
Fantasy Points Fantasy Football on CeeDee Lamb
VideoCaptured October 1, 2026
STACKED’s take
Positive signalProjection
Negative regression candidate despite 23.6 PPG average
Negative regression candidate. Currently averaging 23.6 fantasy points per game with three touchdowns and 23.8% target share (tied with George Pickens). Expected fantasy points per game model shows Lamb at 21.6 versus Pickens at 13.7, with the gap driven by Lamb's catchable target rate advantage. Despite Pickens' reputation as a deep threat, Lamb has higher air yards depth of target (aDOT). The source identifies Lamb as a negative regression candidate given his current efficiency and role advantage in PPR format with short underneath targets.
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