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An Expert Mock Draft (1.02)

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

11 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 1, 2026
Published
Wed, July 1, 2026
32
Player insights
29
Players mentioned
Topics
DK MetcalfJayden ReedRicky PearsallBijan RobinsonBo NixBrock BowersBrock PurdyChase BrownChris OlaveChristian McCaffreyDak PrescottDavid MontgomeryGeorge PickensJa'Marr Chase
Player analysis

Player insights

32

Bijan Robinson

PositiveProjection0:09

Robinson is expected to be the likely pick at 1.2 in most leagues, though the analyst received Gibbs instead in this mock draft.

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Bo Nix

PositiveProjection0:10

Bo Nix is mentioned as one of several viable quarterback options available in the draft, part of a deep pool of approximately 17-18 good fantasy football quarterbacks this year.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveBreakout0:22

The analyst believes Bowers will be the story of the fantasy football season and is a better pick than elite wide receivers like George Pickens, Nico Collins, Chris Olave, or Tee Higgins in round two.

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Brock Purdy

PositiveProjection0:10

Brock Purdy is mentioned as one of several viable quarterback options available in the draft, part of a deep pool of approximately 17-18 good fantasy football quarterbacks this year.

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Chase Brown

PositiveValue0:49

Brown is paired with Justin Jefferson as a second-round option the analyst considers reasonable.

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Chris Olave

NegativeValue0:12

Olave is explicitly mentioned as a player the analyst would not take over Brock Bowers in the second round.

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Christian McCaffrey

PositiveValue0:22

McCaffrey is mentioned as a potential first-round pick the analyst might not prioritize in best ball formats, though he values running backs from the left side of the board in redraft.

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Dak Prescott

PositiveProjection0:10

Dak Prescott is mentioned as one of several viable quarterback options available in the draft, part of a deep pool of approximately 17-18 good fantasy football quarterbacks this year.

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David Montgomery

PositiveRole0:20

Montgomery is described as volume-dependent and selected in the fifth round as part of a running back-heavy strategy.

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DK Metcalf

PositiveProjection0:09

Metcalf is not a breakout bet but rather a bet that Aaron Rodgers plays better than last season; even so, 12.5 fantasy points per game as a wide receiver three is respectable.

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PositiveValue0:39

Metcalf is added to the team as a startable wide receiver option that can be mixed and matched with the analyst's other receivers depending on weekly projections.

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George Pickens

NegativeValue0:12

Pickens is explicitly mentioned as a player the analyst would not take over Brock Bowers in the second round.

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Ja'Marr Chase

PositiveValue0:35

Chase is noted as the number one wide receiver in fantasy football for the most recent two seasons, but the analyst prefers starting with a running back from the 1.2 slot rather than Chase.

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Jahmyr Gibbs

PositiveProjection0:07

Gibbs is positioned as a top-tier running back option at the 1.2 pick, with the analyst noting he's likely to be a league-winning selection in the early rounds.

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Jalen Hurts

PositiveProjection0:10

The analyst is more of a believer in Jalen Hurts than the market, suggesting upside in his fantasy performance.

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Jared Goff

PositiveProjection0:54

Goff is selected as the team's quarterback in the tenth round; the analyst notes he has finished as a top-10 scoring quarterback five times in his career.

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Jayden Reed

PositiveBreakout0:08

Reed could become a full-time player for the first time in his career with an 85% route share opportunity, as Dontayvion Wicks and Romeo Doubs are gone and the Packers have committed to playing the same five guys in 11 personnel. Despite historically low snap shares (38-79%), Reed has been very efficient on limited samples.

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PositiveValue0:16

Reed is ranked ahead of Parker Washington by the analyst and selected as a startable wide receiver option in the draft.

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Jonathan Taylor

PositiveValue0:22

Taylor is mentioned as a potential first-round pick the analyst might not prioritize in best ball formats, though he values running backs from the left side of the board in redraft.

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Jordan Addison

PositiveValue0:39

Addison is mentioned as an available wide receiver option in the sixth round range.

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Jordan Love

PositiveProjection0:10

Jordan Love is mentioned as part of a deep pool of approximately 17-18 good fantasy football quarterbacks available this year.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveValue0:49

Jefferson is mentioned as part of a competitive second-round pairing (with Chase Brown) that the analyst considers reasonable but not his preferred approach.

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Kyler Murray

PositiveProjection0:10

Kyler Murray is mentioned as one of several viable quarterback options available in the draft, part of a deep pool of approximately 17-18 good fantasy football quarterbacks this year.

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Lamar Jackson

NegativeValue0:10

Lamar Jackson went at 5.9 (second pick in the fifth round), which the analyst believes doesn't make sense from a draft strategy perspective, as elite quarterbacks shouldn't be prioritized early when there are 17-18 good fantasy football quarterbacks available.

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Mecole Hardman

PositiveValue0:37

Hardman is selected as the wide receiver two in the sixth round, representing good value in the analyst's strategy of building depth at the position.

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Mike Evans

PositiveValue0:12

Evans is mentioned as a wide receiver option the analyst passed on in favor of taking another running back in the fifth round.

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Parker Washington

NegativeValue0:07

The analyst explicitly states he is not a Parker Washington guy and prefers other options like Jayden Reed in this draft range.

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Patrick Mahomes

PositiveProjection0:10

Patrick Mahomes is mentioned as one of several viable quarterback options available in the draft, part of a deep pool of approximately 17-18 good fantasy football quarterbacks this year.

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Ricky Pearsall

PositiveBreakout0:09

Pearsall is an insanely productive player when healthy, ranking fourth in the NFL in receiving yards before injury last year with 1.97 and 1.94 yards per route run, making him a breakout bet despite a history of injuries throughout his career.

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PositiveValue0:32

Pearsall is added in the ninth round as part of the analyst's strategy to build depth at wide receiver with multiple startable options.

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Tee Higgins

NegativeValue0:12

Higgins is explicitly mentioned as a player the analyst would not take over Brock Bowers in the second round.

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Terry McLaurin

PositiveValue0:12

McLaurin is mentioned as a wide receiver option the analyst passed on in favor of taking another running back in the fifth round.

Insight page
Full transcript

Episode Transcript

342
0:00Drafting from the second spot in your
0:01draft is not as easy as you think.
0:02Although, I did get given a gift here in
0:04this flockfantasy.com mock draft because
0:07I got given Jahmyr Gibbs at the 1.2
0:09instead of Bijan Robinson. In your
0:11league, you are very likely to actually
0:13be getting Bijan Robinson. However, when
0:15you get back to the 2-3 turn, a lot of
0:17the choices left for you are not going
0:18to be as strong as you might think.
0:20Again, a little bit of a gift here as we
0:22are given Brock Bowers. And I actually
0:23do know from looking at like CBS Sports
0:26and Yahoo that your second round pick,
0:28there's a good chance of you getting
0:30Brock Bowers. We are going to take with
0:32Jahmyr Gibbs and Brock Bowers. We are
0:34going to do Nico Collins, which gives us
0:36just an unbelievably good start to a
0:39fantasy football team. We have the
0:40running back one, could be Gibbs or
0:42could be Bijan. We have Brock Bowers who
0:44I think is going to basically be the
0:46story of the fantasy football season. We
0:48have Nico Collins who can clearly be you
0:51know, a top-five wide receiver. I don't
0:52think he can be the number one overall
0:54wide receiver one, but I think he is
0:56clearly a great pick. We have the
0:57ability here in the fourth round to take
1:00really any back we want. Could be
1:02Scataboo, could be Henderson, could be
1:03Montgomery. We are going to take
1:05Scataboo here. I think he could see like
1:07280 touches this season, average 15 and
1:10a half fantasy points per game last
1:12year. And instead of taking Terry
1:15McLaurin, Mike Evans, or these guys, we
1:18are actually going to take another
1:19running back here. We are going to take
1:20volume-dependent David Montgomery. Now,
1:23the format that I've set up for this
1:25league is one quarterback, two running
1:27backs, three wide receivers, and one
1:28flex. And you might be saying, "Davis,
1:30you're going to be so far behind at wide
1:31receiver. How are you possibly going to
1:33outscore your opponents?" Well, look at
1:35the wide receivers that available for us
1:37here. We have Mecole Hardman. We have
1:39Quinton Johnston. We have DK Metcalf. We
1:41have Jordan Addison. We're going to take
1:42Mecole Hardman to be our wide receiver
1:45two.
1:46Basically, the game that I am playing in
1:48fantasy football this year as we add in
1:51Let's add in DK Metcalf on this team is
1:53I do want to have one stud wide receiver
1:55on pretty much all my teams. I think it
1:57is much more important though to have a
1:59menu of options. You know, I want to
2:02have six or seven wide receivers I think
2:04are potentially startable in a given
2:07week. Uh, Parker Washington is available
2:09here. If we wanted to take a
2:10quarterback, we could in this range. We
2:12could take a Purdy. We could take a Dak
2:14Prescott. We could take a Bo Nix. We are
2:16going to add in I have Jayden Reed in my
2:18stuff ranked almost ahead of Parker. I
2:20just I'm not really a Parker Washington
2:22guy. You know, please please forgive me.
2:25This is right about in the quarterback
2:27window. So, that's what we're going to
2:29do. Well, you know what? Ninth round,
2:30we're actually going to wait again.
2:32We're going to add Ricky Pearsall. So,
2:34we now have four wide receivers that we
2:36can just kind of mix and match with Nico
2:38Collins. We know Nico Collins is
2:39starting every single week. Depending on
2:41projections, depending on the rankings
2:43that are here on flockfantasy.com, we
2:45could start Lemon, we could start
2:46Metcalf, we could start Reed, we could
2:48start Pearsall. Again, quarterback here
2:51totally fine in this situation. You
2:54know, Jared Goff is generally speaking,
2:56I mean, he finishes a top 10 scoring
2:57quarterback five times in his career.
3:00That's who we're going to take here. Do
3:01we have a stack? No. I don't love that.
3:04But, that is completely okay. And this
3:06is basically my general strategy towards
3:09drafting out of the second slot of a
3:11given draft, which is I almost always
3:14want to be starting with a running back
3:16from the left side of the board if that
3:18makes sense. You know, from the first
3:19slot, from the second slot. In best
3:22ball, I maybe I'm not as hip to taking
3:24Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor.
3:27But, when you have the opportunity to
3:29begin your drafts this way, I think it
3:30would be foolish. You know, I've gotten
3:32a couple questions in the YouTube
3:33comments and things about, you know,
3:35should I start with Ja'Marr Chase? You
3:37know, Ja'Marr Chase has been the number
3:39one wide receiver in fantasy football
3:40for the most recent two seasons. But,
3:42when you come back around and look at
3:44the second round options, I think the
3:45teams that you're going to find I mean,
3:47frankly, I like drafting from the right
3:49side of the board. The Sammy bot here
3:50has Justin Jefferson and Chase Brown.
3:53The domain bot has Achane and London,
3:56which I think is, you know, completely
3:58totally reasonable. However, the starts
4:00that I like the most are stud running
4:03back, stud wide receiver. Now, on this
4:05specific team, I did not take a stud
4:07wide receiver in round two. It would be
4:08very, very hard for me to come up with a
4:10convincing argument that you should take
4:12George Pickens, Nico Collins, Chris
4:14Olave, Tee Higgins, any of these guys
4:16over Brock Bowers. To me, Brock Bowers,
4:19if he replicates what he did in 2024, he
4:23is going to be, you know, basically one
4:24of the assets you have to have to win
4:26your league in fantasy football. If he
4:28is better than he was as a 21-year-old
4:30rookie, I mean, it's basically game over
4:33for everyone in fantasy football. I I
4:34think there's a chance that we could get
4:36an 18-19 fantasy points per game season
4:38out of Brock Bowers. I did a video on
4:40the channel, actually, about Brock
4:42Bowers being the story of the fantasy
4:44football season. At pick three,
4:47I I don't really see a reality where a
4:49game and it wouldn't have made sense for
4:51me to take Derrick Henry or Breece Hall
4:53here. Then, you were getting into a spot
4:54where you basically don't have a stud
4:56wide receiver at all.
4:58And wide receiver two production across
5:01the board has collapsed. You know, last
5:03year, wide receiver twos on average were
5:05garnering six receptions per game. They
5:08were scoring under 13 fantasy points per
5:10game. If you just look at the cadre of
5:12wide receiver 13 to wide receiver 24,
5:15scoring I mean, scoring just across the
5:17entire NFL is down. Yards per play is
5:19down. Yards per game is down, and points
5:21are down. Actually, points across the
5:23entire NFL are down. They're it's a
5:2510-year low. Teams have just stopped
5:27scoring to the same degree, which they
5:29used to be able to. I mean, we have some
5:31rule changes. We have some defensive
5:32schematics that have changed, but
5:34getting a stud wide receiver, which I
5:36would basically say Nico Collins is the
5:38cutoff in terms of thinking I had a
5:40stud, if you don't have that guy, it's
5:42going to be very hard to win your
5:4412-team league. And it's why, frankly,
5:46if I got to choose my draft slot, if I
5:49got to choose my draft slot in my home
5:51league this year, I would probably be
5:52tilting towards the 107, the 108, the
5:55109, the 110, because those are really
5:58the great starts. You get to take a stud
6:00wide receiver, and then you get to take
6:01one of Walker, Barkley, Hampton, Chase
6:04Brown, Gentry, James Cook. Those are
6:05basically my absolute favorite starts,
6:07but we have to deal with the hand that
6:09we are dealt. This 4-5 turn is a little
6:12bit of an interesting discussion as
6:14well. Could have made an argument at
6:16this spot that taking the double running
6:17backs was not particularly strong. We
6:19took Skatabu, and then we took
6:21Montgomery. I could have had Mike Evans,
6:23I could have had McLaurin, Carnell Tate,
6:25Jameson Williams. However, when you get
6:27deeper down the board, where are you
6:29finding running back points? When we
6:31took Makai Lemon, the best running back
6:33that we could have taken would have
6:34been, by my rankings, Tony Pollard or
6:36Jaylen Warren. And then when we came
6:38back up to take Jayden Reed and Ricky
6:40Pearsall, we're looking at guys like JK
6:42Dobbins, Jonathan Brooks, and Rico
6:44Dowdle. No disrespect to those guys.
6:46They certainly, you know, have their
6:47place in a 12-team league, but they're
6:49not guys that you want to be starting.
6:51When I think about running back
6:52production this season, I I think it
6:54falls off a cliff several times. I think
6:56Bijan and Jahmyr Gibbs are certainly
6:58their own cliff. I think there's an
7:00argument to be made that McCaffrey is in
7:01a tier of his own. And then Taylor,
7:04Etienne, Cook, Gentry, Chase Brown,
7:05Hampton, Barkley, and Ken Walker to me
7:08are their second group. Then you have
7:10the next tier of guys with Jeremiah
7:11Love, Henry Hall, Kyren, Javonte,
7:14Etienne, who are their own group. Then
7:17the final group basically goes to me
7:19from Jacobs to Price. And then once you
7:22get past Chuba Hubbard and Price, I
7:23basically think
7:25anyone goes there. You could tell me any
7:27story about Rhamondre Stevenson, and I
7:29would probably believe you. You could
7:31tell me any story about Tony Pollard,
7:32and I would probably believe you. And
7:34then guys like JK Dobbins, I mean,
7:36Dobbins had the role that we are
7:38envisioning for him last year. He was
7:41fine. JK Dobbins was fine in fantasy
7:44football last year. There's no chance
7:46that he's a league winner, not involved
7:48as a pass catcher at all. They add Jona
7:50Coleman into this backfield, which
7:51obfuscates things even further.
7:54No games over 15 and a half fantasy
7:56points for him last season. I'm just not
7:59in. Like, I do not want to start this
8:01guy. I think it's fine if you're doing
8:03kind of a hero running back or as your
8:05running back build, but just looking at
8:06the way my lineup is structured. And
8:08granted, this only went 10 rounds. A lot
8:10of your leagues are going to go deeper,
8:11and we're going to have plenty of
8:13fantasy football sleeper videos here on
8:15the channel. But, chances are I'm going
8:18to be able to garner pretty good wide
8:19receiver two production out of Mekhi
8:21Leven, DK Metcalf, Jayden Reed, Ricky
8:23Pearsall. Let's say that I'm right and
8:26Jayden Reed actually does become a
8:27full-time player for the first time in
8:29his career. Because if we look at the
8:30vast majority of his career, 38% of
8:34snaps, 48, 65, 66, 65. Let's go back to
8:372024, breakout season for him. Tops out
8:40at 79% of snaps and actually saw his
8:42snaps reduced down the stretch. His
8:44breakout rookie season, again, was
8:47really not a full-time player in any of
8:49these games. And because he has not been
8:51a full-time player, there's a huge
8:53discount for him. But, Jayden Reed could
8:55very easily be a full-time player this
8:57year. Dontayvion Wicks is gone, Romeo
8:59Doubs is gone. There's been an
9:00organizational commitment to commit to
9:03playing the same five guys in 11
9:05personnel. Jayden Reed has the
9:06opportunity to have like an 85% route
9:09share for basically the first time in
9:11his career. Jayden Reed has been very
9:13efficient on limited samples in his
9:14career. That's a bet I'm comfortable
9:16making. Ricky Pearsall, an insanely
9:18productive player when he has been on
9:21the field. He was fourth in the NFL in
9:22receiving yards before he got injured
9:24last year. The issue is, this guy has
9:26basically been injured every single year
9:27of his career. But, 1.97 and 1.94 yards
9:31per route run. I'm pretty convinced that
9:33Ricky Pearsall is good. So, I have two
9:35breakout bets I like right there. DK
9:37Metcalf is not a breakout bet. It is
9:39basically a bet that Aaron Rodgers is
9:41able to play a little bit better than he
9:43did last season, but even still, 12 and
9:451/2 fantasy points per game as your wide
9:47receiver three is not bad. And then,
9:49Khalil Lemon is a clear breakout bet. I
9:51really loved his prospect profile coming
9:53out of
9:54coming out of USC. Like, he is of this
9:56group of guys, Tyson, Tate, and Lemon,
9:59Lemon was the one that I kind of liked
10:00most relative to consensus, and I do not
10:03think that the Eagles without A.J. Brown
10:05are a bad landing spot, but I'm also
10:07more of a believer than the market in
10:10Jalen Hurts. So, the quarterback
10:12position this year,
10:14you guys are pretty smart. I I you know,
10:16I don't have to talk down to you guys,
10:17but just look at this bevy of options we
10:19would have had. You know, I could have
10:21taken Bo Nix or Dak or Purdy or Mahomes
10:23or Kyler Murray instead, but basically,
10:25there are like 18, 17, kind of depending
10:29how you feel about like Jordan Love and
10:30Kyler Murray, good fantasy football
10:32quarterbacks this year. I, particularly
10:34drafting from the spot that we drafted
10:36at, the 1.2, it just doesn't really make
10:38sense to take an elite quarterback. Had
10:40Lamar been available there at the 11th
10:43pick of the sixth round, have happily
10:44taken him. He, of course, went much
10:47earlier than that, because that's what
10:48happens. He went at the 5.9. It doesn't
10:50make any sense to me to take Lamar
10:52Jackson at the second pick in the fifth
10:54round. So, I think again, just more
10:56clear, concise fantasy football strategy
10:58here. You want to lock in your running
11:00back one. You have to have a high-end
11:03wide receiver, and then you have to give
11:04yourself backstop options while filling
11:07in your running back two, and giving
11:08yourself two bites at the apple with
11:10Scat Abu and David Montgomery. If you
11:12want my rankings, head on over to
11:13flockfantasy.com. We have a host, a bevy
11:16of fantasy football tools available to
11:17all users over there. Link to that is in
11:19the description and in the comments.
11:21Make sure you like the video. Leave me
11:22questions down below. Make sure you're
11:24subscribed to the Mattek Fantasy
11:25Football channel.

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