Buy Low & Sell High Trade Targets Ahead of Week 2 + Players We’d Draft Higher in a Redraft (09/16 Fantasy Football Today)

A.J. Brown is discussed as a potential trade target for teams with strong bench depth; the source suggests trading a player like Jalen Coker for Brown if the owner knows Brown will be unavailable for six weeks but will be valuable by fantasy playoff time, making it a strategic acquisition for teams with depth.

In a 10-team league without a flex position that starts three receivers, the source advised keeping Alec Pierce over Isaiah Likely despite preferring Likely as a player, because Pierce's team has poor receiver depth and cannot bench him. This illustrates a roster construction constraint rather than a talent evaluation.

Received 56% of team targets (combined with Sam Laporta) in Week 1 under new coordinator Drew Petzing, indicating concentrated target share among top three receivers (St. Brown, Laporta, Williams) who accounted for 83% of all targets.

Williams, a rookie for Washington, had a 44% target share when on the field in week one and scored a red zone touchdown. He was one of the highest-graded receivers by PFF and had the highest average separation score of any receiver in week one according to Fantasy Points Data. He shredded in college, looked good in preseason, and when matched up against Cooper to Jean, made him look slow. The speaker considers him really underrated and one of his favorite stashes, though he didn't play much and may not have been a popular waiver wire add.

Breece Hall's Week 1 performance should inspire confidence in Devon Achane managers, suggesting Hall's production and role provide a positive comparable for Achane's outlook.

Bucky Irving was the biggest Week 1 impact for Year Up United's; he excelled in the passing game while Kenneth Gable was uninvolved, which is the most encouraging sign for his role; he overcame a very good Bengals run defense to post a solid game, suggesting he's back and worth drafting in the fourth round or higher.

Bucky Irving is listed among the top redraft targets for the show, indicating strong breakout potential and a player the hosts would draft higher in a redraft scenario.

Caleb Douglas was among the most added players heading into Week 2, ranking fourth in waiver wire pickups, suggesting emerging opportunity and league-wide recognition of potential.

Caleb Douglas was among the most added players in leagues following week one, ranking fourth behind Jaylen Vele, defense/special teams units, and Kalon Black.

Douglas, a rookie for Miami, impressed the speaker in week one with his downfield route-running and separation. He was open on almost every single play and was getting open downfield, not just on easy short targets. The speaker ranks him alongside Antonio Williams as one of the two most impressive rookie receivers from week one.

Caleb Williams exceeded expectations in Week 1; he was projected as a top-10 quarterback challenge to be top-five, and his performance validates that he could be a top-five guy, making him a redraft priority.

Caleb Williams is being discussed as a potential number one quarterback in fantasy for the full season; the source notes it's realistic given the offensive opportunities, though Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson also look strong. Ben Johnson's involvement and the scoring record context support the upside.

Christian McCaffrey dealt with cramps during Week 1, which may have contributed to his lower carry total, though it was not the sole reason for reduced usage.

The source had Christian Watson and Jalen Waddle ranked very close pre-draft and would probably not trade Watson for Waddle one-for-one, though acknowledges Waddle has upside potential.

Christian Watson is ranked behind Jalen Smith and Devante Smith in a three-player start/sit decision, with Year Up United's noting Watson is ranked behind Jalen Smith in their projections.

The source would trade Chuba Hubbard for Jalen Waddle 'in a heartbeat,' indicating Waddle is the preferred asset in a one-for-one swap despite Waddle's Week 1 struggles.

The source identifies Colston Loveland as part of the top-three tight end group alongside McBride and Bowers, suggesting he is positioned for elite-tier production. The context of the discussion around Isaiah Likely's potential to finish ahead of drafted tight ends implies Loveland is among the highest-ranked tight ends entering the season.

Colston Loveland receives a very low Worryometer rating (0-2 out of 100 scale), indicating minimal concern about his role or performance trajectory after Week 1.

Loveland has an extremely high average route depth and has not received a single screen pass in his entire career, limiting his access to easy completion-dependent points; the Bears remain a run-heavy team, but the offense is expected to score enough fantasy points that Loveland should be fine despite the volatility.

DJ Moore is used as an example of a round-four wide receiver that could be traded away for a round-three running back if the owner has strong bench depth at receiver like Jalen Coker or Matthew Golden, illustrating a trade strategy to upgrade at running back.

DJ Moore is preferred in multiple start/sit decisions, including over Jalen Coker and over Luther Burden against Minnesota, indicating strong Week 2 projections.

DeAndre Swift was taken in the third round by the source and is mentioned as a potential redraft candidate, though the source notes uncertainty about drafting him significantly higher. The hosts debated whether they would take Swift or Devon Achane in the current market, with split opinions.

DeAndre Swift could be added to the redraft-higher list; Year Up United's was already taking him in the third round, so the question of how much higher he would be taken is open.

Dalton Kincaid had three catches of 30+ yards in week one; only George Kittle (twice), Rob Gronkowski, and Dallas Goddart have matched this feat since 2010. Trey McBride has five such catches in his entire career. No tight end had more than five all season last year. This elite deep-ball usage suggests significant upside.

Dalton Kincaid posted a 68% route participation rate in Week 1, similar to Isaiah Likely's 67%. This is notably below the 75%+ threshold observed across the top-8 tight ends from last year, suggesting both players may have reduced offensive roles compared to historical elite tight end benchmarks.

Kincaid had 30 yards on three different catches in week one—the most ever for a tight end in a single game—and is being used as a primary read in 11 personnel (him, two tight ends, and key on Coleman). His downfield production and route-running ability in Joe Brady's creative offense suggest sustained high-volume usage and scoring potential.

Had 20 carries in Week 1 but only 60 rushing yards and no touchdowns; despite 3 catches, the empty stat line makes him a sell-high candidate. Year Up United's suggests maximizing his value by trading him to a receiver-needy team for a player like Jalen Waddle, Drake London, or George Pickens while his perceived value is at its highest, as he may have been a borderline starter or flex/bench player before the game.

In a redraft scenario comparing David Montgomery, Jaylen Scadaboo, and Jamison Williams, Scadaboo was preferred over Montgomery rest of season, though the margin was close.

Devon Achane's outlook is supported by Breece Hall's Week 1 performance, suggesting Hall's production and role provide a positive comparable for Achane's potential.

Devon Achane had a disappointing Week 1 with four catches for 30 yards and is flagged on the Worryometer. The source was not fond of Achane coming into the season and would still take him only with hope that he bounces back from his poor Week 1 performance.

Devon Achan downgraded from mid-round-two to late-round-two in redraft; speaker would now take Gentie ahead of him due to ankle injury concerns and disappointing Week 1 performance against the Raiders. Speaker also expresses concern about Achan's offensive line and team quality, noting the Dolphins' poor performance against a winnable matchup (Raiders) and questioning production against stronger opponents. Comparison to 2023 Breece Hall (30th-ranked offense, 13.9 PPG) illustrates the ceiling for a RB on a struggling offense; Hall had 87 targets and 76 catches for 9 TDs despite poor team performance, but Dolphins unlikely to provide similar target volume for Achan.

Debo Samuel is ranked last in a five-player start/sit decision in half-PPR format, behind DJ Moore, Cam Scadaboo, Malik Neighbors, and Judkins.

Operating in a backup role and handling passing-down duties for the Steelers after Cam Scadaboo received the bulk of carries (18) in Week 1.

Metcalf had the second-most air yards in week one but did not produce results commensurate with his usage. The speaker notes that he and Jameson Williams both had really good usage but horrible results, making it unclear whether this is a sustainable trend or a potential breakout if the results improve.

Drake London is a buy-low candidate; the source has not downgraded his rest-of-season outlook and notes there may be a window to acquire him while Michael Pennix remains uncleared, suggesting the Falcons' quarterback situation creates a temporary discount.

Mentioned as a buy-low target after struggling in Week 1. Year Up United's suggests trading high-volume running backs like David Montgomery or Cam Scadaboo to acquire London from receiver-needy teams.

Drake London is compared to Jamison Williams in a start/sit decision; the choice depends on the opposing quarterback situation, with London preferred if Tua is the starter.

Dylan Sampson, Cleveland running back, was placed on injured reserve heading into Week 2.

Emmitt Johnson added only 5% of rostered teams (from 44% to 49%), lower than expected despite being a notable waiver wire target; suggests more modest league-wide interest than anticipated.

Emmitt Johnson was only 5% added from 44% rostered, suggesting lower league-wide pickup activity than expected despite potential week one performance.

George Pickens is a buy-low candidate; the source has not downgraded his rest-of-season outlook, suggesting he remains a solid asset despite any Week 1 concerns.

Mentioned as a buy-low target after struggling in Week 1. Year Up United's suggests trading high-volume running backs like David Montgomery or Cam Scadaboo to acquire Pickens from receiver-needy teams.

Isaiah Likely is included in the redraft list, indicating the hosts view him as a player they would draft higher in a redraft given early-season performance or role emergence.

Isaiah Likely is on the redraft-higher list; he's one of six players Year Up United's would draft higher if drafting today after Week 1.

Despite a 67% route participation rate in Week 1 (below the 75%+ threshold of top-8 tight ends from last year), Likely has a strong historical track record: in nine career games with six or more targets, he averaged over 12 PPR points per game. The source projects he could finish with 8–9 touchdowns and average 4–5 catches for 60+ yards weekly, with Jackson Dart's strong Week 1 performance and an improving schedule supporting continued offensive involvement.

In Week 1, Isaiah Likely posted a 35% target-per-route-run rate and 67% route participation (snap participation in the high 40s). For context, the top-8 tight ends from last year all had route participation rates of at least 75% (except Harold Fannin at 71%), suggesting Likely's current role is below historical elite tight end benchmarks, though the source notes it's only one game.

Jaleel McLaughlin was signed to Cleveland's active roster following Dylan Sampson's IR placement, positioning him for potential third-down and passing game opportunities.

Jalen Coker is on the redraft-higher list; he's one of six players Year Up United's would draft higher if drafting today after Week 1.

Jalen Coker is highlighted as a player who can be leveraged in trades due to strong early performance; the source emphasizes that Coker and Matthew Golden are capable of being started most weeks and can function as at-worst WR3s. The source notes Coker averaged 14 PPR points per game in the final five games of last season including playoffs, suggesting sustained productivity. Coker is valuable enough to trade away only if acquiring a significantly better player, as his value is currently high.

Jalen Coker is preferred over Khalil Shakir for Week 2 starts, suggesting better value or upside at the position.

James Cook did not run a single route on third down in Week 1, even without Ty Johnson available, indicating limited third-down role and potential passing game involvement concerns.

Mentioned as a buy-low candidate coming off a disappointing Week 1 game. Year Up United's suggests acquiring him by trading Cam Scadaboo or packaging him with other assets as part of a trade strategy.

If James Cook receives more involvement, he could move into fourth place in the Bills receiving pecking order, displacing Khalil Shakir from that spot.

Jamison Williams is positioned as a potential breakout candidate heading into Week 2, matching the original draft-day expectations that managers had for him.

Buy-low candidate after Week 1 despite strong underlying metrics; recorded 4 catches for 45 yards on 9 targets with two costly drops that could have resulted in 60+ additional yards, plus a near-touchdown. Had 23.1% target per route run rate in Week 1, which ranks in his top tier—in his last 10 games above this threshold over two seasons, he averaged 17.6 PPR points per game. New offensive coordinator Drew Petzing's play-calling kept Williams heavily involved despite concerns about Sam Laporta's role, suggesting sustained target volume opportunity.

When asked whether to draft Jamison Williams, David Montgomery, or Jaylen Scadaboo first in a redraft, the preference was Jamison Williams (Jamo), indicating he would be drafted higher than his current ADP.

Jamison Williams had two significant drops in Week 1 that hurt Dan Goff's passing statistics and fantasy output. These were described as huge plays that negatively impacted the Lions' offensive performance.

Williams had really good usage in week one but did not produce results commensurate with that usage. The speaker notes that he and DK Metcalf both had elite usage but horrible results, making it unclear whether this is a sustainable trend or a potential breakout if the results improve. Rest-of-season ranking: 27th among receivers.

Jalen Smith is ranked behind Devante Smith and Christian Watson in a three-player start/sit decision, indicating lower Week 2 projections.

Waddle received only three targets for two yards on one catch against the Chiefs in Week 1, with a bad drop; the limited volume came despite the Broncos chasing points and despite Waddle being a significant draft investment, though the source expects improvement against Jacksonville.

Waddle is a buy-low candidate after Week 1 panic; the source suggests trading for him at a discount if you have depth at receiver and need running back help, noting that fantasy managers are frustrated and panicking, creating a window to acquire him cheaply.

The source was concerned pre-draft about Waddle's target ceiling in Denver's offense; historical data from Bo Nix's two years shows one player hovering around 120 targets with three or four others in the 90-plus range, and only twice in two years did the Broncos have two receivers over 100 targets despite throwing 600-plus passes, suggesting limited target distribution.

Mentioned as a buy-low target after struggling in Week 1. Year Up United's suggests trading high-volume running backs like David Montgomery or Cam Scadaboo to acquire Waddle from receiver-needy teams.

Fumbled in Week 1, which contributed to his reduced role and the emergence of Cam Scadaboo as the lead back. The fumble is a concerning sign for his continued involvement.

Josh Downs came off a disappointing Week 1 game and is being considered as an alternative to Khalil Shakir, suggesting his stock has declined after the opening week.

Josh Jacobs' legal situation involving his former girlfriend seeking to seal evidence and discovery materials could potentially affect his NFL suspension timeline; if the NFL cannot obtain video evidence, it could lead to an earlier return, though this remains speculative.

Justin Herbert is ranked slightly behind Dan Goff in Week 2 quarterback projections, with Goff ranked approximately one spot ahead.

Kalon Black was among the most added players heading into Week 2, ranking third in waiver wire pickups after Vele and team defenses, indicating emerging opportunity and league-wide interest.

Kalon Black was among the most added players in leagues following week one, ranking third behind Jaylen Vele and defense/special teams units, indicating emerging fantasy relevance.

Shakir is considered third best in the Bills pecking order; he had nine PPR points in Week 1 and is not an automatic play over other receivers. His career production has been inconsistent even when he was the best receiver for the Bills, making him a questionable start over alternatives like Josh Downs, Wendell Robinson, or Jalen Coker.

Kyle Monongai is on the redraft-higher list; he's one of six players Year Up United's would draft higher if drafting today after Week 1.

Kyle Monongai is included in the redraft list, suggesting the hosts view him as a player they would target higher in a redraft given early-season performance or opportunity.

McConkey posted a 54% target share when on the field in week one against the Colts, demonstrating elite volume potential. He is a high-level route runner and mover who thrived in Baltimore's creative play-action and big-personnel scheme under Declan Doyle. While the sample is small and the Colts defense is weak, McConkey's efficiency and role suggest he could finish as a wide receiver one this year if he stays healthy.

Luther Burden is ranked behind DJ Moore against Minnesota in Week 2, with Year Up United's noting they have Burden ranked higher than Moore in their projections.

Marquez Valdez-Scantling was signed to the Chargers' practice squad heading into Week 2, providing depth amid multiple wide receiver injuries on the roster.

Matthew Golden is on the redraft-higher list; he's one of six players Year Up United's would draft higher if drafting today after Week 1.

Matthew Golden is positioned alongside Jalen Coker as a high-value early-season performer who can be started most weeks as a WR3 or better. The source suggests Golden's strong play makes him tradeable for upgrading at other positions, particularly running back, while maintaining confidence in his weekly floor.

Michael Mayer is considered as a backup option to Sam Laporta if Bowers is unavailable, indicating he is lower in the Saints tight end pecking order.

Was made a healthy scratch in Week 1, opening the door for Cam Scadaboo to receive 18 carries. This unexpected benching signals a significant role change and depth chart demotion.

Rookie wide receiver out of Indiana is week-to-week with an injury heading into Week 2 matchup against Green Bay.

Omar Cooper, rookie wide receiver from Indiana, is out for Week 2 and is week-to-week with injury.

Patrick Mahomes is ranked behind Dan Goff in Week 2 quarterback projections.

Quinchon Judkins did not see increased passing game opportunities in Week 1 despite Dylan Sampson's IR placement; Year Up United's is skeptical that Sampson's injury will lead to more third-down work for Judkins, especially with McLaughlin added and Raheem Sanders previously handling that role.

Raheem Sanders was used on third downs for Cleveland in Week 1, but Year Up United's views him as not a very good option for that role, suggesting limited long-term third-down usage.

Rasheed Rice's average route depth in Week 1 was notably different from his career baseline, posting the second-highest average route depth of his career; the significance of this shift is debated among analysts.

Rice had one of the most concerning week ones in the NFL; he was lined up out of the slot at a career-low rate while posting a career-high average route depth, suggesting a role shift away from his typical usage. With the Chiefs' run game exceptional and new coordinator Eric Biannemi preferring receivers downfield, Rice—who is not a downfield threat—may see reduced volume. His average separation score has been the worst among wide receiver ones and twos, now the worst among wide receiver fours. The speaker is worried enough to avoid trading DJ Moore for Rice, though willing to trade lower-tier receivers like Jalen Cokers or Matthew Golden for him. Rest-of-season ranking: 25th among receivers.

Drew Petzing's Week 1 play-calling did not heavily favor Laporta despite his health; target distribution showed St. Brown and Laporta combined for 56% of targets, with Jamison Williams receiving 23%. The concern heading into the season was whether Laporta would maintain target volume when healthy alongside Williams, as this pairing had not historically produced high volume for both in prior seasons.

Sam Laporta missed a touchdown opportunity in the end zone during Week 1, which hurt Dan Goff's fantasy output. Laporta is still preferred over Michael Mayer if Bowers is out again in Week 2.

Tony Pollard is explicitly excluded from the 'no worrying after one week' stance, with the hosts suggesting there is reason to be worried about his situation, likely due to offensive line or team context concerns.

Tony Pollard's Week 1 performance was poor and mirrors last year's struggles; worryometer reading of 81.5/100 indicates panic-mode concern. However, speaker notes his strong performance in the final five games of last season and advises against dropping him yet; upcoming schedule includes competitive matchups at Philadelphia, Giants, Baltimore, Houston, and Indianapolis.

Etienne played significantly more snaps than Kendrick Henry but received the same number of carries; snap distribution was even until the fourth quarter and overtime, raising questions about his role clarity and workhorse status in the Jacksonville offense.

Etienne's involvement in the passing game is a major positive; Kellen Moore's offenses typically don't involve running backs heavily in the passing game, so Etienne's early usage suggests Moore trusts him fully in that role, which should keep him as a significant part of the offense even if Alvin Kamara returns.

Alvin Kamara's eventual return is a major concern for Etienne's role; Kamara has been excellent in the passing game throughout his career, and the Jaguars will likely run the ball better and have better opportunities once he returns, potentially reducing Etienne's touches and targets.

Baltimore's defense will be a difficult matchup for the Jaguars' running game, especially if Baltimore gets healthier on the defensive line; this could limit Etienne's rushing opportunities in Week 2.

Etienne's concern level is higher in non-PPR formats than in half-PPR or full-PPR; if he maintains his passing game involvement, he should remain a significant part of the offense and a viable fantasy asset across all scoring formats.

The Jaguars offense is expected to score a significant number of fantasy points, which should support Etienne's value; however, he is not a true workhorse back, which likely makes him an RB2 rather than an elite RB1.

Etienne was drafted as a third-round pick, but after Week 1 performance, Year Up United's would be more cautious and likely draft him in the fourth round in a redraft, suggesting his ADP was too optimistic relative to his actual role and usage.

Travis Kelce is preferred over Dallas Goedert in a tight end start/sit decision.

Ty Johnson, the Bills' third-down back, could play in Week 2 after missing or being limited in Week 1.

Flowers posted a 60% target share when on the field in week one, the highest of any receiver in the sample. He is a high-level route runner and mover who thrived in Baltimore's creative play-action and big-personnel scheme, similar to what Jason Moore did last year. While he had a big week one last year before slowing down, his elite route-running ability and the Ravens' creative offensive design under Declan Doyle suggest he could finish as a wide receiver one this year if healthy.