Ron Stewart on Lamar Jackson

Fade in round 3-4 despite 25 PPG; 22.2% bust rate higher than early RBs.

Lamar Jackson's 25 points per game season in 2024 is roughly equivalent in wins above replacement value to what Jalen Gibbs produced in 2024 or what Devon Achane produced last season, demonstrating that elite quarterback production can match elite running back production when measured by impact on wins. However, despite being called a bounceback candidate and being drafted in the third round in home leagues, Lamar Jackson is a fade recommendation for the source in round 3-4 due to the 22.2% bust rate in that range, which is higher than even round 1-2 running backs. The source prefers waiting until round 7+ for quarterback value.

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