Fantasy Life Articles on Josh Downs
From the article
Downs should be viewed as a must-start fantasy wide receiver. He's coming off a game where he saw a team-high 11 targets, sporting a 29% target share and seeing a target on 30% of his routes. If Downs sees even 7-9 targets in this game, he'll smash. If he sees double-digit looks again? Forget about it.
STACKED’s take
Downs projects as top-five WR vs. Washington's pass-funnel defense; expect 7+ targets.
The source projects Downs to finish as a top-five WR in Week 4 against Washington. Downs is coming off a game with a team-high 11 targets, sporting a 29% target share and seeing a target on 30% of his routes. Dating back to 2024, Downs has been targeted on over 31% of his routes with both Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce off the field, commanding plenty of volume. If Downs sees 7-9 targets, he'll smash; if he sees double-digit looks again, the source says 'forget about it.' The Commanders have been a massive pass-funnel defense (77.3% of yardage through the air, second-highest rate) and have allowed five touchdowns to the slot (most in football). Washington blitzes at the league's fourth-highest rate (42.2%), which sets up perfectly for Downs, who averages 0.42 fantasy points per route run when blitzed since the start of last season versus 0.36 when not facing the blitz. When Washington plays man coverage, Downs will face Mike Sainristil, who has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards (203) and most touchdowns (5) in coverage this season.
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