From the video

Video: Top Guy Tuesday Mailbag - Training Camp Crystal Ball
Patrick Mahomes was kind of a smash in 2023 and scored well last year... Patrick Mahomes just pulled up, he scored the same, uh, number of points per game as Drake May last year, and he was, uh, you know, he was a 1.2 points below Josh Allen per game in, uh, in underdog scoring last year... he can still easily beat in eighth round ADP.

STACKED’s take

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Matched Drake May's PPG last year; beats 8th-round ADP easily

Patrick Mahomes was a smash in 2023 and scored well last year, matching Drake May's points per game and only 1.2 points below Josh Allen per game in Underdog scoring. At eighth-round ADP, he can easily beat that price. The source frames Mahomes as a late-season upside bet—he doesn't need to match last year's full-season performance, just trend closer to it by year's end. While rushing upside may be slightly down post-ACL, the price is forgiving enough that Mahomes can outperform his ADP without matching 2023 production.

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