From the episode
ESPN's Ben Solak believes that Dak Prescott could throw for 5,000 yards in 2026... what, 4,700 yards was our top dog for Matthew Stafford last year... I'm going to sell this idea... the fact that defense has improved, Seth, means I'm going to sell this... Dak Prescott last year only had 4,500 yards... The most pass attempts of his career... And it still was 4,500.
STACKED’s take
5,000-yard projection unlikely; improved defense will reduce volume despite strong weapons.
ESPN's Ben Solak projects that Dak Prescott could throw for 5,000 yards in 2026. FantasyPros sells this projection, arguing that while the Cowboys have strong passing weapons (CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, and an underrated tight end), the 5,000-yard threshold is unlikely. Matthew Stafford led the league with 4,700 yards last year, making 5,000 yards an outlier projection. Prescott will be efficient and finish top-five in passing yards, but is not expected to reach 5,000. The source also sells the projection citing the Cowboys' improved defense in the offseason, which should reduce the need for Prescott to throw as much. Dak had 4,500 passing yards in 2025 despite missing receivers (CeeDee Lamb out, other receivers out) and had the most pass attempts of his career; with a better defense, the Cowboys will have fewer offensive snaps and pass attempts, reducing Dak's volume. The source projects Dak will "cross 45 [touchdowns] for sure" but expects a decline in passing yards due to improved defense limiting offensive opportunities.
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