From the episode

He had the highest bust rate of any player in the top 20 wide receivers last year. 38 percent bust rate...And it was completely correlated to the games which Sam Laporta was active and healthy and the games where he was not active and healthy.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalBust

38% bust rate (highest top-20 WR); correlated to LaPorta availability.

Erickson ranks Williams at 70 vs. ECR 50, citing a 38% bust rate—highest among top-20 WRs last year per FantasyPros Boom/Bust Report. Bust rate correlated directly to games when Sam LaPorta was active vs. inactive. Dan Campbell's departure as play-caller (now Drew Petzing as OC) removes the context that improved Williams' usage mid-season. Erickson notes Williams was outside top-50 PPG to start 2024 and was cut from many leagues despite early draft capital, making him frustrating to own.

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