PositiveProjectionThu, June 25, 2026Listen 40:00 – 42:00
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Trevor Lawrence is the problem; Thomas lacks consistency despite talent.

Brian Thomas Jr.WR

The source ranks Thomas at 106 vs. ECR 85, citing Trevor Lawrence as the core problem. Thomas averaged 87 receiving yards per game with Mac Jones but only 56 with Lawrence across a 25-game sample. The source loves the talent from his rookie year but notes it was a small sample size with Mac Jones; the larger 25-game body of work has been more disappointing than good. Target distribution depth in Jacksonville's offense is crowded: Travis Hunter, Brenton Strange (three-year extension), and a second-round tight-end draft pick will all compete for targets. Thomas may be deployed primarily as a downfield threat, which provides spike weeks but lacks consistency and weekly target leadership. The source plans to roster him in exactly one redraft league as a hedge in case he reverts to rookie form, but fears he becomes a zombie X receiver who runs routes without seeing target volume. Chemistry with Lawrence is growing from zero to low, which doesn't move the fantasy needle—it needs to reach medium to high for excitement.

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Source transcript excerpt
Trevor Lawrence is still his quarterback...Average 87 receiving yards per game with Mac Jones. That's 56 with Trevor Lawrence and a 25 game sample size...I think Brian Thomas Jr. might just be deployed as that downfield threat, which great for spite weeks. Awesome. But in terms of consistency, in terms of leading the team and targets on a week to week basis.
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