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First Class Fantasy - Week 9 Fantasy Football Favorites and Fades

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

16 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Nov 6, 2026
Published
Fri, November 6, 2026
14
Player insights
14
Players mentioned
Topics
Adonai MitchellBo NixChase BrownDalton KincaidGeno SmithGeorge PickensJayden DanielsJonah ColemanJordan AddisonJosh JacobsMalik WillisMichael WilsonSam LaPortaTyler Warren
Player analysis

Player insights

14

Adonai Mitchell

NegativeMatchup5:09

Chiefs rank 2nd versus wide receiver position; Mitchell had a strong week with 7 receptions on 9 targets for 142 yards and a receiving touchdown. However, Retzlaff fades him this week because Garrett Wilson is out, which changes defensive attention and makes the Jets vulnerable at Arrowhead. The matchup against the Chiefs' elite pass defense is unfavorable.

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Bo Nix

PositiveProjection8:30

Panthers rank 15th versus quarterback position; the Broncos-Panthers game has an over-under of 43.5 with the Broncos as 2.5-point favorites. Retzlaff sees this as a sneaky over and expects Bo Nix to continue his trajectory to get right. He recommends Nix as a gem play for superflex leagues as a second quarterback option, noting he's been hidden this whole season.

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Chase Brown

PositiveMatchup0:57

Falcons rank 28th versus running back position; Brown scored 16 fantasy points in week eight with a receiving touchdown that was called back, suggesting even higher upside. Retzlaff highlights a favorable stretch ahead: while the Steelers present a tough matchup, Brown gets the Commanders and Saints in the next two weeks, with three of the next four games looking good.

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Dalton Kincaid

NegativeProjection14:18

Vikings rank 1st versus tight end position; Kincaid is inconsistent, described as a whack-a-mole player who is excellent one week and disappears the next. Retzlaff has him ranked 15th this week. Last week Kincaid posted 18.6 fantasy points, but he has also had games with only 3 points, making him unreliable. The Jamison Williams element adds volatility to the Vikings offense.

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Geno Smith

NegativeMatchup9:36

Chiefs rank 6th versus quarterback position; Smith has been a perfect streamer but Retzlaff is leery of a big game for him this week. With Garrett Wilson out, the Jets face a tough environment at Arrowhead, and Retzlaff expects more of a floor play from Smith rather than ceiling upside.

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George Pickens

PositiveUsage4:03

Colts rank 6th versus wide receiver position; Pickens has posted sub-60% snap share in the last two weeks (60% and 57%), suggesting targets should increase. Retzlaff notes the Cowboys' emphasis on George Pickens and expects increased production, stating 'we don't play scared.' If Pickens doesn't go off this week, it would be fair to be concerned, but confidence is warranted now.

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Jayden Daniels

NegativeProjection10:18

Rams rank 13th versus quarterback position; Retzlaff has Jayden Daniels ranked 13th and is fading him this week despite still plugging him into lineups. He doesn't trust Daniels versus better competition and better-coached teams, noting that part of the issue is the Commanders' coaching situation. The over-under is 48.5 with the Commanders as 4.5-point underdogs, but Retzlaff doesn't see ceiling upside and expects tempered production.

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Jonah Coleman

PositiveMatchup0:18

Panthers are 31st versus running back position; Coleman posted 20 fantasy points in week eight with 63 receiving yards and 41 rushing yards. Retzlaff expects more production on the ground, noting that Coleman's preseason scouting report as a jack-of-all-trades has come to fruition, making him a favorable play this week.

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Jordan Addison

PositiveMatchup3:21

Bills rank 28th versus wide receiver position; Addison has chemistry with Carson Wentz, who is starting for the Vikings this week. In four games together last season, Addison posted 200-yard games and found the end zone twice. Retzlaff loves him as a flex play against the Bills' weak pass defense.

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Josh Jacobs

NegativeProjection1:26

Patriots rank 6th versus running back position; Jacobs has posted yards-per-carry of 3.27 and 1.86 in recent games, indicating inefficiency on the ground. While receiving usage has been strong (seven and six targets in both games back) and he has found the end zone both weeks, Retzlaff warns that if Jacobs does not score, his production will regress significantly. Expectations should be tempered despite his current lineup inclusion.

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Malik Willis

PositiveMatchup7:12

Lions rank 32nd versus quarterback position; Willis has shown rushing upside with eight rushes in each of his last two contests. Retzlaff expects this trend to continue, noting that if the Dolphins fix the rushing volume, Willis will have a big day. The matchup against Detroit's weak pass defense is ideal, and Retzlaff recommends lifting the boat with Willis as a streaming option.

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Michael Wilson

NegativeProjection6:00

Seahawks rank 1st versus wide receiver position; Wilson posted 26.8 fantasy points last week with 8 receptions on 15 targets for 111 yards and a touchdown against the Cowboys. However, Retzlaff tempers expectations significantly, noting that Gardner Minshew's pattern is to excel in mop-up duty and then regress. With the Seahawks now able to prepare and the element of surprise gone, Retzlaff expects regression to around 15 points.

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Sam LaPorta

PositiveMatchup12:00

Dolphins rank 30th versus tight end position; Laporta has had back-to-back duds but Retzlaff expects him to find the end zone and get right this week. Prior to the bye week, Laporta posted 22 and 19 fantasy points in consecutive games. The matchup against Miami's weak tight end defense is perfect for a bounce-back performance.

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Tyler Warren

NegativeMatchup13:06

Cowboys rank 16th versus tight end position; Warren faces a critical matchup this week, with Retzlaff noting that if Warren doesn't hit, he may be cooked for the season. However, Warren gets the Cowboys this week and the Dolphins next week, providing a potential sell window for those looking to exit. The over-under is 51.5 with the Colts as 5.5-point underdogs.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

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0:00Hey Jeremiah Retzlaff here. Favorites and Fades. Normally we do rankings, myself and Pete.
0:05Pete and I will be back together next week.
0:08So I'm going to give you two favorites, two fades at each position for this week.
0:14Be right so you don't have to get right.
0:18Let's kick it off with favorites. Running back position, Jonah Coleman.
0:22And look, any dickhead out there can say start Jameer Gibbs.
0:26We're trying to get you some more gems and some sharp fades.
0:30So the names aren't going to be, you know, top five players per se.
0:35Right? So let's go. Jonah Coleman at the Panthers.
0:39Panthers are 31st versus running back position. We got a 20 burger in week eight for reception 63 yards for Jonah Coleman 41 rushing yards.
0:48I expect more on the ground between tackles, but our preseason read our scouting report on Jonah Coleman Jack of all trades is come to fruition.
0:57It's very satisfying. Fire him up at Panthers. Next up, Chase Brown at the Falcons.
1:0328th versus running back position. 16 fantasy points in week eight.
1:07Had that touchdown callback receiving touchdowns. So it could have been an even bigger day.
1:12Really good stretch here for Brown. He'll get the Steelers in a tough matchup, but then he gets the Commanders and Saints in the next two weeks.
1:22So three of the next four games are looking good.
1:26Fades at the running back position. Fades at the running back position.
1:30Josh Jacobs at the New England Patriots. Six. They are versus running back position.
1:353.27 and 1.86. That number is yards per carry for Josh Jacobs.
1:40So the receiving, ironically, it's been great usage in the receiving game, has saved Jacobs.
1:45Seven and six targets in both games back. And Jacobs has also found the end zone both weeks.
1:52So if he does not fall into the end zone, Josh Jacobs, it's going to get real ugly for his production.
2:00So I can see some regression there. I've got him on some teams, so I don't want the fade, but I got
2:08to call it how I see it. So you're still going to put him in the lineup, though, but we're tempering expectations on these fades.
2:17Temper expectations is how I would put it. Tyler Algier at the Seahawks.
2:22Their 19th versus running back position. We had a 36 point game.
2:26Algier is just going to flat out come back down to earth.
2:30Of course, you plug and play a guy on your bench when you need options.
2:36But by all means, you got to temper expectations.
2:39And you just don't get just those big games back to back like that from a guy like Tyler Algier.
2:47I would be very, very happy with 15. Like if you could sign it right now, I'd be like, boom, sign me up.
2:55Wide receiver favorites. Jordan Addison versus the Bills. Their 28th versus wide receiver position.
3:00And of course, as I mentioned earlier in the show, anybody can recommend some stud wide receivers.
3:06So I expect big things from Justin Jefferson. But on that track path, I am loving some Jordan Addison because we get Carson Wentz.
3:15If you recall, Jordan Addison had some chemistry with Carson Wentz last season.
3:20200 yard games in the four games they played together.
3:24Found the end zone twice. So fire up Jordan Addison.
3:27I love him as a flex play. Next up, George Pickens.
3:31All right. He's been a stud, but not as of late at the Colts.
3:36The Colts are six versus the wide receiver position.
3:40Last two weeks, 60 and 57 percent snap share.
3:43So sub 60 percent snap share for George Pickens.
3:46I expect the targets to go up squeaky wheel type of game upcoming.
3:51And then you also have to ask, why are the Cowboys talking about an emphasis on George Pickens?
3:58Losing does that. They need to make changes. So fire up George Pickens with confidence.
4:03If he doesn't go off this week, it's fair to be concerned, but we're not scared.
4:09We don't play scared. Fades. This one's going to hurt, but Adonai Mitchell at the Chiefs.
4:15Chiefs are second versus wide receiver position. Seven receptions on nine targets last week.
4:20142 yards and a receiving touchdown. So happy for him.
4:24There's no Garrett Wilson. It's looking like if there's no Garrett Wilson, it changes the defensive attention.
4:30And I expect the Jets to run into some trouble at Arrowhead against the Chiefs.
4:35It's just things are adding up so well for the Jets this week.
4:40Michael Wilson. He's another fade at the Seahawks. They're number one versus wide receiver position.
4:46You've got Gardner Minshew. No more Jacoby Bursette. I worry about Minshew because he really is the king of showing up, mop
4:54up duty, crushing, and then coming back down to earth.
4:57It's his M.O. So last week, Michael Wilson. Eight receptions.
5:0115 targets. 111 yards. And a touchdown. So 26.8 fantasy points.
5:05And you're saying, well, what's going on? How do you not just roll right back?
5:11I'm going to temper expectations as it was the Dallas Cowboys.
5:15And you have the element of surprise in Gardner Minshew.
5:18And now you get the Seahawks who can prepare.
5:22So I'm just going to say the same thing.
5:25I'd be very, very happy with a 15-point game.
5:28Kind of like the Tyler Algier corollary. So we shall see on that.
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6:51Sport.fun there. Get out there. Here we go. Favorites and fades.
6:55We're continuing on to the quarterback position. A favorite of ours this week, Malik Willis versus the Lions.
7:01They're 32nd against the quarterback position. One thing we've been able to do entirely in all the weekly ranking shows with Pete,
7:10some of the shows that I have with Shev on the FFD, where we're looking at plays of the week.
7:17Who can we attack against the other side of the Buffalo Bills?
7:21Who can we attack on the other side of the Detroit Lions?
7:26So I love this. The Patriots game, it was tougher.
7:29Only got 14.6 fantasy points. But the prior two games, I really hope this continues and ends up being a trend.
7:37The prior two games, eight rushes in both contests each for Malik Willis.
7:42So if the Dolphins fix that, Willis has a big day.
7:46So to me, Dolphins' young talent is going to ascend in the second half, meaning we're going to get good games for Malik Willis.
7:55Whether Malik Willis is a future really remains to be seen.
7:59But it's funny, when you're on Sleeper or any of those apps that you're playing, you see that green right next to the matchup.
8:07It's Detroit Lions, and it's been like that all season.
8:11So fire up Malik Willis. You don't necessarily know, is it Caleb Douglas?
8:16Will it be Chris Bell? Malik Washington? Who can you really rely on right now?
8:21Why not just, instead of spread and shred, just make sure you get some of all in lifting the boat with somebody like Malik Willis.
8:31Next one, a favorite. Again, we're not out here.
8:34I'm not sitting here going to be, hey, play Josh Allen.
8:38It's too easy. Bo Nix at the Panthers. They're 15th versus the quarterback position.
8:43This is a deep cut. If you remember albums, when people actually had them, have a song like song 6, 7, 9, whatever.
8:51It was deep, and it was good. And that was a deep cut.
8:56That's what they called it. The overrunner in this game for the Broncos and the Panthers, 43.5.
9:02Low total. Broncos, 2.5 point favorites. I see this game opening into a low-key shootout.
9:08I think it's a sneaky over, and I expect Bo Nix to continue on his trajectory to get right.
9:15So that's a recommendation play. Superflex, as your second quarterback, I think you feel much better than you have in prior weeks.
9:23So again, going in the deep cut, if you've got any of those top 12 quarterbacks, you're starting them for consensus ranks.
9:31But Bo Nix, I think he's somebody that you should look for.
9:36So he's a gem out there. Pretty hidden, right?
9:39It's felt pretty hidden this whole season. Fades. Going back to the Jets front, I spoke about it with Adonai Mitchell.
9:47Geno Smith at the Chiefs. Six versus the quarterback position are the Chiefs.
9:51Tough environment. Smith has been the perfect streamer. Possible we have no Garrett Wilson.
9:56I'm leery of a big game for Smith. I expect more of a floor play for him.
10:03So that's just a simple read on that. And then this one is juicier.
10:08For me, it's Jayden Daniels versus Rams. I'm still plugging him in the lineup, but my expectations are absolutely tempered.
10:15The Rams are 13th versus the quarterback position. I personally, speaking of 13, I have Jayden Daniels ranked 13th.
10:22I am fading him this week. I don't trust him versus better competition and better coach teams.
10:28Part of that isn't necessarily Jayden Daniels' talent skill set.
10:32Part of that is the symptom of the coaching of the commanders.
10:36And I think we're going to have a new coach soon for the commanders.
10:42Whether it's in-season or off-season, I think we're going to have new coaching established for the commanders.
10:48The over-under suggests plenty of scoring, 48.5, with the commanders 4.5-point underdogs.
10:52But again, I just don't get a good feeling on any type of a ceiling game for Jayden Daniels.
10:59And in the comments, let me know if you kind of feel the same way too when it's easier, simple, nice, you know, like the Dallas Cowboys, Giants.
11:09I mean, God, NFC East opponents. You're like, oh, JD5 is going to go off.
11:15But some of these tougher defenses, I don't get that feeling like he could really go off.
11:21Let me know how you feel in the comments.
11:24Tight ends, favorites and fades. Sam Laporta at the Dolphins.
11:28So you notice a little correlation. A lot of Lions.
11:32A lot of Dolphins this week. Sam Laporta at the Dolphins.
11:36They're 30th against the tight end position. Laporta for me is a 6-ringed tight end this week.
11:42Back-to-back duds. So it's a good recommendation here for that fact because back-to-back bad games.
11:48Off the bye week. Two weeks leading into the bye week for Sam Laporta, he had 22 and 19 fantasy points.
11:55So a little bit of like a Dalton Kincaid kind of issue.
12:00So I'm going to say that Laporta finds the end zone and he gets right versus Dolphins.
12:06Just a perfect matchup. The ball bounces his way.
12:09This next one, I don't love it, but it's Tyler Warren versus the Cowboys.
12:1416th versus the tight end. This one's a little scary because if Warren doesn't hit this week, I'm afraid he may be cooked for the season.
12:24But right now, he gets the Cowboys and then Tyler Warren gets the Dolphins next week.
12:30So Tyler Warren, for those of you who are trying to manage your redraft streets, he may provide a sell window for
12:38you in these next two weeks if you kind of want to get out.
12:43Hey, look how good Tyler Warren's doing. Maybe Jonathan Taylor gets traded and then, oh, he's all they got on the offense.
12:51Josh Downs could get traded. So you're kind of racking your brain for all these justifications if you want to get out of the Tyler Warren business.
13:01And the over-under in that game, 51.5, and the Colts are 5.5 point underdogs.
13:06And then my one lone fade at the tight end position because you can really justify a lot of tight end plays
13:14because, my God, look at Mike Gusecki. What's he scored?
13:18Six out of seven games, a touchdown. Like just clockwork.
13:21War value. Well, if I've got Mike Gusecki, he may not spike value me, but he's not going to completely zero out and bottom out.
13:31I'm getting some points. Seven to ten points. Hey, I'll take it, right?
13:35One fade at the tight end position is Dalton Kincaid.
13:39At the Vikings, their first versus the tight end position.
13:43It's kind of like whack-a-mole, Matthew Barry. One week, he's awesome, excellent.
13:47Next week, he doesn't really show up. So that's the issue with Dalton Kincaid.
13:52I'm just inconsistent. I have him ranked 15th this week.
13:56So 18.6 fantasy points last week. The problem there is there's a Jamison Williams element where there's a three-point games out there as well.
14:05I think it's been two games where he's had like three points.
14:09So really tough. And I forgot. I have one more tight end fade.
14:14Dallas Goddard versus the Giants. Giants are 12th versus the tight end position.
14:19The Giants are one of the plays that Pete has the Giants as a play.
14:24And on the defensive streamer earlier in the week, I had the Giants listed as well.
14:30Joe Milton is in that quarterback. So it's really tough to project how this offense will shape.
14:36It brings some volatility. That invites more of a floor game for Dallas Goddard.
14:41And you have to understand getting peppered with targets.
14:45I'm not so sure how much Joe Milton is going to play in that style to favor somebody like Dallas Goddard.
14:52So just a fade for me this week. The over-under, 38.5 points.
14:57The Giants are favored by three. And on the whole slate total, it's the lowest game total on the slate.
15:04So that should be cause for concern just on a broader scale when you have Eagles and Giants.
15:11For me, I'm sitting there thinking like, man, I really hope the Giants dog walk where I've got Malik neighbors or where you have Isaiah Likely.
15:20But a lot of caution in this game just because something smells funny.
15:25With that over-under. So I've been Coach Retzlaff. Thrive this week.
15:29We'll see you next week. Pete and I will get on the same page.
15:34We'll be back. We'll be reunited. So go out and win your week.

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