Recent fantasy decline and rushing-dependent production limit upside despite QB8-10 dynasty cost.

Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in week 15 of 2025 but appears to be recovering well; the source notes that while the injury is significant, Mahomes 'seems fine' and could be ready for week one, which is not uncommon for quarterbacks given the different physical demands of the position compared to skill positions. However, Mahomes has not been a strong fantasy quarterback in recent years. In 2025, his fantasy numbers were 'bolstered by some rushing,' nearing a career high in rushing attempts. Post-Tyreek Hill, 'Patrick Mahomes has not been the same fantasy quarterback that he's been pre-Tyreek Hill or with Tyreek Hill.' The source expresses concern that his fantasy success is dependent on rushing volume, which may be limited in 2026 coming off an ACL/LCL injury. Mahomes is ranked QB8–QB10 in dynasty, which the source considers 'fair' and 'an appropriate cost.' He is grouped with Jalen Hurts, Justin Herbert, Jackson Dart, and Trevor Lawrence. The source notes that while Mahomes has name value and could be sold for a 'massive profit' in casual leagues, his recent fantasy performance warrants scrutiny. The source is 'always going to be in on Patrick Mahomes because he's Mahomes' but acknowledges the need to reconcile his recent fantasy numbers.