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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast on Mike Evans

Podcast1107: Catchable Targets
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Mike Evans, though, I think is really interesting...he's got Brock Purdy, who consistently has been better than average in terms of poor throw rate.
Mentioned at 26:00 – 308:30

STACKED’s take

Positive signalProjection

Brock Purdy upgrade and health recovery position Evans for major bounce-back.

Evans is a favorable regression candidate despite playing only half a season in 2025 (an outlier). For his archetype as a downfield contested catch receiver, his catch rate has been solid. Moving to the 49ers with Brock Purdy, who consistently maintains better-than-average poor throw rates, Evans should receive more on-target passes in 2026. JJ Zachariason also notes that Evans had a weak efficiency season in 2024 but played only eight games with Baker Mayfield not fully healthy; applying catchable target rate regression logic, Evans can be positioned as a candidate for a massive bounce-back season if health and QB stability improve.

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