Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry artwork

MNF Recap + Week 7 Waiver Wire

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

54 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Oct 20, 2026
Published
Tue, October 20, 2026
47
Player insights
39
Players mentioned
Topics
Antonio WilliamsKeenan AllenDemario DouglasMike EvansOmar Cooper Jr.A.J. BrownAaron RodgersBaker MayfieldBijan RobinsonBrock BowersBrock PurdyChigoziem OkonkwoChristian KirkChristian McCaffrey
Player analysis

Player insights

47

A.J. Brown

NegativeRole23:35

Back from injury; may not significantly reduce DeMario Douglas's target share because safety help will likely focus on Brown on the outside, allowing Douglas to operate underneath at slot with short routes.

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Aaron Rodgers

PositiveProjection39:04

Producing usable fantasy numbers in pass-heavy Steelers offense. Matchup against Saints this week could be a potential shootout opportunity, though Saints defense is minus 1.9 fantasy points per game. Matthew Berry considers it a very winnable matchup and thinks Rodgers can be used as a streaming option.

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Antonio Williams

PositiveRole5:46

With Terry McLaurin out, Williams is moving from a slot receiver role to playing on the outside and working more down the field; Matthew Berry identifies him as the top beneficiary of McLaurin's absence and recommends him as one of the top waiver wire claims this week. Berry projects Williams into wide receiver four territory but notes he could reach wide receiver three or even two status rest of season; Williams had the most receiving yards in Clemson program history and was considered a second-round talent despite going third overall.

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PositiveRole8:59

Antonio Williams, the Commanders' third-round pick from Clemson, becomes the primary beneficiary of Terry McLaurin's season-ending injury. While Williams is typically thought of as an underneath slot receiver in the mold of Stefan Diggs, he demonstrated versatility in the game where McLaurin was out, playing on the outside and working more down the field. This suggests he could expand his role beyond the slot in the absence of McLaurin.

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PositiveValue19:18

Matthew Berry ranks Antonio Williams ahead of Jacoby Lane in the pecking order of receivers to pick up this week, though notes that Antonio Williams will be on bye next week for the Commanders, so he shouldn't be started next week.

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PositiveValue25:45

Antonio Williams is ranked second on Matthew Berry's top receiver waiver wire targets for the week, behind Omar Cooper Jr. but ahead of Jacoby Lane, Keenan Allen, and DeMario Douglas.

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Baker Mayfield

PositiveProjection38:03

Expected to return to practice this week with favorable upcoming matchups: Panthers (plus 1.8 boost to opposing QBs), Falcons (minus 1.3), Bears, and Lions (plus 8.2 points per game boost). Matthew Berry notes a really nice stretch here for Baker Mayfield with strong fantasy upside.

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Bijan Robinson

NegativeRole42:06

Falcons' preferred run-first approach with Robinson as the amazing player they want to feature. Matthew Berry notes the team wants to run Robinson and limit Penix's pass attempts to around 30 per game, but matchups against strong offenses like the 49ers could force more passing.

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Brock Bowers

NegativeRole45:59

Functioning as a receiver rather than a traditional tight end in Raiders' 12 personnel looks, split out wide. Matthew Berry notes opposing teams are putting their best cover corner on Bowers, which opens up opportunities for Michael Mayer as the next target option.

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Brock Purdy

NegativeProjection6:43

The multiple receiver injuries in San Francisco (Debo Samuel, Dazon Stribling, Demarcus Robinson) create a short-term headwind for Brock Purdy's fantasy outlook. Matthew Berry notes this is a ding to his near-term production, though the offense will compensate by leaning on Kittle and McCaffrey.

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Chigoziem Okonkwo

PositiveProjection6:26

With Terry McLaurin out, Chigoziem Okonkwo's role is expected to expand significantly; Matthew Berry recently updated rest-of-season projections and had Okonkwo at tight end 14, but notes he could easily move into tight end 10 territory by next week as more targets come his way. Okonkwo was projected as a borderline tight end one in the offseason (around tight end 14-15), and the McLaurin absence could push him into true tight end one status.

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Christian Kirk

NegativeDepth Chart6:46

Christian Kirk is eligible to return from IR this week; the 49ers opened his 21-day practice window last week. Matthew Berry suggests he could be a deep-league waiver wire add if no other options are available, but expects other names to be more attractive targets given the current receiver landscape.

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Christian McCaffrey

PositiveRole7:11

With the 49ers receiver room depleted, Christian McCaffrey will see increased offensive touches and targets. Matthew Berry expects CMC to get way more targets and the offense to rely more heavily on the running game, positioning him as a primary beneficiary of the injuries to San Francisco's passing weapons.

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Colby Parkinson

PositiveRole48:18

Expected to see a bigger role in Rams offense with Devontae Adams out.

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Demario Douglas

PositiveRole23:02

Never been in a full-time NFL role but typically performs well when given opportunities; working vertical routes this season as Drake May pushes the ball downfield; had 28% target share last week with AJ Brown as the only other primary target; solid at slot within structure and mirrors Drake May on scramble drills, creating sideline catch opportunities; Matthew Berry suggests WR3 range for Week 7 as a streaming option given four teams on bye.

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PositiveValue25:45

DeMario Douglas is ranked fifth on Matthew Berry's top receiver waiver wire targets for the week, behind Omar Cooper Jr., Antonio Williams, Jacoby Lane, and Keenan Allen.

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Deshaun Watson

NegativeProjection43:39

Listed as a couple other name to try to get at quarterback if top three targets (Baker Mayfield, Aaron Rodgers, Michael Penix) are unavailable.

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Drake Maye

PositiveProjection23:10

On an absolute heater; extending plays outside the pocket and throwing accurate sideline passes; his scramble-drill effectiveness is creating high target opportunities for DeMario Douglas and other receivers.

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Emeka Egbuka

PositiveUsage38:19

Awakening from turf toe injury with massive target shares over the last two games. Matthew Berry notes he's a solid wide receiver one in a football sense, and with Baker Mayfield returning, Egbuka becomes a trusted receiving option.

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George Kittle

PositiveRole7:11

With multiple 49ers receivers out (Debo Samuel, Dazon Stribling, Demarcus Robinson) and Mike Evans' injury creating a ripple effect, George Kittle becomes the primary beneficiary. Matthew Berry projects Kittle as a wide receiver one in the 49ers offense, expecting him to see significantly increased targets and opportunities as the offense relies more heavily on him and the running game.

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Jayden Daniels

NegativeUsage7:04

Jaden Daniels has not been pushing the ball down the field as much this season; instead, he's been relying on quick passes and dinking-and-dunking, which benefits slot receivers like Antonio Williams. Despite the conservative passing approach, Daniels has been effective getting the ball out quickly under pressure.

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Jordan Addison

NegativeInjury39:57

Dealing with a hamstring injury and availability for this coming week is uncertain. Matthew Berry notes this impacts TJ Hawkinson's target share, as Addison's presence or absence will determine whether Hawkinson or Addison gets the primary slot role.

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Josh Downs

NegativeBust20:56

Matthew Berry was excited about Josh Downs but notes that Keenan Allen has again outproduced him, continuing Allen's pattern of surpassing younger receivers on his team.

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Justin Jefferson

NegativeRole39:57

Back in the lineup for Vikings offense with Kyler Murray. Matthew Berry notes his return as part of the Kevin O'Connell system context for Kyler's upside.

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Keenan Allen

PositiveValue20:17

Matthew Berry highlights Keenan Allen as a reliable floor play for waiver wire pickups this week. Allen had eight catches last week and continues to outperform younger receivers on his team; he has consistently outproduced first-round pick Rome Dunze, second-year receiver Ladd McConkie, and now Josh Downs. While Allen is not in a full-time route role (targeting 70-75% of pass plays), his quarterbacks trust him implicitly, and he provides a really good floor for teams needing a plug-and-play receiver this week, though with less upside than emerging breakout candidates.

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PositiveUsage22:35

Averaging 6 catches and 9.5 targets over 60 yards per game over the last three weeks; thriving on short passes and slant routes given Daniel Jones' conservative play-calling; Tyler Warren's 11-target absence has benefited Allen's target volume, though that may normalize when Warren returns.

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PositiveValue25:45

Keenan Allen is ranked fourth on Matthew Berry's top receiver waiver wire targets for the week, behind Omar Cooper Jr., Antonio Williams, and Jacoby Lane but ahead of DeMario Douglas.

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Kyler Murray

PositiveValue39:39

Dropped heavily last week due to bye week and available in 52% of Yahoo leagues. Matthew Berry calls him out as a high-ceiling play over other streaming options, noting he gets Indianapolis (plus 1.6), Detroit (plus 8.2), and Bills (plus 0.4 and plus 4.3) matchups. Scrambling around and getting in sync with Kevin O'Connell system with Justin Jefferson back. Berry projects Kyler could be a top-eight quarterback the rest of the way, with dual-threat upside being the cheat code in fantasy.

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Lamar Jackson

PositiveProjection18:39

Matthew Berry emphasizes that getting Lamar Jackson back in the Ravens offense is the key to the team's success and to Jacoby Lane's emergence as a number two receiver in an explosive offense capable of scoring many touchdowns.

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Malik Washington

PositiveValue25:45

Malik Washington is listed as a secondary receiver waiver wire option by Matthew Berry, positioned in the second tier of targets if the top five receivers (Omar Cooper Jr., Antonio Williams, Jacoby Lane, Keenan Allen, DeMario Douglas) are unavailable.

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Mark Andrews

PositiveRole18:42

Matthew Berry notes that Mark Andrews is not playing well, which opens the door for Jacoby Lane to ascend and take over the number two target role in the Ravens offense.

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Marvin Harrison Jr.

NegativeBust25:00

Matthew Berry expresses concern about Harrison Jr.'s on-field performance, noting that film review shows he 'looks like he has sand in his shoes' and is 'not a fast dude on the outside.' Berry contrasts him unfavorably with Jalen Knoll, who he views as shifty at the slot with superior route-running ability. The comparison suggests Harrison Jr. is underperforming relative to expectations.

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Michael Mayer

PositiveProjection45:35

Gone over 80 yards in two of his past three games. Matthew Berry moved him up to mid-range tight end territory rest of season. Since Brock Bowers returned in week three, Raiders lead NFL in 12 personnel (two tight ends on field), and Mayer has seen plenty of targets and field time. Opposing teams are putting their best cover corner on Bowers, making Mayer the next guy up. Has 12-plus fantasy points in three of last four games with over 70% route rate. However, matchup against Rams this week is a caveat as they are the toughest defense against tight ends (minus 6.6 fantasy points per game).

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Michael Penix Jr.

PositiveMatchup41:41

Had a nice game against Bears last week and now faces 49ers. Matthew Berry notes the 49ers defense is sneaky good but not one to shy away from. With Falcons' offense capable of putting up points, Penix could be pushed into a game script where he throws 40-45 times instead of the preferred 30, making this a favorable streamer matchup. Statistically he's gotten better every start (four so far) despite coming off a significant ACL injury with no training camp or OTA reps.

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Mike Evans

NegativeInjury5:37

Evans suffered an Achilles tendonitis injury during Monday Night Football. He will likely miss at least the next game, though his status remains uncertain given his history of playing through injuries. Matthew Berry suggests the Buccaneers could afford to shut him down for a month given their undefeated record and the upcoming bye week, which would provide extra recovery time.

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NegativeRole38:38

Godwin noted as a slot receiver who can win in the passing game alongside Egbuka as the primary outside receiver option for Baker Mayfield's return.

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Mike Washington Jr.

PositiveRole28:39

Washington's role has been growing over the last couple of weeks and he has delivered explosive plays when on the field, hitting big plays in a way that contrasts with Gentry's plodding style; while he lacks standalone value right now, he is a stash candidate who could continue to eat into Gentry's timeshare and would become a fantasy-relevant starter if Gentry were to get injured.

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Omar Cooper Jr.

PositiveValue19:18

Matthew Berry ranks Omar Cooper Jr. ahead of Jacoby Lane in the pecking order of receivers to pick up this week on waivers, placing him as the first priority among available receivers.

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PositiveValue25:45

Omar Cooper Jr. is listed as the top receiver waiver wire target by Matthew Berry, positioned first on the priority list ahead of Antonio Williams, Jacoby Lane, Keenan Allen, and DeMario Douglas.

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Rome Odunze

NegativeBust20:42

Matthew Berry notes that Rome Dunze, drafted as a first-round pick by the Bears, has been outproduced by veteran Keenan Allen, who 'snatched his chain as a rookie,' indicating Dunze has underperformed relative to expectations.

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Romeo Doubs

NegativeInjury22:36

Placed on IR; his absence prompted discussion of DeMario Douglas as a potential waiver wire add, though Matthew Berry does not consider Douglas a priority compared to other available receivers.

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Ryan Flournoy

PositiveValue25:45

Ryan Flournoy is listed as a secondary receiver waiver wire option by Matthew Berry, positioned in the second tier of targets if the top five receivers are unavailable.

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Stefon Diggs

PositiveProjection5:46

With Terry McLaurin out, Stefan Diggs becomes the clear number one receiver for Jaden Daniels; Matthew Berry projects him as a high-end wide receiver three, possibly low-end wide receiver two rest of season. Diggs has posted double-digit fantasy points in three of the past five weeks with McLaurin in and out of the lineup; he's been particularly effective on red zone targets inside the five-yard line where Daniels trusts him one-on-one, including the touchdown from the previous night's game.

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Tanner McKee

NegativeProjection43:39

Listed as a couple other name to try to get at quarterback if top three targets (Baker Mayfield, Aaron Rodgers, Michael Penix) are unavailable. Matthew Berry notes he picked up McKee because of Matthew Berry's advice when Joe Burrow was on bye.

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Terry McLaurin

NegativeInjury8:49

Terry McLaurin was carted off during Monday Night Football and is most likely done for the season. This opens up significant opportunity in the Commanders receiving corps, particularly for Antonio Williams.

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Tre Tucker

PositiveUsage46:29

Had a really good game last week for Raiders. Matthew Berry notes this as part of the context for Raiders' passing game depth with Mayer and Tucker both contributing.

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Tyler Warren

PositiveInjury22:02

Out with injury; had 11 targets before going down, which has opened up additional target volume for Keenan Allen; his return could normalize Allen's target share.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

782
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1:07F-A-B-L-E-T-I-C-S dot com. Fabletics.com slash FFHH. FFHH. Yeah, we're started.
1:10I've just my best Matthew Berry. If I close my eyes, I thought Barry was here, actually.
1:14I was trying to get that energy that only Matthew Berry can bring.
1:18Hey, do you need the gas? And then you gotta attack it.
1:21I don't know how good or bad that was, but it is the Week 7 Waiver Wire show.
1:26Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. If you thought he and I were going to do it, you're absolutely out of your mind.
1:33No, no, we had to bring in an expert, somebody who's going to make us all a lot smarter, and that's exactly what we're doing.
1:39Dwayne McFarland from Fantasy Life joining us. We're going to get great fantasy advice.
1:43By the way, yes, your hair is incredible. I don't want to just gloss over that.
1:48Yeah, what kind of product? It's amazing. How can I get that?
1:51Are those highlights or just natural? Like, what's going on?
1:54Those are highlights. Those are natural. That's, hey, I've got some gray coming in, but my wife's a hairstylist.
1:59She is? And Michelle, I have to say, like, I'm hanging out with a celebrity today because you were on Law & Order SVU one time.
2:06Are you kidding me? Yeah. My wife loves this show.
2:09When I come to bed, so my daughter, she has been raised watching crime shows, and so my daughter, when she was
2:15like eight, would walk around the house going, dun-dun, making the noise from Law & Order.
2:20So, yeah, my wife's like, oh, my God, you've gone to another level.
2:23This woman was on Law & Order SVU. I was a reporter on the steps of the courthouse, and John, what's his name?
2:30Silverman? Jonathan Silverman was a comic who had made a very inappropriate joke, and I was questioning.
2:34I did have a line. I'll say that. I had a line, and that's all I wanted.
2:39It made my life. But I hope your daughter becomes, like, FBI forensic something or other because of this.
2:44Fingers crossed. That was originally what she wanted to do.
2:47Now she wants to be a doctor. Now she's changed her mind.
2:50Okay. She did. She legit wanted to be in that field for about five years.
2:55So then what happened? She's doing really good in school, and she's like, well, I think I want to be a doctor.
3:01Okay. She wants to be that or she wants to be an actress.
3:04She just did the Addams Family this last week.
3:07It was her first lead ever. What? She totally crushed it.
3:10Oh, man. Yeah. Yeah. She was Morticia. Oh, my gosh.
3:13Why not both? Ken Jeong is a doctor. Now look at him.
3:16Hey, that's very true. That is very true. That's the inspiration.
3:19We'll tell her to go after both. She wants to go to NYU.
3:22We're trying to save the tuition. We're like, come on.
3:25Go in-state to UT. But honestly, we'll support wherever she goes.
3:28We got time. Let me talk to her. I'm going to talk to her.
3:32We got to talk a little bit of last night and some recap of the Monday Night Football game.
3:37Unfortunately, the Mike Evans of it all, I think, I don't know anyone who's not upset that Mike Evans has another injury.
3:44So fantasy impact, if or when, he does miss time is what?
3:47Yeah. It sounds like he probably will miss this next game.
3:50But, you know, he's Mike Evans, so he could also just not practice all week.
3:54And then he plays in the game. So we'll see what happens.
3:57It was kind of a mess in the receiver room when we've already got so many other receivers out, right?
4:03Debo Samuel's out. Dazon Stribling is out. Demarcus Robinson's out.
4:06We could get Christian Kirk back this next week.
4:08He is eligible to return from IR. They opened his 21-day practice window last week.
4:12So he would be the guy that, like, if you're in a really deep league, you might think of adding, you know,
4:18if nobody else is on the waiver wire. I think we're going to cover a lot of other names that I think people would rather have.
4:26But I think mostly what this means, it's a little bit of a ding to Brock Purdy and his short-term outlook.
4:31But it's good for George Kittle. It's good for Christian McCaffrey.
4:35I think mostly those two players will just continue to eat right now.
4:38That's a lot of IR. Yeah. I would be very surprised if Mike Evans comes back.
4:43I've had that similar, like, Achilles tendonitis. I mean, I think it would be a terrible idea.
4:47Because think about it. Come back at all? No, no, no, no.
4:51Oh, I was like. Like, if it were me, like, I would shut him down for a month.
4:56Because he's got this game. A bio week gives you a little bit of extra time.
5:00And they're undefeated. Like, they don't necessarily need him right now.
5:03They could afford to lose a few. But assuming he's out, CMC is going to get way more targets.
5:08I think Kittle becomes wide receiver one in that offense.
5:11And they're just going to rely on the running game a little bit more.
5:15But hopefully Mike Evans, they can get him back and healthy when they need him further in the playoffs.
5:20Come on, Mike. Like, okay, commander side. Matthew's not here.
5:23So it's a little easier to sort of talk about this.
5:26But nobody getting carting off. I hate people getting carted off.
5:29In this case, Terry McLaurin. As far as the impact of that on that commander squad and people who may have had him.
5:35Yeah. So, I mean, Terry McLaurin most likely done for the season.
5:39The biggest upgrade here is to Antonio Williams, right?
5:41That's their round three pick out of Clemson. We've already seen one game where Terry McLaurin was out.
5:46And I think the interesting thing that we saw from Williams is he's really thought of as being more of like this underneath kind of slot receiver.
5:54But that's the role that Stefan Diggs really plays in the offense.
5:57But in that last game where McLaurin was out, we saw Antonio Williams playing on the outside, working more down the field.
6:03So I think he's clearly the guy that benefits the most.
6:06And he should be one of the top waiver wire claims this week.
6:10We have one other wide receiver I would probably still put over him that we'll get to in a minute.
6:15But I think they're both in a tier together.
6:18But anytime you get an opportunity to get like a young ascending player that's suddenly stepping into a full-time role, like that's
6:24the perfect thing we want in fantasy. Because we want guys that can step in and help our lineup right away, but
6:30also have an opportunity to grow and really become someone that could help us win our fantasy championships, you know, in the long run.
6:37And I think Williams is certainly that. The other thing I'll say is like Chigo Conquo.
6:41That was who they added from the Tennessee Titans this offseason.
6:44He plays tight end. So now his role is probably going to expand.
6:48He's a guy that was kind of a borderline tight end one.
6:51When you thought about him like in the offseason, it was like, oh, you know, he'll probably be like tight end 15 or 14 in our ranks.
6:59Maybe he moves into the tight end one territory.
7:01But now when we don't have McLaurin, that means more targets are going to come his way.
7:06Just like Mo was talking about a second ago with George Kittle.
7:09Well, if you don't have Mike Evans. So I think that Conquo gets an upgrade here.
7:14I just updated the rest of season projections over at Fantasy Life, and he came in at tight end 14.
7:19We could easily be talking about him as like tight end 10 by next week.
7:23As far as Antonio Williams, he moved into wide receiver four territory, but he could turn into a wide receiver three, maybe even a wide receiver two.
7:31And then Stefan Diggs. He's probably going to be a high end wide receiver three, maybe even a low end wide receiver two the rest of the way.
7:38He's been really good this year when he's been healthy.
7:41Yeah, Chig, I was with him in Tennessee. Really good player.
7:44I mean, Diggs, double digit fantasy points three out of the past five weeks with Terry in and out of the lineup.
7:50Now with Terry out, he's clearly the number one with Jaden there.
7:54Especially with those red zone targets inside the five yard line.
7:57Anytime it's one-on-one, Jaden trusts him. That's how we had that touchdown last night.
8:01And look, I agree. Antonio Williams, I think, is really underrated to come out of Clemson.
8:05I mean, that's a program with a really rich history at wide receiver.
8:09And statistically, I think he had the most receiving yards in program history.
8:12If not, he's up there. Like, really performed great, great volume at the college level.
8:16Prepared him for what he's doing now. I thought it should have been a second-round pick.
8:21He went third. And his role is about to expand significantly.
8:24Jaden not really pushing the ball down the field as much also helps Antonio.
8:28Like, they've been playing him a lot on the slot.
8:31But to your point, also moving him outside, inside.
8:33And so from a PPR sense, just a lot of volume with, like, quick passes, dinking and dunking.
8:38A lot of pressure. And Jaden's been good off of that, just getting the ball out quickly.
8:43I might do some waiver wire activities this time around, Dwayne.
8:46I think I finally reached that point in my life.
8:49I'm like, I need to pay attention today. You've been losing too much?
8:52No, actually, I've been winning. I just feel like it's time to really put the hammer down.
8:57Announce my presence with authority. Commanders also announced before this game that on the IR, they were placing Ja'Cory Krosky-Barrett.
9:02So as far as Rashad White and what that does to his value, what can you tell us?
9:07Yeah, it's really good. I mean, last night he played 72% of the snaps with Bill.
9:12Quote-unquote Bill is the name for JCM. He was out 54% of the rushing attempts.
9:16So they still gave some of the carries to McNichols.
9:19A few carries still went to Austin Eckler. But the big thing we care about, especially in PPR, half PPR formats, 60% route share for Rashad White.
9:26And this is a guy that was a really good receiver in college.
9:30He was a really good receiver early on in his career in Tampa Bay.
9:34And so now he's going to get most of that work.
9:37And we're in an offense that we just talked about that is down Terry McLaurin.
9:41So there are a few more targets available. So last night he had a 15% target share.
9:46Like historically, that's really good for our running back.
9:48And those are just free points, right? Even if it's a catch for a yard, you're like, okay, 1.1 points added to my fantasy score for the week.
9:56So it's kind of a cheat code whenever you think about the way fantasy gets played versus that's not a super how
10:02that's not a really valuable thing to an NFL team, right?
10:05A one yard catch. You know, but in fantasy it does matter.
10:08So that is one of the tricky things about fantasy with people that love the NFL and they get into it.
10:14And they're like, well, that's not a very valuable play.
10:17And you're like, well, that's where the rules of this game slightly change the math.
10:21Yeah. I mean, even the way they threw him that one yard pass, like it's really hard in the NFL.
10:27I mean, really any level of football to find a receiver that you can split out and play wide receiver and actually beat nickel defenders, outside linebackers, one-on-one.
10:34That's what they did. Like they had Jaden Empty down there.
10:37It's kind of very similar to like a Kyron Williams, like where he can be so explosive at receiver.
10:43Same exact thing there for Rashad. Wasn't efficient in the running game, but to your point, you know, his pass catching.
10:48And they're playing from behind a lot too, which also helps in that aspect.
10:52On that very last play, like if they are going to keep using him on third down, I think he needs to improve in pass protection.
11:00Like that sack was on him. They had six guys to block six and it was just a missed, you know, error.
11:06So if you want to continue to expand on that role as a pass catcher, that's going to be something for him to improve on.
11:13But he's so good in his route running, that's a really big asset.
11:16For the record, last night counts as a moral victory, right?
11:19No. Fine. You know what? If Matthew was here, it would be a moral victory.
11:23I think you could take something from that. I got to ask you, because this ramp season, a bad season just got
11:29worse with the news that Devontae Adams now is going to be out six to ten weeks with a ruptured hamstring.
11:35That's a bad one. So as far as their passing game, what can you tell us about that?
11:40Yeah. So, I mean, the role that Devontae Adams plays in the offense is the outside boundary.
11:45Wide receiver, he typically faces the best corner because they'll move Pukunakua around the formation.
11:49They'll hide him, do all these different things. You know, Pukunakua will run a route where he comes out from behind the linemen, right?
11:56And so they just do a lot of creative things.
11:59So that means the other wide receiver really is stuck more in a one-on-one sort of battle.
12:03And I think Mo can speak to this. Like, that's very difficult.
12:07And so Kanata Mumfield is the main name that's probably going to step into that role.
12:11I think we'll see a rotation. Tutu Atwell is more of a slot receiver.
12:15He can give you a vertical presence. And you have Jordan Whittington, who's also really a slot receiver.
12:20He's more of the handcuffed to, like, Pukunakua. He's the guy that does the underneath work, runs the crossers, those sort of things.
12:26So I'm not that excited about Mumfield. I mean, it is the Rams offense.
12:30You know, despite the fact that they're 2-4, it is still a really good offense.
12:34They're going to move the ball. But I think who benefits the most from this is the tight end room.
12:40I think you're going to see Sean McVay lean heavily back into the 12 and 13 personnel stuff.
12:45We've seen Tyler Higbee over these last several weeks.
12:47He is available in 65% of Yahoo leagues right now.
12:50And he has held onto the role despite Colby Parkinson coming back.
12:53But the other name to monitor here is Terrence Ferguson.
12:56Like, that is the guy that has the ceiling as a playmaker.
13:00And he can come back from IR after week 8.
13:02Or actually, he can come back in week 8.
13:05So those are the two names that I would monitor.
13:08It's probably more Higbee as well as Parkinson, I think.
13:10Or not Parkinson. I think one of those two ultimately end up stepping up and helping carry the workload for what we've
13:16seen from Devontae Adams being out of the lineup.
13:19And the other thing it's positive for is Kyron Williams, who's had a really good target share this season.
13:24Not something we've seen from him these last couple of years.
13:27But he was really good as a receiver out of the backfield at Notre Dame.
13:31So I think the target share volume for Kyron is protected with Devontae Adams out.
13:36Yeah, I mean, tight end usage is going to go up.
13:39And we already saw when Puka missed those few games.
13:41I mean, they just amped everything up. And I know it's kind of like one of their two big wide receivers.
13:47But I think it will be similar with Devontae out.
13:50It went up to a 37% target share. So Higbee, Parkinson in the short term before Ferguson comes back.
13:55And then Puka is the obvious one that offense is going to run through him.
13:59I think they're just going to spam targets. I'm kind of hopeful on Tutu Atwell.
14:04Like, Sean McVay likes him. He drafted him relatively early a few years back.
14:07Left, came back. Kind of like a little boomer bust because they're going to extend plays.
14:12And giving him vertical opportunities. But with the volume that Stafford's throwing, it's 261 dropbacks this point in the season.
14:17That's the most he's ever had in his career.
14:20I mean, he's throwing the ball 50-plus times a game.
14:23There's a lot of opportunities out there. 50-plus is nuts.
14:25All right, so that's a lot. There are a lot of names we just went through.
14:30If you had Adams, Evans, McLaurin, you're probably going to need an out of receiver.
14:34Off of the waivers this week. So let's do some waiver wire action right now.
14:38Talk to me first up, Omar Cooper Jr. Yeah, I mean, Omar Cooper Jr., it was his first start in the NFL.
14:44He just came off of IR. He was a round one pick out of Indiana.
14:48In college, he played outside, early part of his career.
14:51But then he kicked inside last year and was really amazing.
14:54So they had him slotted in as being their starting slot wide receiver to begin the year.
14:59The injury derailed things. But this last game, he scored 24 fantasy points.
15:03He led the team in target share. You had Garrett Wilson dealing with Christian Gonzalez.
15:07So that helped things out a little bit. But the bottom line is, again, another round one pick.
15:12And so whenever you think about these guys and the opportunity that they have in front of them, like you just have to buy in.
15:19You want to add these sort of players. He is a must-add in almost all fantasy leagues.
15:23We don't know for sure what's going to happen when Adonai Mitchell comes back.
15:27He's been dealing with a finger injury. But there is a chance that they just decide, really, Cooper can stay on the
15:33field in the two wide receiver sets. He did this last weekend in 12 personnel.
15:37And they could say, when we go to three wide, we're just going to put Adonai Mitchell on the outside.
15:43We'll kick Omar Cooper Jr. to the inside. So he had another touchdown called back on a ticky-tack OPI foul against Tim Patrick.
15:49They could have gone uncalled. So, I mean, we're talking about a guy that could have scored 32 fantasy points in his first outing.
15:56And while the Jets offense hasn't been great, it's been good enough.
15:59And so Garrett Wilson, he's the one there. He's still going to be the one, but the door is open to be
16:05the number two target in this team. I'm actually just kind of interested in what the Jets can look like when they
16:11have all these guys healthy because they also drafted Kenyon Sadiq, who didn't play a big role this last week.
16:17They went more with Mason Taylor. But I think Omar Cooper Jr., this is very similar to the Jeremy Bernard thing last week, right?
16:24The only difference is last week we knew that Michael Pittman Jr.
16:27was on IR. And we also knew that Roman Wilson might be heading to IR.
16:31So we knew a little bit better about the short term, the fact that we knew Jeremy Bernard was going to be playing a full-time role.
16:38That's a little bit in question with Omar Cooper Jr., but man, the ceiling is really high on a player like this.
16:44I'm just surprised in his first game back that he was such a big priority in this offense, and he had almost no rust.
16:51I mean, to your point, he should have had those two touchdowns.
16:54We saw how rusty A.J. Brown, as a veteran, came back dropping all those balls, and it's just hard to incorporate a guy like that without the reps.
17:02First real start, 80% of snaps, 24% target share, immediately becomes the guy.
17:06I mean, A.D. being out also plays a big role in that too.
17:09But I think what he does so well in just adding a different dimension to this offense that they didn't have, just so good against zone.
17:17Knows where to sit in windows. A lot of those catches, if you watch the tape, those deep in-cut routes, and he's
17:23on the same page already with Gino without the reps.
17:25So I think that's only going to continue to get better.
17:29And then the yards after catch, that's always been his big thing at Indiana.
17:32He can always be explosive, can produce yardage once he already catches the football.
17:36So again, that's without A.D. I think even opens up the field even more.
17:40Sadiq's going to be there as well. Braylon is in the backfield.
17:43So I mean, look, this Jets offense, which is crazy to say right now, but very talented in a really high ceiling.
17:50Well, let's get to that ceiling quicker rather than...
17:52It takes forever. Another guy back, Jacoby Lane. Is he someone we should be adding?
17:56Yeah, so Lane came back as well from IR.
17:59He was the third round pick for the Ravens this year.
18:02And he's a guy that's really good in the red zone.
18:05And Moe can probably speak to this one. You know, Jacoby Lane played at USC.
18:09And this is a guy that can make the contested catches.
18:12He's a guy that can win, you know, in these one-on-one scenarios.
18:15And honestly, that's been a little bit of a struggle for the Ravens this year.
18:19Rashad Bateman, you know, feels like every year is an underperformer.
18:23And he's just not been getting it done this year.
18:25He's dealing with a shoulder injury right now. And the other guy that played ahead of him after Rashad Bateman left the game last week was Devontez Walker.
18:33And he's really more of just like this vertical threat, right?
18:36He's the guy you're trying to stretch the field out with.
18:39But if we can get Lamar Jackson, that's the key.
18:42We need Lamar Jackson back in this offense. But Mark Andrews is not playing well either.
18:46Like the door is open for Jacoby Lane to quickly ascend and take over the number two target role in an offense
18:52that we know can score a lot of touchdowns.
18:55So that's something we obviously want to be in on.
18:58I have Omar Cooper Jr. As well as Antonio Williams ahead of him this week in the pecking order of how I
19:04would stack things up at receiver as far as picking up players.
19:07But I do think Jacoby Lane slots in right there third.
19:10And it's another guy that could give you some serious upside.
19:13You're probably not starting him next week. So you just have to remember that.
19:17But you wouldn't start Antonio Williams either. They're going to be on bye next week for the commanders.
19:22But I think he does slot in as the number three receiver that's available.
19:26Beetle, I'm telling you, you need to pick up Jacoby Lane.
19:29Like if I'm going to stand up on the table, there's only two guys today that I'm so convinced are going to
19:35be a massive part of their offense. And one of them is Jacoby.
19:39Because it's very rare. Like he did so well in the preseason.
19:42And Lamar loved him so much that they actually sat him as a rookie so that he wouldn't get hurt.
19:48Now he still got hurt. Right? And I drafted him.
19:50That's awful. I drafted him in my league as kind of like a stash guy thinking they would incorporate him.
19:56Then he got injured. So I had to cut him.
19:59But they desperately need a guy outside of Zay.
20:01Bateman has not been that. Now he's injured as well.
20:04So he's going to be a true number two in an explosive offense.
20:08When Lamar comes back, like I'm telling you guys, pick up Jacoby Lane.
20:11I'm so high on him. I will look. If you watch those videos of him making crazy catches in preseason tape, and
20:17like everyone I know at USC that's played with him, like they're in love with him.
20:22Like maybe top two or three steal of the draft.
20:24Dang. Now I feel pressure to get this segment over with so I can check my stuff.
20:29All right. The young man to the not as young man, Keenan Allen, who's still doing it somehow.
20:34Eight catches last week. Should we be targeting him on our wire?
20:37Yeah. Well, Keenan Allen may not be young, but he continues to look better than young players.
20:42Right? Romo Dunze as a first round pick with the Bears.
20:45Keenan snatched his chain as a rookie. Then last year we were all excited about Ladd McConkie.
20:50And no, it was Keenan Allen that came in and had more targets.
20:53And now it's happening again against Josh Downs, who was a guy that I was really excited about.
20:58The bottom line is Keenan, when he's out there, his quarterbacks trust him.
21:02Period. He knows what to do. He's not in a full-time route role or anything.
21:06He's, you know, you're hoping that he gets to 70 to 75% of the past plays in a game.
21:11But yeah, he is a guy that if you need someone this week, right?
21:15And you need to plug someone into your lineup.
21:18That's where Keenan really comes in. I don't think he has the same upside as the guys we've just talked about before,
21:24but he certainly has a really good floor. And that's what you're looking at with Keenan Allen.
21:29That's such a good point. I didn't really like, until you said it and really consider like, oh, wide receiver, one killer.
21:35Because everywhere he's been like, oh, Dunze, tanks him.
21:37Ladd, everyone's high on after his rookie year. Nope, not anymore.
21:40Now Josh Downs, everyone's like, oh, you're the guy.
21:43Alec Pierce is out. Tyler Warren's out. Nope, Keenan Allen.
21:46Nope. Again. Like, how many seasons can he do this?
21:48Like, it's absolutely unreal. Let's not put a limit on it.
21:51It's just a pride. I mean, receivers don't do this until their 30s, right?
21:55And then even when he's healthy, right? He's been just balling the last three weeks, averaging six catches, nine and a half targets over 60 yards.
22:02Obviously, Tyler Warren out is huge. He had those 11 targets.
22:06So will that continue to be the case when Tyler comes back?
22:09We'll find out. And also the way Daniel Jones is playing, a lot of short passes.
22:13Not really taking shots. That's where Keenan thrives. Some of those little slant routes, option whips, all that kind of stuff.
22:19So Keenan, doing it again. I'm not mad at it at all.
22:22The injury theme, which is the worst theme you could possibly have.
22:26Romeo Dobbs on IR. That was yesterday. So as far as DeBrio Douglas goes, are we considering that a priority now?
22:32I don't think he's a priority. All the names that we've said so far, I would have above, right?
22:37And I think those guys offer more long-term upside, especially when we talk about Antonio Williams and Omar Cooper Jr.
22:42and Jacoby Lane. But if you're just needing a player to start for you this week, we're also not going to have Matt Collins again.
22:49He's not going to be back until week nine.
22:52And I will say DeMario Douglas, he's never really been in a full-time role in the NFL, but he's typically pretty good
22:58whenever he's asked to do these things. And the sneaky part about him this year is he's typically been more this underneath,
23:04kind of beneath the coverage guy, but he's working vertical.
23:07And they're just pushing the ball down the field so much.
23:10And Drake May is just on an absolute heater right now.
23:13So if you're needing someone, we've got four teams on by, I do think that DeMario Douglas is a guy that you can put into your lineup.
23:20I'm thinking he'll probably be in the wide receiver three range for this week.
23:24Again, not the same upside the rest of the season, but he had a 28% target share last week.
23:29It was pretty much him and AJ Brown. That's everything that they were rolling through.
23:34So I do think with the offense so consolidated, you can get a start out of DeMario Douglas if you're in a tough spot this weekend.
23:41And the thing about pop, if you watched last week and even I would venture to say against Chicago coming up this
23:47weekend, notice how many plays are off structure. Meaning when Drake May gets outside of the pocket, DeMario and pop, I mean,
23:53pop rather or whatever you want to call him.
23:55Yeah, either way it works. He mirrors him, right?
23:58So when he's deep on the scramble drill, you come back to your quarterback.
24:02When he's deep, he comes back and vice versa.
24:04Like most of these catches are just Drake May extending plays using his legs and throwing an accurate ball to him on the sideline.
24:11That's why that target share was so high. And he's also solid within structure at slot.
24:15Like everyone says, oh, AJ Brown's back. He's going to take away targets.
24:19Maybe, but maybe not. Because I think safety help will be on the outside and then you could use pop on the
24:25inside with some of the underneath stuff. Yeah, I'm really high on him.
24:29All right. Fair enough. Jalen Knoll, back to back scores in games for the Texans.
24:33Is he worth adding? Yeah. He doesn't have a big enough role to sustain this, but the Texans are just going to
24:39have to find a way to get this guy on the field.
24:42Like he's better than Marvin Harrison Jr. Right now.
24:45Like this is Parker Washington style player, 5'11", 202 pounds.
24:48You can play him inside. You can play him outside.
24:50He played mostly underneath in college, but that's because he played with Jaden Higgins who did more of the vertical stuff.
24:56But if you really watched him, you saw that he had both levels to his game and he's just absolutely destroying every opportunity that he gets.
25:03He has a 2.53 yards per route run on the season.
25:06That ranks 14th in the NFL. So you're going to have to hope that they decide to give him more playing time.
25:13I'm like, newsflash Nick Kaley, you coached the Rams, man.
25:15You had Puka Nakua. You saw him moving them all around.
25:18The guy you coached against last weekend, Liam Cohen, he said, oh, I'm going to do that with Parker Washington.
25:24We should be doing this with Jalen Noel. If you guys watch the film, Jalen Noel clearly looked better than Marvin Harrison Jr.
25:30last week. So he's a guy I definitely want to stash.
25:33He's going to be a bit boom or bust because of his role.
25:37But man, if the role grows, there's a big ceiling here.
25:40And CJ Stroud's playing fantastic. They give him like three snaps and each one's like a 50 yard.
25:45I mean, it's really kind of crazy. Your point is like, bro, he's such a different player too than Marvin.
25:50Like Marvin, if you watch the tape, looks like he has sand in his shoes.
25:55Like not a fast dude on the outside. And Jalen's very shifty at the slot.
25:59Like watch that touchdown he had in the red zone against Jacksonville.
26:02Like he's in the slot, runs this little double move.
26:05Like that nickel defender was like almost on the ground.
26:08It's a really shifty, good route runner. Kind of like the antithesis of Marvin at this point.
26:12Well, are you going to stash him? Stashing. I'm going to see if he actually stashes him.
26:17I'm taking Jacoby first. Yeah, no, I know. We're going to check that in the break.
26:21All right. So that top receiver waiver as is what you got.
26:25Let's go ahead and if you need to take a picture of this for later.
26:29Omar Cooper Jr., Antonio Williams, Jacoby Lane, Keenan Allen, and DeMario Douglas.
26:32And if you can't get any of those guys, which, man, we're going to try, aren't we?
26:37You're cooked. You got Jalen Noel, Malik Washington, Kendrick Warren, Ryan Flournoy, and Kanata Mumfield.
26:41So there you go. Screen grab it. That does it for the receivers.
26:45We will be back with the running backs after the break.
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28:09Welcome back. We got Dwayne here. We got Moe here.
28:12I'm Michelle. Matthew is doing God knows what. And it's time to look at the running back waiver.
28:17Can I ask you if you play fantasy basketball?
28:19I do not. I used to play fantasy basketball, but I do not now.
28:23I had to get down to one sport. No, I totally get it.
28:27You have a life. We get it. All right, we're going to start out in Vegas.
28:31Ashton Gentry, you know, he obviously doesn't look right with the injuries he's got going on right now.
28:36So I'm going to ask you about Mike Washington Jr.
28:39and if he's going to be getting a larger role.
28:42Yeah, I mean, the role's been growing over the last couple of weeks.
28:46We don't know how much of it is tied to injury or how much of it is tied to the fact that
28:52just we're almost a year and a half into Ashton Gentry not being an efficient player.
28:56Right? I mean, this is a guy that we thought might be in the range of being like a B.
29:02John Robinson to Jameer Gibbs. It's just not been the case.
29:05So I do think that Washington is a guy that we want to stash on in our on our fantasy rosters.
29:10But I think the challenge is like, I think you're going to struggle to find like standalone value.
29:15But he is clearly one of these guys that they could start shifting more and more to him.
29:20Like that didn't seem like it would be plausible.
29:23Right? When the year started. But that's just kind of where we are right now.
29:27I actually wrote up in the utilization report this week, like because Ashton Gentry is still getting traded for really big name players.
29:33I saw a trade for Malik neighbors and I was like, look at this point, if someone's willing to pay that much
29:40for Ashton Gentry, I would be willing to move him.
29:42He actually looks very similar to a player we talked about earlier in the season.
29:46And that's Rashad White. Like, yeah, he still gets his receptions and everything.
29:50But honestly, like just looks more like a plotter than this explosive playmaker.
29:54And that is what Mike Washington has given them when they're on the field.
29:58He has hit the big plays. So I do think he could continue to eat into Ashton Gentry's timeshare.
30:03So I would say you can't start him right now, but could grow into a bigger role.
30:08And if something did happen to Gentry, knock on wood, we never want players to get injured.
30:12But that would be a scenario where we where we would want Mike Washington Jr.
30:16in our fantasy lineups. You ready for this one?
30:19I don't know. You ready? Yes. Mike Washington is going to be a Pro Bowl running back in the NFL.
30:24Tony, I will stake everything I know about football on Mike Washington.
30:28Watch the Arkansas Razorbacks last season. A god awful football team.
30:31Over 100 yards. That's not enough, guys. 100 yards isn't that much in the SEC with a bad offensive line.
30:36Let's go to Indianapolis. See what happens. 4-3-3. How much does he weigh?
30:40Like 220, something like that? Yeah. So he has power, speed, size, vision.
30:44Cool. Well, all right. Let's see what the scouts say.
30:46Kubiak. We like Kubiak, right? He's got a good, he knows about football.
30:50He knows things. Stood on the table to draft Mike Washington.
30:53Kubiak, you have Ashton Gentry. We invested a top five pick or whatever he went.
30:57No, we need Mike. I think this is a soft benching.
31:00I think they kind of see Ashton in the ilk of like Trent Richardson when he came out.
31:05And I love Trent. I thought he was going to be good.
31:08He wasn't. I also like Ashton. He's a good guy.
31:11But unfortunately, Mike is just a monster. You need to pick up Mike.
31:15If you need to sell a kidney for Mike, you sell it.
31:18Oh my God. How many people do you think I'm going to pick up?
31:22I don't know, but this is the one. Are you hearing this?
31:25Is this the other one you were going to stand on the table for?
31:29I might actually stand on it. Oh, here's the thing.
31:32He's also explosive. Like, look at their entire careers.
31:35Runs of 18 plus. I'm not doubting you. Gentry has 10 times the carry.
31:38He has five. Mike already has three. All right, so we have to sell a kidney.
31:43Okay, are you writing this down, Dwight? Sell it.
31:45Sell a kidney. Sell it. Here. Goodness gracious. Okay, in New Orleans, Kendra Miller coming off the game with 20, count them, 20 touches.
31:52So is he someone worth adding? He's a short-term ad.
31:55We will eventually get Travis Etienne Jr. back. But right now, he is the primary early down back.
32:00So he's had 56 and 57% of the rushing attempts over the last two games.
32:04So he's one of these guys, if you really are hurting, he can be a stopgap type of player that you can add.
32:10Now, even though he had all those carries, we got nine fantasy points out of it last week.
32:15So if you look at the Saints' offensive line, really does struggle.
32:19They don't create a lot of yards before contact.
32:21So these running backs are really having to do everything on their own.
32:25And then you still have the other guys rotating in on passing downs.
32:28And you guys know Alvin Kamara, like that's his specialty.
32:31So he's going to be out there. CJ Donaldson out of Ohio State.
32:35He is also still getting playing time. So we have a pass-first offense with a pretty bad offensive line and they're rotating guys.
32:41And the way this works, and Mo can speak to this, with a guy like Kendra Miller, you need the game script to work out.
32:48Like basically it needs to be close, right? Or you need to be leading for him to get to his touches.
32:54So it does make him a bit risky because if suddenly the Saints are in this massive shootout or they get down
33:00by a lot, you can see a role like this evaporate.
33:03But I will say like he's going to be in the running back three conversation this week because we have four teams on by.
33:10Yeah. I don't think I'm selling a kidney for this one.
33:13But I think there's some positives. Like he is the lead.
33:16Sell a toenail for this one. With Etienne or however you want to say.
33:19Like he's out for at least another week. So you know he's going to get touches.
33:24He had 22 this past week. There's only four backs in the entire NFL that had more.
33:29And part of it was the game script. Like they got out to a big lead.
33:33But you could also look at it and this offense is potentially hitting its stride, right?
33:37And potentially it can also put up points against the Steelers.
33:41I think he's going to get a lot of touches.
33:43Kind of a workload volume play. His numbers could have even been better than what he posted too.
33:48Like he got tackled on like essentially the one-inch line.
33:51Should have had a touchdown. The very next snap Shuck has a little tush push situation.
33:56Should have been Kendra if you ask me. So I think.
33:59But that's the challenge is they're giving those tush pushes to poor man, right?
34:02Isn't that what we're calling Tyler Shuck now is poor man.
34:05He's poor man's Josh Allen. He has three on the season now.
34:09Damn. I hate. For the record, I hate tush pushes.
34:12Why? I just don't know. I just don't love it.
34:14It's not my favorite. It's not aesthetically pleasing. Yeah.
34:17I just feel we can do better. It's not right.
34:20We can do better guys as a people. Can we talk a little Giants?
34:23Because we got some news this morning. They released Najee Harris.
34:27So I'm wondering now with Tyrone Tracy, is that do we make him a target?
34:31Yeah, I'm still tripped up by the whole press conference that, you know, it wasn't the plan, you know, to not give Scadaboo a single carry.
34:38Right. Like that has to be a plan. That's the only way that that works.
34:42And it might've just been a one game thing, you know, due to the fumbles.
34:46But when you look at Tyrone Tracy, I will just say this about him.
34:50I have no clue to be very clear and transparent about how the running back situation for the Giants is going to work out.
34:57But what I can say is the door's wide open right now.
35:00And how many backfields do we have where we can say, actually for the rest of the season, we don't know who
35:06the starter is, but it could be any of these guys.
35:09And Tyrone Tracy is the guy that has the profile to me that I like the most.
35:14He was a receiver in college, so you can use them out of the backfield.
35:18And let's be honest, if you're going to get a target in this offense, it can't just be a swing pass because
35:24that's when you're going to Malik neighbors. That's whenever you're going to Isaiah likely it's a very highly concentrated offense, but he
35:30is a guy that can actually work down the field, right?
35:33He can run the angle routes. He can run the bullets, the different things that can get him into the quarterback's view.
35:39So I think Tracy is the most explosive player of the guys remaining.
35:43Devin Singletary would be after him. And then Cam Scadaboo, if I still had to make a bet, I think he probably
35:49still leads the backfield, but Cam just has not been good this season.
35:53And maybe it's the injury, but 3.6 yards per carry.
35:55They're not using him in the past game. So he's been a massive disappointment.
35:59And that means that the door is open for Tyrone Tracy, who scored 18 fantasy points last week to take over the backfield.
36:06And that's something that you're going to want to bid on in fantasy.
36:09You're not going to go sell a kidney for this one, but it's definitely a nice speculative ad.
36:14And it's a fun matchup, too, because you're at Houston.
36:17You're expecting them to score a lot of points.
36:20I think they're going to be down early. And to your point with the passing game, that's where Tyrone thrives, really.
36:25He was a receiver in college. He had that receiving touchdown last week.
36:29And one of the big things that they're not as high with Cam on is third down pass protection.
36:34And that's where Tracy can come in and help out as well.
36:38The other thing, too, is if JJ starts, I think I'm more bullish on the running game just in general.
36:43It lifts everyone up. Like, JJ and Blake Corum at Michigan, like, that tandem was special.
36:48It's a totally different—like, as a defensive coordinator, you have to prepare completely differently.
36:51With Jameis in the backfield versus JJ, I think he adds a different dimension to everyone.
36:56All right, well, take a look. Again, get your phones out, take a picture, just in case you want to keep this.
37:02Mike Washington, Kendra Miller, Tyrone Tracy, top running backs.
37:04But if you can't get those guys, how about these guys?
37:07Jonah Coleman, Roshan Johnson, Samajay Pirine, Bam Knight, and Jaleel McLaughlin.
37:11I don't know if any of those jump out to you, but that's what we got for running backs.
37:16All right, we'll be back. We've got quarterbacks and tight ends after the break.
37:20Dwayne, I wish you were here for our in-break conversations.
37:22It's absolutely dumb. What are the best break conversations?
37:25I can hear them. You can? Okay, good. So do you moisturize your hands?
37:29Yes. Thank you. What? This guy is— How many months out of the year, Dwayne?
37:33Twelve. In the winter months, for sure. Okay, winter months.
37:36I live in Texas, so it's humid in the summer.
37:39You don't need it. That's a great point. Thank you.
37:41I forget you're in Texas. And do you moisturize the rest of your body or only your hands?
37:46No, only my elbows when my daughter says, Dad, your elbow looks ashy.
37:50Ashy. I don't see my elbow. I don't know.
37:52Dude, stop talking to me. Okay. Meanwhile, we've spent a billion dollars on products.
37:56Week seven waivers. We're going to look at the quarterbacks.
37:59You know what? Good news. Finally, I've got some good news in here.
38:03Baker Mayfield expected to return to practice this week.
38:05Do we add him now? Yeah, I mean, there's some good matchups on the horizon here for Baker.
38:10You get the Panthers if you're good to go.
38:13That's a plus 1.8 boost to opposing quarterbacks this year.
38:15Tougher matchup, you know, against the Falcons the week after at minus 1.3.
38:19But then you get the Bears and there is a bye.
38:22But after that, you get the Lions. A plus 8.2 points per game boost to opposing quarterbacks.
38:27It just doesn't get better than that. So a really nice stretch here for Baker Mayfield.
38:31And it does look like Emeka Egbuka is awakening from the turf toe slumber.
38:35He's had massive target shares the last two games.
38:38Yeah, I mean, beautiful matchups. I think we could roll out probably Matthew Barry there and give us like 15 points.
38:43But yeah, I think Baker's just, I think he's itching to get back, right?
38:47Like this is a fiery competitor. He has two receivers he can trust.
38:51I think Ebuka's a solid wide receiver one in a football sense.
38:54Godwin's there in the slot can win as well.
38:57The backfield's coming together. So you couple that with the matchups, I think Baker can give you something.
39:02Kind of love this because I'm rooting for the oldies.
39:04Aaron Rodgers, usable fantasy numbers, pass-heavy Steelers offense. How long do we think he can keep it up?
39:09More than usable. I mean, that's a nice one.
39:12Yeah, I mean, yeah, I mean, he's been solid.
39:14And I mean, if you look at Aaron Rodgers this week, you know, you get the Saints.
39:19That could be a potential shootout opportunity. The Saints have been pretty good against quarterbacks, a minus 1.9 fantasy point per game boost.
39:25But I'm not totally bought in on it. You know, we're still early in the season.
39:30So I think that that's a very winnable matchup for him.
39:33So, yeah, I think we're in a situation where you can use Rodgers.
39:37I'm going to go off script just a tad, though.
39:39I am going to call out Kyler Murray was dropped a lot last week because he was on buy.
39:45He's available in 52% of Yahoo leagues. This guy gets Indianapolis plus 1.6 boost.
39:48Detroit plus 8.2 and then the Bills plus 0.4 plus 4.3 points per game.
39:52So Kyler scrambling around the last game might be getting in sync with the Kevin O'Connell system.
39:57Justin Jefferson's back. We'll see if we get Jordan Addison this week.
40:00But that would be the name that I would that I would throw out there that I would take over all the guys that we're talking about.
40:08Wow. My phone is so slow. Yeah, I am.
40:10I am really high on Kyler. I guess that's more of a would you agree, Dwayne?
40:15And more of like projecting what he can, what we think he can be in the KOC offense of the last few halves.
40:21Whereas Aaron has been producing. So like maybe a higher floor kind of situation.
40:25Yeah, it's the ceiling because when you get the dual threat quarterbacks, that is the cheat code in fantasy.
40:30And Kyler, like, I mean, look, the Vikings defense is really good.
40:34So that's the thing that stifles the offense because it's like, well, we just don't have to do that much because our defense destroys everyone.
40:41So you have to keep that in mind. But these three matchups are really great in the last two games that Kyler's played.
40:47He's looked better in each one. So I would say the ceiling case for Kyler is like, I could still I could
40:53still see a world where we look up and we're talking again in three or four weeks because you guys tell Matthew
40:59he can take a week off because you want to hang out with me.
41:03And it's like, you know, Kyler might be a top eight quarterback the rest of the way.
41:08We're not going to get there with Rogers. It's always going to be, yeah, mid range QB two.
41:13We like him as a QB one this week.
41:15But Kyler, he really could break into that conversation.
41:18Yeah, he's looking good. But to your point, it's always weird like play calling when you know your defense is so good.
41:24Like if you're holding the opponent's offense to like 10 points or like a touchdown in some cases, it's like we could be a little bit more conservative.
41:31But I think he's improving a ton. Well, Dwayne, I tried.
41:35He's not available in either one of mine. People were quicker.
41:38I didn't look him up. A-A-Ron I did not look at.
41:41Michael Penix. Nice game against the Bears last week.
41:43Now he's got the 49ers. So what are we thinking about this matchup?
41:47Yeah. So, I mean, I think where you want to start Penix is this kind of game.
41:51Their defense is sneaky good as well. And they've dealt with some injuries.
41:55So they've overcome some things. Really nice job by the defensive coordinator there.
41:59And so with the 49ers, it's not the greatest matchup.
42:01But I don't think that they're like one of these defenses that you have to shy away from.
42:06And we know their offense can put up points.
42:09And those are the games that have pushed Michael Penix and the Falcons out of their comfort zone of saying, basically, we're
42:15just going to drop back to throw like maybe half the plays.
42:18And we're just going to run Bijan Robinson because, you know, why wouldn't you?
42:22Bijan's an amazing player. And so this is the kind of game where I think you can get behind a Michael Penix
42:28and you're like, you know, they could be trailing.
42:31He might need to throw the ball 40, 40, 40, 45 times instead of what they want to do, which is like
42:37have him throw the ball 30 times in a game.
42:40And so this is the kind of matchup that you're looking for for Penix if you're needing a streamer this week.
42:45Unrelated, but like a really weird stat with Penix.
42:48I don't even know how this is actually possible.
42:50He's winless in games with at least three touchdowns and no interceptions.
42:54Huh. Like I don't even. That's a weird stat.
42:56How strange is that? Like I saw that the other day and I was like, how's that?
43:01Anyways. Did everybody write it down? Yeah. That is a weird stat though.
43:05I think statistically he's gotten better every start. I think it's been four or so, so far.
43:09We kind of just overlook the knee because he just came in and came in firing.
43:14But that was really significant. That was like fourth or fifth ACL.
43:17So the lack of mobility obviously hurts from a fantasy perspective.
43:20He needs to get the ball out a little bit quicker because of that and see the field.
43:25But as the game starts to slow down a little bit more, I think he's going to continue to improve.
43:31Remember, no training camp, mini camp, any of those OTA reps.
43:34It's like these are those ones that are getting him going.
43:37And that fast start is really useful. You know what?
43:39It's telling me I don't need to go to training camp.
43:43And I don't want to, to be quite frank.
43:45Apparently you don't. Quarterbacks, let's summarize it for you.
43:47Baker Mayfield, Aaron Rodgers, Michael Penix. Those are the top three targets if you can grab them.
43:52And if not, Deshaun Watson, Tanner McKee. A couple other names that you might want to try to get.
43:57I have Tanner McKee because that was a Matthew advice thing, Dwayne.
44:01I actually did it because Joe Burrow was on a bye.
44:04And I know no one cares about my fantasy team.
44:07It's fine. Tight ends. Every time I start to talk about it, I'm like, shut up.
44:11Minnesota, TJ Hawkinson. Good to say. How do we feel about the matchup for this?
44:15Yes. I mean, Hawkinson, we just need to make sure that he's going to be back.
44:20They had the bye week. So we're thinking that he will be.
44:23But, you know, he's become a favorite of Kyler Murray.
44:26He had a 41% target share in week four.
44:28Now that is what Jordan Addison banged up. Who's dealing with a hamstring.
44:32So I think this one's a little bit contingent on will Jordan Addison be available this coming week?
44:37If he is, that hurts Hawkinson because we know Justin Jefferson's going to get his.
44:41And then whenever that happens, it's like, all right, is this going to be TJ Hawkinson week?
44:46Or is this going to be the Jordan Addison week?
44:48They also still have Juwan Jennings. So I think it does make it a little bit tricky.
44:53But he's certainly worth, you know, using as a streamer this weekend.
44:56So let's see what happens with Addison. I'm a lot more bullish on TJ Hawkinson if Addison is out versus with Addison in the lineup.
45:03Yeah, I think Jordan makes a big difference. But even with Jordan there, like, I prefer TJ in the red zone, right?
45:09And it's been well documented. Kyler's relationships with tight ends all the way back to Arizona.
45:14An insanely high target share. Just a position that you really trust in the middle of the field on some of those benders.
45:20And everything that TJ does, great. And it's a really favorable matchup with Indianapolis, right?
45:24Not a good team in general. An awful defense.
45:27They just fired their GM. They're kind of in scrambles.
45:30So love the matchup. And I love what TJ has in terms of relationship with his quarterback, Kyler Murray.
45:35Back to Vegas we go. Michael Mayer gone over 80 yards, two of his past three.
45:39Should we be looking to add? Yeah, so Michael Mayer is a guy that's funny because, like, he was a really good prospect.
45:46Like, I have a prospect model that I build that uses all the things we look at in college that best predict future performance.
45:52You know, in the NFL, it's done really well.
45:55And Michael Mayer is a guy that when he came out, the model really liked.
45:59But then Brock Bowers lands on the team. And it's like, what are you going to do?
46:04Like, an alien just landed, you know, on your planet.
46:07And he's got superpowers. And there's nothing you can do about it.
46:10But what's interesting is since Brock Bowers has been back in week three, this team leads the NFL in running 12 personnel, right?
46:16Where you've got two tight ends on the field.
46:19And in those games, Michael Mayer has seen plenty of targets.
46:22He's been on the field a lot. And also, opposing teams, man, they are just putting their best cover corner on Brock Bowers at this point.
46:29Like, we've seen it multiple times now. The Broncos showed everyone that last year early in the season.
46:34And now other teams are like, oh, we're playing the Raiders.
46:37We're just going to put our top coverage player on Brock Bowers and see what happens.
46:41And in those scenarios, Michael Mayer is like the next guy up.
46:45He's the next best target that they have. Trey Tucker also had a really good game last week.
46:50So I do think that Michael Mayer is here to stay.
46:53I moved him up to mid-range tight end to territory rest of the season.
46:57But he's certainly one of these guys in any given game.
47:00He can be a low-end tight end one. And that's absolutely what we've seen from him.
47:04The interesting thing is, like, obviously they run that 12 personnel, the one running back, two tight end look.
47:09But it's not a traditional 12 where, like, if you watch even the Bears or the Rams, like, a lot of these
47:16guys are end line on the line of scrimmage.
47:18With Brock, he's a receiver. He's more of a receiver than he is a tight end.
47:22So he's split out wide. And that still gets identified as 12 even though he's basically a receiver.
47:27So Michael Mayer is, like, just their tight end one.
47:30Like, you just have to, like, recalibrate in your head what Michael Mayer is.
47:34And the productions match that. He's a really big part of that passing game.
47:38They love to throw it to tight ends. 12-plus fantasy points in three of the last four games.
47:43So really good in terms of a high floor.
47:45And then just in terms of him being targeted and used on some of these concepts, over 70% route rate in those
47:52three or four games, even since Bowers has come back.
47:54So Bowers being in the lineup hasn't affected him because he's playing tight end and Brock's playing wide receiver.
48:00He's also giving you— One small note, Michelle. Sorry, go ahead, Wayne.
48:03No, on the Raiders, their matchup this week, that's the one caveat.
48:06They play the Rams. They have been the toughest defense against tight ends this season.
48:10Minus 6.6 fantasy points per game to opposing tight end rooms.
48:13So Hawkinson, probably a little bit of a better start this week if we don't have Addison.
48:18Mayer's giving you a run for your money in the hair department in the headshot that he's shared with us.
48:24He has great hair. He also has a chin dimple, so he's got a couple things going.
48:28Mixed emotions on that. All right, so here we go.
48:31Hawkinson and Mayer, top two ads if you can, if they're unavailable.
48:34Okonkwo, who we discussed earlier. Higby, Parkinson, probably both to see bigger roles in Rams offense with Devontae Adams out.
48:40Real quick, on the defense side for week seven, Browns against the Titans.
48:44Jets facing the Dolphins. Panthers against the Bucs. Top three ads.
48:47We never give them enough love, do we? It's just sad.
48:50Anyone against the Titans. Dwayne, this has been a pleasure, and we thank you.
48:54It's been my pleasure. I appreciate you. We will talk soon.
48:57Moe and I aren't finished yet, though. We will be back with Last Call.
49:01Man, we are rebels. NBA season tips off today, and since Matthew ain't here to stop us, we're breaking tradition here on Last Call.
49:07Football over here. Hoops, hot takes. Moe, I'm going to get us started.
49:11We're just going to look ahead. It's never too early to put the end of the season awards.
49:16Rookie of the Year. It was a tough one for me.
49:19Cam Boozer is the favorite. His coach loves him.
49:21That's a good sign. But I'm going to go with the dude up in D.C., A.J.
49:26DeVansa. Plus 500. That's worth a buck. Yeah, I think there's too many good players and 20 shooters in Washington.
49:31I have to go Darren Peterson in Utah because he is a bucket.
49:35And it's a bad team. He's going to have so much usage.
49:38It's always a bad team. Well, because, yeah, think about it.
49:41In terms of the rookies, a lot of them are going to teams with already guys scoring with high volume.
49:47And he is Utah right now. That's sad, by the way.
49:50Well, we're done tanking in Utah, right? We've got to be done.
49:53You can't do it every year. No, they're not going to tank.
49:56He's their number one guy. He's holding the ball, right?
49:59I think DeVansa. I will say this about Cam Boozer.
50:02And I heard his coach the other day on radio talking.
50:05He really loves him. Apparently picks things up like this.
50:08Boozer, yeah. He's like the opposite. But the numbers aren't going to be the same, right?
50:12Too soon. Well, no. No, different circumstances. MVP, I don't know if you know this.
50:16Big Spurs fan. So what am I going to say?
50:19Not Wemby? Of course I'm going to say Wemby.
50:22And he is the favorite, which kind of bugs me a little bit.
50:25Yeah. This is the most obvious thing in the world.
50:28Easy money. Good job. I can't go out on a limb on this one.
50:32That's what I believe in my heart. Yeah, this is the year where Wemby really solidifies himself as the face of the NBA.
50:38Thank you. Right? And, I mean, you just said the most obvious thing in the world.
50:43So let's actually give the audience some good value here.
50:46That's not how this works. Giannis. How is it good value if it's not going to happen?
50:50You're just throwing money away. At plus 1,400. Are you kidding me?
50:54Just. Did everyone else stop playing basketball? 16 months ago, he was getting MVP votes.
50:58Now we put him with the best coaching staff in the NBA.
51:01He's going to get assists. He's never had shooters and spacing in the way he has now.
51:06Have you been watching Miami Heat preseason basketball? Sir.
51:08This human team is going to average a triple, double, a career year from Miami.
51:12He is going to be revitalized in South Beach with the Latinos.
51:16The weather is great. You're not in Milwaukee. It doesn't matter because Giannis is feeling good and healthy.
51:21He's got iguanas he's dealing with. He's already freaking out about them.
51:24They are terrifyingly big. By the way, have I been watching Miami preseason?
51:28No. The answer is no. And that probably goes for a lot of people.
51:31Shame on you. That is ridiculous. As a person with no life, I won't.
51:35You just put up like 20, 15, and 9.
51:38Okay, I'm going to need you to stop. NBA champ.
51:41Yeah. Anybody can just do that. But we want to do the exact result.
51:45We want to figure out how we got there.
51:47So don't want to jinx it. Spurs over the Pacers in the finals.
51:5145 to 1. I'm going to retire. Finally. Woo.
51:53I feel good about it. Pacers are a hot take, but I'm not mad at it.
51:58This is good. This would be – I don't know why I feel it.
52:01You could call it a vision. My vision stuff is – but there's something about the Pacers that I feel like we're just overlooking.
52:08Yeah, I think it just comes down to – and Reese, right?
52:11Like, how healthy is he? Is he going to come back to form?
52:15Oh, for sure. But yeah, I mean, look. The East is wide open, which I think this is the year for Miami to get back to the finals.
52:23I think they face the Spurs. I think it's a rematch.
52:26I think it's a rematch of those old school LeBron versus Tim Duncan.
52:2914 at 14. Now, the Spurs do have the best of that series, but I think it's going to be a good one.
52:36I think we have the coaching advantage. We, as in the Miami Heat, I'm a part of the organization.
52:41Does Eric Spolstra know how much you love him?
52:44No. I wish. That 8-1 is – look. I wish.
52:46If you're going to put a dollar on something, I suppose this might be the dollar that you want to put down.
52:52Yeah, look. How often in – It's going to be a long season.
52:56How often in professional sports is it like the obvious pick occur, right?
53:00So usually it's something in preseason that if they told you it would happen, you would say they're crazy.
53:05And right now, that's me. Well, look at baseball.
53:07Baseball World Series. You've got the two teams with the best records.
53:11But before the season started, nobody picked Tampa and Milwaukee.
53:13100%. 100%. So I don't know if I made your point or mine.
53:17I'm lost. I can't remember how it was. It's going to be fun.
53:21Spurs today, though. Tonight, who you got? Spurs tonight.
53:23They play OKC at home. I wish I was going to be there.
53:27If somebody wants to send me a PJ, I can be ready to go in about half an hour.
53:32Willie and I are good. Matthew Bayer will call you on.
53:35Shoot. You know what? I have the Spurs, but it's the first game.
53:39So let's not panic or overreact. What do you think about Embiid not watching the ring ceremony?
53:43I love it. I'm not super high on that.
53:46Why would I want to watch that? It's a little bit soft.
53:49I've got to use the restroom at that time.
53:52That's how that's good. If you're using it to prepare for the game, sure.
53:56But if you just don't want to watch it because you're bitter, I'm not a fan of that.
54:01That's it for the happy hour. You don't have to go home, but you can't stay here.
54:05Got to bat at that. That sounded just like him.

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