Under-The-Radar Breakouts + Buy Neutral Players + Top Waiver Wire Add

Despite a 100% opportunity share, Braylon Allen failed to produce fantasy value because the Jets' offense failed to fire, but Matt Kelley suggests there is no reason to regret the process of starting him.

Braylon Allen is a high-priority target despite a poor team performance in Week 4; he commanded a 100% opportunity share and effectively a 100% snap share, proving his role is secure regardless of the Jets' offensive struggles.

Matt Kelley recommends bidding aggressively on Braylon Allen, citing his 100% opportunity share as a reason to keep him in lineups.

Matt Kelley identifies Brock Purdy as a buy-high candidate, citing his elite efficiency (0.6 EPA per play) and arguing he is not yet perceived as the elite talent he truly is.

Matt Kelley admits that playing Bucky Irving was a mistake, noting that his usage trends shifted negatively toward Kenneth Gainwell with the backup quarterback under center.

Matt Kelley labels Carnell Tate a buy-neutral player, noting his elite 30% target share—comparable to Puka Nacua and Drake London—despite a lack of touchdowns suppressing his fantasy points.

Chris Godwin is suffering from a loss of athleticism and explosiveness due to a history of lower-body injuries, fitting the 'Tara McLaurin corollary' for players entering their 30s.

Matt Kelley highlights the Carolina backfield as a prime example of touch consolidation, with Chuba Hubbard being a key beneficiary of the team's concentrated offensive distribution.

With no competition from Jalen Coker, Ligot, or Jonathan Brooks, Chuba Hubbard is the primary beneficiary of the backfield opportunity consolidation.

Matt Kelley names Colston Loveland the best buy-low candidate across all formats, noting his consistent red zone usage and projecting him to be the second most productive tight end behind Brock Bowers.

Cortland Sutton is considered 'dust' as he turns 31, evidenced by a poor one-catch performance on six targets in Week 4.

Matt Kelley defends starting Deandre Swift in week four as a 'great process play' despite the poor outcome, noting that the matchup against the Jets remains a factor.

Matt Kelley suggests adding Darius Cooper everywhere as a dynasty stash, noting the team's high regard for him, though he was not an obvious start for the previous week.

Matt Kelley advises against chasing Darius Cooper in seasonal leagues because he is currently a wide receiver three/four; he is better suited as a dynasty stash due to his talent and positive team buzz.

Matt Kelley suggests staying away from David Montgomery, citing concerns about the Houston offensive line and the team's inability to function as a consistent running offense.

David Montgomery is a 'value trap' due to the Houston Texans' poor offensive line, which prevents him from operating effectively. Matt Kelley regrets drafting him and advises against buying him.

Matt Kelley explicitly warns against buying low on David Montgomery, suggesting that Emmanuel Wilson is the superior back to target for production in the coming weeks.

Derrick Henry is delivering elite production, averaging 25 fantasy points per game.

Matt Kelley praises Drake May for his performance against the Bills, noting that he validated his Josh Allen comparison on PlayerProfiler by remaining competitive despite a lack of receiving talent.

Emmanuel Wilson has become the focal point of the Seahawks' offense, with touches consolidating around him and JSN as the team struggles to maintain competitive game scripts.

Matt Kelley recommends aggressively adding Emmanuel Wilson off the waiver wire, as he is a primary back on a team with a great offensive line and favorable game scripts.

Matt Kelley identifies Emmanuel Wilson as the top waiver wire priority, projecting him to serve as a primary back for several weeks while Zach Charbonnet recovers from a leg injury; he expects Wilson to outproduce David Montgomery.

J.K. Dobbins is no longer the efficient player he was last year, with his success rate dropping to 25% and fantasy points per snap declining to 0.23. His history of lower-body injuries is cited as the primary cause for his loss of explosiveness.

Matt Kelley notes that while Jameis Winston threw three touchdowns, he was less efficient and threw more interceptions than the backup quarterback, suggesting his performance was not as strong as the box score implies.

Javonte Williams is trending upward, coming off a performance that brought his average to 20 fantasy points per game.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is seeing his role consolidate alongside Emmanuel Wilson as the primary options in the Seahawks' offense.

Despite being named the starter, Jalen Wright is viewed as a 'slasher' who lacks the size and versatility of Ollie Gordon. His 10% route participation rate in Week 4 compared to Gordon's 45% suggests he is not the preferred long-term asset.

Matt Kelley questions why Jalen Wright is being named the starter over Ollie Gordon, noting that Wright is not the same caliber of receiver or between-the-tackles runner as Gordon.

Despite a Week 4 dip, Jeremiah Love's usage is trending toward a high-50s to low-60s opportunity share. Matt Kelley views Week 4 as a blip and expects touchdown production to follow, making him a strong buy.

Matt Kelley dismisses Joe Mixon as a fantasy asset, stating he is 'dust' and not worth prioritizing despite reports of him working out.

John Metchie becomes an interesting fantasy option in deep leagues when the Carolina offense consolidates touches, as evidenced by his increased involvement when other receivers are sidelined.

Matt Kelley suggests considering John Mechie as a startable option if he is operating as a wide receiver two in a game projected to be a shootout.

Following the injury to Marcus Mariota, the Colts shifted their offensive strategy to rely heavily on Jonathan Taylor to protect a lead, consolidating touches in his direction.

Jordan Love is a buy-low candidate after a blip in production caused by the Packers playing with a lead and not needing to be prolific.

Matt Kelley notes that Josh Downs saw his usage drop because the Colts pivoted to a run-heavy approach with Jonathan Taylor after Marcus Mariota left the game.

Matt Kelley maintains that Josh Downs is a buy-low candidate, attributing his recent lack of production to in-game injuries rather than a lack of talent or role.

Kenneth Gainwell saw an uptick in usage in the Buccaneers' offense, specifically on dump-off passes, following the shift to a backup quarterback.

Despite a zero-point performance in Week 4, Kenyon Sadiq is a recommended add due to his high snap share and route participation rate, which suggest better production is coming.

Matt Kelley highlights Keon Coleman's 23-point fantasy performance in week four, noting that he was fed targets by Josh Allen in the absence of DJ Moore.

Matt Kelley suggests considering Laquan Treadwell as a startable option if he is operating as a wide receiver two in a game projected to be a shootout.

Matt Kelley highlights Malik Nabers' strong metrics, noting his route participation climbed to 91% and his air yards surged to 113 in week four, confirming his status as a top-tier target.

Matt Kelley classifies Michael Wilson as a buy-neutral player, highlighting his 35% target share over the last two weeks and his consistent red-zone involvement.

Michael Wilson is a buy-neutral/buy-low candidate who is seeing a massive 35% target share over the last two games, despite not finding the end zone in Week 4.

Matt Kelley prefers Ollie Gordon over Jalen Wright, citing Gordon's superior size, between-the-tackles ability, and passing game utility. Gordon's route participation rate (45%) significantly outpaced Wright's (10%) in Week 4, making him a strong buy-high candidate.

Matt Kelley advises selling high on Ollie Gordon, noting that fantasy managers are overvaluing him compared to Jalen Wright, despite Gordon's 2,000-yard rushing potential.

Matt Kelley recommends starting Quinshawn Judkins against the Jets, emphasizing that the matchup is favorable regardless of previous team performance.

Rashid Shaheed has failed to produce a spike week because the Seahawks are not being forced into passing situations, limiting the deep-ball opportunities he relies on.

Rhamondre Stevenson is dominating the Patriots' backfield with a 59% snap share compared to Travion Henderson's 37%, while nearly doubling Henderson's route participation rate.

Matt Kelley considers Roman Wilson the best receiver on the Steelers and actively looks for reasons to play him, though he remains a fringe wide receiver three option for now.

Matt Kelley acknowledges Romeo Dobbs is a startable fantasy asset because he operates as the number one receiver in a high-scoring offense, despite questioning his actual talent level.

Despite being in a matchup with a high projected total, Stefan Diggs' fantasy output was limited by the game script and the Colts' shift to a run-heavy offense.

Matt Kelley reiterates the thesis to sell high on Travis Kelce, arguing that he is outperforming his target share and benefiting from unsustainable positive touchdown variance.

Matt Kelley is moving on from Trevor Lawrence, noting that the Jaguars' reliance on their defense and a strong running game limits Lawrence's fantasy upside.

Trevor Lawrence is a sell candidate in seasonal leagues because the Jaguars' defense and running game are strong enough to allow the team to sit on leads, limiting his passing volume.

Matt Kelley believes Xavier Worthy remains a potential smash play, arguing that the Rashee Rice injury inadvertently suppressed Worthy's production by forcing Tyquan Thornton into a larger role.

Matt Kelley highlights significant muscle atrophy in Zach Charbonnet's surgically repaired leg, noting that his quad is half the size of his healthy leg, which will likely delay his return to a primary role.