Yahoo Fantasy Football on Nico Collins

ArticleThe top 16 most likely candidates to be fantasy football's overall WR1 in 2026
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When Nico Collins was on the field last season, he owned a hulking 29.6% share of the Texans' targets... he was a top-10 quarterback in EPA per play during the regular season.
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Positive signalProjection

Collins' 29.6% target share and elite efficiency support WR1 contention if healthy.

Collins owned a 29.6% target share when on the field last season and averaged 27.1% targets per route rate from 2023 to 2024 (same as St. Brown). The source confirms dominant target share and elite skill (2nd in yards per route, 10th in targets per route, 6th in first downs per route from 2023-2025). The efficient QB/offense pillar is marked 'Yes, with some caveats.' While C.J. Stroud's playoff game was catastrophic (10th-lowest EPA per dropback for a starting QB in a playoff game since 2007), his regular season was top-10 in EPA per play (sandwiched between Darnold and Mahomes). Texans ranked 13th in dropback EPA and 12th in rate of drives to end in a score. If the running game improves from 31st in success rate, this could be the best Texans offense in years.

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