0:00There were a ton of injuries this week
0:01and we really need to set expectations
0:03for these offenses going into the future
0:05and a lot of them look so bleak. I think
0:08you should just sell high or honestly
0:10kind of sell low on these names. Now,
0:12it'll be very difficult to sell any New
0:15York Giants. I'll talk about what we
0:17should sell neighbors for in a second
0:18though. Um given the fact that it was an
0:21island game, right, Monday Night
0:23Football, the entire world watching in
0:25which Jackson Dart goes out and Jameus
0:28Winston comes in and it's not Jamus
0:30Winston that we had in Tampa Bay, right?
0:33It's not even the Jamus Winston that we
0:35had seen in other stops like with the
0:37Cleveland Browns where he's going
0:38through and you're like, "Hey, this is
0:40going to be a disaster for his NFL team,
0:42but it's going to be a glorious day in
0:44fantasy when he throws 350 passing yards
0:47and three interceptions." No, Jamus
0:49could not push the ball down the field.
0:51The amount of balls that he just
0:54straight up under threw where if he put
0:57a little more juice on it, his receiver
0:59actually could have made a play. It was
1:01laughable watching this game. He was
1:03just throwing meatball subs, Italian
1:05parmms, whatever you want to call him.
1:07He looked like the worst quarterback in
1:09the NFL. And there's a damn good chance
1:11that your leaguemates saw that. Your
1:13leaguemates also probably already saw
1:15Malik Neighbors go down with the
1:16shoulder injury, have to go to the
1:18sideline, screaming in pain. I mean, l
1:21of course the man's a warrior, way
1:23tougher than I'd ever probably have died
1:25on that field. But he was screaming in
1:28pain. Looked like he wasn't coming back
1:30in. Somehow they pop the shoulder back
1:32into place. They run him back out there,
1:35not to catch the football, but instead
1:37to just be used as a decoy. He left the
1:40game with one reception for one
1:42receiving yard. He comes back in and has
1:45zero more receptions, zero more yards
1:48after that moment. So now projecting
1:50Malik Neighbors going into the future is
1:52incredibly difficult because this was a
1:55shoulder injury he was already dealing
1:57with. It was a shoulder injury that he
1:59had elected to not have surgery on, even
2:02if maybe he should have. And now it
2:04appears that he is paying the price for
2:06that. Andy is going to have
2:07significantly worse quarterback play
2:09going into the future. And we can't
2:11assume that Jamus is going to keep this
2:13team alive. We can't assume that the
2:15passing volume is going to remain here
2:18because Jamus is another year older. I
2:21hate to be that guy. And honestly, I
2:24know I'll probably sound like a boomer
2:26and this is probably the worst rationale
2:28ever, so completely discredit whatever
2:30I'm about to say, but I'm almost of the
2:32opinion that Jameus Winston spending his
2:34entire off season and during camp
2:37working in the media and becoming a
2:39media personality rather than a football
2:41player. I don't know how much time he's
2:43grinding in the offseason to get ready
2:45for this year. I don't know how much he
2:48actually has left. This is a player that
2:49was drafted back in 2015, has thrown a
2:53ton of balls, taken a ton of big hits.
2:55I'm not expecting the longevity of Tom
2:58Brady with Jameus Winston. I don't know
2:59if they treat their bodies the same way.
3:02So, I think there is a chance that
3:03Jameus is fundamentally not the same guy
3:07that he was three, four, five, six,
3:09seven, eight, nine years ago in which he
3:11can produce top wide receiver seasons. I
3:14don't know if Neighbors is healthy
3:15either. So I would move neighbors down
3:18where he is in the tier with Devont
3:21Smith, Z Flowers, Christian Watson,
3:23Tiggins, Garrett Wilson, Rasheed Rice,
3:25Jaylen Wadd, Lad Mcconi. Like I
3:28personally have Christian Watson myself
3:30in this tier. If you came out and you
3:32offered me Malik Neighbors for Christian
3:34Watson, for me personally, I'm saying
3:37no. The wide receivers I would sell
3:39Malik Neighbors for and it would be an
3:41absolute no-brainer. If you could pivot
3:43off of Malik Neighbors and go over to
3:45Drake London right now, I think that
3:48would be appealing with Michael Penn
3:49coming in. If you could pivot off Malik
3:51Neighbors and go to an injured Nico
3:53Collins, it would be a no-brainer. If
3:55you could pivot off Malik Neighbors and
3:57go to a bo candidate like George
3:59Pickins, that would also be a
4:01no-brainer. But it is probably going to
4:02be difficult to do so if your league
4:04mates know what they are doing. and
4:06going over and looking at Cam Scataboo.
4:08Um, Scataboo was a running back that I
4:10was honestly excited about early in the
4:12offseason. Like when we were drafting
4:13best teams in June, I loved him. But if
4:16y'all remember before the season, once
4:18they signed Naji Harris, I got spooked.
4:21I mean, we were getting word from this
4:23coaching staff where it sounded like
4:24they were going to be looking to use
4:26Scataboo in a running back by committee
4:28this year. That's what we had seen with
4:29some of their previous running backs.
4:31That's exactly what happened in this
4:33past game. Cam Scataboo was splitting.
4:36Um once they got to the goal line, what
4:39happened? They called Cam Scataboo off
4:41the field. Cam Scataboo had to go stand
4:43on the sideline, looked pissed as Najias
4:45couldn't do anything. Now maybe you say,
4:48"Hey, the team's going to learn their
4:49lesson. They're going to realize that
4:50Cam Scataboo is 10 times the better
4:52running back than Nieras ever is. But
4:55what I'm worried about now is with no
4:56Jackson Dart, this team's going to be
4:58garbage. They're not going to have a ton
5:00of opportunities at the goal line in the
5:03red zone. Like right now pulling up Poly
5:05Market US, they have a 33% chance to
5:08finish the season with more than seven
5:10and a half wins. They only have a 17%
5:14chance of making it to the playoffs now
5:16with these live markets. So I am worried
5:19about Scat. I would easily trade Cam
5:21Scataboo for a running back like David
5:24McGomery, for a running back like Beel
5:26Tutin. I mean, hell, if somehow someway
5:28you could get to Jeremiah Love, even
5:30with Jeremiah Love looking really bad
5:32right now, I think that'd be an absolute
5:34no-brainer. Now, of course, if you want
5:37to check out any of those markets on
5:39Poly Market US, the link's in the
5:41description. It's in the comment
5:42section. If you sign up with promo code
5:44Flock, you are going to get $50 added to
5:47your account after you deposit your
5:48first 10. And Poly Market US is
5:51available in 49 out of 50 states, every
5:54state other than Nevada. And another
5:56example using that data to show you how
5:58much worse off the Giants are with
6:00Winston than Dart is before Dart got
6:03injured, the Giants had a 72% chance of
6:06beating the Tennessee Titans. But after
6:09the Dart injury, the Giants now go down
6:12to only a 57% chance to beat the Titans
6:15this Sunday. Now, let's move over to the
6:18Chicago Bears. Now, with Chicago, what
6:22we have been used to seeing through the
6:24first two weeks this year is the Bears
6:26projecting out as one of the best
6:28offenses in the league. Obviously, I
6:30love using this market data. Love using
6:32the spreads, the overunders, and trying
6:35to figure out what's the implied team
6:36total, and what are markets saying we
6:38should expect from the offensive output
6:41on the whole. And the Bears typically
6:43projected out incredibly well. That's no
6:46longer the case with no Caleb Williams.
6:49Now, the Chicago Bears project to be a
6:52bottom five offense in the NFL this
6:55week. And if we go through and look at
6:57the way that Ben Johnson has been using
6:59these weapons so far this season, I
7:01would say, man, if Luther Burton is only
7:05going to be out there playing 57% of the
7:08snaps, which keep in mind, um, Luther
7:11Burton wasn't used a ton last season
7:14because he was playing behind Olid
7:16Zakias last season for the Chicago Bears
7:19and now we're kind of seeing this same
7:21thing get run back. Um, how is he going
7:24to be startable in fantasy in what
7:26projects to be a bottom five offense in
7:29the league? Hell, going over to Roma
7:31Dunce, I mean with Rome, if we look at
7:34his last 17 games, we can see that he
7:38has scored 20 fantasy points in one of
7:41them. If we go over and look at
7:44Coloulston Lovelin, I mean with Lovelin,
7:46he went in the third round of the Flock
7:49League draft and he has scored a total
7:51of 1.3 fantasy points through the first
7:54two weeks. And this is with the 59 point
7:57blowup that we had from the Chicago
7:59Bears week one. And then also looking at
8:02DeAndre Swift. Hell, DeAndre Swift is
8:04now in a running back by committee with
8:06Kyle Manungai. And that's a-ok. Okay,
8:08when this team is one of the best
8:10offenses in the league, but without
8:12Caleb, I just think you have to reset
8:14expectations. My stance on the Chicago
8:17Bears right now would be you can't start
8:20Luther Burton until we see otherwise.
8:22You can't start Roma Dunay until we see
8:24otherwise. You can't start Colston
8:27Lovelin until we see otherwise. And even
8:29DeAndre Swift himself is probably the
8:32one guy you want in your lineup, but
8:33he's not an automatic jam this week
8:36where the implied team total for this
8:37offense is 18 points. Now, there is hope
8:40here, and I don't want to tell you that
8:42you have to sell all your Chicago Bears
8:44because while this week looks extremely
8:46bleak, if we somehow get Caleb Williams
8:49back in weeks four, five, or six, then
8:52all of a sudden this will go back to
8:53being one of the best offenses in the
8:55league, and there will be upside for
8:57these names. But if you could pivot from
9:00like Luther Burton to a boow candidate
9:03like Jameson Williams, if you could
9:05pivot from Roma Dunay to a player moving
9:08up rankings like Matthew Golden, I mean
9:11hell, if you could go from Coloulston
9:13Loand and somehow someway um convince
9:17your leaguemate to give you Tyler
9:19Warren, Sam Leaporta, Dalton Concincaid,
9:21um all of those moves would just be
9:24straight up no-brainers for me at this
9:26point. And I would even consider selling
9:28DeAndre Swift and trying to move off of
9:30DeAndre Swift for the Jeremiah Love or
9:34trying to add a wide receiver to DeAndre
9:36Swift to get up to Bucky Irving, Kairen
9:38Williams, Javvante or Bree Hall. I mean,
9:40again, this offense can be saved if
9:43Caleb comes back in a week or two. But
9:46right now on Poly Market US, the Chicago
9:48Bears only have a 36% chance of winning
9:52n and a half or more games. And then
9:54looking at their odds of making the
9:55playoffs, it's down to a 43% chance this
9:59season. Now going over to the
10:03Commanders, this is the other instance
10:05in which obviously we have a lost
10:07quarterback and it is horrendous. The
10:10Washington Commanders this week, they
10:13project to score fewer points than the
10:16Miami Dolphins. They project to be the
10:19worst offense in the NFL right now. They
10:22have an 8% chance of making the NFL
10:25playoffs. They have a 30% chance of
10:29winning more than seven and a half
10:30football games. Before the Daniels
10:32injury, they had a 46% chance of beating
10:35the Seattle Seahawks. And now after the
10:38Daniels injury, that falls down to 26%.
10:41So I'm now looking at this offense and
10:43going over to the running backs and
10:45saying, "Well, you know what? Jacqui
10:46Kroski Merritt and Rashad White were in
10:49a running back by committee beforehand
10:51and neither of them were really usable
10:53because this offensive line was so bad.
10:55The only real hope that you add is maybe
10:57Jaden Daniels balls out. You get a ton
10:59of trips to the red zone and Jakori
11:01Kroski Mary can just randomly score two
11:03touchdowns in a game. But now this
11:06team's not going to be able to move the
11:08ball down the field. So when we look at
11:10the running back position, neither Jaori
11:13Crossit or Rashad White you could ever
11:17consider starting literally ever. I mean
11:19I would love to try to take one of these
11:22running backs and add a wide receiver to
11:24it and pivot over to Josh Jacobs. Like
11:27if you could sell JaKoRi Kroski Merritt
11:29and Well Robinson and get to Josh Jacobs
11:32right now, I actually would love to do
11:33so. If you could sell Rashad White and
11:35Xavier Worthy and somehow get to Blake
11:38Cororum, that's another move that I
11:40would absolutely love to do because
11:42there is no way in hell unless you're in
11:43like a 14 team format that you're ever
11:46starting a Commander running back at
11:48this point. Like even if Bashawn White
11:50goes down, Jacqui Kimera is still not
11:52even going to be a top 24 back in my
11:54rankings. And going over to the
11:55receivers, trust me, I get it. I know
11:58that Stefon Diggs just took a dump on my
12:00chest when I played Jinxy this past
12:02week. Jinxy is now king of the flock
12:04league. And one of those reasons other
12:07than Jackson Smith and Jigba is Stefon
12:09Diggs dropped 21 fantasy points against
12:11me. Like if we look at Diggs, his last
12:13five games, three of them he has scored
12:1620 fantasy points or more. And so far
12:18this season, he has three receiving
12:20touchdowns for the Commanders. But
12:22ultimately going into the future, I
12:25don't want to start Stefon Diggs. I
12:28don't want to start Terry Mccclure in
12:29any given week because frankly if the
12:32Commanders are a bottom three offense in
12:34the league, I don't think there's room
12:36for a wide receiver that's about to turn
12:3833 years old that's playing with a
12:40garbage quarterback and a garbage
12:41offensive line to have the upside to be
12:44a top 15 name in fantasy. Like he can
12:47still be a flex play for you as you go
12:49through your by-weeks in deeper formats
12:51just because you know he's going to draw
12:53some targets. He is a talented player
12:55overall. But I'm completely waving the
12:58white flag here on this commander
13:00offense where Terry Diggs, JCM, Rashad
13:03White are unstartable. I would love to
13:05sell Terry McLaren or Stefon Diggs and
13:08try to move over to like Carnell Tate.
13:10If you could sell Stefon Diggs and get
13:13to Cardell Tate and Cardell Tate is not
13:16startable right now either. I would have
13:18at least more faith in the year 2
13:20quarterback Cam Ward and the rookie wide
13:22receiver Cardell Tate to improve as time
13:24goes on in comparison to what I'd be
13:26looking at for the wide receiver that's
13:28about to turn 33 and about to be in the
13:30worst offense in the league. The one
13:32little asterisk I want to have here in
13:34selling Terry McLaren or selling Stefon
13:37Diggs would just be if somehow someway
13:41Jaden Daniels does make it back into
13:43this offense, that obviously could be a
13:45massive boost and Stefon Diggs could go
13:47right back to being a top 24 wide
13:49receiver.
13:51But I think that's all I got for y'all.
13:53Again, I really appreciate you and hope
13:55that I was able to help you out in some
13:56way with this. And if you want to check
13:58out any of those markets, you can find
14:00the link to Poly Market US in the
14:02description as well as the comment
14:04section. If you sign up with code flock,
14:06you are going to get $50 out of your
14:07account after you deposit your first 10.
14:10And Poly Market US is available in every
14:12single state outside of Nevada. But
14:14yeah, much love, ladies and gentlemen.
14:16appreciate you and I about you to see in
14:18the live stream later
