged up.
18:48George Kittle coming back from injury, he's over 30.
18:50Debo Samuel, he's over 30. And he also has a history of getting banged up.
18:55And don't get me started on Christian McCaffrey, who turned 30 this year.
18:58Hopefully he plays a lot. But I think they want his target volume to go down a little bit in San Francisco on a week-to-week basis.
19:05Stribling can win one-on-one matchups. He's a physical outside receiver.
19:08He could be the guy that replaces Jawan Jennings as the end zone target.
19:12Not a bad idea if you're drafting on Tuesday to take Mike Evans in round seven.
19:16I don't mind that value. But get Stribling late because I think he's got a chance to be the best fantasy rookie.
19:22Yeah, handcuff a lot of your 49ers apparently. So Dave's going to do it with the receiver position.
19:27I'm going to do it at running back. And I think Kalon Black, if he gets the chance to be the lead
19:33rusher for San Francisco, can be the fantasy rookie of the year.
19:36And that just plays into Christian McCaffrey's history, which we don't want to see come up again.
19:41But two years in his career with over 400 total touches.
19:44Two years in his career, he missed the following season, playing up to only four games in that year.
19:49So coming off a season with 450 total touches in 2025, he's 30 years old now.
19:53Black appears to be the next man up. It could still be Jordan James.
19:57Could be a committee, which would be awful. But again, if you get to be the lead running back for San Francisco,
20:03it's been a very good opportunistic spot for a lot of players.
20:06And I think Black will be that next man up behind Christian McCaffrey.
20:10So if, in fact, we do get McCaffrey missing an extended period of time, I think Kalon Black will be a league
20:16winner for fantasy managers and the easy choice for the fantasy rookie of the year.
20:20Yeah, and I dug deep for this one here.
20:22I wanted to give a name that probably wasn't on people's radars.
20:26So I went with Jeremiah Love, and I think he's probably pretty good.
20:29But actually, I think he's going to surprise people.
20:32There's been so little buzz about Jeremiah Love right now.
20:34Think about how excited people were after the preseason game.
20:37We saw how good he is. And then he gets hurt.
20:40Looks like he's going to play week one. And he's fallen to round three, round three, four turn, basically.
20:45Obviously, you can go a lot earlier than that if people are excited about him.
20:49But this is a pretty bad rookie class. You know, we hated it for dynasty purposes.
20:54The wide receivers that went in the first round didn't exactly end up in great opportunities, you know, great possibilities for week one.
21:00So I think Jeremiah Love is really going to stand out.
21:03And I know, obviously, he's Dave and Jamie's favorite rookie as well.
21:06But I think he's going to be good value for you because he's going to fall into the fourth round in a lot of drafts.
21:13And, you know, it's going to take a few games, but they're going to get him featured.
21:18And he'll have a very nice rookie season. Unfortunately, I don't know if it's unfortunate.
21:22I don't have any Jeremiah Love. Maybe one league, but I might regret that.
21:25All right. Breakout player of the year. Dave, you'll start it off with Bejal Tootin.
21:30Liam Cohen's new Bucky Irving. I think that's what we're all hoping for.
21:33And maybe that we were hoping that that would be the case last year.
21:37But it turned out to be that Travis Achan in his last year in Jacksonville wound up being the best running back for them.
21:43But he's gone. He's in New Orleans. And now Tootin is at the top of the depth chart for Jacksonville.
21:49He's fast. He's violent. He should earn opportunities because of what differentiates him from Chris Rodriguez.
21:53And that's primarily his speed and elusiveness. I think he leads this team in carries over the course of the year.
21:59We're a little bit worried about touchdowns from him because Chris Rodriguez is the bigger running back.
22:04But note that last year, Bejal Tootin had a better success rate inside the five in Jacksonville than Chris Rodriguez had in Washington.
22:10And I think Liam Cohen will catch on to that.
22:13So I don't know if every single goal line carry is going to go to Chris Rodriguez.
22:17I think Tootin will get his fair share. I think he can end up being a big breakout running back.
22:23Very excited about Jaden Reed. You know, just seeing the fact that the Packers run game could be a little bit suspect
22:29with Josh Jacobs on the commissioner's exemplist. And we don't know exactly how that's going to all play out.
22:34So I think we're going to see the Packers throw more.
22:37And that's going to allow all of the receivers, you know, Christian Watson, Reed, and Matthew Golden, that's the order I would
22:43draft them, to all have big seasons. And Reed, 2023, was fantastic.
22:46He was healthy that year. But really, it's just about target opportunities.
22:4923 games in his career with at least five targets.
22:5215 of those games, he's been over 13 PPR points, averaging 16 PPR points per game during that span.
22:57I think we're going to see a very more productive passing attack.
23:00Don't know how great it's going to be in week one because Minnesota is obviously really good and going to put a lot of pressure on Jordan Love.
23:08But I think as the season unfolds, we'll see all three of these guys, including Tucker Crafts, who want to put all
23:14four of them in there in terms of the pass catchers, really benefit.
23:18But where you're getting Jaden Reed and the production that he's going to give you could actually finish as a top 20 fantasy wide receiver.
23:24So really loved the opportunity to draft Jaden Reed in round 11 based on his ADP.
23:29I was taking him in round eight, and I think he'll reward fantasy managers finishing close to a top 20 wide receiver for the season.
23:35Devontae Smith is my pick, and I'll just say, listen to what Jamie just said about him.
23:40But I'll also say that in 17 games over the last four seasons, without Dallas Goddard and with A.J.
23:45Brown, he has averaged 17.1 PPR fantasy points per game.
23:48If he does that as a third-round pick, that is an awesome pick.
23:52But I think he's capable of even more than that because that was without Dallas Goddard.
23:56Now he's without A.J. Brown. And even if Jalen Hurts struggles like he did last year, we still saw A.J.
24:01Brown put up good numbers, and that was with Devontae Smith.
24:04So there's not much holding Devontae Smith back here.
24:07He's going to have an awesome season. And let's get another superlative here, a positive one.
24:11We'll do some negative ones next. But comeback player of the year.
24:14Dave, I hope you're right about Malik Neighbors. Yeah, there's really only one answer here, and it's going to be Malik Neighbors.
24:20We don't know exactly what to expect in week one, but the fact that he didn't miss any training camp after an
24:26offseason full of doom and gloom is fantastic news.
24:29And I know there's concerns about the passing game in New York.
24:32Matt Nagy isn't exactly our favorite play caller. But even he had the sense to hyper-target Allen Robinson and even Darnell Mooney for a season in Chicago.
24:39He's going to do the exact same thing with Malik Neighbors.
24:42He's going to dominate targets for the Giants. You're going to be happy when you took Malik Neighbors in round three because
24:48he's going to perform like a round two or maybe even a round one pick this season.
24:53Yeah, I feel the same about Lad McConkie, you know, a guy that was just absolutely terrible in his second season in 2025.
24:59But we saw the upside in 2024 in his rookie campaign, and now there's no more Keenan Allen.
25:04There's hopefully a healthy offensive line, at least the offensive tackles.
25:07And you have a better play caller with Mike McDaniels.
25:10So McConkie getting all sorts of rave reviews. Justin Herbert's going to have a big season.
25:14And I think you just look at McConkie. 15 PPR points per game was what he was averaging in his rookie season.
25:20I think that's the floor. So I'm expecting Lad McConkie to come back and have a big year and almost do a
25:26lot of the same things Dave said. Could challenge to be a round one pick.
25:30Could challenge to be a top ten fantasy wide receiver.
25:33Somebody that fantasy managers, not necessarily forgot about, but I think, you know, you get the sort of polarizing view when you
25:39get to that spot in round three. Oh, he burned me last year.
25:43I don't think he's going to be good again.
25:45Yes, he will. He's going to have a very big season in 2026.
25:48I'm going to go with DJ Moore. What's he bouncing back from?
25:52Just being really bad. 9.9 fantasy points per game last year.
25:55It was a huge bust. In fact, DJ Moore had pretty similar ADP last year compared to what he has this year.
26:01But this year I think it's going to pay off.
26:03I know he's 29 years old and he really has had a pretty overrated career if you just look at his fantasy points.
26:10Only two standout seasons. Josh Allen's going to get the best out of DJ Moore.
26:14DJ Moore is going to lead that team in every statistical category.
26:17And I think he'll be around 15 fantasy points per game.
26:20He'll be basically a must start. Like Mike Evans, like I said earlier in this segment, not necessarily week one because Derek
26:26Stingley could be all over DJ Moore. But it's going to be a very good year for him.
26:31Who's going to have kind of a bad year?
26:33Who's going to be our least valuable player? Our biggest bust as a rookie?
26:37Those types of things. We'll talk about it in our next segment on Fantasy Football Today.
26:42The biggest bust, the worst rookie of 2026. Getting super negative here on Fantasy Football Today.
26:46Jamie, let's start with the biggest bust. Who's getting your preseason award?
26:49It's Devon Achan. You know, and I hate saying it because I love watching him play and I love the talent.
26:55I love what he's done for fantasy managers the last two plus seasons.
26:58But it's just a bad team that he's going to be a part of.
27:02And I'm very concerned about what I think has made him so special is his role in the passing game.
27:08So we'll see if Malik Willis continues to involve him.
27:10We'll see to what level he involves him because clearly he's going to throw him the ball.
27:15But this is a receiver that's been, this is a running back that's been so successful as a receiver.
27:20And now you have a quarterback in Malik Willis who statistically the last two seasons, lowest target rate in terms of throwing to his running back.
27:27So that's obviously a little skewed because he hasn't played very much.
27:30But I think we're just going to see a lesser version of Achan and a guy who was being taken at the end of round one.
27:38I was saying all offseason I wouldn't draft him until round two.
27:41I hope that that's where he ends up finishing as a round two pick.
27:45It could be worse. Remember, this is expected to be the worst team in the NFL.
27:49You listen to almost every prognosticator who says the Dolphins will have the first pick in the NFL draft next year.
27:55That's not going to lead to a lot of touchdowns.
27:57So I love that he's going to get a lot of work.
28:01I hope that's going to be the case for 17 games.
28:04But I just think Devon H is going to disappoint a lot of fantasy managers this year.
28:08I could see the Browns giving the Dolphins a run for worst team in the league this year.
28:13And the Dolphins are taking on the Raiders in week number one, which actually leads me to an interesting point about why
28:19Ashton Gentry is going to be the biggest bust.
28:22Obviously worried about his health, worried about the workload in part because of his health and the fact that he hurt his ankle in training camp this year.
28:29But also this offense isn't expected to score a ton of points.
28:33Here's the case in point. They're taking on Miami in week number one.
28:36Their implied team total is just 22 points. You would expect the Raiders to blow out the Dolphins if they had a potent offense.
28:43I know they've got Brock Bowers and that dude's a stud.
28:46And Gentry's a stud too. I'm just worried about how long it's going to take him to round into shape, how effective
28:52he'll be, how much work he's going to get.
28:54I kind of feel like taking him in late round two, early round three was the right time to take him.
29:00We should be thankful that the injury happened because now the draft value implied with him when we took him in drafts isn't anywhere near where it was.
29:07He was basically taking a full round later from where he was after the injury.
29:11And I think that that's okay, but I don't think he's going to be amazing.
29:15He's going to be the biggest bust. I'm going with Trey McBride, third round pick.
29:20Don't take him in the second round. And look, he's so good.
29:23And he's got two straight seasons with more than nine targets per game.
29:26And usually guys who do that, they do it again the next year and again and again until they're basically too old
29:32to get that type of target volume. It's impressive players on that kind of list.
29:36Why am I calling Trey McBride a bust? Well, I believe in Michael Wilson.
29:40And after Michael Wilson broke out last year, we didn't really have a lot of games where we had Wilson, Marvin Harrison Jr.
29:46and Trey McBride all playing and all healthy. But when they were all on the field, kind of second half of the
29:52season after Michael Wilson established himself, they all had about a 20% target share.
29:56This was a very small sample size, so I don't know what it's going to look like.
30:01But I think the target share is going way down for Trey McBride.
30:04I think Jacoby Brissett could get benched and you could have Carson Beck at some point.
30:09We've got the toughest schedule. We've got such good defenses in that division.
30:12A lot of things working against Trey McBride. He's a fantastic player.
30:16I don't love the situation. And just remember, the first six games of the season, he wasn't even that good.
30:21That was with Kyler Murray. So it's not like we've never seen Trey McBride not be great.
30:26So I think he could be the biggest bust.
30:28The worst rookie. Ooh, Jamie didn't like my rookie of the year pick, it seems.
30:32Jamie's going with Jeremiah Love for worst rookie. This is the crap on the Cardinals segment, apparently, because you got another one coming up that you don't like.
30:40This isn't about him being the worst rookie based on production.
30:43It's about being the worst rookie based on his draft value.
30:46So he's going to get drafted probably in round three or was drafted in round three.
30:50And I don't think he's going to live up to the billing.
30:53We talked about this already. You're looking at a situation where this is going to be a bad team.
30:59This is going to be a team with a very difficult schedule.
31:02Then you factor in that he's coming into the season at less than 100 percent.
31:06High ankle sprains tend to linger. We don't know when he'll be back to full strength.
31:10And you have a committee that could be bad if James Conner ever gets healthy and they decide to play him at some point later in the season.
31:18But Tyler Algier is most likely going to steal touchdowns.
31:21So tough offense, tough schedule, tough situation. I think people may end up overdrafting or not really getting the value that they got out of Jeremiah Love.
31:28So he should be the best rookie in terms of production.
31:31I just don't think we're going to have. I don't think we're going to have a similar situation where Ashton Gentry was a complete bust.
31:38But we're going to have a situation where I think a lot of people said, could say, I should have taken somebody
31:44else instead of Jeremiah Love in round three. All right.
31:46This might be me kicking somebody when they're down and maybe the most obvious bust pick of all for rookies.
31:52But I'm going to say that Jordan Tyson is going to be a waste of a draft pick, even if you took
31:58him in round 12 plus on IR to start the season.
32:01We're not going to have him to begin the year.
32:04We don't know when he's going to come off.
32:06We don't know how effective he'll be when he does come off.
32:09I'm scared it could be close to a lost year for Jordan Tyson.
32:13And the dude has tons of ability, but I just feel like all this time that he's going to miss on top
32:19of Chris Olave, Juwan Johnson, the things that those two did last year with Tyler Shuck at quarterback, they should be able to build off of.
32:26Remember, this offense really did not change that much from one year to the next other than Jordan Tyson joining the fray.
32:32And now Tyson, we just don't know when he's going to be back.
32:35So maybe the most obvious call to say that he's going to be the worst rookie.
32:40But I'm saying if you drafted Jordan Tyson, you better have an IR spot to slide him into because otherwise he's going
32:46to be wasting a spot on your bench. Yeah, I'll go with Carnell Tate.
32:50Just hate what we've seen from the Titans offense this preseason.
32:53I don't think we've seen any starting offense more than the Titans.
32:56And somehow they've been so bad, even going up against backups.
32:59Now, look, I think that could easily change, but it's not like we have a ton of reasons to believe in the Titans offense.
33:05We're all just hoping that Cam Ward takes the next step.
33:08And I don't really think that Carnell Tate was that great of a prospect.
33:12I think it was just a week-wide receiver draft and a weak draft overall, bad quarterback draft.
33:17And that's why he went so early. So I think he'll be fine.
33:20But I actually wouldn't be surprised if Wondell Robinson leads the team in catches.
33:24I think I probably would project that. Yards, probably Tate.
33:27But I also think they're going to get the other guys, the annoying I.O.
33:31Manners and DKs and Ridleys mixed in there enough to take away from Carnell Tate.
33:35He's a number three receiver, and he was going in the seventh round, basically.
33:39He's fallen, which is good. I think maybe now you get good value, but I don't think we're going to have a standout season from Carnell Tate.
33:46All right, the next award is the don't call it a comeback, because this is a candidate for comeback player of the
33:52year, but he still isn't all that good. Jamie, who you got?
33:55Terry McLaurin. You know, I was so excited about him when the offseason started and looking at this receiving core and really
34:01lack thereof in terms of who's going to be a member of the supporting cast.
34:05And not that Stefan Diggs at 32 years old is going to be the biggest reason why Terry McLaurin struggles, but it's obviously a reason.
34:12Then you factor in the offensive line and the concerns that we have there.
34:16And does Terry McLaurin have the ability to get back to the level that we saw in 2024?
34:21Remember, the majority of his career, he was always a good fantasy wide receiver.
34:24In 2024, he was elite in the first year with Dayton Daniels.
34:28And I hope fantasy managers just aren't reaching for that again or expecting that again, just because both are healthy.
34:33Last year, it was the contract situation for McLaurin.
34:36Got off to the slow start, and then Daniels got hurt.
34:39So I don't think he'll definitely be better than what we saw last year.
34:42I just don't think we're going to get another top 20 season out of Terry McLaurin.
34:47I wasn't drafting him that way, and I'm not expecting him to perform that way.
34:51Man, I hope you're wrong on McLaurin, but I kind of get where you're coming from on that.
34:56I like rooting for him. Does it count if we're messing with the Cardinals if I say Kyler Murray is the candidate
35:02for comeback player of the year, but he won't be, and he still sings.
35:06I can't. I've tried really hard. I can't buy into a quarterback who's averaged 18, 20, 20.8, and 20.8 fantasy points in each of his last four seasons.
35:13In fact, in those four seasons, he's played 40 games with at least 20 pass attempts, which is an issue in and of itself.
35:20That's 10 per year. But he had under 20 fantasy points in half of those games, 23 or fewer in all but 13 games.
35:26I know that he's in Minnesota. I know that we want to give Kevin O'Connell the benefit of the doubt.
35:32We did that last year. It was a mess with J.J.
35:35McCarthy. The camp reports weren't glowing about Kyler Murray either.
35:37I am willing to concede that he's got great receivers around him, and that's different from what he's had in Arizona.
35:43But I'm just not ready to say that Kyler Murray is going to finish this year as a top 12 quarterback.
35:49And that's the reason I'm putting Justin Jefferson in this don't call it a comeback category.
35:53I think he's going to be so much better than he was last year.
35:57Last year, he was probably the biggest bust in fantasy.
36:00He was a number three receiver. But I am not taking Justin Jefferson much.
36:03I don't think I have him in any leagues.
36:06I would take him if you're still drafting in the middle of round two.
36:10And I think he's kind of a late round one, early round two pick.
36:14But all of those top 11 running backs, I would take ahead of Justin Jefferson.
36:18And it's because two things. He's amazing, but Kyler isn't.
36:20You know, I just don't think Kyler's that good of a quarterback.
36:24I don't think he's a bad quarterback necessarily, but I don't really trust him to be a consistent quarterback.
36:29And you look at Justin Jefferson and when he's had his best years, look at some of the passing stats, just the raw passing stats for the Vikings.
36:36We're talking sometimes about 4,500 yards, 30 to 35 touchdowns.
36:39If Kyler Murray is going to bounce back, it's going to be partially because of his legs.
36:44He could still rush for 600 yards. He's just not going to throw that much.
36:48He's probably not going to throw 30 touchdowns. So that to me makes Justin Jefferson a guy that we're expecting big things
36:54from and he's going to bounce back, but he's not going to be the Justin Jefferson that we knew and loved.
37:00And now that was don't call it a comeback.
37:02How about don't call it a breakout? Waiting for that rap song to drop.
37:06But this is a breakout candidate who isn't going to break out.
37:09Jamie? I'm a little nervous just about Emeka Buka getting to the ceiling that we were hoping him to get to.
37:15You know, and it's really just because of the toe injury.
37:18We know turf toe, it can linger. It could be a problem.
37:21It could just be an issue all season long.
37:23And, you know, God forbid he re-aggravates the injury and then he has to miss time.
37:28So I'm still very excited about his upside. We saw it in the first five games last year when Mike Evans was in and out of the lineup.
37:35When Godwin was in and out of the lineup, Jalen McMillan was not a thing.
37:39And then Abuka comes into camp with all these expectations.
37:42And we were excited to take him in round three in some cases at the start of the draft process.
37:48And then he gets this injury. And all you hear is how good Chris Godwin looks and the role that Ted Hirsch
37:54is going to play and that Jalen McMillan is still going to be a factor.
37:58And so I just wonder if it's going to cap the ceiling of Abuka, who still is going to, I think, perform like a fourth round wide receiver.
38:05But that puts him closer to top 20 range.
38:08When I thought at the start of this, he could be a top 10 wide receiver.
38:12So that's still in the range of outcomes. I just don't think we get there this year.
38:17So still happy to start him week in, week out until proven otherwise.
38:20But again, my expectations have changed dramatically because of this toe injury.
38:24And, you know, to the same degree, I feel like that with Luther Burden, where I'm worried about him hitting that ceiling that we're talking about.
38:31I think he's going to be good. And obviously, by the nature of a definition of a breakout, it's going to be his best year.
38:37He's going to be better than he was last year.
38:40He's going to be a good borderline number two fantasy wide receiver.
38:43I don't think he makes any type of a leap to being a top 12 or even a top 16 fantasy wide receiver.
38:50His best four-game stretch last year, yeah, it was pretty good.
38:5315.2 PPR points per game. Those were all games without Romo Dunze on the field for Chicago.
38:57I don't know if we can just transfer that stat over and say, well, there's not going to be DJ Moore this year.
39:04It's the same thing. I don't know if it's the same thing.
39:07And we talked about receiving cores that we're real curious to see earlier in this show.
39:11I'm curious to see how the targets shake out in Chicago.
39:14And yeah, Luther Burden should be able to get around six and a half to seven and a half targets per game.
39:20I don't know if that equates to huge numbers.
39:23And I'm especially concerned about the touchdown numbers for Burden because he wasn't a huge factor in the red zone last year.
39:29And I suspect that with Colson Loveland on this team, as long as he's healthy, same thing with Odunze, those guys are
39:35going to get more targets in the end zone than Burden.
39:38I'm going with Marvin Harrison Jr. here for don't call it a breakout.
39:41Not a very popular breakout pick, I suppose, but I just haven't drafted any Marvin Harrison Jr.
39:46I've said some crazy things on this show. I said the Broncos are going to smash the Chiefs.
39:51I said Justin Jefferson's not going to bounce back.
39:53Trey McBride is going to be a bust. I'm setting myself for some serious freezing cold takes here.
39:58But I think that Michael Wilson's a better player than Marvin Harrison Jr.
40:01Maybe Marvin Harrison Jr. will show me something this year that he hasn't shown me already.
40:06But I think Marvin's a better fantasy option because he's an end zone, consistent end zone target.
40:10And touchdowns are a big deal. But I think Michael Wilson's just a better player.
40:15He's obviously faster. He can make guys miss. Marvin Harrison Jr.
40:18just kind of a big body guy. And I just unfortunately think he was overdrafted in the NFL draft.
40:23So I am out on him. I'm out on Trey McBride.
40:26I think they actually might have a pretty good passing offense.
40:29But individually, I think McBride's going to be a bust.
40:31And I think Marvin Harrison Jr. is just going to be kind of whatever.
40:35He's certainly not going to break out unless there is an injury to one of the other guys on the team.
40:41We have more awards. This wouldn't be the awardiest award show ever if we didn't have more.
40:46And we will come back with those awards after this on Fantasy Football Today.
40:49Welcome back, everybody, to Fantasy Football Today on Football Eve.
40:52Getting ready for week one. Let's talk about the most likely player to be drafted in round one next season.
40:58Currently drafted in round three or later. Dave Richard, who is most likely to be a round one pick next year?
41:03I might not expect a huge year from Jeremiah Love.
41:06But I am sure we're going to see signs of him playing well.
41:09And that's going to encourage us with the Cardinals making enhancements on their offensive line and at quarterback to take him as a first-round pick in 2027.
41:17Yeah, for me, it's Brock Bowers. And I'm cheating a little bit because he's the first pick in round three based on ADP.
41:23But, look, we know when tight ends hit and hit big and hit consistently, fantasy managers will get excited.
41:28And I think that's going to be the case with Bowers once we see him in Mendoza and what the future of this Raiders passing game looks like.
41:36So really excited about Bowers being the next Travis Kelsey, that Rob Gronkowski, that guy that we're looking for at the end of round one.
41:43Malik Neighbors, baby, is obviously going to be a first-round pick.
41:46He may have been a first-round pick this year if he weren't coming off the ACL and everything got delayed and he had that second surgery.
41:53Malik Neighbors, I don't know how great of a year he's going to have.
41:57I'm a little nervous. But I think he'll show enough to make people more confident next season.
42:01All right, player you fear you drafted too much of.
42:04Dave, you think you drafted too much. Jonah Coleman.
42:06Yeah, maybe got a little too excited about the rookie running back in Denver.
42:10It really comes down to, is J.K. Dobbins going to get hurt?
42:13And if he does, how big of a role will Jonah Coleman have?
42:17I love the way he looked in the preseason.
42:19I loved his film from Washington too. He's a good NFL runner, but maybe I just got on top of him a year too early.
42:26We'll see. That's a long season. Hopefully I stay patient with Jonah Coleman and keep him on my bench for as long as I possibly can.
42:33Yeah, you mentioned earlier, Adam, about D.J. Moore, and I totally agree that he's going to have a big season in Buffalo.
42:39But I drafted him, drafted a lot of Jonah Coleman too, but I drafted a lot of D.J.
42:44Moore just with the idea that the value was amazing, got him in some cases in round five, but I was drafting him in round four.
42:51I just think there's still top 20 upside here.
42:54I just hope that the schedule is not too tough, that he at 29 is not hitting that part of his career
43:00a little too soon as we saw last year, which could have been a reason why he only got 85 targets because
43:06a player of his caliber should have commanded a little bit more attention.
43:09So hopefully he could still reward fantasy managers as a top 20 wide receiver.
43:13And I took a lot of Christian McCaffrey because Dave and Jamie didn't.
43:16And I'm drafting sixth today, and I might take Christian McCaffrey again.
43:20So I'm a glutton for punishment. We know what the situation is.
43:23The good thing is it's been a very drama-free training camp.
43:26Not a lot of it. Oh, wait, there's been plenty of drama.
43:29Never mind. Christian McCaffrey is going to make or break my fantasy season.
43:33How about the player you fear you did not draft enough of?
43:36Dave, why do you hate Derrick Henry? I don't hate Derrick Henry.
43:39I actually love Derrick Henry. And maybe I underrated him a little bit and didn't put him high enough in my rankings
43:45to consider him as an early round two or even a late round one pick in the full PPR leagues that we do.
43:52He's a first-rounder in non-PPR. And you can even make the case in half PPR.
43:56But the dude's been a beast for so long.
43:58He did not have a great year weeks one through I think 15 last year.
44:02But I think he can bounce back from that in 2026.
44:05I'm going to say that I wish that I had more Derrick Henry by this time in November.
44:10I was very much out on Saquon Barkley last year.
44:13And it was the right call. And I wish I had a lot more of Saquon Barkley this year.
44:18And part of the reason I did not was because whenever it came up to the part of the draft where I
44:24had to take Barkley, I just like Ken Walker and Amari Hampton a little bit more.
44:28And so I took those guys almost constantly anytime Barkley was on the board.
44:32And I feel like I'm going to regret it because I do like the fact that they're talking up, using him more in the passing game.
44:39We didn't really see that much last year. I think he's going to get a healthier offensive line in front of him.
44:45Hopefully that'll be the case for the majority of the season was a big reason why he struggled last season.
44:51But this could be the last hurrah for him having one of those elite fantasy seasons.
44:55And I'm going to hate watching it on a lot of other people's fantasy rosters.
44:59I'm going to hate watching the Cowboys, especially in week one, go crazy.
45:03I did not have enough George Pickens. Really wanted to get him.
45:06And I don't know if I have any George Pickens, but I think he's going to have a really good year.
45:12It's tough to take these guys because you're going, you have to take them over other great players.
45:16But Pickens, Lamb, Dak, Javante, I have a lot of Javante, but the passing game, not enough.
45:21When we come back, your questions, your tweets on fantasy football today.
45:24Let's see what's on your mind here, Andrew. Dave, he wants a free spot on his bench here.
45:29Who should he pick up? Look to see if Trey Tucker's available.
45:32He's out there in about half of CBS Sports Leagues.
45:35If he's not rostered, get him. If he is rostered, look for Chris Bell of the Miami Dolphins.
45:40All right, next one. Jamie, I'll give this one to you.
45:43Half point per completion, drop Josh Downs or Chris Rodriguez for Baker Mayfield, Purdy, or Love?
45:47I probably would drop the quarterback just because I don't think you need to carry three.
45:52So if you can get away with that, let's super flex.
45:55We got to go, Jamie. Yeah, sorry. Tough one there.
45:58Thank you so much for watching Fantasy Football today.
46:00Check out the podcast. Good luck in week one, everybody.
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