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Week 1 Fantasy Football RANKINGS & Tiers: QB, RB, WR, & TE + Starts & Sits (09/10 Fantasy Football Podcast)

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

45 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Sep 10, 2026
Published
Thu, September 10, 2026
49
Player insights
45
Players mentioned
Topics
Brock PurdyGeorge KittleKenneth GainwellMichael MayerA.J. BrownBaker MayfieldBlake CorumBrock BowersBucky IrvingChristian McCaffreyChristian WatsonD.J. MooreD'Andre SwiftDalton Kincaid
Player analysis

Player insights

49

A.J. Brown

NegativeInjury0:33

A.J. Brown suffered what appears to be a high ankle sprain during the Wednesday night game. Heath Cummings notes this is a significant concern, as he does not want to trust any Patriots wide receivers or Drake May for the next couple of weeks without Brown in the lineup.

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Baker Mayfield

PositiveValue36:45

The source highlights Baker Mayfield as a viable week one starter, noting his healthy weapons and offensive line, and the fact that his game has the highest projected total of the week.

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Blake Corum

NegativeUsage43:55

The source views Blake Corum as a low-end flex option, warning fantasy managers not to overreact to his performance relative to Kyren Williams.

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Brock Bowers

NegativeInjury37:36

The source confirms Brock Bowers will miss at least two games due to a meniscus injury and will not be in the week one rankings.

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Brock Purdy

NegativeMatchup32:50

The source advises sitting Purdy against the Rams, describing their defense as potentially the most talented they have ever seen if they stay healthy.

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NegativeBust33:18

The source suggests avoiding Brock Purdy for fantasy lineups, noting concerns about the Rams' improved pass rush and cornerbacks.

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Bucky Irving

PositiveSleeper6:53

Heath Cummings identifies Bucky Irving as a top sleeper if Sean Tucker is inactive. Irving is preferred for goal-line work, as he had zero carries inside the five last year while Tucker had nine.

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Christian McCaffrey

PositiveUsage33:10

The source advises starting Christian McCaffrey while suggesting avoiding other 49ers players in the current lineup.

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Christian Watson

NegativeUsage20:18

Watson is viewed as a high-end flex with boom-bust potential; while targets may be concentrated, he has historically struggled against Minnesota and faces a tough zone-heavy defense.

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D.J. Moore

NegativeMatchup25:26

Moore is a sit candidate against the Texans' elite secondary; the matchup is difficult, and Josh Allen has historically struggled against this team.

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D'Andre Swift

PositiveRole5:32

Dave Richard is starting Swift, viewing him as the clear lead back in Chicago. He expects the team to be cautious with Monongai, preventing a 50/50 split.

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Dalton Kincaid

NegativeMatchup41:44

The source suggests avoiding Dalton Kincaid this week because the Texans were a top-10 defense against tight ends last year and Josh Allen has a poor history against them.

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DK Metcalf

PositiveUsage21:45

Metcalf is a must-start against the Falcons, who lack a pass rush; Aaron Rodgers has identified him as his clear number one receiver, and he is projected for eight targets and a touchdown.

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Drake London

NegativeUsage18:02

The source expresses concern for London because Tua Tagovailoa prefers short-area targets and dislikes challenging downfield, which conflicts with London's role as a deeper target.

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Drew Lock

PositiveValue0:47

Heath Cummings believes Drew Locke performed well in his impersonation of Sam Darnold and should be rostered in all superflex leagues while Darnold deals with a hip injury.

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George Kittle

NegativeProjection2:16

Coming off an Achilles injury, Dave Richard suggests Kittle is a low-end TE1/TE2 (ranked 9th-15th) who is startable if you are comfortable with his upside, though expectations should be tempered.

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PositiveBust40:34

The source advises sitting George Kittle due to the tough Rams defense, concerns about his role as a blocker, and uncertainty regarding his target share with Mike Evans on the team.

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Greg Dulcich

PositiveSleeper42:07

The source likes Greg Dulcich as a sleeper, noting he was second in yards per route run among tight ends last year and has good rapport with Malik Willis in camp.

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Isaiah Likely

PositiveRole40:07

The source expects Isaiah Likely to be second on the team in targets and a strong start, especially with the Giants likely chasing points against the Cowboys.

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Jared Goff

PositiveMatchup32:07

Goff is the start of the week against the Saints; he performs well at home and faces a defense that allowed multiple touchdowns to nine different quarterbacks last year.

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Jayden Daniels

PositiveProjection29:50

Daniels is a must-start in four-point-per-pass TD leagues due to his rushing floor, though he is more questionable in six-point leagues due to a difficult matchup and offensive line concerns.

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Jaylen Warren

NegativeRole10:34

Dave Richard views Jalen Warren as a flex option who is likely to be more effective in games where the team is playing from behind, compared to Rico Dowdle.

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Jeremiyah Love

NegativeBust17:36

Heath Cummings advises sitting Jeremiah Love due to lingering high ankle sprain concerns and a split backfield with Tyler Algier, especially in a game where the team is a heavy underdog.

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Jordan Mason

PositiveSleeper25:14

Dave Richard likes Jordan Mason as a flex play, noting that the Vikings' new outside zone scheme favors his skill set and he is expected to be the lead back.

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Josh Allen

NegativeProjection29:36

Despite a poor history against the Texans, the source insists on starting Allen in fantasy leagues, though advises against using him in DFS.

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Justin Herbert

PositiveProjection30:48

Herbert is a top-tier start against the Cardinals; the source expects the Chargers to score at will, making this a smash-ceiling week for him.

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Justin Jefferson

NegativeProjection17:42

The source expects a better start than last year's finish, but remains slightly cautious; Kyler Murray's tendency to run may limit Jefferson's target volume, preventing him from being truly elite.

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Juwan Johnson

PositiveUsage38:58

The source expects Juwan Johnson to be the number two target for New Orleans and likes his floor, noting he had 10.3+ PPR points in seven of eight games with at least six targets last year.

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Kenneth Gainwell

PositiveUsage16:54

The source suggests Gainwell is a strong PPR start and flex option because the Bengals are expected to play with a lead, which should result in high target volume for him in the passing game.

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PositiveUsage26:55

The source is excited about Kenneth Gainwell's opportunity, particularly in PPR formats, as he expects the team to utilize him in the passing game if they are chasing points.

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Kenneth Walker III

NegativeUsage4:52

Heath Cummings is unconfident in Walker's rushing efficiency due to a tough matchup and offensive line concerns, but expects him to be a start due to increased reception volume via dump-offs.

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Kyler Murray

PositiveSleeper35:33

The source likes Kyler Murray as a sleeper against the Packers, highlighting his rushing floor (7-8 carries) and his weapons, Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, against a weakened Packers defense.

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Kyren Williams

NegativeUsage43:55

The source projects Kyren Williams as a low-end RB2 for the upcoming game, noting that Blake Corum will also see work.

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Malik Willis

PositiveSleeper35:56

The source views Malik Willis as a sleeper with 'crazy upside' due to his rushing ability and the expectation that the Dolphins will be trailing, forcing him to throw and run frequently.

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MarShawn Lloyd

NegativeRole14:08

Heath Cummings views Lloyd as a low-end RB2 who will lead the Packers in carries, though he expresses concern about the team's willingness to lean on the run if they fall behind.

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Michael Mayer

PositiveValue3:40

Dave Richard prefers Michael Mayer over George Kittle for Week 1, citing a better opportunity for Mayer in his matchup against the Dolphins.

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PositiveRole37:59

The source ranks Michael Mayer as the TE8, noting he is a strong start in full PPR formats. He historically saw a 24% target share without Bowers and is available in nearly 70% of leagues.

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Michael Wilson

PositiveUsage26:50

Wilson is a flex option who should see high volume in a game where the Cardinals are expected to throw often; he and Marvin Harrison are viewed as having equal footing.

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Parker Washington

PositiveUsage22:55

Washington is a confident start based on his strong finish to last season and a four-game stretch where he averaged 10 targets per game; he is expected to remain on the field.

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Patrick Mahomes

NegativeBust34:49

The source recommends sitting Patrick Mahomes against the Broncos, citing poor historical performance against the Sean Payton/Vance Joseph defense and concerns about the Chiefs' offensive line.

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Rico Dowdle

PositiveRole10:34

Dave Richard prefers Rico Dowdle over Jalen Warren, citing reports that Dowdle is the 1A back and has superior goal-line success rates. He projects Dowdle as an RB20 finish.

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Rome Odunze

NegativeInjury19:55

Odunze is dealing with a calf injury, and his status is uncertain; fantasy managers should prepare a replacement option for three-receiver leagues.

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Romeo Doubs

NegativeUsage1:42

Heath Cummings notes that Romeo Dobbs was not the player the team hoped he would be, evidenced by a low first-half snap share where the team preferred DeMario Douglas and Matt Collins.

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Sam Darnold

NegativeInjury0:37

Sam Darnold is dealing with a hip injury. Heath Cummings suggests there may not be a huge drop-off for the defense if Darnold misses time, as Drew Locke performed well in his stead.

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Tony Pollard

NegativeBust21:41

Dave Richard advises sitting Tony Pollard, noting that he expects a split backfield with Tyje Spears and skepticism regarding the Titans' offensive scoring potential.

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Travis Kelce

PositiveBust41:16

The source is nervous about starting Travis Kelce, expecting a low-scoring game where Kenneth Walker impacts the passing offense, potentially limiting Kelce's target volume.

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Tre Tucker

PositiveSleeper26:01

Tucker is a sleeper boom-bust play who should see increased targets following the Brock Bowers injury; he faces a weak Dolphins defense and has big-play upside.

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Trevor Lawrence

PositiveMatchup31:26

Lawrence is a recommended start; the Browns' defense is missing Miles Garrett and shifting schemes, which should reduce their aggressiveness and favor Lawrence.

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Tucker Kraft

PositiveBreakout39:30

The source highlights Tucker Kraft's massive upside, noting he led all non-running backs in yards after catch per reception (9.1) last year.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

657
0:00We got a game in the books, we got a game tonight, we got a full slate of Week 1 action to preview.
0:06Welcome to Fantasy Football Today. I'm Jamie Eisenberg, that's Dave Richard, that's Heath Cummings.
0:09Got a lot to get to when we're going over our Week 1 rankings.
0:13That's right, we're here, we're getting ready to set all of our lineups and hopefully get better performances than we got out
0:18of the Seahawks, or at least most of them, and the Patriots from Wednesday night.
0:22We got a Thursday night game to preview also with the 49ers and the Rams.
0:26And we're going to talk about our running back rankings here to start the show.
0:29But first, let's just get a quick recap of what happened last night, Heath.
0:33Two major injuries that occurred in that 1310 thriller between the Seahawks and the Patriots.
0:37Biggest injury being for our purposes, A.J. Brown, what looks to be a high ankle sprain, Sam Darnold also dealing with a hip injury.
0:43What do we make out of both of those situations moving forward for the rest of the year?
0:47You know, I thought considering the defense that he was facing, Drew Locke did pretty well in his Sam Darnold impersonation, and
0:53I'm not sure there will be a huge drop off for this defense if Darnold needed to miss some time.
0:58I do think if you're in a super flex league, you need to make sure Drew Locke is rostered.
1:02I think the A.J. Brown injury looks like a bigger deal, because Romeo Dobbs was not what they were hoping Romeo Dobbs was going to be.
1:09And I think when you look at the first half snapshare, it seems like they knew that going into that game.
1:14They were not excited about putting him on the field.
1:17They were playing DeMario Douglas and Matt Collins more.
1:19I don't really want to trust any of the Patriots wide receivers without A.J.
1:22Brown, and I don't think I want to trust Drake May for the next couple of weeks without A.J.
1:27Brown. Yeah, it's going to be tough. We'll reevaluate the Patriots once we get full understanding of how long A.J.
1:32Brown will be out. Dave, for tonight's game, we've got the Rams and the 49ers.
1:36The biggest question really is what do we do about George Kittle?
1:39Because I think everybody's starting their usual Rams. You're starting your usual 49ers.
1:42But Kittle, coming back from the Achilles injury that he suffered in the playoffs, is he worth trusting against this defense?
1:47I wouldn't have the same expectations for him, but as far as low-end tight ends go, he's got just as good of
1:53a shot of scoring and even getting a decent target share and receptions as any other tight end that you're going to
1:58look at, ranked between, let's call it, 9th and 15th in your rankings.
2:02So if you're comfortable with George Kittle and what his upside is, of course you're going to start him.
2:06Yeah, I'm a little bit more nervous just because we, you know, he says he's good to go.
2:11No injury designation. That's awesome. You have both Clay Kubiak, the Dolphins coordinator, and Kyle Shanahan saying, let's just be safe about this.
2:16So I would play a guy that we're going to talk about later.
2:20Big injury to cover as well, Brock Bowers. His replacement, Michael Mayer, I think just a better opportunity for Mayer in his
2:25matchup against the Dolphins than Kittle tonight. We'll talk about that when we get to tight ends.
2:29Now we're going to talk about running backs. Let's show you the running back rankings for a week.
2:34Number one, the rankings 1 through 12, we'll start there.
2:36And not a lot of surprises with the guys at the top.
2:39The two guys that were drafted first are first and second, Jameer Gibbs and Bijan Robinson.
2:43Christian McCaffrey, while we may have had some season-long concerns, you're going to start him every time he's out there taking on
2:49the Rams as you go through the list. Heath, Ken Walker, tough matchup.
2:52We said this on our podcast today. You're starting him.
2:55How confident are you? I am probably about as unconfident as you can be for a guy to be ranked in the
3:00top 12, but really plenty confident to start him in some capacity.
3:03I think that the Chiefs are probably going to have to dump the ball off to Walker.
3:07They've got some serious offensive line questions against a great pass rush, so we'll see more receptions.
3:12Probably the lowest or one of the lowest rushing averages of the year for Walker.
3:15You can show the rankings 13 through 24, but I want to ask you, Dave, about a guy that was on the top 12, and that's DeAndre Swift.
3:22Really because Kyle Monongai practicing and looking like he's going to be back.
3:26Do we have as much faith in DeAndre Swift as we did maybe in the preseason when there was the thought of Monongai missing several weeks?
3:32I'm starting him. I look at the offensive line.
3:34I think that's a strength in Chicago. I think Swift will be the lead back here.
3:38Maybe the Bears take a cautious approach with Monongai.
3:41After all, he hadn't been practicing for many, many weeks, so he's probably just going to get his feet wet here.
3:46Don't expect the same type of one drive for Swift, one drive for Monongai that we saw from this offense at the end of last year.
3:52You see the list on the screen here, and 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, a lot of questions coming to play with
3:58Scadaboo, his matchup against the Cowboys, their revamped defense.
4:00Bucky Irving taking on a revamped defense for the Bengals.
4:03Marson Lloyd we'll talk about in a little bit.
4:05David Montgomery against the Bills and Quinchot Judkins against the Jaguars.
4:08Heath, I know that's not your rankings per se, but of that group, who do you have the most faith in?
4:13I think it really depends. I'm higher than this on Marson Lloyd, but there's one guy on this list, Bucky Irving.
4:18We haven't seen Sean Tucker at practice yet this week.
4:21If that continues today and Sean Tucker looks like he's not going to play this week, then Bucky Irving would be at
4:26the top of that group for me just because last year he had zero carries inside the five-yard line.
4:31Sean Tucker had nine. Unfortunately, Kenneth Gainwell had eight, but I would have more hope in Bucky Irving scoring a touchdown if Tucker wasn't playing.
4:37Yeah, and Kenneth Gainwell I'm sure will show up on one of these next lists, 25 through 36, and then 37 through 48.
4:43We'll show you what some flex options could be.
4:45But you're starting to get into the mix of these guys here of are they sharing and how much are they sharing,
4:50and then the pass-catching running backs here. So let's see where Kenneth Gainwell pops up.
4:54We'll see where the Steelers guys pop up. We're going to talk about Rico Dowdle as well when you start to look
5:00at more of these rank lists here, 25 through 36, and then 37 through 48, if we have those.
5:04But we'll start to talk about some of the start running backs.
5:07Here we go with the other guys here. Jeremiah Love is going to be a very interesting running back to discuss as well.
5:13Tony Pollard, great matchup. Do you want to trust him?
5:16I know Dave, you like Jordan Mason. We'll get into that a little bit.
5:19When we get to some of these, you know, muddied backfields here, Denver, Washington, Minnesota even, and Carolina, is there one guy
5:25that you sort of say, okay, this is the guy in this backfield, Carolina, Washington, Denver, one of those guys that you
5:30just say, okay, I'm going to start him or I'm going to just try to avoid it because it's week one?
5:35You want to avoid it as much as you can.
5:38And the nice thing about it is it is week one.
5:41There haven't been a lot of injuries at the running back position.
5:44I have now jinxed injuries at the running back position by saying that.
5:47But for now, everybody's healthy. The running backs that you drafted to be starters are the ones you'll feel good about.
5:52All right, let's start to look at some of our starts and sits because this is what a lot of people are
5:58here for, to find out who we like, who we're the most confident in, who are the sleepers that we're looking for as well.
6:04And if you're new to the show, every time you see us here on Thursdays, we're going to look at the rankings,
6:09but we're going to give you some starts and sits at every position and the sleeper that we like to target as well.
6:15So let's start with the starts here for running back.
6:17And we saw a guy on this list in Rico Dowdle.
6:20So he's, I'm not confident. Love the matchup. Don't know if it's going to be a Jalen Warren week, a Rico Dowdle
6:26week, or maybe both because we saw that last year a lot with the Steelers guys when Gainwell and Warren were doing well.
6:31Why Dowdle? And do you like him better than Warren?
6:34I do like him better than Warren. These guys are both borderline starts for me also.
6:38Dave's start I like a little bit more, but I had turned my list in last.
6:42So I'm taking Rico Dowdle. You want to take Marshall?
6:44No, no, no. I got it. I think the game script for the Steelers should be one where they're playing from ahead in the second half.
6:51Most of the reports we got from training camp is that Rico Dowdle was ahead for the 1A role.
6:55And I think he's going to be better in games where they're playing ahead.
6:59Jalen Warren's probably going to be better in games than they're playing from behind.
7:02I don't think this Atlanta front is very good at all.
7:05Mike McCarthy has a history with Dowdle and Dowdle having some success under him as a coach.
7:09Wouldn't be surprised if he has 15 carries, two receptions, and scores a touchdown, finishes right around RB20.
7:14I'll give you one other thing that I like Dowdle ahead of Warren over, and that's how they've performed at the goal
7:19line each of the last two years. The inside-the-five success rate, Dowdle blows away Warren in that regard.
7:24Warren has never been good inside the five. So as far as rushing goes, receiving, they're actually pretty comparable.
7:29I'd be nervous about them rotating drives like we talked about Chicago doing.
7:32So Warren might get the first drive, Dowdle gets the second, but I bet when they get near the goal line, we'll
7:37see Rico Dowdle and they're not Jalen Warren. And it's funny you say that because I really think it comes down to
7:43who falls into the end zone because the receptions could be the same, the carries could be the same.
7:48It's a matter of does one get that touchdown opportunity or just get the breakaway run to score.
7:52So I think for me they're better off as flexes, but I understand if you're going to start them, Rico Dowdle will be the one to start.
7:59I'm going to take a chance on Basial Tootin.
8:01It's not a great matchup. The Browns' run defense was really good last year, and we just don't know how this is all going to unfold.
8:08Another backfield that seems to be questionable with Chris Rodriguez.
8:10But there are two things what I like about Basial Tootin this week.
8:13One, LaQuinn Allen probably not going to play, so we get some potential pass-catching opportunities here because Allen's going to play on obvious passing downs.
8:20The other thing is they're more than a touchdown favorite, and so they should be able to run the ball here and have some success.
8:26I think Chris Rodriguez is worth using as a flex if you're stuck.
8:29You don't really love some of the receiving options or maybe how you draft it.
8:33So it's not slam dunk, start Basial Tootin, but game script should be in his favor, and I think this is an
8:38opportunity for the Jaguars to see what they have and hopefully play him enough that we can start him enough moving forward for the rest of the season.
8:45All right, you guys like Marshawn Lloyd. I do not like Marshawn Lloyd as a start, so I'm going to give you
8:51the opportunity that we just transition the sits here because Marshawn Lloyd is a guy that I would like to avoid this
8:56week, so why do you like him? I don't love him.
8:59I think we're actually like I'm 24th and you're 25th, so it's that border of number two running back versus flex, so
9:04it seems like it's a huge border, but really it's one spot.
9:07He's a low-end RB2 for me. I think he's going to be the lead running back for the Packers in this game.
9:13You don't have to worry about him splitting carries with Caleb Johnson.
9:16I don't think that's going to happen. Vikings defense lost two of their three starting defensive linemen from last year.
9:21I'm a little bit concerned about how they'll perform, even though the Packers' offensive line, not great, but it's a run-heavy offense,
9:26and it always has been, and I think as long as Marshawn Lloyd doesn't embarrass himself out there, he will lead the way in carries.
9:33I think he'll have a good rushing average. We know he can catch the ball a little bit.
9:37Not loving him, but I think he's going to finish as a top 24 running back.
9:41And you obviously are very much more in. The thing that I'm concerned about is what we saw last night.
9:46We know who the most talented running back is for the Packers.
9:49The Seahawks know who their most talented running back is as well.
9:52They do now. And we don't get enough work.
9:54And so if they're behind, surprisingly enough, I know they're on the road, but they're still underdogs here.
9:59If this defense for the Packers doesn't hold up, because no Michael Parsons, we saw what that was like at the end
10:04of the season last year, and the Vikings are playing with the lead, I don't know if we see enough of Marshawn
10:10Lloyd because I don't think we're going to use Chris Brooks on passing down situations.
10:14And so if they do that, then we don't get those high-level touches that we need if they're not getting those touching opportunities.
10:19And the only thing that I'll push back, because I think everything you said was right, is yes, it has been a run-heavy offense.
10:25That's been when they've had a running back that they trust.
10:28We're going to find out if they have a running back that they trust.
10:32I don't think they have a choice. Well, they have a quarterback that they trust.
10:35So do they go with more of a pass-friendly approach, which is what they were in 2023 when they did not have a running game that they trusted?
10:42So we're going to see how this all works out for Marshawn Lloyd.
10:46So again, if you have him and he's the guy that you drafted or handcuffed with Josh Jacobs, you play him.
10:51If not, maybe something you want to avoid. All right, so Heath, the sit running back for you is Jeremiah Love.
10:56A lot of people don't know what to do with the guy that they drafted in the third round.
11:01We don't know what's going to happen with Jeremiah Love.
11:03No, but I don't think that there's as much upside in this matchup as there is downside.
11:08Listen, it sounds like he's healthy enough to play.
11:10We've seen a lot of running backs come back from a high ankle sprain, and they're healthy enough to play, and they're
11:15not as effective as they were before the injury the first couple of weeks back.
11:19Tyler Algier, listed as the starter on the death chart, probably doesn't matter that much for the whole season.
11:24Might matter for the opening series. Definitely, I think, matters inside the five-yard line.
11:27And the Cardinals are nine and a half point, the biggest underdogs of the week against the Chargers with an implied total of 18.
11:33So I'm not sure they get inside the five-yard line.
11:36I'm pretty sure if they do, Tyler Algier is going to be the running back out there.
11:40I don't want a running back in a split that is this much of an underdog in a game where they're expected to be this low score.
11:47Just real quick, if he was healthy, would he be higher for you?
11:50Oh, for sure. For me, it's the health. That's a big part of it.
11:53I also think I would have expected week one we're going to see more Tyler Algier, kind of like what we saw
11:59last night, than we are the rest of the year.
12:01Make the rookie prove it. He'll prove it as soon as he's healthy.
12:05I'm not sure if he'll prove it this week.
12:07And I've got FOMO. I don't want to miss out on a big game from Jeremiah Love, and I think he's capable
12:12of having a big game even if the Chargers run away with this one.
12:16I think he's a good pass catcher out of the backfield.
12:19Could easily see him getting some design screens and quick throws from Jacoby Brissett.
12:22We know that Brissett likes to check it out.
12:24And when they're inside the five, hey, that might be Tyler Algier on the field.
12:28That's going to be when Trey McBride starts getting targets, too, against the Chargers.
12:32So it doesn't necessarily help the case for Love.
12:34But I drafted him. I'm excited about him. I want to put him into my lineup.
12:38There are a lot of running backs that I've got ranked behind him that probably will be better than him.
12:43But I want to take the chance on the upside with Jeremiah Love in his first game.
12:47I just hope the Cardinals learn their lesson from the first preseason game that if they are losing like they're probably going
12:53to lose, do not run him out there in meaningless playing time because you need him for the rest of the season,
12:58and we need him for the rest of the season.
13:01All right, so, Dave, you're going to sit Tony Pollard, who has a very favorable matchup, at least one of the more
13:06favorable ones that he may have all season. If we're basing it on the Jets' defense last year, then yeah.
13:11But I kind of like some of the additions that the Jets' defense made, especially since toward the end of last year,
13:17they were giving up gobs of points to running backs because they didn't have Quinn and Williams on their defensive line.
13:22We saw this offense in the preseason. There is no reason to be optimistic about Tennessee and how many points they're going to be able to put up.
13:29I think he's going to split reps with Tyje Spears.
13:31I think this is going to be a duo backfield.
13:34That won't be great, and I'm not sure he's going to be on the field if there's a situation where Tennessee's actually
13:39behind in this game and the Jets build a lead.
13:42He's more of a flex for me this week, and I don't feel great starting him.
13:46I'm just hopeful that we see the guy that ended the season for the Titans.
13:49Five straight games, averaging 100 yards per game, two touchdowns over that span.
13:53He finally started to click with what was working there in Tennessee.
13:56Cam Ward looked better. Yes, the preseason was miserable.
13:58Right, and they changed offenses. This is the type of game script.
14:01They're not going to have many favorable ones. This is one of those games where I think Tony Pollard has a little
14:06bit higher standing than he probably should. All right, let's talk about some sleepers for us this week, and these are running
14:12backs that you may not be wanting to start but could have some opportunities that help them.
14:16One for you is Ja'Cory Crosby. I'm surprised by this one because this could be another ugly game for the commanders taking on the Eagles.
14:22It could be. Oddly, they're not near as big of underdogs as the Cardinals are against the Chargers.
14:27And, again, it's a sleeper. I'm not saying he is a start, but I do think when you look at what he
14:32did last year, I think it's been glossed over.
14:35Like, 4.6 yards per carry on that team is very good.
14:37He led all running backs in success rate as a rusher, and they have spent a lot of time talking this offseason
14:43how they'd really like to use him more as a pass catcher.
14:46I think the key for Krosky Merritt is we don't want teams to just know we're not passing when you're on the field.
14:52So I think he's going to get a chance to do that early in the season.
14:56He might fail, and that might open the door for Rashad White, but I think we will see him with somewhere in
15:01the 12 to 15 rush attempt range, and then he's going to see two or three targets as well.
15:06He is a very talented rusher, and he's had a couple of pretty big games last year and scored a touchdown against
15:11the Eagles in one of his two games against them.
15:14Jordan Mason is a guy for you, Dave, that you think has an opportunity here against Packers.
15:18We know that the Vikings changed their run scheme, and it favors Jordan Mason.
15:22It's something they did a lot of in San Francisco.
15:24It's outside zone. He's certainly capable of doing well against the Packers, and this is a Packers defense.
15:29On paper, they look rough. I don't know. Obviously, not having Michael Parsons, that's a big deal when they throw the ball,
15:34but even when they run the ball, I've got questions about the exterior part of that defense, and so if he's going
15:40to run outside toward the edges, that should open up some space for him.
15:43I think he's going to be the lead back for the Vikings as well.
15:46Scott Turner was on a show that we did this week on YouTube.
15:50It's called Reality vs. Fancy. Why don't you watch it when you get a minute?
15:53And he believes that the Vikings are going to run quite a bit in this game, so I'll buy into that a
15:59little bit and say that Jordan Mason is going to be a flex play.
16:02Had 146 combined rushing yards in two games against them last year, so hopefully he gets those opportunities.
16:07Excuse me, 136 combined yards. Hopefully he does that.
16:09I like it better when you said 100. Well, maybe he does that in one game as opposed to doing it in two.
16:15For me, Kenneth Gainwell is somebody that I'm going to play in a lot of leagues.
16:19I'm excited about his opportunity. As Heath alluded to, Sean Tucker may not play, so it's one less running back in that
16:24backfield, but this run defense is going to be tough for the Bengals.
16:28I think based on the projected score, Bucky Irving is still worth using as a number two running back, but if there
16:33are chasing points, Gainwell will be on the field, and I think what we saw from him in Pittsburgh last year carries
16:39over in this offense run by Zach Robinson, who got some great production last year out of Bijan Robinson.
16:43Different type of player, but 100 targets to his running back, so I think they'll use him in the passing game.
16:49Baker Mayfield's got a great history going into Cincinnati, so this game's going to be a track meet, and if the Bengals
16:54are playing with the lead, Kenneth Gainwell's going to catch a lot of passes, so in PPR could be a good start and definitely a flex.
17:01All right, we're going to take a break. When we come back, we're going to get into our wide receiver rankings.
17:06We'll talk about some of the players we like, some of the ones we want to avoid, and again, sleepers you can trust for week number one.
17:13Welcome back to Fantasy Football Today. We're talking about wide receivers for week number one.
17:16We're going to show you our rankings, the consensus rankings that we have for this upcoming scoring period, and talk about some
17:22guys that we want to start, some guys we want to sit, and some sleepers that we think can have some production.
17:27Here is the list, one through 12. So here we go.
17:30Jackson Smith and the Jigba got us off to a good start.
17:33Not so much for A.J. Brown. Unfortunately, dealing with the ankle injury, we'll find out some more about him.
17:38He's not on the list, one through 12. But some of the guys that are here, so Heath, Justin Jefferson, does he
17:43get us off to a good start after last year's disappointing finish?
17:46I think he gets us off to a better start that is maybe still slightly disappointing.
17:50Dave mentioned the possibility of the Vikings running a lot.
17:53One guy who is going to run a lot is Kyler Murray, and I fear that will keep the target volume just
17:58a little too low for Jefferson to be truly elite, but he'll be good.
18:02Dave, any concern with Drake London with Tua Tungavailoa under center?
18:04Definitely, because we know that Drake London is certainly a target a little bit further downfield than somebody like Kyle Pitts, certainly more than Bijan Robinson.
18:11And what do we know about Tua Tungavailoa? He does not like to challenge down the field.
18:15There's going to be a lot of pressure put on him by the Steelers' pass rush in this game, so he's going
18:21to want to get the ball out quick. Still should get plenty of targets, a lot of catches.
18:25I just don't know how much he'll do with them.
18:2813 through 24, you'll get a lot of the number two wide receivers that we still like, but have some more questions about.
18:33And as we see the list here, you've got some guys that are part of new offenses, specifically Jalen Waddell going to Kansas City.
18:39Dave is going to be a good game for him as he takes on a revamped Chiefs defense.
18:44I don't hate the matchup, other than the fact that I expect it to be a low-scoring game.
18:48So you're going to need Waddell to get seven-plus targets.
18:51He does have a decent track record of coming through for around 13 PPR points per game when he gets seven-plus targets in the game.
18:57That was in Miami, now he's in Denver. Bo Nix, QB upgrade for him.
19:01I think he's appropriately ranked as a number two wide receiver and toward the back end of that group.
19:05Dave, excuse me, Heath, we see Malik Neighbors on the list.
19:08Don't know exactly how much he's going to play.
19:10He's not on the injury report. Jim Harbaugh was kind of, excuse me, John Harbaugh was kind of a little wishy-washy about
19:16how much he's going to be out there. I am just kind of, and this could end up being wrong, like I
19:21don't have any information, but I'm just kind of assuming this is gamesmanship because it doesn't make any sense to me that
19:27Malik Neighbors would not be on the injury report, that Darius Slayton would be cut from the team, and that they would
19:32have legitimate concerns about whether Malik Neighbors could play or not.
19:35He's not the elite number one wide receiver or he would normally be.
19:38We've got to see that first, but I'm starting him everywhere I have him.
19:42Yeah, hopefully it's a shootout between the Giants and the Cowboys, and we'll get a lot of great beat reporters there.
19:47Hopefully they give us some information about how much Malik Neighbors will play.
19:50You can see the next list of wide receivers, and we'll sort of tie in one quick situation, which is the Bears.
19:56We don't know what Romo Dunze's status is, so right now he's ranked.
19:59We'll see if he gets through the rest of the week with practice at all, dealing with a calf injury now that
20:05we know what the injury is, and if he's out, that's going to make Luthor Burden that much better.
20:09You might have to find a replacement option for Romo Dunze if you're planning to start him in three receiver leagues.
20:15All right, let's get into the starts and sits of guys that we're talking about.
20:18One guy is on this list for you, Dave, and that's Christian Watson.
20:21What do we think this is going to be?
20:24Because you did mention run-heavy offense for the Packers, but we know that there's going to be hopefully concentrated targets for Watson, for Reed, and for Matthew Golden.
20:31It's not an easy matchup, though, against Minnesota. It's not, and you look at the Vikings and what they did to wide receivers last year.
20:37It was really tough, and Minnesota played Green Bay pretty heavy zone in two games last year.
20:41That's never a good thing for a type of receiver like Christian Watson, but I think the targets are going to be there.
20:47You talked about it, concentrated targets, fewer wide receivers to get looks from Jordan Love, and I think Christian Watson will be at the top of this list.
20:54I think he's a high-end flex. I moved him out of my top 24, but he's got that big play upside.
20:59The game's got a team total at 46.5, or the over-under, I should say, at 46.5.
21:03That encourages me that maybe Watson can come through for at least a solid game, and I like him as a high upside flex.
21:09I'm really going to have to see this concentrated target share to believe it.
21:13We've got four straight years now where nobody in this offense has had more than 100 targets, no matter what position they
21:18play, and you guys mentioned the three wide receivers.
21:20We're hoping the targets are concentrated. Tucker Craft's healthy.
21:23Tucker Craft might be the guy who gets the most targets in this offense, so I kind of think everybody gets six
21:28or seven targets, and Watson's the perfect boom-bust wide receiver.
21:31Yep. If he scores, he'll be great. If not, we'll see.
21:339.9 is his best game against Minnesota in the history of these two teams playing against each other.
21:38There's only been about five games for Watson facing the Vikings because of injuries, but has yet to score and has yet to get double digits in PPR.
21:45He, DK Metcalf, I don't know how many times we're going to say stardom, but this is one of those weeks.
21:50This is one of those weeks. A good matchup against the Falcons.
21:53We mentioned it earlier. They have no pass rush.
21:55One of the things that Aaron Rodgers and DK Metcalf have struggled with a little bit is that Rodgers doesn't really want
22:01to hold the ball on long enough for DK Metcalf to get open downfield.
22:04Shouldn't be a problem. He should be perfectly comfortable holding the ball against this Falcons pass rush.
22:09If you just heard most recently, Rodgers talking about it, he was pretty clear.
22:12DK Metcalf is his number one wide receiver. Doesn't sound comfortable with Michael Pittman yet.
22:16We know he's not comfortable with Roman Wilson. I wouldn't be surprised if we get eight targets from DK Metcalf, and I think he scores a touchdown.
22:23This could be the one game, and then maybe you try and trade him.
22:26You know what's a good move? Good move is when you get a player like this, I know you're more higher on
22:31him than I think Dave and I are, but when you get a player like this that you drafted that you don't
22:37love or may have drafted that you don't love, trade him for AJ Brown.
22:40You know, give the fantasy manager. You're going to need to get something with him.
22:44Well, I mean, if Brown's out for a month, like that's not something that people can overlook, just getting a productive player
22:50coming off a game that has name recognition. Those are always the easiest players to trade if somebody's not paying attention.
22:55All right, for me, I'm going to take Parker Washington and just hope that what we saw at the end of last
23:00season and heard and saw all preseason carries over to week one.
23:03It's not an easy matchup. Brown's secondary is very good.
23:06That being said, pass rush is not going to be the same.
23:09Trevor Lawrence was amazing at home last year. He's coming off a strong finish for him as well, but the last four
23:14games that we saw for Parker Washington, he averaged 10 targets per game.
23:18I think we'll see how this all works. At least we'll hopefully get an idea with Travis Hunter, with Jacoby Myers, with obviously Brian Thomas.
23:24I know that's not the order that we expect, but if Hunter plays, that sort of changes things a lot for this receiving core.
23:30Still think Parker Washington's not coming off the field.
23:32I would start him and start him with confidence.
23:34All right, let's go to the guys that were trying to sit for this week.
23:38Dave, you've got a big name and that's Emeka Abuka.
23:41Why are we sitting him this week? And I loved him so much, Jamie.
23:44And then this toe injury came along and now I just don't know what to expect.
23:48And I don't think Tampa has to rush him back into a big target role, especially with Chris Godwin at full health.
23:54They like what they have in rookie Ted Hurst.
23:56Adam Azer, our podcast host, made an interesting case for Kate Otten to be a short area target.
24:00And I know this is supposed to be a high scoring game.
24:03I have no idea how effective Abuka will be coming off of this toe injury.
24:07And he'll see a lot of DJ Turner in coverage.
24:10That's man coverage. Bengals play a lot of that.
24:12That's something that Baker Mayfield specifically struggled with, his cover one types of defensive coverage.
24:16And if Abuka is lined up against DJ Turner, I'm worried about just how productive he'll be.
24:20And I think Baker will look elsewhere to move the football.
24:23So to me, he's more of a middle of the pack flex and not even like a borderline top 40 wide receiver.
24:28I don't want to minimize turf toe because it can keep guys out and it can be recurring and bother them making leave games.
24:34But I just kind of don't really think that's something, if he's playing, that's going to matter in terms of his target share.
24:40And the way that Abuka won with those big plays, he doesn't necessarily need a huge volume of targets.
24:45I think this is the clear number one wide receiver on this team.
24:48He's been healthy enough to practice a little bit.
24:50If we get to Friday and there's like real concern about how much is he going to play, I will drop him down a little bit.
24:56But he's a top 16 guy if there's no injury concern.
24:59You remember how he played last year when he had a hamstring injury, right?
25:03That would worry me much more than the toe.
25:05Really? Well, the hamstring was weird because he popped up on the injury report and then everybody seemed to say he was going to be out.
25:11Then all of a sudden Friday he came out and then he played.
25:15And I think he was playing through that as opposed to this where he's coming out of the injury, hopefully getting healthy.
25:20Turf toe, again, could linger. We just don't know.
25:22But that situation I don't think is comparable because it was, oh no, he's hurt.
25:26I don't know. I know a lot of you drafted DJ Moore to start him.
25:30I don't love the matchup against Houston. Josh Allen has not had a great history against the Texans and DJ Moore is
25:35going to see one of the toughest secondaries in the NFL, whether he's going to line up against Stingley or Lasseter or see Petrie in the slot.
25:42This is going to be a tough matchup for him.
25:45He only faced them one time recently in the last two years, which was 2024 when he was with Chicago, was during his amazing stretch of performance.
25:51And he had 53 yards with six catches on 10 targets.
25:54So the targets were there, number three receiver as opposed to a must-star guy.
25:58Let's talk about some sleepers, Heath, and this ties into the Brock Bowers injury.
26:01You like Trey Tucker. Is he going to deliver or is it going to be just one of these type of guys
26:07that, hey, we love the opportunity, but it's Trey Tucker.
26:09He's not going to produce. I think he's right there in the Christian watching range of boom bust number three wide receivers.
26:15Now, all of his boom basically happened in one week last week, but he did regular last year, but he did regularly
26:20see five, six, seven targets per game in an offense that was completely dysfunctional.
26:24I think Kubiak's offense will be better. He just lost the guy that he was planning on throwing 25% to 30% of his targets to.
26:30Michael Mayer is not going to be a guy that takes all those targets.
26:33He'll take a chunk of them, but this will open up one or two more targets for Trey Tucker.
26:38And most importantly, this Dolphins secondary is bad. The whole defense is bad.
26:41Should be a good opportunity for Trey Tucker. One of those guys I'd like to say can make your day with just one play.
26:47He could score from anywhere on the field against this defense.
26:50Dave, you like Michael Wilson. You've been high on him this offseason.
26:53I think we're going to see the Cardinals have to throw a lot in this game.
26:57But what we saw last year was not a good Michael Wilson when everybody was healthy.
27:01You know, I think that it's a different situation now in Arizona.
27:04I almost feel like Wilson and Harrison are on equal footing, whereas the previous coaching staff leaned into Marvin Harrison a little
27:09bit more until Michael Wilson showed what he was capable of doing.
27:12High volume wide receivers did well against the Chargers last year.
27:15They have the same type of defense this year.
27:17I figure the Cardinals are going to have to throw a lot in this game.
27:21And they look better schemed, the receivers did, in Arizona in the preseason than they did last year.
27:26So I'm kind of encouraged with both wide receivers.
27:28And I do have Marvin Harrison right now because I think he's got a better chance to score.
27:32But I think both these guys could see north of seven targets in this game.
27:36That makes me like Wilson as a flex. I'm hopeful that it's just everybody eats.
27:40You know, so again, last year it was Harrison healthy.
27:42Wilson sucked. Wilson by himself. He was awesome. So let's see how these guys can both coexist and be productive for fantasy managers.
27:48We know who's not going to coexist with the Saints, and that's Jordan Tyson because he's on IR dealing with a hamstring injury.
27:54That opens the door for Devon Vele to be the number two receiver, probably number three in terms of targets for the Saints.
28:00But last year he averaged 6.5 targets per game in his last four outings before dealing with a shoulder injury that knocked
28:05him out for the rest of the season. So he was building towards something.
28:09Clearly the Saints wanted to upgrade there, and they did with Tyson.
28:12But he's not going to play right now. And this game should be a back-and-forth track meet between the Lions and the Saints.
28:17And the Lions are missing two of their safeties.
28:20So I think Devon Vele, if you are looking for a desperation play, can come through.
28:24Did average 11.9 PPR points in those four games where he was getting targeted.
28:27Do you like the idea of stashing him? Picking up Vele, seeing what he does, and putting him on your bench?
28:32Sure. You obviously don't want to go into week one saying, I have to start Devon Vele.
28:37But we know how injuries go and some concerns about some flex plays.
28:40So like Trey Tucker, for example, if you were confused or concerned about your flex, quarterback's great option for this week.
28:45Devon Vele, same type of player that, if you're in a deeper league, could deliver based on what his matchup is and what the opportunity is.
28:52All right, we're going to take a break. We come back, we're going to talk about some quarterbacks, tell you the guys
28:57we like, the guys to avoid, the guys that could have some surprise performances.
29:01That's next on FFT. Time to talk quarterbacks here on Fantasy Football today.
29:04We're going to show you the rankings, the players that we like, the guys you might want to avoid, and some potential
29:09sleepers, and some guys you might be starting over some big-name players.
29:12Specifically, it's time to bench Patrick Mahomes. I know we weren't drafting him completely as a starter, but this is not a
29:18good matchup for him taking on the Broncos. All right, here we go, 1 through 12.
29:22Not exactly the way that we drafted these guys, but Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson were two of the top quarterbacks.
29:27Heath, I know you love Justin Herbert. We're going to talk about why he's a start for you.
29:31And then we get to number four, and that's Josh Allen, Dave, who has a terrible history against the Texans.
29:36Would you consider benching him in week one? I drafted Josh Allen as the first quarterback off the board in my draft.
29:42There's no way I'm sitting him. I know it's a tough matchup.
29:45I will take the lumps. I would not use him in DFS, but I would absolutely start him in fantasy.
29:50Heath, we know Jaden Daniels has as much potential as any quarterback, as much upside as anybody at the position fantasy-wise.
29:55Is this going to be a good week for him taking on that Eagles defense?
29:59I think he's a must-start in four-point-per-pass touchdown leagues.
30:01He's a little bit more questionable in six-point-per-pass touchdown leagues.
30:03It's a difficult matchup. The offensive line is in trouble.
30:06But generally speaking, when Jaden Daniels gets in trouble, he just scrambles and goes, finds a couple fantasy points on the ground.
30:11So I think he'll be okay. That would be nice to see him perform at that level.
30:16And as you heard me say, Patrick Mahomes, not a guy that we are considering starting, as you'll see, on the list of backup quarterbacks.
30:22But there are some... Not even top 20. ...potential promising guys on this list that could still do well.
30:27Jackson Dart was great against the Cowboys last year.
30:29Kyler Murray has a big opportunity in front of him against a depleted Packers defense that won't have Micah Parsons.
30:34Baker Mayfield, great history, as I said earlier, taking on the Bengals and a great matchup as well.
30:38Jordan Love could be a good fantasy quarterback this season.
30:41Bo Nix as well. But we do not like these guys as number one quarterbacks.
30:45These are guys that we would start in superflex and two quarterback leagues.
30:48All right, you saw Justin Herbert. Number three, I believe it's the number one quarterback for Sportsline, but number two for you in your rankings this week, right?
30:55So how good is Herbert going to be against Cardinals?
30:57He should be able to do whatever he wants.
31:00How many points do the Chargers want to score against this defense?
31:03They can name their number. They can name who scores the touchdowns.
31:06I would start just about all of your Chargers.
31:08Listen, I think the only concern you might have is that it's too easy on offense and Amari and Hampton scores three touchdowns.
31:14But Herbert has been a guy throughout his career that when everything around him is right, he does really well.
31:19When things start to get a little wonky around him, sometimes he's struggled to produce fantasy points.
31:23Everything around him is going to be right in week one against the Cardinals.
31:26I worry about what he's saying, that this could be a game where the Chargers can just run their way to victory.
31:32Let's not forget who their new offensive coordinator is.
31:34So, of course, I like Justin Herbert, but I don't like him as much as you guys do.
31:38I'm a little nervous about him hitting that smash ceiling.
31:41Yeah, it just feels like you have Justin Herbert, you're starting him.
31:44No matter where you have him or see him ranked, this is a great week to be having Justin Herbert on your side.
31:50And the same thing could go for Trevor Lawrence, although this Browns defense, for the most part, had been very good against quarterbacks last year.
31:56But as we know, they're missing a big piece without Miles Garrett.
31:59Miles Garrett traded away, and they're changing their scheme.
32:01So I don't know if they're going to be quite as aggressive with the blitz and the man-to-man coverage as they were under Jim Schwartz.
32:07And I think that favors Trevor Lawrence. This is another quarterback that people drafted, and they should feel good about starting.
32:13Yeah, and the same thing with Jared Goff. You know, we were talking about him as a great late-round option, and here
32:18we go, week one, great matchup against the Saints.
32:20They allowed nine quarterbacks to throw multiple touchdowns against them last year.
32:23Four of those guys went for at least three total touchdowns.
32:26And this game feels like it's going to be back and forth because the Lions defense not as good without Kirby Joseph
32:32and Brian Branch back there at safety. Goff at home, always good.
32:35Last year, 21.2 fantasy points in four of his last five games in Detroit.
32:3823.9 points per game over that span. But traditionally, he's been great when he's been at home.
32:42He's the start of the week. I'm expecting him to come out and have a big game against the Saints.
32:47Let's talk about some guys that we want to sit.
32:50And, Heath, you've been the Brock Purdy guy all offseason.
32:52Now he's taking on the Rams, and you're saying sit him.
32:55You know, I might just tell you to sit every quarterback against the Rams, although Jalen Hurts in week four and Josh Allen in week five, maybe not.
33:02But this defense, even without Aaron Donald, the additions they have made, I'm not sure we've – if they stay healthy, I'm
33:08not sure we've ever seen a defense this talented.
33:10I don't want to start any 49ers except for Christian McEffrey.
33:13Yeah, I mean, that kind of makes some sense, although we could see some hopefully good performances from everybody else.
33:18But, yeah, Brock Purdy might be a quarterback you might want to get away from.
33:21Not fun if you have him in some guillotine league, so we'll see how that goes for me as we get into it.
33:27A little troubling. You want to feel better about it?
33:30Mack Jones had over 22 fantasy points against the Rams last year.
33:33Now the Rams didn't have – Different Rams defense, yeah.
33:35Obviously, it's a much better pass rush now. Or their top two corners.
33:38Right, that's true. That's right. They improved their corners as well.
33:41Where else have they improved that we're forgetting about here?
33:44I could see Purdy having an okay game. I like a lot of quarterbacks this week, so I had a hard time coming up with a sit.
33:50I'm going with Jackson Dart, and I'm a little bit nervous about it just because we know what Dart's upside is.
33:55We saw it when he went up against the Cowboys last year.
33:58But this year, it's a new coaching staff. They want to run the football.
34:02Jackson Dart isn't being asked to run as much.
34:04We'll see if he actually holds up. And I know he's got Malik Nabors to throw doing that, something that I like a lot.
34:10I'm just a little bit nervous about the upside.
34:12And when I'm starting a quarterback, especially in week one, I want to start the guy that has a lot of upside.
34:18Dart has some of it, but his downside is also pretty serious.
34:21I just wonder if this is the, hey, we're going to be conservative with Jackson Dart game, or we're going to let
34:26Jackson Dart be Jackson Dart, at least for one game.
34:29Set the tone for a good start for Harbaugh.
34:31Malik Nabors is out there. He got over 20 fantasy points against them last year.
34:35It's a totally different defense. But if they let Dart be Dart, does that mean he's going to hurt himself along the way?
34:41If he scores 25 fantasy points before he does.
34:43I would just say, with all these concerns about the approach, it's Matt Nagy.
34:46We should have no concerns at all. Very, very true.
34:49For me, I'm going to sit, speaking of Matt Nagy, Patrick Mahomes, it's just hard to say that he's going to be a great fantasy quarterback this season.
34:56And certainly taking on the Broncos with offensive line concerns.
34:58He was not, he has not been good against them.
35:01You go back to 2023 was, I'm sorry, since 2023.
35:03Since Sean Payton got there. Yeah, basically. Since Van Joseph has gotten there.
35:0719.3 fantasy points is his best performance against them.
35:09So just not a great history in this matchup.
35:11Tough situation right now. We're going to see, I think, the evolution of what this Chiefs offense looks like with maybe better running.
35:17And hopefully we get some good performances from Mahomes.
35:19I just don't know if we get those ceiling performances.
35:22And when they're playing a tough defense, Mahomes is somebody that you might want to sit.
35:26All right, let's talk about some sleepers that we like at the position here.
35:29And I think these are going to be some fun quarterbacks that we talk about.
35:33Heath, you like Kyler Murray taking on the Packers.
35:35Yeah, we always like quarterbacks that run the football.
35:37He's going to run it seven or eight times.
35:40Probably pick up five points on the ground, even if he doesn't score a touchdown.
35:43And if he does, your day is made. Plus, he has Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison against a Packers defense that is not at full strength.
35:50And probably not as good as it was last year.
35:52Speaking of running quarterbacks, you got one of your own with Malik Willis.
35:56And one of your favorites because you beat me in a fantasy final last year with him.
36:00I haven't forgotten about that. Hopefully I play you again in the finals this year.
36:03But Malik Willis, we know what he's capable of doing with his legs.
36:07Rushing quarterback. And I think he's a little underrated as a thrower, too.
36:10Taking on the Raiders. I don't know what to make of this Raiders defense.
36:13They've added a lot of new pieces. Max Crosby is still there.
36:16I expect Max Crosby to be great. But I also expect the Dolphins to be trailing in the game.
36:21And I think it's just going to lend itself to Malik Willis going out there, doing what he does, putting the ball
36:27in the air, and then running it when he's not handing off to Devon H.N.
36:30Or putting the ball in the air. He's going to run it a lot.
36:34I think he's got a lot of crazy upside in this game.
36:37Might be the only game the Dolphins win. So we'll see how this Raiders defense looks.
36:41And hopefully Malik Willis gets you off to a good start if you are starting him.
36:45The same goes for Baker Mayfield. Although they'll win a few more games than the Dolphins.
36:49But he's got an opportunity here to start off like we saw last year where he was at 22.9 fantasy points per
36:54game in five of his first six in 2025.
36:57And we may not love Abuka. We may not love everybody for the Bucs.
37:00But they're healthy. And so just having all his weapons there, having a healthy offensive line, and having a game where it might be back and forth.
37:07This is the highest projected total of the week.
37:09We love those type of situations. So Baker Mayfield has a chance to help fantasy managers if you do need a quarterback for week number one.
37:16All right. We're going to take a break. When we come back, we're going to talk about Brock Bowers, the situation that's
37:21going on with the tight end position and missing the guy that we thought was going to be the number one tight end.
37:27We'll give you some replacement options, talk about some rankings, some starts and sits next on FFT.
37:31Welcome back to Fantasy Football Today. So when we did our tight end rankings, we were just expecting Brock Bowers was going
37:37to be first or second, somewhere near the top.
37:39And then we got the news on Wednesday that Bowers is going to miss at least two games with a meniscus injury.
37:44We'll find out if it's going to be longer than that.
37:47But we know he's not going to play in week one.
37:50So you will not see Brock Bowers on the rankings as we show you the list one through 12.
37:55But you will see his replacement. Michael Mayer coming in at number 10 in our consensus rankings.
37:59We like Michael Mayer. So Heath, let's just get this out of the way.
38:02He's the starting tight end for you. Keep the rankings up there because I think it's worth showing where he compares.
38:08But how much faith do you have in Mayer as a starting tight end with Bowers not playing against the Dolphins?
38:13So I would actually start him ahead of Harold Fannin and Dallas Goddard on this list.
38:17He's my tight end eight right behind Isaiah Likely.
38:19I think he's better in full PPR than he is in non or half PPR because the touchdown odds aren't quite as high.
38:25When we saw him without Brock Bowers last year, it was about a 24% target share, which is an elite for a tight end.
38:31It was double digit PPR fantasy points per game for Michael Mayer.
38:34I think we could get that again. He's a good tight end one.
38:37It's just going to be interesting to see if they give him every opportunity that Bowers had.
38:41But again, he played three games without Bowers last year and he was very good in two of them.
38:46Great matchup. So it's worth trusting Mayer if he's still available.
38:49As we discussed this morning on our podcast, in almost 70% of leagues, you can still get Michael Mayer.
38:53So I'm sure on other sites as well. Could be a good flex option too if you need him.
38:58Dave, you got Jawan Johnson as a start. He's in our top 12 as well.
39:02What are we expecting for Johnson this week? I think he's going to be the number two target getter for New Orleans, at least to begin the season.
39:09We don't know when Jordan Tyson's going to come back, but I think he's the one that actually has good rapport with Tyler Shuck.
39:15We saw it last year. I'm not sure which Lions defender will cover him, but even if it's Jack Campbell, I think he can take down some targets.
39:22Last year, eight games with at least six targets for Jawan Johnson.
39:2510.3 or more PPR points in seven of the eight.
39:27I like that floor. I will start him ahead of Michael Mayer.
39:30Before we move on and show you the other list and talk about my start and a few sets, Tucker Craft, Heath, we don't know what to expect.
39:37What do we think is going to be the outcome in this game against Minnesota?
39:41I don't have any idea. I just know that he has so much upside.
39:45He is the highest non-running back in yards after catch per reception at 9.1 in the entire NFL.
39:49Three catches, and he could be worth tight end six.
39:52Yeah, hopefully he does look the part. And, you know, tough matchup.
39:55But again, you drafted Tucker Craft. Hopefully he will deliver as a number one and potential top six tight end.
40:00You could show the list of 13 through 24.
40:02I'll talk about the starting tight end for me who was on the other list, which is Isaiah Likely.
40:07So Malik Nabors is going to play. To what extent, we don't know.
40:10Obviously, we've heard a lot about the rapport between Jackson Dart and Isaiah Likely.
40:13He should be second on the team in targets.
40:16We'll see about Darnell Mooney and Malachi Fields and just how all those guys work together.
40:20But expecting them to be chasing points against the Cowboys, I think it's a good opportunity for Isaiah Likely to deliver on
40:25what we thought was going to be a top tight end.
40:28Not necessarily drafted that way, but excited to see Isaiah Likely in his Giants debut.
40:31All right, some of the sit tight ends for us.
40:34We've got George Kittle, Travis Kelsey, and Dalton Kincaid.
40:36Heath Kittle again tonight taking on this Rams defense.
40:38First off, this Rams defense. That's about all you need to say.
40:41Second off, I'm just a little bit worried. Like, it sounds like everything's gone fantastic with the Achilles recovery.
40:46But we did see Kittle in his first game back last year.
40:49Played 80% of the snaps as a blocker. He's awesome at that also.
40:52They threw the ball to him two times. I am not entirely sure we get the full George Kittle experience.
40:57And with Mike Evans now on this team, I don't know exactly what the full Kittle experience looks like in terms of targets.
41:03And to your point, Myles Garrett now on the pass rush for the Rams.
41:07Might the 49ers ask Kittle to block a little bit more as the tight end?
41:10He's always been good at that. That is a concern.
41:13You have Travis Kelsey as a sit. Why? He's a borderline starter.
41:16And maybe I'm just giving him a lot of respect because of who he is and not necessarily what he can do.
41:21I don't know if he's going to be able to get 13 targets like he did in his last big game against Denver.
41:27He might not even get half of that. I'm expecting a low-scoring game.
41:30I think Kenneth Walker is going to impact this entire passing offense for Kansas City.
41:34So I'm nervous to start Travis Kelsey. All the sleeper tight ends that we talked about earlier in this segment, I would start ahead of Kelsey.
41:41I'm a little nervous about Don Kincaid. I like the long-term outlook for him.
41:44I just think in this game against the Texans, they were top 10 in terms of fewest fantasy points allowed to tight ends.
41:50Josh Allen, bad history against this defense. I think it's going to be tough for Kincaid.
41:54So roster him. If you could avoid starting him this week, I would do so.
41:58I'd start Juwan Johnson over him, for example. Same thing with Michael Mayer.
42:01And it's interesting. You talked about your starter as Juwan Johnson.
42:04He's a guy who has a sleeper. You both have Greg Dolchett.
42:07So why Greg Dolchett for this week? He was second in yards per route run at the tight end position last year.
42:12There's been good camp reports about how he's working with Malik Willis.
42:15And they don't have a proven wide receiver on this roster.
42:18And it's the Raiders defense. Yeah, the Raiders defense with Quay Walker, Jeremy Chin.
42:21These are guys that struggled in coverage last year.
42:24And even at bare minimum, I'd like to carry him on my bench just to see what happens in this game.
42:29Should be fun. You know, hopefully we get something from the Dolphins passing attack that we can say, OK, this player has long-term appeal.
42:35Could be Dolchett. Could be Chris Bell. Could be Caleb Douglas.
42:38Could be Malik Washington. Could be anybody. So we'll see how this goes for the Dolphins.
42:42All right, we're going to take a break. When we come back, it's all your questions.
42:45Send them to us using the hashtag AskFFT. And we'll answer what you need to get your lineups right for week one.
42:51Wrapping these up here on Fantasy Football today with your questions.
42:54And Mark wants to know, which is the better tight end start?
42:57Mark Andrews or Isaiah Likely? Heath, who do you think?
42:59Likely. I would agree. I like the hype button thought from Mark too.
43:02Yes. Do it. We appreciate that. All right, next.
43:05Richard wants to know, needs three in PPR. Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson, Kevante Turpin, who's getting you get return yards, Makai Lemon or George Pickens?
43:11Dave, who are the three? I would avoid Turpin and Lemon.
43:14Avoid Turpin and Lemon. OK, so we'll see if the return yards come back to bite him.
43:18But I think you do start Evans, Wilson, and Pickens as well.
43:21All right, next question. Mayer or Kittle, Heath, who are you going with?
43:24I'm going with Michael Mayer. Yeah, I would as well.
43:27All right, next question. Dave, Eric wants to know, just lost Bowers.
43:30Would you go with Greg Dolcherts or Michael Mayer?
43:32Mayer is going to be the direct replacement for Bowers.
43:34Because you lost Bowers, that's the one you should pick up.
43:37Yep, I would agree with that as well. Next question.
43:40Richard also wants to know, got three. Oh, no, we already answered this one for Richard.
43:44So I guess we're just going to go with Evans, God.
43:46No, this time I'm going to go with Turpin, Lemon, and Pickens.
43:49Somebody up. He doesn't mean that. I don't mean that.
43:52Real quick, we didn't talk about the run game for tonight, Heath.
43:55Would you like Kyron Williams? Blake Corum, how's this all going to work?
43:58I think Kyron Williams is going to be a low-end RB2 in this game, and Blake Corum is a low-end flex.
44:03Yeah, just don't give up on Kyron if Corum has the better game, and don't get overexcited about Corum if he has
44:09the touchdown, and that's the thing that separates these guys.
44:11All right, good luck with your lineups for week number one.
44:14Make sure you check out our Fantasy Football Today podcast, wherever podcasts are found.
44:18We are seven days a week now. You can check out our mailbag on Saturday.
44:21You can check out our Sunday morning live stream on YouTube, where we're going to be answering a lot of your questions.
44:27We get your lineups right. We are getting them championship-worthy.
44:29We do it better than anybody else. The Fantasy Football Today podcast, wherever podcasts are found.
44:33For Heath Cummings, for Dave Richard, on Jamie Eisenberg, for our great production staff, thank you for watching Fantasy Football Today.
44:39Sunday, the NFL on CBS is back with an electrifying week one doubleheader.
44:42I'll see you on Sunday. The early slate features Josh Allen and the Bills, taking on C.J.
44:46Stroud and the Texans in Houston. I'll see you on Sunday.
44:49Then, it's a classic NFC North battle, as Jordan Love and the Packers visit the Vikings.
44:53That's a touchdown! It all kicks off at noon Eastern with the NFL Today, live in Minnesota.
44:57See you Sunday with the NFL on CBS and streaming on Paramount+.

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