Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry on Matthew Stafford

Podcast8 Fantasy Hot Takes with Daniel DoppAugust 21, 2026

From the episode

I think for him to get to over 40 touchdowns again is unlikely. And certainly the fantasy community agrees because that's – Stafford's ADP is nowhere near where he finished last year.

Mentioned at 44:16 – 45:24

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Berry and Dopp expect significant TD regression from Stafford this season

Matthew Berry and Daniel Dopp both expect regression from Matthew Stafford, noting that the previous five quarterbacks who led the NFL in touchdown rate all regressed the following year. Berry argues that repeating a 40-plus touchdown season at this stage of his career is unlikely.