Mattek Fantasy Football on Jonathan Taylor

First-round ADP inflated; severe decline when QB play deteriorated.

Jonathan Taylor's first-round ADP is inflated relative to peers like Christian McCaffrey, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Justin Jefferson. His back-half decline was severe when quarterback play deteriorated (Daniel Jones injured, Philip Rivers). After a 50-point game vs. Atlanta, he had only one more RB1 finish (17 points vs. Jacksonville in week 17). With uncertainty around Daniel Jones's return from Achilles injury and concerns that Shane Steichen's offensive scheme may regress, Taylor is projected closer to 13–17 fantasy points per game rather than his 2025 peak, making him safer to let others draft in round 1.

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