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Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden fantasy football takes on Malik Willis
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden about Malik Willis.
29
Insights
24
Positive
2
Negative
Insight ledger
All Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden insights about Malik Willis
PositiveProjectionOct 27, 2026
Dolphins QB rostered in just 18% of Yahoo leagues; first week as top-12 QB (QB14 prior to bye). Each game with a rushing score he's been QB14 or better on the season; three bad performances against 49ers, Chiefs, Vikings explain struggles. Already has 220+ rushing yards (40 per game pace) with rushing TD upside adding 10.4 points weekly. Last two weeks averaging 6 carries per game (most in NFL), up from limited early-season rushing volume. Upcoming schedule (Lions, Colts, Bills) favorable for streaming in Superflex.NegativeUsageSep 29, 2026
Malik Willis has been discussed as a potential option for the 'tush push' in goal-line situations, though the team has not reached the red zone frequently enough to utilize him in that capacity.PositiveBreakoutAug 27, 2026
Malik Willis is an undervalued 'Konami code' quarterback with a high rushing floor and ceiling. Despite a QB19 ADP, he is projected to finish as a QB1 due to his rushing production. He has shown efficiency metrics like ranking QB1 in EPA per play and completion percentage over expected, though his benching is considered irrelevant for fantasy purposes.PositiveSleeperAug 20, 2026
The source expresses a strong preference for drafting Malik Willis in the 11th round as a late-round target.PositiveProjectionAug 17, 2026
The source is buying into Malik Willis potentially outperforming expectations, but warns that his high scramble rate historically correlates with lower target volume for running backs.NegativeUsageAug 12, 2026
The source expresses mixed feelings about Malik Willis, noting his improvement as a passer but highlighting his tendency to scramble and his historically low target rate to running backs (10% with the Packers), which could negatively impact the receiving volume of his teammates.PositiveValueJun 17, 2026
Malik Willis is recommended as a round six quarterback option, part of a strategy to get quality QB value late in drafts.PositiveValueMay 27, 2026
Willis represents an arbitrage opportunity because his pass catchers are so weak that nobody is stacking with him, whereas quarterbacks with quality pass catchers ahead of them on the ADP board typically get drafted higher.PositiveProjectionMay 27, 2026
Even if Willis just runs around, he'll provide usable weeks, and if he has just a couple games with two passing touchdowns plus rushing production, he'll have spike weeks and easily be in lineups.PositiveRoleMay 27, 2026
Willis showed comfort and rhythm under center with chunk plays and big-time vertical routes in his limited sample, with the new Dolphins play caller Bobby Slowick's system (similar to what worked for CJ Stroud in Green Bay) providing a better fit than his rookie season.PositiveValueMay 27, 2026
Willis is being drafted after Baker Mayfield and Tyler Shuck despite having elite EPA per dropback and completion percentage over expected metrics, representing significant value at his current ADP.PositiveProjectionMay 27, 2026
Willis is ranked way higher than his current ADP by the analysts, with one calling him "easily my highest drafted quarterback right now" and another ranking him and Kyler Murray significantly higher than where they're being drafted.PositiveProjectionMay 27, 2026
Willis had a 75% drop-back rate in his last start against Baltimore (the highest of his career) and played well while winging it. Historically, 41 of 47 quarterbacks who ran 100+ times in a season were top-12 fantasy QBs, and 30 were top-6 scorers.PositiveValueMay 27, 2026
Willis is the analyst's favorite pick in the QB20 range. He has elite fantasy points per snap (0.73, ahead of Lamar Jackson at 0.62 and Josh Allen at 0.61), a 15% scramble rate (highest in the NFL), and averages 9 yards per scramble (5th in the league), providing a high floor.NegativeValueNo date
Malik Willis is a strong Superflex target as the QB20, offering a high floor through rushing and an underappreciated passing ceiling; concerns about bench risk are overstated as he lacks a clear backup, and his efficiency metrics over the last three seasons (159 plays) rank him as a top-tier passer in EPA and completion percentage.NegativeProjectionNo date
Malik Willis is viewed as a quarterback who may scramble and take sacks, potentially impacting the passing volume of the offense. However, some advanced metrics suggest he could perform adequately as a starter.PositiveInjuryNo date
There is some rushing injury risk associated with Willis's playing style, though the source suggests there will be moments where his rushing upside is valuable.PositiveSleeperNo date
Willis is positioned as a late-round rushing quarterback sleeper with high-end fantasy upside, comparable to old-school Konami Code QBs like Colin Kaepernick and Justin Fields, offering potential league-winning value in deeper redraft leagues.NegativeRoleNo date
The Dolphins' coaching staff and pass catchers are significant concerns for Willis's passing production ceiling.PositiveProjectionNo date
Under Bobby Slowik's coaching, Willis is expected to benefit from extra protection, play-action, and crossing routes over the middle of the field, with potential ceiling outcomes in some games.PositiveProjectionNo date
Willis showed strong passing progression in limited action against Baltimore with 50 dropbacks, demonstrating full-field reads, correct coverage decisions, and accurate throws to multiple levels.PositiveValueNo date
Willis's floor is higher than his current ADP, with rushing and mobility serving as the floor and passing production as the ceiling.PositiveRoleNo date
Willis has goal-line rushing upside with the Dolphins' starting RB being 5'9", 191 lbs, and the team has invested in offensive line talent (Patrick Paul, Kaden Proctor) to support rushing schemes.PositiveUsageNo date
Willis is third in yards per carry on designed QB runs, trailing only Lamar Jackson, and ranks third in yards after contact per carry.PositiveUsageNo date
Willis has a 15% scramble rate as a Packer, the highest in the NFL over the last four years, and averages 9 yards per scramble, second only to Justin Herbert.PositiveProjectionNo date
Malik Willis is QB1 in EPA per play and completion percentage over expected over a small 159-play sample, significantly outperforming comparable mobile QBs like Justin Fields in passing efficiency.PositiveUsageNo date
Malik Willis has elite rushing upside with very fast and physical running ability, ranking top-three in yards after contact and having off-the-charts scramble rate numbers, making him valuable in fantasy despite the Dolphins' three-wide receiver sets.PositiveProjectionNo date
Over a small sample of 159 plays in the last three seasons, Malik Willis ranks as QB1 in EPA per play and QB1 in completion percentage over expected, with QB11 in success rate out of 79 qualifiers, showing he is significantly better as a passer than comparable players like Justin Fields.PositiveValueNo date
Malik Willis is ranked as QB19 on Yahoo and QB21 on Underdog and is almost certainly not going to be drafted in home leagues, making him a potential skeleton key for fantasy football this season.