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Josh Downs to the Chiefs

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

11 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Nov 10, 2026
Published
Tue, November 10, 2026
7
Player insights
7
Players mentioned
Topics
Alec PierceJonathan TaylorJosh DownsMalik WillisRashee RiceTravis KelceXavier Worthy
Player analysis

Player insights

7

Alec Pierce

NegativeInjury9:05

Flock Fantasy would be shocked if the Colts bring back Alec Pierce this season, as there would be almost no reason to rush him back given the team's offensive collapse and lack of viable receivers.

Insight page

Jonathan Taylor

NegativeRole5:10

All reports and prediction markets indicate Jonathan Taylor is staying with the Indianapolis Colts despite the team trading away 'every single guy they got, their best offensive lineman, their best defensive lineman, both of their wide receivers.' A prediction market with over $5 million in volume has Taylor staying at 97% probability. Flock Fantasy expresses shock: 'I can't believe after all of this where the Colts trade away every single guy they got... Jonathan Taylor is staying in Indianapolis. Like it is going to be so ugly here. This offense is going to have no way to [complete thought].' The source ranks Taylor at RB14 in a tier with Be'Shell Tooton, DeAndre Swift, Jaylen Warren, Derrick Henry, and Jonah Coleman, reflecting downward pressure from the Colts' offensive decimation that will struggle to move the ball down the field.

Insight page

Josh Downs

PositiveValue0:00

Traded to the Chiefs in a deal where Indianapolis received a fourth and fifth round pick (Chiefs gave a seventh). Flock Fantasy, who previously ranked Downs at WR52, calls this 'the best-case scenario' and 'the best landing spot.' Downs had 25% target share with Colts in 2024, 17% last year, and 20% this year; never finished higher than WR31 in PPG but has never played with a QB as good as Patrick Mahomes. The source recommends: 'at the very minimum, if Josh Downs is on your waiver wire, you have to look at him' and believes he 'jumps up a couple tiers in rankings' to a range where 'the floor is rock bottom, but you have this ceiling to be a flex-worthy asset.' Downs is fourth in Chiefs pecking order behind Rashee Rice, Kenneth Walker, and Travis Kelce.

Insight page

Malik Willis

NegativeInjury10:02

Malik Willis is being placed on the reserve/injured list. This primarily impacts Superflex leagues where Willis was being started for his rushing upside, as he was originally expected to miss four games.

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Rashee Rice

NegativeRole4:11

The Downs trade 'probably hurts Rashee Rice as well' because Downs is not a field-stretching WR who will fill the Tyquan Thornton role with limited targets and high snap count. Instead, Downs is a WR who 'if he's effective for this Chiefs offense, he will be drawing targets. He will be taking those from Rashee.' Flock Fantasy had Rice ranked at WR20 and says 'I don't know if I can move him much further than this,' but notes that 'if previously you had Rashee Rice ranked ahead of guys like George Pickens, Jameson Williams, Garrett Wilson, you probably should move Rice below those players.' However, the source still prefers Rice over Jalen Eggbuka, saying 'I would sell Eggbuka for Rashee Rice in a freaking heartbeat.'

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Travis Kelce

PositiveUsage8:38

Travis Kelce takes a slight hit in rankings due to Josh Downs being traded to the Chiefs, which increases target competition in the Kansas City offense.

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Xavier Worthy

NegativeInjury5:23

Xavier Worthy is now labeled as day-to-day with an injury suffered this past week. Flock Fantasy recommends cutting him: 'I think at this point, if you have Xavier Worthy, it is safe to cut him.' Worthy is the fifth option in the Chiefs offense and 'he's never really done anything for a fantasy perspective.' The Downs trade further reduces his opportunity.

Insight page
Full transcript

Episode Transcript

277
0:00Yeah, this is super interesting. Um, I
0:03will say I'm not the biggest Josh Downs
0:05guy, right?
0:06But this is the best-case scenario. This
0:09is the best landing spot. It doesn't
0:11even come close. Obviously, you have a
0:14ton of injuries in Kansas City. Mahomes
0:16is still good to go. We probably have to
0:18update our rankings, and at this point,
0:19Josh Downs looks very very appealing. So
0:23the official trade that we had, let me
0:25pull up the details. It seemed like it
0:27was a decent amount here. The package is
0:32Okay, I just got this. The official
0:35package that the Indianapolis Colts got
0:38for Josh Downs was the traded Downs for
0:42a fourth and a fifth round pick, and
0:46they got back a seventh. So the Chiefs
0:50again got Josh Downs in a seventh. The
0:52Colts got a fourth and a fifth rounder.
0:56Now Josh Downs has been one of these
0:58players in fantasy football that like
1:01fantasy football YouTubers have loved
1:03this guy for years.
1:05They've said how good he is, blah blah
1:08blah, even though he has never, and I
1:11repeat, ever
1:13done anything from a fantasy football
1:15perspective.
1:18If we go over and look at where Downs
1:20was in my rankings before this deal, he
1:22had to be after 50, right? Yeah, I had
1:24Josh Downs at wide receiver 52.
1:27If you look at Josh Downs's NFL career,
1:30he is
1:31only had one season ever where he's
1:33actually drawn a considerable amount of
1:35targets. That was back in 2024 in his
1:38second NFL season. Back then he had um
1:4325% of the Indianapolis Colts targets,
1:47but
1:48last year he only had 17% and this year
1:51so far he's had about 20%.
1:54He's never finished higher than the wide
1:56receiver 31 in points per game, but he's
1:59also never with a quarterback as good as
2:01Patrick Mahomes.
2:03I would say that at the very minimum, if
2:05Josh Downs is on your waiver wire, you
2:08have to look at him and I do think he
2:10jumps up a couple tiers in rankings
2:13to
2:14a range in which
2:17the floor is rock bottom, but you have
2:20this ceiling to be a flex-worthy asset.
2:23Right? The majority of volume in this
2:26Kansas City Chiefs offense there's going
2:28to be going through two players.
2:30One of the names obviously will be
2:32Rashee Rice. Actually, he has three
2:34players. Rice, Kenneth Walker, and
2:36Travis Kelsey. I think that Josh Downs
2:39is probably fourth in the pecking order
2:41behind those four guys.
2:44So again, it's definitely a good move
2:46for him like undoubtedly. And also I
2:49will say
2:51this probably hurts Rashee Rice as well
2:54cuz it's not like Josh Downs is some
2:56field-stretching wide receiver where
2:58he's going to come into the Tyquan
3:00Thornton role where obviously you have
3:02the Tyquan Thornton injury and um Josh
3:05Downs is going to see a few targets, but
3:08a ton of snaps and he's going to make
3:09the efficiency great for Rice.
3:12Um I don't think that's going to be the
3:14case. Josh Downs is a wide receiver that
3:16if he's effective for this Chiefs
3:18offense, he will be drawing targets. He
3:20will be taking those from
3:23um Rashee. So I think that this moves
3:25Josh Downs up. Now I'm going to let this
3:28news digest. I don't want to overreact
3:30too too much here. I don't know if I'm
3:31going to move Josh Downs up to being
3:33like a top 30 wide receiver or anything,
3:35but I do think that he is inside this
3:37tier of the flex-worthy players. And
3:39then also with Rashee Rice, I personally
3:42had him down at wide receiver 20. I
3:45don't know if I can move him much
3:46further than this. I I think maybe if
3:48you wanted to move him down a tier, you
3:50can, but I mean I have Eggbuka on my own
3:54fantasy team. I would sell Eggbuka for
3:56Rashee Rice in a freaking heartbeat. I
3:58would add stuff to it. So I still think
3:59Rice is ahead of all these guys.
4:01Honestly, I don't even want to move him
4:02down a tier, but if previously you had
4:05Rashee Rice ranked ahead of guys like
4:07George Pickens, Jameson Williams,
4:08Garrett Wilson, you probably should move
4:11Rice below those players.
4:13Um I already had him at 20, so I don't
4:14want to adjust too much from there.
4:17I don't think this impacts Patrick
4:18Mahomes too too much. I don't think it
4:20impacts Travis Kelsey. It does give us a
4:23little bit of an insight though on an
4:25injury that we did see Xavier Worthy
4:29um have this past week. Xavier Worthy is
4:32now labeled as like day-to-day. I think
4:34at this point, if you have Xavier
4:36Worthy, it is safe to cut him. He's
4:39injured. He's probably the fifth option
4:41in this offense. He's never really done
4:43anything for a fantasy perspective. So
4:46big move here for the Chiefs. Rashee
4:48Rice moves down slightly. Travis Kelsey
4:50moves down slightly. Xavier Worthy you
4:53cut and Josh Downs goes from being
4:56irrelevant to now all of a sudden a
4:58flex-worthy play.
5:00Now looking at the Indianapolis Colts
5:02side of things,
5:04it truly is unbelievable. I mean we are
5:075 minutes away from the NFL trade
5:08deadline and all reports are saying and
5:11prediction markets have Jonathan Taylor
5:14staying with the Indianapolis Colts. I
5:15can't believe after all of this
5:19where the Colts trade away every single
5:22guy they got, their best offensive
5:24lineman, their best defensive lineman,
5:26both of their wide receivers,
5:29Jonathan Taylor is staying in
5:31Indianapolis.
5:35Like it is going to be so ugly here.
5:39This offense is going to have no way to
5:42move the ball down the field.
5:45To the point,
5:46I think I'm going to move Jonathan
5:48Taylor down to being a running back too.
5:52I hate to say this. Let me know in the
5:53chat right now,
5:55do y'all think that I am overreacting
5:59here?
6:03Um we have Cap and Crunch says I believe
6:05JT um plays get traded. I don't think
6:08it's happening. Deadlines in 5 minutes.
6:10Right now a prediction market with over
6:12$5 million in volume has Jonathan Taylor
6:14staying with the Colts at 97%.
6:18Let me see realistically you could put
6:23$100 down and win 2,800 if JT gets
6:26dealt. Like Jonathan Taylor is not
6:28getting traded.
6:30So
6:31I think we know all the trades at this
6:33point.
6:35Let me know right now what y'all think.
6:39Is this too low or too high for Jonathan
6:43Taylor in my rankings? I have him at
6:45running back 14
6:48in the same tier with Be'Shell Tooton,
6:51DeAndre Swift, Jaylen Warren, Derrick
6:54Henry, Jonah Coleman.
6:56Do I have Jonathan rank Jonathan Taylor
6:58ranked too high or too low?
7:03We got one vote too high, reasonable,
7:06good, reasonable.
7:10As a JT owner that's perfect. Broken
7:12heart emoji. Way too high. Rather have
7:15Coleman RB2 at best. Too low. Correct.
7:17Put him at 21. There's no way I can do
7:19that.
7:20Um
7:22yeah. I think that this is a fair
7:25ranking at least in my mind.
7:27Obviously today was bad for JT.
7:31And
7:32it sucks for Seth McGallan as well. I'm
7:34going to have to move Seth McGallan down
7:36my rankings.
7:37I most likely am going to end up having
7:40to cut him from my bench. Like there's
7:42no reason to roster him at this point.
7:47And
7:49so what else is there to say here? Like
7:51JT gets nuked. I guess maybe you can
7:54make an argument that Tyler Warren is
7:56just going to get so much volume.
7:59Like at this point I think Tyler Warren
8:00is a riser. Realistically I think Tyler
8:03Warren probably moves up a tier.
8:05Um I need to have George Kittle in his
8:07own uh, George Kittle and Isaiah likely
8:09in a separate tier here. But I think
8:10Tyler Warren goes to being like a mid
8:12tight end one. You start them every
8:13single week. He's young. Obviously,
8:15makes a ton of sense for the Colts to
8:16keep him. He's a good player and they
8:19have nobody else to throw the ball to.
8:21So,
8:22I think Tyler Warren moves up.
8:26Josh Downs moves up. Rashee Rice takes a
8:29slight hit.
8:31Travis Kelce takes a slight hit.
8:34Xavier Worthy is cuttable.
8:37And it's neutral for Mahomes. I don't
8:39think it matters for Mahomes.
8:41And then with the Indianapolis Colts
8:42wide receivers,
8:44uh,
8:45I would be shocked if they bring back
8:47Alec Pierce this season. There'd be
8:49almost no reason for them to rush Alec
8:51Pierce back.
8:52So, I think that you probably don't look
8:55at starting anybody in Indianapolis rest
8:57of season other than Jonathan Taylor.
9:00And you will have lowered expectations
9:02for as well as
9:06Tyler Warren.
9:08But
9:09I think that's all I have for this
9:13stream.
9:14And
9:16yeah, I'm going to actually probably be
9:18live again in about 5 minutes. I need to
9:20put together everything for our waiver
9:22wire video.
9:23And let me do that right this second.
9:27I'll be live in like 5 minutes talking
9:29waivers. I apologize we didn't upload a
9:30waiver wire video this morning, but I
9:33just wanted to make sure I wasn't going
9:34to give any bad advice. Like I don't
9:36want to say like, oh, go out there and
9:38pick up um, Seth McGowan and Jonathan
9:41Taylor is about to get traded.
9:43And then JT doesn't get traded and
9:44you're setting your waivers tonight and
9:45you're like, hey Mason, you just gave us
9:47a useless video. So, I wanted to wait a
9:49little bit of time. I will get that
9:50waiver wire video out. I'm sorry, that
9:52live stream going in about 5 minutes.
9:54So, please just make sure you subscribe
9:55to the channel. I hope I get to see you
9:57in that stream in 5 minutes, but
10:00yeah, I see somebody saying isn't there
10:02still time? And oh, I guess we can talk
10:03about Malik Willis. I think the report
10:05that came out is Malik Willis is going
10:08to the reserve.
10:10So, um
10:13the Dolphins go from being bad, you
10:15don't start anybody, to being worse, you
10:17don't start anybody. I mean, again, it's
10:19Ali Gordon first and second down running
10:20back in a bad offense. That's all that
10:22matters. But Malik Willis is getting
10:24placed on the IR. He was going to miss
10:26four games. So,
10:29I guess it only matters for Superflex
10:31leagues where if you were starting
10:32Willis for his rushing upside.
10:34But yeah, deadline is over in two
10:36minutes. So, I think we are pretty much
10:38done. I talked about the Kirk Cousins
10:40trade in the live stream earlier today.
10:42Just go to the channel. You'll see it
10:43there. But much love. I will see you

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