0:00Scott Hansen loves his witching hour on the red zone, especially around Halloween.
0:05But this week was witching week in the NFL and in fantasy.
0:09We watched while two plays absolutely destroyed the Ravens' season.
0:13And in fantasy, there were more zeros or near zeros than usual for the top players.
0:19And there were some massive scores by other players.
0:22All that adds up to opportunity. Fantasy teams were vaulting up the leaderboards in contests and vaulting up in the standings of individual players.
0:30The Dominator will lead as well. I had teams that were going up 300-400 spots in the overall standings.
0:37And I mean from like a place where they were already pretty high up in the standings, but they're up near the top now.
0:46But for every team that went up, someone went down.
0:50And all that every week is a new week.
0:53Winning is promised to no one. Losing is a way to no one.
0:58All the players grind and that's how we dominate.
1:01Here we are today. My guest is Bradley Stalder.
1:04If you've been watching my show very long, you're definitely familiar with Bradley.
1:09He's on as often as I can get him on because he's one of my favorite people to talk ball with, to be honest.
1:18And not to mention just a great human being to boot.
1:22So welcome, Bradley. Good to have you on again.
1:25Thanks, Dan. It's always a pleasure. And I'm glad to be back on the Dominator talking ball with you week eight in the books.
1:34Looking forward to week nine. I'm also looking forward to chatting about some of the things here that you've laid out in your show sheet.
1:43So yeah, let's, let's get into it. I'm excited.
1:46There's a lot of cool things, a lot of, a lot of tough questions that you got that all the people want to know, Dan.
1:55So what's on your mind for tonight? Yeah, for sure.
1:59But well, first off, I mean, I'm going to throw you some softballs here.
2:04Um, you know, and, and I don't even necessarily know the answer to all these questions, but, uh, for those of us
2:12who don't know Bradley Stalder very well, I'm curious.
2:15When did you start playing fantasy football? About 15 years ago, I got invited to a league in college by a bunch of guys, uh, and household brothers.
2:25So at Franciscan university, we don't have, um, you know, frats.
2:29We had households. And so I'm still in that league right now.
2:33I'm in second place. Um, but I just lost Lamar Jackson for the year.
2:39So we're going to be scrambling for quarterback. Uh, but it's a lot of fun.
2:44And that's, I started to do pretty well in that league.
2:48And then I started to, uh, play some more in a few more leagues, expand that success out.
2:55And then at 2020 started to create some content with Billy museo.
2:59And that's really when the content machine started to just explode.
3:03So playing became larger and larger. And the league numbers became larger and larger, uh, to the point where, uh, best ball
3:11became very, uh, enticing because of the, the drafting that's, that's, you know, everybody's favorite part, but also a lot of strategy behind it too, Dan.
3:20Yeah. A hundred percent. I mean, you know, there's, and you have to draft a different way on the best ball than
3:28you do with the managed leagues, but I'm curious, how many managed teams do you have going this year?
3:35I've got about 30 in the dynasty on sleeper.
3:38And then I've got two on FFPC. Uh, one is a dynasty best ball and one is a gorilla league.
3:46And then I've got one on MFL. Um, let's see.
3:49Um, let's see. Another one is, uh, on, uh, let's all, I think those are just the managed leagues because I'm not
3:57getting into the best ball leagues because those get up into the hundreds.
4:02So it probably ends up being, yeah. We won't ask you that because we don't, we don't want the tax man finding out.
4:10No, uh, no. So about 30, about 30 mid thirties in the managed leagues there, Dan, because of the volume of best ball.
4:19There you go. Makes sense. Um, and I'm, I'm curious, what's one piece of advice you'd give to somebody who's scrambling to
4:27make the playoffs in their league right now? Um, I would say right now is the time to be aggressive on the waiver wire.
4:35Um, you're seeing a lot of really strong players available and we have a lot of information for rest of season.
4:43So especially right now is the time to be making moves for players that we have enough information on and we don't
4:51need to be guessing anymore about roles. We have information, go get them on the waiver wire.
4:57And there's a lot of good, uh, a lot of good players.
5:02And it, even if you're in 10 team leagues, if you're in, if, if you're in 14 team leagues, it doesn't matter the size.
5:10There's a lot of waiver value still out there right now.
5:14So, um, continue to be aggressive, especially this week coming up on the waiver wire.
5:20Yeah, definitely. And also don't, uh, don't forget about that second waiver period that most leagues usually have.
5:26I mean, most leagues, you know, Tuesday or Wednesday, they do their first waivers.
5:31And then, uh, often there's a second waiver on like, you know, Saturday night or Sunday morning or Saturday morning or something like that.
5:40And the thing is, is we know a lot more by that time that second waiver, um, period starts out, but so
5:48many fewer people actually get involved in it. So a lot of times you can pick up, you know, one week starters,
5:56you know, some rental players for really, really cheap and kind of, you know, plug the holes in your lineup if you have them.
6:05So, uh, make sure you're staying involved all the way through the week.
6:09Don't just set your, you know, do your waivers and then set your lineup on Thursday morning and forget about everything.
6:17Great. Love it. All right. Continue to be aggressive.
6:20Well, let's, let's get into, uh, exactly. So let's get into, um, the rookies a little bit.
6:26I know there's a lot of rookies every year.
6:30This is a tiny year that they become fantasy viable.
6:33And we saw a couple of weeks ago, Makai Lemon, uh, Casey Concepcion, um, started blowing up a little bit.
6:41Jonah Coleman also broke out last week. Um, you know, so the rookies they're, they're on the way.
6:47And a lot of times those are the players that we can use to, you know, really supercharge our teams as we're
6:55going down towards the, uh, you know, making the playoffs.
6:59And once we get into those playoff weeks, uh, that's, that's when they can often help the most.
7:05So I'm curious, Bradley, uh, uh, any favorite breakouts that you've seen so far?
7:10And do you see any more on the verge of happening?
7:14I would say there's three that come to mind, uh, two wide receivers and a running back.
7:21We'll start with the running back. And that's Mike Washington.
7:24He has to be the highest priority given what happened this past weekend with Ashton Jeanty, just two carries versus Mike Washington's 25.
7:32And I know the efficiency wasn't great for Mike Washington, but many of those carries were like, we got to get a yard.
7:41We got to get two yards. We've got to get the first down it's close.
7:46And also some of them were goal line carries that were just stuffed.
7:51So the expectation wasn't to get some breakaway runs.
7:54This is a player who, uh, was an athletic freak.
7:58We remember him from the combine in the spring.
8:01So I think that better days are ahead for Mike Washington in terms of the efficiency, but, uh, given Kubiak's unwillingness to recommit back to Gentty.
8:11I mean, we, we have to continue to lean into the Mike Washington is a thing in the Raiders backfield for the foreseeable future.
8:19Any thoughts on Mike Washington before I talk about the two wide receivers?
8:24Yeah. I mean, I think Washington is a, you know, a really solid gamble.
8:29I mean, I don't think anybody knows really what the future is going to hold there.
8:35Uh, but what we do know is that Gentty has been gimpy, uh, and they've been kind of managing through that injury
8:43and that's opening up, uh, an opportunity for Washington.
8:46And Gentty didn't do himself any favors when he started talking smack to the Jets.
8:52Uh, you know, I, I think Kubiak probably even yanked back harder on the leash, um, at that point than he might've otherwise.
9:00Number one, because he probably didn't like Gentty getting killed out there by pissed off Jets defenders.
9:06And number two, because, you know, you're a rookie and you haven't really done anything.
9:12You know, he had not earned the right to talk smack like that.
9:16And I think Kubiak respected, uh, you know, where the Jets were going to be coming from and just, you know, let it go.
9:25So yeah, Mike Washington, uh, you know, definitely has a big opportunity right in front of him right now.
9:32Another player with big opportunity, Antonio Williams bit my favorite wide receiver to add 161 routes, 19% targets per route run, 1.61
9:40yards per route run, and a 2.11 yards per route run against man coverage.
9:45He's got good efficiency and with Washington's injuries, like McLaurin's out for the year.
9:50A Conquist dealt with injuries off and on. At least a Conquist looked good lately, but digs has dealt with injuries this year.
9:58So Antonio Williams, he's on the verge of breaking out and he's running all the routes.
10:04He's getting the targets. I think he's the big ad right now.
10:09Yeah, I totally agree with that because, uh, you know, they've made it pretty clear that they're not going to, you know, increase digs participation.
10:18Uh, they want to keep them somewhat limited during games so that they, you know, I think have them for the long haul.
10:26Uh, they don't want to burn them out. And so that opens up a big opportunity for Antonio Williams there.
10:33And your deeper leagues, Caleb, Caleb Douglas. Nice. Uh, 2.28 yards per route run, about a hundred routes, uh, 17% targets per route run.
10:42Uh, I mean, we've seen the blow up games.
10:45He's always been running with the starters and all we need is a little bit more uptick.
10:51Right. In what this Miami offense is doing. And I look, Miami only has one win on the season, but at this
10:59time last year, they only had one win on the season, but it feels completely, the vibes are completely different year to year.
11:08And so I think this is an opportunity to add a player and an offense and a team that is, has nowhere to go, but up.
11:17Yeah, I totally agree. I think that's a, uh, a good way to put it.
11:23All right. Um, we're going to take a quick break here.
11:27And when we come back, we're going to do a little bit of talk about trade.
11:32Trade just came out on my phone. Let's see.
11:36Should I make it? I don't know. I want to make a move now though.
11:41I don't want to wait to get back to my computer.
11:45What do I do? Oh, we have the dynasty dominator app that scores a trade based on our lifetime value rating at playerprofiler.com.
11:53We also give you just a price lookup tool with the ADP to say, what is this guy really worth?
12:01And the app has a player comparison tool to juxtapose the advanced metrics of two players.
12:06This is $5 in the app store. That's it.
12:10So we want you to do deep research on playerprofiler.com, but we also want you to be able to make moves in the moment.
12:18So go get that dynasty dominator. Now it's in the app store.
12:23It's on Google play and you can thank me later.
12:26All right. We are back. And, uh, so, so Bradley let's, uh, let's talk trades.
12:32We're just about one week out from the trade deadline here.
12:36Um, and so far we, we haven't seen, we've seen some big moves, but not a lot of moves.
12:43So, uh, I'm curious what trades do you think are likely to happen and who is likely to be involved in those trades?
12:51I think one big one that I'm watching closely is Jacoby Brissett to the Baltimore Ravens.
12:57Um, Baltimore, their own like beat writers and coverage are giving credence to this move.
13:02And the Brissett has familiarity with quarterbacks coach Israel Wolferk.
13:06So, I mean, if Brissett goes to Baltimore actually wheels up for both Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews, even if Andrews has
13:14been dust, which he's looked like dust, there's tight end upside with the amount of targets that Brissett gives to that position.
13:22And it can inject life into your, what might be dying Mark Andrews stock.
13:27So that's one, uh, one target that is interesting.
13:30Uh, of course the Colts are a fire, you know, they're on fire.
13:35So we're always, we're monitoring Dan and I were even texting back and forth before this about whether we would hear about a Jonathan Taylor trade.
13:44Maybe he goes to the giants. Maybe he goes to the Broncos.
13:49Um, I, I think the giants would be, that would be a boneheaded move for the franchise, but it could be fun for fantasy.
13:57That's how I would view it. Um, whereas like a Josh downs to Kansas city would be the clear Rashi rice replacement.
14:05Like they're not going to renew rice's contract. He would be the long-term solution there.
14:11Maybe San Francisco gets involved with all the injuries they have.
14:15Uh, Brian Thomas also would be very interesting. And I think Brian Thomas can be had for a second round pick because
14:23that's what these flame outs have been going for, um, who have produced in previous years, but have not produced lately.
14:31That's, I think what Brian Thomas would probably go for.
14:34Yeah. Fair enough. I would love to see Brees Hall traded because we need to unlock this, you know, this Braylon Allen
14:42and Brees Hall thing is like, uh, you know, we, we want.
14:46To see both of them starting on their own teams.
14:50Uh, that's, that's the best thing for everybody. Having them both, you know, smashed together in the same backfield is pretty tough.
14:58And, you know, I thought Brees was coming back last week and all of a sudden, you know, we hear from Rappaport
15:06on a Sunday morning that Brees Hall is not playing.
15:10He didn't say in the way that he normally says it.
15:14So I was like, oh man, this might be like one of those margin Marvin Harrison things where, you know, they just
15:22now got the framework of a deal in place and they're just, you know, they're not going to play him because they
15:30don't want to expose him to injury before the new team gets.
15:34So I was like, oh, maybe we got something happening here.
15:38And, uh, it turns out, looks like probably not.
15:41So unfortunately, I don't know why the Jets even signed Brees Hall when they had Braylon Allen.
15:47I mean, it was, it was a move they didn't need to make.
15:52Uh, you know, they had plenty of other fish to fry that they could have used their salary cap on and locking
16:00up Brees Hall, uh, at that point just didn't seem to make much sense.
16:05You know, especially when you had a, you know, a very promising looking Braylon Allen there.
16:11And, but they did it and now they're doubling down and saying, nah, we don't want to trade Brees Hall.
16:18We don't want, you know, we don't like draft picks.
16:22Uh, we would rather, you know, just hang on to players that do communicate each other and, uh, skill set and, you
16:30know, we're not going to do anything else. So, um, I think, I think that's a tough one.
16:36Um, Tony Pollard, the Titans say they're not moving them.
16:40That's usually what you say until you get the price you want.
16:44So, um, I think if JT doesn't go anywhere or if, um, if he does go somewhere and there was another team
16:52that was in on the, the JT sweepstakes, then, uh, Pollard might be, you know, the second place prize.
16:59I don't know. What do you think about that?
17:03Yeah. Pollard. I mean, he's been a top five running back over the last couple of weeks for fantasy purposes.
17:10And he's been doing so because Tazi Spears has been out, right.
17:14He's been getting all of the work. He's been getting all running all the routes, getting all the volume.
17:21And there's at least been a little bit of signs of life for Tennessee.
17:26Um, I mean, it would be really just throwing in the towel for the Titans.
17:32Although to be fair, they've thrown in the towel with trading Jeffrey Simmons.
17:36So the reality is, is it's pretty much a lost season for them.
17:41And I think it speaks to the fact that Sam Ward is not the answer, you know, um, at quarterback, at least
17:49under this current coaching regime and with this personnel and with how they want to run the offense.
17:56You know, they, they, he probably needs a new, uh, a new scenery.
18:00Yeah. Yeah. I think so. And, you know, the thing with Pollard too, is that he's on an expiring contract.
18:07So, you know, he's going to be walking away from the Titans and I would guess they'd best get a, like a fifth round pick or so.
18:17He signed somewhere else just because of his age.
18:21Um, you know, so I, I think that, uh, they ought to be able to command a fourth out of, uh, Pollard.
18:29Um, maybe even a little bit more than that.
18:32We'll see. But, um, it would certainly be great to get him on, uh, uh, a winning team.
18:38But if he can continue to hold onto the entire backfield, like he has the past couple of weeks, uh, maybe we're
18:46just fine with him in fantasy, keeping him right where he's at.
18:51I mean, especially if Spears is going to be out or limited is Pollard's what locked in top 15 running back no matter what.
18:59Yeah. Yeah, exactly. I think he's easy top 15.
19:03He might even be top 12, uh, if he's got that much of the, uh, the work consolidated together.
19:10So, um, you know, and, and the funny thing is, is at the start of the season, he was, he was not helping anybody.
19:18And now he's, you know, he's become somebody that you, you know, you really want to start.
19:24I mean, a couple of weeks ago, I started, uh, Bam Knight over, uh, Tony Pollard and I missed out on the Tony Pollard three touchdown explosion.
19:34Oh, Dan. Not my finest moment. I really thought Bam Knight was going to do great that week.
19:41And it turns out, uh, he did not. So.
19:44No. Yeah. Anyway, um, JJ McCarthy, let's switch over to the.
19:48You know, uh, former Viking, JJ McCarthy, now starting at quarterback for the Giants.
19:53Uh, I'm curious, Bradley, look into your crystal ball and tell me what does the future hold for him and his team?
20:01Is he going to continue to play this well, as well as he has, or what are we looking at here?
20:09Well, so I, I've looked at the, the breakdown of JJ McCarthy because we look, we saw like the eye test last year.
20:17McCarthy was okay when he wasn't under pressure, but when the offensive line collapsed for Minnesota last year, he was disaster.
20:25And that's kind of what we've seen again for New York in his very small sample.
20:30Um, he's got a really negative EPA per drop back under pressure and against the blitz, but in a clean pocket, it's way better.
20:39Um, and so if he has that, he has the weapons to really make the opposing defenses pay.
20:46He has likely he has Malik neighbors. Malachi fields is a 16% targets per route run, uh, player.
20:52He's a downfield threat. Uh, he's a better Darnell Mooney.
20:56Um, and you have Darnell Mooney on this team.
20:59So you have some threats, um, from the receiving end.
21:03And then you also have cam Scadaboo who you have to respect his receiving game as well.
21:09So you have pieces in this offense that as long as JJ McCarthy has that clean pocket, he is a quarterback 18 quarterback 15.
21:18Like you're starting him in super flex leagues pretty comfortably.
21:21Um, and in the right matchup, he can be a borderline bottom and quarterback one, but that's kind of his ceiling in shootout matchups.
21:30Yeah. I think the best thing about McCarthy is he doesn't seem to be limiting neighbors at all.
21:37So anybody who's got neighbors is, is very happy about that.
21:40Death taxes in a hundred yards for Malik neighbors.
21:44Yes, indeed. Yeah. What a, what a great player.
21:47It's a, it's nice to see him back and, uh, performing like we know we can, but you know, Bradley, it's time
21:55to get to the meat of the show. Everyone's been waiting, Dan.
21:59Well, I had to put it off, you know, and, but we're, we're, we're getting there and it's time to talk a little Luther burden.
22:08Don't you think? Um, you, you have been famous, famously anti-Luther burden, uh, you know, basically the entire off season, even before.
22:16Um, but you know, we've had a half season to see what's playing out.
22:22So let's talk about it. Let's talk about the player.
22:25Let's talk about his role and his results so far.
22:29What, uh, what are you seeing? Sure. There's a lot of good things happening for Luther Burden right now.
22:36Very strong yards per route run 2.68, 27% targets per route.
22:40Uh, his fancy points per route is 0.46. That's excellent.
22:43His yards per route against zone three yards per route against zone.
22:48And most teams are playing zone. So he's really taking advantage.
22:52Um, here's the knock against Luther burden right now is that, and we all know it, everyone's tweeting about it.
22:59He's not running enough routes, right? He's just not running enough routes.
23:03And, uh, everyone's getting frustrated because they see what he could be.
23:08They see the top elite skill sets. And there are reasons why he's not there.
23:13Now, is it coaching? Is it game script? Everyone's grasping at straws as to like, why Ben Johnson, who everyone believes in
23:21you, you, you ask anyone NFL or fantasy who are top five offensive coaches in the NFL.
23:27They're going to say Ben Johnson is going to be one of those.
23:32There's no argument. Um, the, the way that burden cooks defenses is when Caleb Williams has space and time because, uh, the
23:40elite trait for burden is his speed. He can just run past people in, in routes and he can just get open.
23:48Um, then Luther burden has a 37% targets per route run.
23:52When Caleb Williams has a clean pocket, he has a 9% targets per route run when Caleb Williams is under pressure.
23:59So like he is almost nothing for the offense when Caleb Williams feels it because he's not looking for Luther burden.
24:07He's trying to get out. He wants to be comfortable.
24:11Like Luther burden is your comfort food and he's not, uh, your, your broccoli.
24:16He's your comfort food. So the rest of the season, how I'm seeing Luther burden is probably wide receiver 18.
24:23I think is fair. I think you're going to have some lower games, um, when he's not scoring touchdowns.
24:30So probably in the wide receiver thirties, you're going to have a couple of games where he gets into the wide receiver eight wide receiver six.
24:39Um, but he's probably going to level out at about wide receiver 18 rest of season.
24:45And the reason why I say that is because you have situations where you see Deandre Swift or other, the running backs get involved near the goal line.
24:55But you also have Roma duns a who has not scored a touchdown through eight games so far.
25:02And if you were to tell me that Roma duns a was not going to score a single touchdown, but have the
25:10targets that he had and the yardage that he had, and he wasn't injured significantly in any way.
25:16Like, oh, duns a had like a minor groin injury in week one and two, but outside of that there's.
25:24I wouldn't have believed you. Right. So I think the touchdown regression is coming for Rome.
25:29I think Rome is a buy low at this point.
25:33And I think Luther Burden is a comfortable mid to low wide receiver two should be in your lineups rest of season.
25:41All right. And I will push back a little bit on that.
25:45Um, I'll, I'll point out that Luther burden right now is your wide receiver 12 on the season.
25:52Um, he, he is scoring at a clip that again also puts him at about wide receiver 12.
25:58Cause I know that, you know, he's played eight games.
26:02Some of the other wide receivers have played seven games.
26:06He's wide receiver, like 18 and points per game.
26:09Yeah. He's got, he's got, uh, you know, 14.6, something like that.
26:13Of course, some of the wide receivers who are, you know, who jump in one point per game haven't played as many games either.
26:22So, you, you know, here's the thing. When we're looking at burden, he's only gotten three touchdowns so far this year.
26:30So he's not doing a ton of this through, um, touchdowns.
26:34Uh, his target share is actually lower than most of the wide receivers around him, you know, in the, in the top of the, uh, charts here.
26:43So, uh, he is getting great results every time he gets a target.
26:48Um, his, you know, and he's catching a lot of those targets too, because while his targets are low, his receptions fit
26:56right in, uh, you know, with his peer group.
26:59So, you know, they're, they're using him in ways that he is able to easily catch the ball.
27:06So, uh, you know, and I don't think he's going to become a full-time player all of a sudden.
27:13Uh, if he does move towards being a full-time player, it will be gradually.
27:18But, you know, even as a part-time player, hey, he's holding down where he's at right now at, uh, wide receiver 12
27:26or wide receiver 18 by points per game. Uh, I don't see that getting any worse.
27:32If anything, it's probably going to get better because the Bears offense looks like it's really kind of, uh, starting to round into shape now.
27:41I mean, you know, we, we saw the dismantling of, uh, Seattle and they were, you know, the Seahawks were not happy about that.
27:50Uh, Mike McDonald had a few choice things to say.
27:53Yeah. They, uh, yes. It was a combination of both Chicago taking advantage of Seattle's defense, but I think it was also Chicago taking advantage of Seattle's offense.
28:03And Seattle's offense looked atrocious last night for most of the night, Dan, and it's short, short fields, bad play calling.
28:11Like there were, there were a few drives where what are you doing running the ball right up the middle at Jeffrey
28:19Simmons two straight times and then having a third and eight like, and then just send the pressure on Sam Darnold.
28:27Like it doesn't take a genius to not do those things.
28:31Like, uh, it's kind of like, it's kind of frustrating when Seattle, you can see them doing things that lead to Chicago,
28:39then just easily taking advantage of short fields. And, and, uh, you know, it is what it is.
28:45Like clearly Chicago took advantage, but I mean, there's, there's reasons why Chicago in many cases is one of the Superbowl favorites
28:53right now because they've got a really strong offense and they've got some really dynamic pieces on defense, sweat and Simmons.
29:01And, you know, they've got Gordon who's had a few sacks from the cornerback position.
29:06So they've got pieces here that can be really dangerous.
29:10So as long as they stay healthy, they can continue to be contenders right now for the Superbowl.
29:16Yep. And, uh, John here has an excellent point.
29:20They, they stopped using burden after the first quarter.
29:23It's not quite that bad, but it's also clear that burden features heavily into the, the prescripted plays that the bears run.
29:31And, you know, but for, for whatever reason, once they, you know, run through those scripted plays, then he is less a part of the offense.
29:40So I don't know if Caleb is just not, uh, looking his way.
29:45I mean, you know, I, I haven't looked into whether his, uh, route participation numbers in the first quarter are any different
29:53than what they are, uh, during the rest of the game.
29:57But, you know, presuming that they're reasonably close, um, you know, you kind of wonder whether Caleb is, is actually seeing him unless he's the designated first read.
30:07So, but let's move on to, oh, and, uh, before we get off of Chicago, I, I believe that was you that,
30:15uh, said use the Chicago defense, um, on Monday night.
30:19Was that, uh, was that a Bradley quote? Yeah.
30:22I thought, I thought that was yes. Uh, and I was right there with you.
30:27I had Chicago going in a lot of places and, uh, they certainly did better than the Seahawks defense.
30:34So, uh, it goes to you on that one.
30:38Uh, but let's move on to one of your favorite players.
30:42Now that we've, uh, now that we've got the uncomfortable stuff out of the way.
30:47Dan had to, Dan had to cleanse the palate there for me.
30:51That's right. All right. Let's, let's talk a little T Higgins.
30:55Um, he's, he's doing, I mean, fantastic. He's actually exceeding Jamar chase in points per game.
31:01Uh, so I'm curious, is this, do you think it's sustainable?
31:05And is he actually usurping the one a role in Cincinnati or is that going a bridge too far?
31:12I wonder if there's some things happening in Cincinnati.
31:15There's two things that come to mind. One is the residual injuries that chase has been dealing with both the off season.
31:23One that we saw that looked pretty bad that we knew about.
31:28And there was also one that happened a couple of weeks ago that chase had been nursing.
31:34So I wonder if that has played a piece of, cause this past week was the first time that Jamar chase has had over a hundred receiving yards.
31:44The other piece that that's of interest to me is there seems to be a little bit of disgruntlement for Jamar chase with this overall offense.
31:53Um, just reading or listening to some of the interviews and what he's been saying, whether it's about his role in the
32:01slot or whether after the game, um, the offense should be more uptempo at the beginning of the game and chase says, well, you should ask Zach Taylor.
32:12Like you have to wonder whether there are, there are pieces there that are at play in terms of Jamar chase's production as a whole.
32:21The other part is like T Higgins is healthy and he's always been a dude when he's been healthy.
32:27The, the knock against Higgins has been, Hey, can he stay healthy?
32:32Cause when he's been healthy, we've seen signs of this production before in previous years where he has rivaled Jamar chase in
32:40the targets per route run in the yards per route run in the touchdowns in the yardage.
32:46We've seen games where he's significantly outperformed chase in, um, in this way.
32:51So for sustained periods, it's not just been one offs either.
32:55So can it continue to be sustained? Um, I, I think chase will get back up to normal chase self.
33:02Maybe this was a get right game with six total touchdowns from Joe burrow, but, uh, I think T Higgins is going
33:10to continue to be a, an absolute must start for you and a locked in wide receiver one, as long as he's healthy.
33:18Yeah, I, I, I agree. Um, this was the first year in a few years that I've actually liked the price on T Higgins.
33:27So, um, unlike many years where I'm like Bradley, no, he's too expensive.
33:32Um, this year I was like Bradley. Yes. Uh, this is good price.
33:36I like it. Um, so it's, it's nice to be in on it.
33:41Um, and enjoying that for sure. And, uh, you know, just, uh, you know, just to shout to, uh, Joe burrow, keep embracing your inner Jameis Williams.
33:51Uh, keep, keep throwing those, keep throwing those interceptions because you know what?
33:56It turns you into a one man fantasy carnival because when you throw the interceptions, you get behind, then you got to throw the touchdowns.
34:05So the other team scoring touchdowns, you're scoring touchdowns.
34:08All of us fantasy players are happy. So, you know, embrace the inner, inner Jameis, please do it.
34:15Continue throw those interceptions. Okay. That's enough of that.
34:18So let's, let's, um, let's just hit a couple topics before we start getting into this week's slate.
34:24Um, I want to talk about the Jets passing game a little bit.
34:29Suddenly, you know, Bradley, it's, we got options all over the place.
34:33I mean, it used to be, you know, it was like Garrett Wilson and then, you know, a bunch of basically lawn
34:41chairs out there, uh, that the quarterbacks were throwing to.
34:45And now, you know, we're looking at, well, we got, uh, you know, Garrett Wilson, we've got that Mitchell.
34:52We've got Omar Cooper. Uh, heck we got, uh, Mason Taylor.
34:56And then, oh, there's that guy we forgot about, uh, Kenny and Sadiq as well.
35:01And both of the running backs seem to be able to catch passes pretty well too.
35:07So curious, is there anybody you can trust in the Jets passing game?
35:12I mean, Garrett Wilson continues to be the first choice.
35:15He's your set and forget it still. Um, and I Mitchell is earning a legitimate second look.
35:22He produced at the beginning of the season. He produced at the end of last year.
35:27He produced this past week. Still, it's only 98 routes this year, but in 28% targets per route run, that's undeniable.
35:35And, you know, Omar Cooper was a player that I was lower than significantly lower than consensus on this past week.
35:43Um, given the ramp up for Adonai Mitchell and also the expected ramp up of Kenyon Sadiq.
35:49Sadiq has run 114 routes this year, a 23% targets per route run.
35:54And Mason Taylor, let's not forget him has run 112 routes and a 21% targets per route run.
36:00So like they've got good quality receiving tight ends.
36:03They've got solid receiving wide receiver twos. And Garrett Wilson has kind of been chipped away at a little bit because we're
36:11so used to the Garrett Wilson who gets a 35 to 40% target share that now we're like disappointed with median games that are 14 points, 15 points.
36:22I think the ceiling is capped for Garrett Wilson, but the floor is still pretty safe.
36:27Yep. Fair enough. Okay. Um, and, and, and I agree.
36:31I think, um, Adonai Mitchell is going to be a little bit boom bust.
36:36I think Omar Cooper, uh, you know, being still a pretty raw rookie is going to be a little bit boom bust.
36:44So Garrett Wilson is the one that I'm going to trust weekend week out though.
36:49I had one team where I had to choose between Garrett Wilson and Omar Cooper this past week.
36:56And I was like, do I go recency or do I go, uh, primacy?
37:01Because primacy tells me take, uh, Garrett Wilson. Recency pies tells me take Omar Cooper.
37:07I went Garrett Wilson. Very happy. I did because of course, uh, Cooper was one of those players we were talking about
37:15earlier that got the big fat zero zone. So, um, moving now to the Cardinals, uh, Gardner Minshew starting for the Cardinals.
37:22Um, how does that change the offense with him in there and Brissette out?
37:28Or is there any change in the offense? I mean, Minshew gives Arizona a chance at better passing production.
37:34Seattle's a difficult place to expect immediate repeat though, of what we saw against Dallas.
37:40Um, Brissette over his 333 dropbacks had a negative EPA per dropback.
37:44Uh, but Minshew took real advantage of Dallas. Um, I know it's a small sample size, but we're still firing up Trey McBride.
37:53We're still firing up Michael Wilson. I know Wilson has the broken ribs.
37:57Um, but I think especially with the running backs situation, the way it is, Jeremiah Love placed on injured reserve, Kendrick Bourne placed on the injured reserve.
38:07It's just going to consolidate a little bit more to Trey McBride, Michael Wilson.
38:12Yep. Love that take. Definitely. And I don't think it's going to be too long before they give Carson Beck a shot.
38:20Uh, you know, if you're, if you're seriously playing Gardner Minshew over Carson Beck for an extended period of time, and you
38:28know, you're going to be potentially looking at, uh, high draft pick next year.
38:33I think the team owes it to themselves to find out what they've got in Beck.
38:39Um, you know, but I think they give him at least four games.
38:44So minimally post by, uh, 15, 16, 17, 18, because remember Arizona has week 14 by, I wouldn't be surprised if they
38:52started him before the buy, but they're definitely starting Carson Beck.
38:56We 15. Yeah, I, I'd agree with that. I think that's fair.
39:00Okay. Um, Chase Brown has been kind of, we'll, we'll go back to Cincinnati since, uh, I see, uh, Josh in the chat.
39:08Uh, Chase Brown has been kind of frustrating to start for his managers.
39:13Uh, are you seeing better days ahead for him or is the frustration going to continue?
39:19Oh yeah. He's one of the clearest buy low candidates.
39:23Um, given that his role holds because we saw before the buy, some actually P Ryan was eating a little bit into
39:31that, but, um, you know, he is, has 14.17 expected, um, fancy points, one rushing touchdown versus 2.23 expected.
39:37He's getting the receiving routes and the targets per route run.
39:41The touchdown was called back this past weekend. It was a spectacular catch, but didn't count.
39:47So, you know, that's not showing up and a frustrated manager.
39:51I think you can buy Chase Brown at a discount.
39:55I wouldn't pay for a guaranteed return to the elite ceiling, like round two ceiling.
40:00But I think there's enough frustration by fantasy managers who are just looking at the box score.
40:07Yep. Yep. Fair enough. All right. Last one I want to look at is the, um, the committee forming on the ground in Seattle.
40:15Um, you know, it's kind of funny. We had, you know, it was, it was, uh, Emmanuel Wilson and then it, you
40:23know, price and Charbonnet come back and it's like Wilson doesn't even exist anymore, which to me was a little bit surprising
40:31when they were clearly struggling on the ground, uh, last night.
40:35Any, any thoughts on the Seattle running back committee here?
40:39I think I'm more interested in seeing how this offensive line coalesces.
40:43They just acquired Quentin Nelson. And there were a few moments where I saw, uh, uh, Jadarian price.
40:50Like really flash. Like really flash. And like, you saw the explosiveness, but then immediately get bottled up because someone missed a
40:58block or someone just wasn't, they were one foot off or one and a half yards off.
41:04Like there was a, or a missed slight missed block.
41:07Um, neither of them has a trustworthy lead role right now.
41:11I don't think we learned much from this week, except that it's going to continue to be messy for a little bit.
41:19So if I'm leaning one player just for next week, it's going to be Jadarian price.
41:25Longer term, I'm just going to hold Charbonnet on my bench.
41:29He's not a drop at this point. So that's, that's my half Z approach to it, Dan.
41:35Okay. Fair enough. Fair enough. Um, yeah. And it's, I don't know.
41:40I mean, I think Charbonnet is going to continue to be what he's always been, which is sort of a thorn in
41:48the side of whoever, uh, their quote unquote lead running back is.
41:52Um, you know, so I think it'll be a lot like last year where you had Walker having some big games, Charbonnet
42:00having some big games and, uh, really, really frustrating.
42:03If you happen to be a manager who has both of them on your team, you're never going to know who to start.
42:12Um, if, if you have the, you know, only one of them, you know, it makes them a fine flex play, but
42:20nobody that you want to rely on. You want to try to find somebody a little bit more, uh, reliable.
42:27Yes. In that case. So the backfield is not reliable yet.
42:31Yep. Definitely. Okay. Um, and for those who had questions in the chat, we will be getting to those, but I want
42:39to take a little bit of time. I want to talk about, uh, the upcoming slate for week nine, um, Thursday night,
42:47of course is the Jaguars versus the Ravens, uh, which, uh, looked like a whole lot better game about three days ago than it does now.
42:56Uh, what do you think, Bradley? Can we trust any Ravens as starters in our lineups?
43:02You're putting Derek Henry in there, but you reduce the touchdown expectation.
43:06He has 158 carries and averages 16.4 fantasy points.
43:10Uh, he's going to get workload, but there is a floor.
43:14If you know, the blowout happens, I, there is a scarier floor there.
43:18No doubt. Uh, flowers is a risky flex. We saw the zero this past week and Mark Andrews is only touchdown dependent.
43:26So like outside of those players from the Ravens, yikes.
43:30Yeah. I would definitely say yikes on that as well.
43:34Um, you know, because without Lamar Jackson, I think he's siphoned off the upside from Derek Henry.
43:40Um, he needs Lamar Jackson to, you know, the threat of Lamar, um, really helps open things up for Derek Henry.
43:47And also he plays better when, um, when they're, when the Ravens are playing with a lead, which is a lot less likely to happen now.
43:57Um, so you, you've kind of shut off, uh, two of Derek Henry's best avenues to success, you know?
44:04So now you're just kind of hoping that, uh, you know, on one of his runs, he can just break that long
44:12one and, uh, you know, get to the end zone because otherwise it's, it's looking pretty bleak.
44:18And who are you starting from the Jaguars, Bradley?
44:21I mean, you know, who aren't you starting from the Jaguars?
44:25I think the only player that, you know, is on the fancy radar that you're not starting is Brian Thomas.
44:32I know he scored the touchdown last week, but you're, you're flexing Jacoby Myers.
44:38Probably Brenton strange is very startable. Parker Washington. Clearly facial tootin is starting, but he has the injury designation.
44:44We're monitoring that. Um, assuming that everything is good.
44:48And then Trevor Lawrence, I mean, 8.5 yards per attempt.
44:51So 17 touchdowns, Trevor, Trevor Lawrence, for sure. And whoever, uh, you know, is starting at running back.
44:58If I'm assuming it's going to be tootin. I think they're just probably giving him rest, uh, because it's a short week
45:06and he did get a little dinged up. So there's no sense in, uh, you know, making any things any more difficult than they can.
45:15The only thing that concerns me is if it's another situation like it was last week where, you know, they blew out
45:23the Colts and it was like, Oh, let's get everybody involved in the passing game.
45:28Here's, you know, one for you and one for you and one for you.
45:33And yeah, that was, that was no good at all.
45:37Uh, Parker Washington. We want to see a lot more involved than he has been the past couple, three weeks.
45:44Um, he looked like gangbusters early in the season and he's a little bit come back to earth now.
45:51So, um, but yeah, it'd be tough to sit any Jaguars at this point.
45:56Um, Bengals versus Falcons looks like the shootout of the week.
46:00Um, do you see any under the radar shootouts coming up in this week's action?
46:06There's, I'll just list them off five of them that are actually really interesting.
46:11Dallas Indy 52 and a half point over under, and you wouldn't think Indy would be involved in that, but this might
46:19be a get right game for Dallas. This is all the makings of it.
46:24Uh, Vegas, San Francisco is at 50 and a half.
46:28San Francisco coming off of the buy and Vegas has given up 30 points in like five straight games, something like that.
46:35So it could be a bloodbath Cincinnati, Atlanta, clearly Detroit, Miami again, bloodbath situation.
46:41Uh, Rams, Washington. Uh, I know that Matthew Stafford is dealing with the injury, but Washington, uh, Jaden Daniels, this also might
46:49be a get right game too for, for Washington.
46:52So those are, those are the opening numbers right now of those, any stand out to you of those five, Dan?
46:59Yeah. I like, uh, I like Vegas versus the 49ers.
47:03I think, uh, you know, the, the Vegas, even if it comes down to garbage time, uh, you know, their offense eventually catches fire.
47:12Um, so I like that one a lot. Um, I think the, the Rams commanders is, is also kind of a sneaky one.
47:20Um, you know, I do worry about the, the Cowboys Colts being a little bit one-sided, but then, you know, on the
47:28other hand, I'm probably giving way too much credence to the, the Cowboys, um, and, and dissing the Colts a little bit too much.
47:37I mean, if the Colts win that game, Schottenheimer doesn't have a job after the game, right?
47:43I would, I would think so. Yeah. There's gotta be a point that, uh, Jerry just pulls the plug there, but, um,
47:51yeah, it, so, you know, I think it's going to be another high scoring week.
47:56We saw a lot of high scores this week in fantasy.
48:00I think we're going to see a lot of high scores this coming week as well.
48:06Um, but a couple of games I, I think are definitely interesting.
48:11Um, we've got the Panthers and Broncos and Bryce Young has really struggled against quality defenses and, you know, the Broncos definitely qualify as a quality defense.
48:20Um, and, and meanwhile, the Broncos passing game is, uh, well, to put it charitably a work in progress.
48:27Uh, yes, we've seen a couple of flashes here and there, but really like Bo Nix, he needs to more consistently learn
48:35how to step up in the pocket. And I think that's what he was doing zero of the first six weeks of the season.
48:44And then he start has started to do it a little bit more over the last two weeks, but it's still not
48:52at the level where you're comfortable with that passing game, Dan.
48:56Yeah. A hundred percent. How about Bryce Young? Can you, are you trusting him?
49:01I mean, Ted McMillan, I think you're throwing out there no matter what.
49:06Yeah. He's playable. Jalen Coker. I mean, he got bailed out by the late touchdown, but outside of, outside of that, Jalen
49:14Coker was on the missing milk carton for most of the game last week against green Bay.
49:20So Ted McMillan's playable. I don't think anyone else is, uh, from the Panthers passing game for Denver.
49:26I mean, if you're streaming, Bo Nix is streamable.
49:30Cortland Sutton is a bench, like clearly been a bench.
49:33Uh, maybe you can take a shot on Jalen Waddle back in the flex, but he's been a disappointment this year.
49:41Like people were trying to talk me into Jalen Waddle and I was biting.
49:46I was, I feel like I was being beaten over the head with Jalen Waddle propaganda over the course of the, the summer.
49:54And I'm like, look, like this dude was only getting like 21% of the targets.
50:00And in this Denver offense, it was just not translating.
50:03So I was like in my projections, trying to like figure out a way to get him too close to ADP.
50:11And I was, I don't know, I like jacked him up to 26%.
50:16I'm like, this is what it would take, you know, to get Jalen Waddle close ADP.
50:22So now we're seeing like, this is the reality of Denver.
50:26Uh, Sutton's only at 17% targets per route run.
50:29And Engram's at less than one yard per route run.
50:32Like total non-factor. Now, now when we're talking about trades, I would love to see the Broncos trade for like a Dallas Goddard or somebody like that.
50:42That's a nice call. That would be extra, extra juicy.
50:46And, you know, I don't know. I mean, maybe this is, uh, you know, confusing correlation and causation, but Bryce Young looks
50:54a lot better when he throws to Coker than when he just totally goes to McMillan.
51:00You know, it's like for most of the game, Bryce Young looked terrible.
51:04And the only thing he was doing was throwing to McMillan or else checking down to, uh, Hubbard.
51:11And then late in the game, he decided, oh yeah, we should maybe Coker, Coker.
51:16Yeah. That, that guy's on our team. Uh, maybe we should throw to him.
51:21And all of a sudden he started looking better.
51:25Now, maybe it was because of the fact that he actually had a little bit of time and, you know, the Packers
51:33were just kind of seeding garbage time, something like that.
51:36But, um, you know, to me, Young looks better when he's, when he's throwing more to Coker, keeping it more evened out
51:44between the two receivers rather than, uh, just having eyes only for Tett McMillan.
51:49And Waddle, I mean, you know, Bradley, I was all, you know, all season so far.
51:55I'm remembering when I would be looking in the third round and it was Zay Flowers or Jalen Waddle.
52:02And I'd be like, huh. And too many times I chose Waddle and, you know, Flowers was just looking fantastic.
52:09And I was like, oh man, I really messed that one up.
52:14Uh, you know, I have some Flowers, but you know, I didn't have enough is what I thought.
52:20And, you know, what a difference a day or two makes because now all of a sudden it's like, eh, maybe I'm
52:28better off with Waddle than with Flowers. I don't know.
52:32Yikes. But I, I do think Waddle is starting to round into form a little bit more.
52:38Um, we are going to see, you know, he's going to get integrated into this offense.
52:44If we can, if Knicks can continue to make, uh, positive steps as a passer, I think that's only going to help.
52:52Um, Patriots and the Packers. That's a fun one too.
52:55Uh, your Packers, uh, both and the Patriots both have improved defenses.
53:00Um, how do you see the game playing out?
53:03Is this going to be an offensive showcases or the defense is going to win out in this one?
53:10Where, where are you going? You know, I'm in terms of like quarterbacks.
53:15If I have both may and love, I'm more comfortable starting Drake may, and I'm lowering the expectations for green bays wide receivers, but not benching them.
53:24I'm just monitoring the injury situation. They've had more time to get healthy, but golden was, has been dealing with the, in the injuries.
53:33I think there was a shoulder injury that was leading up to Thursday night.
53:38And then Christian Watson, of course, heroically goes to the hospital and returns and gets an additional three fantasy points for us upon his return.
53:47So thank you, Christian Watson. Um, but this is a situation where like, um, green Bay is disguising almost 40% of its coverages.
53:56So they've been playing a lot better defense as of late.
54:00Jonathan Gannon has played very, has called this defense very well.
54:04You see a lot of active players all throughout this defense McKinney, of course.
54:09But I mean, it was Lucas Van Ness this past week who had a big game.
54:15Um, and then in a couple of weeks, they're going to get Micah Parsons back.
54:20So this is a team that is like ramping up their defense and their offense, you know, just needs to get healthy.
54:28So this might be actually kind of a, yeah, defensive struggle.
54:32Okay. Fair enough. And by the way, was there ever anything that looked more scripted, you know, for the, for those who
54:40say the NFL is all rigged, I don't know that there's anything else that looked more scripted than, uh, you know, Christian
54:48Watson, you know, getting put in the ambulance and then all of a sudden, you know, the triumphant return, it was like straight out of pro wrestling.
54:58Well, when I saw the note that was sent out, he has not yet been ruled out for this game.
55:05I was like, wait, I've never in my life seen someone get in the ambulance and then the note to go out saying he's not been ruled out.
55:15What? And so then I was like, wait a minute there.
55:19So you're telling me there's a chance that he could return.
55:23This would be a great story. And he did.
55:26So, man. Yeah. It's like, you know, I need to go to this hospital because, you know, there's no waiting there.
55:34Apparently. Look, Wisconsin just does things differently. It's also a small town.
55:38I mean, there's barely two gas stations in Green Bay.
55:42So, you know, it's not quite that bad. Um, and then now we're, let's, let's move to my Vikings.
55:49Uh, the bills come to Minnesota on Monday night.
55:52Um, so I'm looking for, um, an unbiased perspective on this.
55:56Can the bills offense get home versus the Vikings elite defense?
56:00And on the other side, can the Vikings move even against the bills?
56:05Crappy defense. Can Buffalo get home? The answer is yes.
56:08Josh Allen has performed well against pressure and that gives Buffalo the answer to what Minnesota has been doing well on defense,
56:16but I'm more nervous about like the secondary receivers outside of DJ more than how Josh Allen is going to do.
56:24Right. Uh, Minnesota blitzes at over 74% of the time.
56:28Um, but Josh Allen, it doesn't matter. Like his yards per attempt are like 8.3, 8.6 versus the blitz or not.
56:35It doesn't matter. Like he does what he does.
56:39So it really comes down to how are Dalton Kincaid, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman going to do against Minnesota.
56:45Um, that's a major question. And then also, um, Justin Jefferson and TJ Hawkinson have both been earning about the same amount
56:53of targets, which is Dan, how do you feel about that?
56:57Was that on your radar going into week nine?
57:01I mean, I'm not, I'm never surprised to see Hawkinson earning those targets.
57:05Um, all off season, I was drafting Hawkinson. I was avoiding, um, Addison because I felt like that, you know, Kyler Murray
57:13has always had that kind of comfort level with his tight end, uh, that made me feel like that that was the
57:21way that he was likely to lean. Um, now, yeah, um, that much Hawkinson, um, compared to what Justin Jefferson is getting,
57:29um, that's not a great thing at all for the Vikings offense, obviously.
57:34And, you know, it just goes to speak to how poorly Kyler is fitting into this offense still.
57:41I mean, you know, it, it, it has not looked good.
57:45It has not looked easy. Kyler has been, uh, he's, he's late on his throws.
57:50He, he looks like he's late to see the open receivers, which is means that he's always having to, you know, kind
57:58of double clutch and then drop back further and then try to hit a secondary target.
58:04And that's just not working out well at all, you know, and the only times it's working out well is when he
58:12can get that dumped down to Hawkinson. And, and, you know, the Vikings offense just can't continue to run that way.
58:19Or, you know, it's going to be a long season.
58:23That defense can't continue to, you know, it's unrealistic to expect a defense to, you know, hold an offense to 13 points
58:31basically, um, every week, you know, you can't do that.
58:35Especially with this Josh Allen offense, like good luck, you know.
58:39And this is, yeah. Yeah. And Monday night, you know, they're definitely not holding the bills to 13 points.
58:46That's not going to happen. I mean, I think the main thing that the, you know, the Vikings main hope is that
58:54number one, um, Kyler's hamstring is, uh, perceived to be too bulky and they decide that they're going to start Wentz.
59:01Uh, whether that's just an excuse or actual fact, I don't know.
59:06I don't care. Um, I'm just hoping to see Wentz in the driver's seat on Monday night.
59:12And secondly, um, you know, I, I think what the Vikings can do on defense, you're right about, uh, Josh Allen doing
59:20very well against the Wentz, but if they can disguise their coverage as well enough, Josh Allen does sometimes get confused, uh, by a good coverage.
59:29So, uh, you know, the Vikings are, they, they can be ball hawks in the secondary.
59:35So I think that's kind of the, the way they've got to go at it to win this game.
59:42So we'll see whether Kyler Murray plays on Monday night.
59:45That's something we will be monitoring, whether his hamstring, uh, is a thing or if a soft benching is the right way for the Vikings against the bills.
59:56Got to love a good soft benching. Don't you?
59:59All right. Um, any, any games or teams that you're really avoiding as much as possible?
60:05I mean, I think we, we, we pretty clearly said the Ravens were one that we're avoiding.
60:11Um, who else? Yeah. Uh, just a quick rundown.
60:14Arizona's secondary receivers, um, anyone outside of McBride or Wilson, uh, Denver, anyone outside of Waddle, right?
60:20We talked about Sutton and Ingram, um, the jets secondary options outside of Wilson.
60:25So like, if you want to take a best ball shot on Anni Mitchell, if you want to take a best ball
60:33shot and Omar Cooper, great, but they're not auto flexes for you.
60:38Um, Minnesota's secondary receivers, uh, Addison can't put them in your lineup.
60:42And then anyone, any Seattle secondary receivers, JSN getting 35% of the targets.
60:47So yeah, I'm going to add the, uh, the entire Tampa Bay passing offense because until they prove they can actually, that
60:55could be a water on Sunday night, Tampa versus Chicago.
60:58Yeah. I mean, you know, I know that there are reasons why Tampa hasn't passed the ball the past two weeks.
61:06I mean, they, they were just running rush shot over Carolina and in that case, why pass the ball?
61:13And, you know, same thing versus Atlanta plus a rainstorm on top of that.
61:18You know, there, there was no reason the Baker hand injury.
61:22Why, why pass it? Exactly. So we still don't know if Baker's thumb is any good or not.
61:28Um, even after two weeks of him back, um, and I'd be terrified to put them in my lineup and try to find out this week either.
61:38So, uh, stay away from the, the bucks. They might be able to get a little something going on the ground, but,
61:46uh, I don't even like their, their odds there.
61:50This could be a total whitewashing. But I will say the bucks defense is pretty darn good.
61:56Chicago might have more trouble moving against the bucks than they did against, uh, Seattle.
62:01That Tampa beef, Tampa defense has been, they've been playing that well.
62:06So, um, I'm, I'm really impressed with what they're doing on defense.
62:10All right. So let's, uh, Bradley, before we get out of here, let's go back and hit some of those questions we got in the chat.
62:19Um, so I'll throw them up here and we'll just kind of rattle through them and, uh, see what you have to say.
62:28Uh, first one is, do you think Marvin Harrison is going to become, or is going to boom in Houston?
62:35Um, what do you think, Bradley? He's going to have some boom games, but it's going to be hard to trust week in, week out.
62:44I, I'm not at this point where I'm comfortable putting him in my lineup.
62:49I'm going to need to see a few more games of consistent targets.
62:54Yeah, totally agree. I mean, player teams don't try away at players like Marvin Harrison because they're doing well.
63:01They trade them away because, uh, they really need a fresh start and to expect Marvin Harrison to turn into something in the middle of the season.
63:10I don't think that's really a fair expectation for him, um, nor a fair expectation for the Texans.
63:17Hopefully he will be a contributing player. Uh, somebody that if you're in a jam and a flex, you can throw them
63:25in there and maybe something good will happen. Uh, okay.
63:29And then, uh, same guy says, do you think I will regret dropping Omari and Hampton for Marvin Harrison?
63:35Uh, the answer is yes, because of running back scarcity.
63:39You can get a Marvin Harrison type on your waivers.
63:43Probably. More than likely that's true. And, you know, also if McDaniels does get fired, um, then we might see Hampton featured again.
63:51But as it stands right now, Hampton got the least amount of snaps and, uh, and, and touches of all three of the running backs.
64:00So, you know, the, as long as McDaniels around, uh, the jig is up for Hampton, but you're right.
64:07Running back scarcity means he's the one you hold on to.
64:11So I'm going to agree with you there. Okay.
64:14And then, uh, this one looks like it was arranged specially for you.
64:19Would you trade Luther burden for a late 28 first, a late 28 second and a late 27 second?
64:26The answer is no. And this is a philosophical question, less about like burden himself and more about like, we know what Luther burden is.
64:35Like he's, or he's shown production at the NFL level.
64:39What you're banking on. It's all, you're assuming it's a late 28 first, right?
64:44That's a, that's a big assumption, right? That is a, that is a very big assumption.
64:50Uh, that, that it's a late 28 first, a late 28 second, late 27 seconds.
64:55Like the hit rates of those seconds are very low.
64:59And then you're waiting for the maturity of knowing that they're going to end up in your lineup.
65:05You know that Luther burden is probably going to be a lineup guy for you.
65:1150 plus percent of the time, maybe more, maybe he's auto lock, you know, in two weeks, three weeks, maybe sooner.
65:18Like, right. But the philosophical approach is like, we know clearly what Luther burden at least bare minimum is at this point.
65:26And it's very hard to say that the hit rates of those combined, even if they all do pan out to net win the trade.
65:35Guess what? You've gotten Luther burden for the 26 year, the 27 year.
65:40And now you're finally getting into the 28 year when you're realizing that first coming to fruition.
65:46So no, like I'm holding onto Luther burden for that trade from a philosophical.
65:51Dan, is that the right approach? Yeah, I think you're right with that.
65:56I mean, if it was a 27 first, there'd be a little bit more reason to take it if you were stacked at wide receiver.
66:05But I would have to be stacked at wide receiver to even consider a trade like that.
66:11In which case, you're just kind of flipping them on forward, you know, and allowing yourself to hold assets that don't count against your roster.
66:20So, you know, there is some advantage to getting the picks.
66:24But again, you know, the burden in the hand is worth two in the bush.
66:30Like if I'm if I have Luther burden, I'm trying to like trade up like I'd rather pair Luther burden with a first to get.
66:39I don't know what what can you get with Luther burden plus a first wide receiver wise.
66:45That's what I try to acquire. Like that's the approach that I would take, because I think the market like my approach
66:53is the market is higher than than I am on him.
66:57But if I have an asset like burden that the market's higher than I am on, I'm trying to level up and get a guy that I.
67:07Yeah, that I like. Yeah, that's that's the better way to go about it for sure.
67:12All right. Quick one here. Chris Bell or Caleb Douglas and Dynasty.
67:17Too early to tell. I like both of them.
67:20This this is one to me where Caleb Douglas holds the value right now.
67:25You know, so he's the asset that I'd rather hang on to.
67:30He's he's one that I can either flip for something else or I can hold on to him for a while.
67:37I think Chris Bell is probably going to be 2027 before we really start to see him round into form.
67:44You know, just because he's he's coming off that injury.
67:48You know, there there's a lot of things that still need to go right for Chris Bell and for Caleb Douglas for that matter.
67:57But Douglas is closer. All right. Here's a good one.
68:00How do you move off of Daniel Jones and Dynasty?
68:04Yeah, I know. I know one way. It's a hot potato situation.
68:08Like, do you want to be left holding Daniel Jones?
68:12I mean, as you know, Anthony Richardson is coming in a couple of weeks.
68:17Right. We know it's rightly Leonard. Maybe. Let's hey, go Irish.
68:21Go Irish, baby. I yeah, I'm I'm concerned for my Tyler Warren shares of if Anthony Richardson's at the controls.
68:28How do we move off of him, though? Um, you know, you look at a team who is in need of quarterback help.
68:37Let's say the Lamar Jackson team doesn't have a second quarterback or is in need.
68:42I mean, you could probably move him for very cheap.
68:46I mean, you don't need to give him away for free, but someone is going to want him and you're going to get something is better than nothing.
68:56Because if you think another NFL team is going to give Daniel Jones a starting opportunity.
69:02No, I think it's possible just because, you know, he's going to say, well, I was coming off the ACL or the
69:10Achilles and, you know, anything can happen. I'll put it this way.
69:14Daniel Jones's value right now is about as low as it can get.
69:19Usually when that's the case, I will just, you know, shove them on my bench, keep them firmly there and wait for better days on value.
69:28Because, you know what, between what I can get for him right now and if his value falls to zero, that's not
69:36enough of a difference for me to really worry about.
69:40Whereas if he can actually rehabilitate his value, then I know what I'm doing, which is I'm going to sell him as
69:48quickly as I can once his value has been rehabilitated and get him off my team before the bottom drops out again.
69:56So, because we know that's what's going to happen with Daniel Jones.
70:00The bottom will continue to drop out. He always looks good for a little while and then, you know, that's what screams backup quarterback to me.
70:10All right. I can only get one on redraft.
70:13Algier or Mike Washington really need to get this right because I need a running back desperately.
70:19Who are you backing here? Algier has to be the move.
70:23That's my take because Gentry, it could be one week from now, it could be two weeks from now that he reclaims the starting role.
70:32He's still involved in the passing game and he's still one of the most dynamic pass catchers out of the backfield in
70:40the entire NFL, even with this injury. Whereas Algier has this backfield all to himself.
70:45Bam Knight is dealing with the concussion. That's short term, but he might still be just good enough to hold off Bam Knight by himself.
70:55And we saw Jeremiah Love go on the injured reserve.
70:58So I think the pathway is clearer for Algier over the next four weeks than Mike Washington.
71:04Dan, do you agree? Disagree? I'm going to slightly disagree.
71:08I'm going to say that the pathway is clearer this week because of the Bam Knight concussion.
71:14But I'm telling you, man, nobody tried to bury Algier more than the Cardinals.
71:19Obviously, you get Jeremiah Love back. He's going to get most of the reps, right?
71:25So the first quarter, Jeremiah Love gets 13 snaps and then Algier gets four.
71:30And then Love goes out. Now it's Bam Knight for the second quarter getting 16 snaps and Algier gets four.
71:37And then Bam Knight gets a concussion. Now they're like, okay, well, we don't have anybody else at running back.
71:44So I guess you're getting all the snaps and you get to play against the Dallas Cowboys who absolutely suck against the run.
71:53So here you go. Here's 36 fantasy points for you and anybody who was brave enough or idiotic enough to start Algier last week.
72:01Desperate. Desperation. I'm really worried that even if Bam Knight is out this week, that he comes back and he starts eating Algier's lunch again.
72:10So, you know, I think Washington is probably the safer play.
72:14If it's a one-week thing, I would definitely go Algier for this week.
72:19If it's longer than that, I might take the chance on Washington.
72:23I don't know. But it's a tough one. All right.
72:27Let's see what else we got. A couple more here and then we'll get you out of here.
72:34Would you ship Lamar for Jordan Love in a single quarterback four-point passing Dynasty League?
72:39I would need more than Jordan Love. I think I'd do it because...
72:44I need more than Jordan Love. I don't know.
72:47I might be underselling him, but, man, Lamar has been just brittle, fragile, untrustworthy.
72:52He doesn't run as much anymore. I mean, this might be one of those things where you lose a trade on paper
73:00and you win the trade in real life. But try to get more.
73:05Try to get more. Yeah. I would not accept it on its face.
73:10If that just entered my inbox, I wouldn't just click accept.
73:14I would negotiate. There you go. Did you start Purdy or Lawrence?
73:18You start Purdy. I talked about Vegas. They give up 30-plus points.
73:22Auto. Auto. No. Like, with Lawrence, like, they pull Lawrence, what, like, 30% of the time over the last year and a half?
73:31They pull him early. Yep. So, the opportunity for fancy points goes.
73:35This could turn into an ugly situation game as well.
73:39So, I want the potential shootout game with Purdy.
73:42And Purdy can keep up. Yeah. Yeah, for sure.
73:45All right. Here's a good one. What would you want to get back in a super flex league if you were trading
73:53away a Bryce Young or Tyler Shook for Justin Herbert?
73:57I would say thank you very much and get that deal done instead of trying to get an extra piece on top.
74:05Because I'll tell you what, long-term, Justin Herbert beats the doors off of both of those guys.
74:11Interesting. See, Tyler Shook is very interesting to me because he's still tied to Kellen Moore.
74:17And he's got weapons. He's got Chris Olave. And we haven't even seen Jordan Tyson enter the chat yet.
74:24So, I totally get, like, if you can trade away Bryce Young to get Justin Herbert, that's a deal I would do.
74:32Yes. But I'm holding on Tyler Shook. I want to just continue to ride out Tyler Shook and not go through the heartache that is currently the L.A.
74:42Chargers. And, like, if we get to a point where, okay, maybe the things are starting to level out.
74:49But Shook is hot. Shook has the coach. Shook has the offensive support.
74:53Like, I'm okay with just continuing to stick around with Tyler Shook.
74:58And he's been scoring lots of fantasy points. So, yeah.
75:01Yep. Okay. And if you can, okay, so for Tyler Shook, if you can get a little bit more on top for him, go ahead and do that.
75:11I'm assuming this is somebody who's kind of in the midst of retooling their lineup because otherwise it wouldn't be trading away productive players for Justin Herbert.
75:21You know, or at least that these, you know, Young and Shook are players that they're not really relying on.
75:29So, you wouldn't be relying on Herbert either. It's kind of the way I'm going at it.
75:35And final question here before we get you out of here.
75:39What's Lamar's value pick-wise in a super flex league?
75:42Lamar owner asking for two firsts. I say good luck to the Lamar owner on that.
75:48But what do you say? I mean, yeah, it's going to be two firsts.
75:53Like, that's, if you have Lamar Jackson in your dynasty league, like, you know what Lamar Jackson, like, you've selected him because you believe in the upside.
76:03Like, you know, like, you have a certain philosophy of, like, this is the archetype of player that I want to just
76:11put chips in and I'm going to live or die by that.
76:15So, if you're going to move him off of, move me off of him, it's got to make it worth it for me.
76:23Because I know what the upside is. I know it's 30 fantasy points a game, easy, and all of these injuries have
76:31occurred while he's been in the pocket as a pocket passer, not mostly because of the rushing.
76:37So, I'm not as concerned. I'm not selling low on Lamar Jackson.
76:42I wouldn't sell low on Lamar Jackson either, but also I'd be very hesitant to buy him for two firsts.
76:49I'd rather put together some other kind of package.
76:52Sure. Or if I am buying him for two firsts, I want to make sure those are, you know, mid to low
77:00firsts in a super flex rather than a high first.
77:04I would not want to find out that I blew a high first that could turn into Jeremiah Smith or something like
77:12that on, you know, 50% of my Lamar ownership.
77:15So, that would be tough. He says, yes, they'd be late first.
77:20So, that makes it a little bit easier. But, yeah, I would explore some other possibilities if they're there, 109 to 112s.
77:28Yeah, if you like the deal, go ahead and do it.
77:32But I think that's one that, you know, Lamar has become a matter of personal taste for a lot of people at this point.
77:40All right. I think that covers it. Bradley, we've been doing it for an hour and a quarter already.
77:47So, thanks for joining me this week. I always enjoy chopping up with you every chance that I get.
77:54But let the people know, where can they find you?
77:58What are you up to these days? Let's get that out there.
78:02Yeah, at FFStalderOnX. You can follow me there. YouTube, Bradley Stalder Fantasy Football, BSFF on lots of the socials, Instagram, TikTok, all the places.
78:11Kids were sick this past week, so not as much in terms of the video content this past week.
78:18But we'll see if we can get that ramped back up.
78:22So, yeah, check out all that. I already have a way too early 2027 mock first that I, like, analyzed.
78:29So, PFF dropped it, but I did some analysis and talked about some of the players.
78:35So, if you want to check that out on the YouTube channel, I've already got that.
78:40So, if you're already clamoring for the rookie chat.
78:44There you go. For you degenerates out there, we're here for you.
78:48Yep. Yeah. So, make sure you check that out on Bradley Stalder Fantasy Football on YouTube.
78:54Bradley's got a ton of great content coming out there all the time.
78:59Follow him on X. You'll get to see a lot of shorts that he pulls out of that.
79:05So, a lot of great content. Really appreciate having you on today, Bradley.
79:10And, you know, good luck to you this week.
79:13And for those of you out there, as always, I love the feedback on the show.
79:19Hit the like button. Leave a comment. Give us a review.
79:23Whatever's appropriate to the format on which you're consuming this show.
79:27Good luck to everybody out there this week. Let's get out there and dominate.
