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Underdog Fantasy Football Show fantasy football takes on DeVonta Smith
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from Underdog Fantasy Football Show about DeVonta Smith.
11
Insights
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Positive
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Insight ledger
All Underdog Fantasy Football Show insights about DeVonta Smith
NegativeProjectionSep 25, 2026
Hayden ranks DeVonta Smith WR13 vs. consensus WR7, citing concerns about the Eagles' game script and offensive volume. Smith has a hamstring injury (limited practice) but was excellent in Week 2 with 4 passes in the two-minute drill. The matchup vs. Chicago is excellent (Tyreek Stevenson cooked, Jalen Johnson involved), but Hayden worries the Eagles are only projected for 23 points—a full TD below comparable teams—suggesting a safe, run-heavy game script where Smith gets ~7 targets while others get 10+. This is a tier below his consensus rank.PositiveUsageSep 18, 2026
DeVonta Smith is an A-tier play. Despite a negative completion percentage over expected in Week 1, he maintained a 27% target share and 13.2 aDOT. The source expects him to succeed against the Titans' secondary.PositiveUsageSep 9, 2026
DeVonta Smith is the WR11. He has shown significant production splits without AJ Brown, averaging 9 targets per game in those instances. The matchup against the Commanders' secondary is favorable, and he is expected to be a key part of the Eagles' passing attack.NegativeUsageSep 2, 2026
DeVonta Smith is a high-end talent who thrives when AJ Brown is off the field, evidenced by a 37% target share and 2.6 yards per route run in those situations; however, his weekly floor is volatile due to the team's offensive structure, requiring him to hit on long touchdowns to reach his ceiling.NegativeProjectionAug 19, 2026
Ranked 30th overall in PPR, one spot below Jalen Waddle. Source expects Smith to get the ball more than before but sees lower ceiling for 100+ receptions compared to Waddle in full PPR; source notes he'd probably rank Smith ahead in half-PPR due to different path to production. Smith's upside is harder to bank on in full PPR format.PositiveProjectionAug 12, 2026
The source is high on Devontae Smith, ranking him 25th overall. The reasoning centers on an improved Eagles rushing attack and offensive line, which should force single-high safety looks and create one-on-one opportunities for Smith. The source highlights his elite production in games without AJ Brown, where he has averaged 89 yards per game and a 29% target share.PositiveProjectionNo date
DeVonta Smith has looked like the better wide receiver than AJ Brown in certain matchups due to his ball-winning ability and length, and will be the go-to option in one-on-one coverage situations.PositiveMatchupNo date
DeVonta Smith can play inside and outside and is one of the best wide receivers in the league, with a new offensive coordinator bringing Packers-style concepts that align with Jalen Hurts' downfield throwing ability.PositiveRoleNo date
DeVonta Smith commanded 37% of team targets and 2.36 yards per route run in games without AJ Brown, showing he can be the primary receiver in the Eagles offense.PositiveUsageNo date
In five games without AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith was WR3 in yards per game (89 yards) and WR10 in targets (9 per game), demonstrating elite production when given volume.PositiveProjectionNo date
DeVonta Smith is projected to have his best season ever in targets and all categories with AJ Brown gone, making him a quality third-round pick despite some risk from Jalen Hurts' poor 2024 season.