Yahoo Fantasy Football on Nico Collins
From the article
We haven't seen C.J. Stroud get back to the heights he achieved in his rookie season. Houston's playoff game against New England officially put us on 'Stroud Watch.' But the loss of WR Jayden Higgins, while boosting Collins' projected target share, lessens the versatility of the passing game.
STACKED’s take
Collins' talent is elite, but Stroud's regression and Higgins' loss create uncertainty.
Collins is one of eight receivers with back-to-back seasons over 2.0 YPRR and just one of four to do it with a receiving aDOT over 10 air yards, making him attractive at the 1-2 turn. However, the source's concern centers on C.J. Stroud's regression: his EPA per Dropback fell from 7th (2023) to 27th (2024) to 13th (2025); Passing Success Rate from 15th to 28th to 19th; CPOE from 17th to 29th to 23rd. While the Texans acquired veteran offensive linemen and used Day 1 draft capital on protection, the loss of WR Jayden Higgins—while boosting Collins' projected target share—lessens passing game versatility. Betting on talent is right in early rounds, but the receiver-QB connection should be on drafters' minds.
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