Do Not Let The Jabronis In Your League Draft These Players Before You

The source selects Breece Hall in the mock draft, noting that if Geno Smith performs as a top-14 quarterback, the entire Jets offense will benefit.

The source recommends Brock Purdy as a high-value target, noting he leads the league in EPA per play over the last decade and offers underrated rushing upside. The source argues his current inexpensive ADP is driven by unfounded concerns regarding the 49ers' offensive health. He is considered a league winner and a primary redraft target, though the source notes a difficult Week 1 matchup.

The source identifies Bucky Irving as a league-winning running back and a priority target, comfortable drafting him as early as the fourth round. The stance has shifted positively following reports that Sean Tucker's role will be diminished or that he may be cut, which the source views as indicative of an expanded role for Irving. Irving is considered undervalued due to his recent injury; he is explosive, shifty, and consistently scores fantasy points above expectation, offering a higher ceiling than peers like Cam Akers, David Montgomery, and D'Andre Swift. The source also notes that Baker Mayfield-led backfields generally provide more expected fantasy points for running backs than the league average, and expects a productive backfield split between Irving and Kenneth Gainwell.

The source indicates that Chris Godwin would have been a superior draft selection compared to Rhamondre Stevenson in the context of their mock draft, highlighting Godwin as a better value bet in that draft slot.

Dalton Kincaid is viewed as a 'limited sample superstar' who has been elite in targets per route run, first downs per route run, and fantasy points per route run since entering the NFL. While his weekly floor is poor due to limited playing time and a previous lingering PCL injury, reports suggest he is now fully healthy; if he secures full route participation, he could be a better pick than Travis Kelce or George Kittle.

The source selects Demond Claiborne as a final running back addition in the mock draft.

The source advocates for drafting George Kittle as a high-upside tight end, noting he is currently drafted as the TE9 due to Achilles injury concerns. Kittle has consistently retained efficiency (2.2 yards per route run last year) unlike older peers. The potential absence of Mike Evans could elevate Kittle to the primary target role in the 49ers' offense. Recent reports on his injury status have been very positive.

The source is highly bullish on Jadarian Price, citing early training camp reports that he will be a workhorse back. The source argues his ADP is suppressed due to a lack of information and compares his situation favorably to David Montgomery, noting he lacks immediate competition for touches. He is explicitly identified as a league-winning running back selection.

The source labels Jaylen Waddle a league-winning wide receiver following his trade to the Denver Broncos, where he is expected to occupy the high-volume 'Michael Thomas' role in Sean Payton's offense. Waddle's metrics, including targets and fantasy points per route run, are described as elite when Tyreek Hill is off the field, and the source considers him a superior talent to Courtland Sutton. Despite injury concerns, the source is buying the talent and expects high passing volume under Bo Nix to make Waddle a major target.

The source drafts Jonathan Brooks for his talent profile, but expresses skepticism that any Carolina Panthers running back can be a true league winner this season.

The source considers Malik Nabers a massive structural advantage in fantasy drafts, labeling him a league winner and a priority pick in the third round. Despite concerns regarding the Giants' offense, Nabers is a first-round talent who led the NFL in targets per game as a rookie and averaged 18.2 fantasy points per game before his injury. The source suggests that starting a draft with two running backs and then securing Nabers in the third round is the most important structural move a manager can make.

The source suggests that Mike Evans' consistent groin injuries may actually benefit George Kittle's fantasy outlook by potentially clearing the path for Kittle to lead the 49ers in targets.

The source is extremely high on Parker Washington, projecting him as the starting slot receiver in Liam Coen's offense. This take is supported by endorsements from Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville beat writers, as well as the shift of Travis Hunter to a backup role behind Brian Thomas Jr., which secures Washington's high-value slot snaps. While the source acknowledges Washington may not be as talented as the team claims, they are betting on the high-value role historically occupied by players like Chris Godwin, Wan'Dale Robinson, and Cooper Kupp in Coen's system.

The source identifies Mahomes as a preferred quarterback target in 12-team leagues, citing his high floor and the Chiefs' league-leading pass rate over expectation. Despite concerns about his rushing mobility, the source highlights the potential for positive touchdown variance and the return of key offensive weapons as reasons he is a safe bet for a top-10 finish. He is considered a league winner and a strong redraft target, though the source notes a difficult Week 1 matchup against the Denver Broncos.

The source selects Puka Nacua early in the mock draft, viewing him as a foundational piece of their wide receiver corps.

The source notes that Rashee Rice having fully rehabilitated his knee injury makes him a key component of the Chiefs' passing offense, with potential for an impactful season.

The source highlights Rhamondre Stevenson as a perfect fit for fantasy football due to his secure role as the starting running back for the New England Patriots, though they previously expressed regret over drafting him over Chris Godwin in a specific draft slot.

The source cites reports that Sean Tucker's role within the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense is expected to be diminished this season and that he may be cut from the roster.

The source notes that Travis Hunter is moving primarily to cornerback and is now the direct backup to Brian Thomas Jr. at wide receiver, which limits his potential to compete for slot snaps against Parker Washington. While the source acknowledges Hunter is a good wide receiver who can be drafted in redraft leagues, they characterize his current usage in the Jaguars' offense as involving gimmick plays that are less valuable than the role assigned to Washington.

Travis Kelce is described as the safest option at the tight end position, though the source notes he lacks significant upside for a 15 fantasy points per game season and has seen his efficiency decline with age. While he is not a high-upside pick, the source suggests he is a solid, safe choice for managers drafting in his range who prioritize a high floor.

The source suggests that a healthy Xavier Worthy could be a significant factor in the Chiefs' passing offense, potentially outperforming current market expectations.

The source expresses skepticism regarding Zach Charbonnet's availability, noting his February ACL surgery suggests a late return to the field, potentially leaving the backfield to Jadarian Price.