Top-12 floor, top-10 upside; possibly last QB off board; underrated.

Kyler Murray projects as a top-12 quarterback floor with upside to top-10, based on two key factors: (1) Murray has 'basically never not been a top 12 fantasy quarterback or scored less than like 17 fantasy points a game' (excluding last season's ACL recovery), and (2) Kevin O'Connell's quarterbacks have 'basically other than JJ McCarthy, never not had a top 12 fantasy quarterback that he has coached or has a guy that scored less than 17 fantasy points per game.' Murray is going as a fringe top-20 quarterback in drafts despite stepping into a Vikings offense with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and Juwan Jennings. The source calls this 'like kind of a cheap shot of the guy, maybe being like a top 10 quarterback on a good offense playing indoors.' Murray could reasonably be the last starting quarterback taken in a 12-team league, making him a value pick. The source notes Murray is 'probably the most underrated player in the NFL at this point, because Kyler, I think at this point people have forgotten how talented he is' due to his time in Arizona being a 'wasteland football wise' and off-field distractions (video game memes). In his five games last year after returning from ACL injury, 'his legs seemed to come back a little bit' and 'there's some rushing potential with them.' Justin Jefferson's enthusiasm for Murray is notable: 'the way that Justin Jefferson talks about Kyler Murray is very funny. If you read between the lines, especially he's like, he just knows how to put touch on the ball,' which the source characterizes as 'such a shot across the bow of the other quarterback who's there right now' (JJ McCarthy). However, there is a caveat: Murray and JJ McCarthy are splitting reps at minicamp/OTAs, and the source is 'very curious to see when training camp comes, if they just allow Kyler to take all the reps or how long they split that,' as splitting first-team reps all August could hurt his development.