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Davis Mattek fantasy football takes on Stefon Diggs
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Davis Mattek about Stefon Diggs.
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Insight ledger
All Davis Mattek insights about Stefon Diggs
NegativeValueJul 24, 2026
Stefon Diggs appears in 16% of Davis Mattek's 1,269 total drafts, ranking among the lower-exposure players on his top-exposure page.PositiveValueJul 19, 2026
32-year-old averaging 12.3 PPG last year with 2.5 yards per route run (12th in NFL) despite not having full route share with New England Patriots (load-managed like Kawhi Leonard); returned from torn ACL earlier than anticipated. Tyreek Hill applies 'black marble' analogy—each white marble season increases odds of a cliff-fall year. Currently unsigned as of July 18 and involved in multiple lawsuits, creating uncertainty. However, Diggs is available in rounds 11–13 on DraftKings and represents strong value if he signs; when he played last year, he was awesome. Likely destination is Washington Commanders, which is a very good spot for him. Mattek is betting on Diggs not being washed and would take him at that ADP all the time.PositiveValueMay 31, 2026
Davis Mattek loves Stefon Diggs at his upcoming draft pick and believes Kansas City would like to sign him, even if Rashee Rice's legal situation resolves. Mattek questions whether Diggs would accept a reduced role competing with Worthy and Rice, but frames it as a championship opportunity similar to his near-miss with the Bills, indicating bullishness on Diggs' fit and willingness to compete for a title. Additionally, Mattek is comfortable being 15-20 spots ahead of ADP on Diggs, suggesting significant divergence from market consensus.PositiveValueMay 30, 2026
Diggs is described as 'definitely my preferred option' in the wide receiver selection, indicating the source views him as the most desirable wide receiver available at that draft stage. However, Diggs goes off the board before the source can select him.NegativeRoleMay 23, 2026
Josh Allen's passing touchdown output has declined since losing Diggs; Allen had 29 passing TDs three years ago when Diggs was on the team, but has since dropped to 25, 28, and 29 TDs over the last three years, suggesting the loss of an elite receiver target has impacted his passing volume.NegativeValueNo date
The source expresses high exposure to Diggs and views his ADP as illogical; notes that Diggs is ranked ahead of ADP on the Flock website and assumes every projection model has him ahead of his current draft position (ADP 136), questioning why he falls after Jaylen Coker given his projected production advantage despite zero risk concerns.PositiveValueNo date
Davis Mattek repeatedly returns to Diggs as a draft target, stating 'the ADP makes no sense,' implying his current draft position undervalues his talent and production potential. Mattek lists Diggs among his top four fantasy picks this year alongside Michael Pittman Jr., Jordan Addison, Trey Ferguson, and Jaylen Waddle as elite fantasy options. While Mattek speculates Diggs may be holding out for a Rams offer (which would negatively impact his exposure to Terence Ferguson), he also notes Diggs to the Commanders feels pretty likely as a potential landing spot. Despite uncertainty around his destination, Mattek's repeated emphasis on Diggs' value at current ADP suggests he views the receiver as underpriced relative to his upside.NegativeProjectionNo date
Davis Mattek drafted Stefon Diggs as a wide receiver; the resulting team received a B-grade overall from the draft evaluation tool with above-average ADP value. However, an evaluator expressed concern about the wide receiver group, stating 'A little worried about your wide receivers.' Mattek noted that Diggs signing with the Commanders is acceptable, but signing with the Chiefs would be negative for Worthy and Rashee Rice on his roster due to target share cannibalization.NegativeMatchupNo date
A Patriots reunion for Stefon Diggs appears unlikely due to reported locker room issues with Keenan Allen, Odell Beckham Jr., and Debo Samuel. The source identifies the most likely landing spots as the Commanders, Ravens, Chiefs, or Rams, each with different fantasy implications for his ADP and role.PositiveProjectionNo date
Davis Mattek affirmed that Stefan Diggs is better than Keenan Allen at the current moment, independent of ADP considerations, indicating positive outlook on Diggs' relative value and performance trajectory.NegativeRoleNo date
Stefon Diggs would not have crossed paths with Kyle Shanahan during his tenure in Minnesota, as Diggs was there under Mike Zimmer and then went to the Bills; the only potential overlap would be through Bobby Slowick (Shanahan tree) or Norv Turner, but no direct Shanahan connection exists.PositiveValueNo date
Identified as a closing-line ADP value opportunity; Mattek predicts Diggs' average draft position will move from the 130s to the 100s once he signs with a team, making him superior to multiple current receivers depending on landing spot. If Diggs signs with the Commanders, he beats Ricky Pearsall; if Chiefs, he beats Jordan Addison; if Ravens, he beats Courtland Sutton or Xavier Worthy. Mattek believes it is 'effectively an impossibility' for Diggs to stay at his current ADP after signing.PositiveUsageNo date
Diggs played 57% of the snaps last year with 85 receptions, which appeared to be a deliberate effort by the Patriots to keep him healthy for the postseason.PositiveProjectionNo date
Stefon Diggs was a 1,000-yard receiver last year and is being drafted in the 17th round, with potential to reach 50-70% route share depending on whether he displaces other receivers.NegativeValueNo date
The analyst would not draft Stefon Diggs in the second round of a 12-team draft, indicating they believe he should not be taken there.PositiveProjectionNo date
Analyst includes Stefon Diggs in the final wide receiver roster.PositiveValueNo date
Diggs is described as a 'slam dunk' pick who is going after Jaylen Coker and next to Amari Cooper Jr., representing significant value as he's expected to sign with a good team.PositiveRoleNo date
Stefon Diggs is selected as the analyst's preferred wide receiver pick.