From the episode

he didn't even average 10 PPR points per game until the lions made a big decision to have Dan Campbell call plays. And then Sam Laporta got hurt...I think his ADP is just a little bit too high because there's such a consistent track record of him not putting up the same type of numbers when Laporta and St. Brown are there...his best game of the year scored 27 fantasy points against the Packers. Not only was LaPorta out in that game, but Amara St. Brown left in the first quarter...Jamo had a 37% target share that game.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

ADP too high; situation-dependent 2024 finish, underperforms when LaPorta and St. Brown healthy

Williams' 2024 top-12 finish was heavily situation-dependent: he didn't average 10 PPR points per game until Dan Campbell took over playcalling and Sam LaPorta got hurt; his 12.9 PPR PPG would rank outside the top 30 in a normal year. The source cautions his ADP is too high given a consistent track record of underperformance when LaPorta and Amon-Ra St. Brown are healthy. His best game (27 PPR points vs. Green Bay) came when both LaPorta was out and St. Brown left in the first quarter, yielding a 37% target share. Unless one of them gets hurt again, Williams will likely see reduced volume and inconsistent production. He's best viewed as a number-three fantasy receiver—a complementary player like DeVante Smith who will have some big weeks but also average weeks surrounded by so many good Lions weapons (Jared Goff, St. Brown, LaPorta, Jameer Gibbs). When he hits, he hits huge; when he misses, he's frustrating.

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