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Wide Receivers After Pick 100 That Will Actually Start For You

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

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Duration
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Published
25
Player insights
25
Players mentioned
Topics
Adonai MitchellBrock PurdyCalvin RidleyChris GodwinChristian KirkCourtland SuttonGarrett WilsonGeorge KittleJalen McMillanJaylen WaddleJerry JeudyJosh AllenJustin HerbertKeenan Allen
Player analysis

Player insights

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Adonai Mitchell

PositiveBreakout12:04

Adonai Mitchell is a high-upside breakout candidate in the 12th-13th round, with potential to finish as a top-15 to top-20 wide receiver. He benefits from a projected competent Jets offense and a high 82% route share; he ran 306 routes last year, proving he earns opportunities. Despite past focus issues, he is a favorite value bet if Geno Smith provides above-average quarterback play.

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Brock Purdy

PositiveProjection15:19

Brock Purdy is highly regarded as a very good quarterback, ranking first in the NFL in career EPA per play, which serves as a catalyst for the success of 49ers wide receivers.

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Calvin Ridley

NegativeValue18:55

Calvin Ridley is recognized for having high raw route volume, but he is ranked behind Keenan Allen in fantasy preference.

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Chris Godwin

NegativeRole1:58

Chris Godwin is entering his age-31 season and has struggled with efficiency since a major injury two seasons ago. His role is potentially threatened by the arrival of younger, more athletic options like Ted Hurst.

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Christian Kirk

NegativeInjury16:01

Christian Kirk is currently on the injured reserve list due to a calf injury.

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Courtland Sutton

NegativeUsage5:20

Courtland Sutton is trending down in efficiency metrics, including first downs per route run, targets per route run, and yards per route run. He is viewed as being on the downswing of his career and faces a non-zero chance of being overtaken by Pat Bryant on the depth chart.

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Garrett Wilson

PositiveBust13:59

While the market assumes Garrett Wilson will be an absolute target dominator in the Jets' offense, his career production has been disappointing. Despite excuses regarding poor quarterback and offensive line play, his total career accumulation does not support the current market hype.

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George Kittle

NegativeInjury15:56

George Kittle is flagged as an aging player with significant injury concerns, specifically noting he is coming off an Achilles injury.

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Jalen McMillan

NegativeUsage1:44

Jaylen McMillan is a sub-1.5 yards per route run player with poor peripheral statistics. While he has had some fantasy-relevant games due to touchdowns, his lack of dynamic athleticism makes him less appealing than Ted Hurst in the Tampa Bay offense.

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Jaylen Waddle

PositiveBreakout5:14

Jaylen Waddle is identified as a phenomenal breakout candidate for the upcoming season and is a recommended target for fantasy drafts.

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Jerry Jeudy

NegativeValue18:55

Jerry Jeudy is noted for high route volume—ranking second in the NFL last year—but his production was poor, partly due to bad quarterback play and his own performance. He is ranked behind Keenan Allen.

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Josh Allen

NegativeValue17:29

Josh Allen is cited as an example of an elite quarterback to pair with Keenan Allen in specific draft builds.

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Justin Herbert

PositiveProjection8:34

Justin Herbert is projected to have a phenomenal season, averaging 20 fantasy points per game within the Chargers' offensive scheme.

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Keenan Allen

PositiveValue12:03

Keenan Allen is a recommended value pick for teams that start with four running backs in the first six rounds, serving as a reliable WR3 or flex option. Despite averaging 10.7 points per game last year, he remains a strong projectable asset who could rank inside the top 36 wide receivers; he is preferred over Jerry Jeudy and Calvin Ridley due to his high raw route potential.

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Kenneth Walker III

NegativeUsage14:00

Kenneth Walker is mentioned in a hypothetical scenario where the Chiefs lean heavily on the run game, which is framed as a potential downside outcome for the team's passing attack.

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Lamar Jackson

NegativeValue17:35

Lamar Jackson is mentioned as a high-value quarterback option that might be paired with Brock Bowers in early-round draft strategies.

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Marvin Mims

NegativeDepth Chart6:42

Mattek suggests that Pat Bryant is positioned to overtake Marvin Mims on the depth chart.

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Mike Evans

NegativeBust15:39

Mike Evans is a major concern due to multiple injury reports (quad, thigh, abductor), a career-low yards per route run, a recent season-ending injury, a team change, and a difficult travel schedule to start the season. Mattek feels very sketchy about his outlook, noting that things are not adding up for his career trajectory.

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Pat Bryant

PositiveBreakout3:38

Pat Bryant is a high-upside breakout candidate for the Denver Broncos who is expected to benefit from high passing volume. He is already earning praise in practice and is projected to surpass Marvin Mims, Troy Franklin, and potentially Courtland Sutton on the depth chart. Mattek identifies him as a favorite breakout bet due to his low cost, and he is recommended as a roster-bolstering wide receiver option.

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Puka Nacua

NegativeValue16:27

Puka Nacua is used as a historical reference for how fantasy managers have become too efficient at drafting, noting he would not have been available at pick 18 in his rookie season today. Puka Nacua is used as a benchmark for breakout performance, with the note that Keenan Allen is unlikely to replicate Nacua's specific breakout range of outcomes.

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Ricky Pearsall

NegativeInjury15:08

Ricky Pearsall is ruled out for the entire season. He was previously noted as an overage prospect who, despite a questionable profile, was leading the NFL in yards per game before his injury.

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Ted Hurst

PositiveSleeper0:42

Ted Hurst is a high-upside sleeper with 99th percentile athleticism (9.9 RAS) who is positioned to compete for boundary snaps in Tampa Bay. He is viewed as a superior deep threat to Jaylen McMillan and could see increased usage if Chris Godwin or Igbuka miss time due to injury. He is recommended as a wide receiver option to bolster a roster after a running back-heavy start.

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Tre Harris

PositiveBreakout7:17

Trey Harris is a high-upside, inexpensive breakout candidate for the Chargers. Despite a disappointing rookie year where he logged 48% of snaps and 1.21 YPRR, he is the cheapest part of the offense and possesses elite collegiate production, including 5.2 YPRR in his final season. He is recommended as a wide receiver option to bolster rosters after an early running back-heavy draft strategy.

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Troy Franklin

NegativeDepth Chart6:42

Mattek suggests that Pat Bryant is positioned to overtake Troy Franklin on the depth chart.

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Xavier Worthy

PositiveBreakout12:45

Xavier Worthy is a strong bounce-back candidate at his 10th-11th round ADP. Despite a disappointing rookie season hampered by a torn labrum and a 165-pound frame, he showed scoring ability with multiple 16-22 point games. He demonstrated high usage with 482 total routes in 14 games and has already returned to action in the preseason; he is considered essential to the Chiefs' offensive ceiling.

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Full transcript

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