0:00There's still time to save your fantasy football season, even if you're 0 and2.
0:03And if you're 2 and 0, you better set yourself up to win your league championship. I have nine transactions, some buys, some sells, some drops, some
0:11trades that we are going to go over. One of them is going to be a huge surprise to you guys. So stay tuned for that. I
0:16want to make sure that you guys at least stay around long enough for that one.
0:18We're going to begin with Jakori Kroski Merritt for the Washington Commanders.
0:22And I I can't believe I'm doing this because I love Jakori Kroski Merritt.
0:25I've drafted him on a ton of my teams.
0:27But I'm going to advise you to either sell JaKoRi Kroskkey Merritt or if you were in a shallower format, you can drop
0:33JakaKori Kroski Merritt. It absolutely bums me out. But with Jane Daniels likely not playing again this season, Marcus Mariota going to be the
0:40quarterback for the Commanders, there's just not really much of a role for him on this team. You can see the way that
0:45he played against Dallas, a game they were trailing the entire time. His snap share went from 50% to 37%. He only got
0:5212 rushes on the ground, had no opportunities at the goal line. Rashad White played way more than him. And you know what? We have lived this story with
1:00Jakori Kroski Merritt before. Started out the season awesome last year and then weirdly enough, Jane Daniels got injured in a game against the Cowboys,
1:08which was basically the end of the Jakori Krosky Meritt experience until at the end of the season, they turned the offense back over to him again. Is
1:15Jakori Kroski Merritt way better than Rashad White? Yes, he is. It is not even close. He is a much better early down
1:21runner. But Rashad White is more dependable. Rashad White is not going to have fumbling issues that JCM has had.
1:26There's a chance that they turn things over to Katron. But the biggest deal is just that the Commanders are not going
1:31to be playing with the lead. They are not going to be favored in these games.
1:34Um they're I I would assume that they're going to be like a four or five win team with Mariota at quarterback. I could end
1:40up being wrong about that, but they have a very difficult matchup this week against the Seattle Seahawks. And you're not going to start him there. So how
1:47often would you start him in any game where he cannot get to 15 carries? you just cannot feel that good about playing
1:54him. And I'm just very worried that the pattern from last season where he eventually got benched for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is going to happen with a
2:01combination of Kron Allen and Rashad White because JCM can really only play at one speed and that speed is downhill.
2:08Again, it pains me and I'm not saying, oh, go get rid of him for whatever, you know, oh, I'm going to go trade Jaory
2:13Crosky Merritt for Kalin Black right now. I, you know, I wouldn't go that crazy, but I am significantly moving JCM down my ranks. You can see at the bottom
2:20corner there, I have him at 81 in my rest of season rankings. I'm probably going to move him outside of my top 100
2:27in fantasy football. You're going to say I'm coping. I know you guys are going to say I'm coping, but I am telling you to
2:34buy on Luther Burton. Sentiment is going to be so low for Luther Burden this upcoming week. It sounds like Case Keenum might have to start for the
2:43Chicago Bears. They play against the Philadelphia Eagles this week. Very low total game. And it's possible that we could even wait until next week and if
2:50he has a bad game against the Eagles, I mean, he might even get dropped in your league. The thing that I cannot hold on
2:55to is that Khalif Raymond, who is in his 30s, has never scored more than five fantasy points per game over the course
3:02of a season, has been coached by Ben Johnson before and played as a clear wide receiver three. I just don't see
3:08any way that his target share can hold up. And if you look at the first two games that the Bears season has had,
3:15it's basically the most anomalous first two games that you can possibly imagine.
3:18They have the most rushing yards and most rushing touchdowns in a game in franchise history. So the entire history of the Chicago Bears, week one against
3:25the Panthers, it is the most successful rushing performance that the Chicago Bears have ever had. And then week two, they play in a monsoon against the
3:34Minnesota Vikings. Everyone's slipping and sliding. Caleb injures his hamstring at the end of the game. he actually ends up getting a little bit of receiving
3:41work. Ends up with seven targets in uh in that game uh with I believe half of them coming from Tyson B. And I'm not
3:47saying that my original preseason rank of Luther Burden is correct. I was obviously very very high on Luther Burden. I thought he had a chance to be
3:55really one of the stories of the season.
3:57And it's very possible almost actually not even possible. I would say it's probable at this point that that does not play out that Luther Burton ends up
4:04sort of being just, you know, a kind of average wide receiver too. kind of a Jameson Williams type actually where every year we get so excited about
4:11Jameson Williams and then he never really does much of anything. He has a couple spikes and then he has some very
4:17very low floor games. My projection this upcoming season was that Burden would sort of be the engine of the offense for
4:23the Bears. That has not at all happened through two weeks. The engine has been the running game and the engine is
4:29certainly going to be the running game against the Philadelphia Eagles with with uh potentially Case Keenum playing at quarterback. But I'm sending out a
4:36fair amount of offers for Luther Burden in my league this week because I would guess most of the people who drafted
4:41Luther Burden are very upset and they would love to get one over on you. You know, if my if my YouTube comments are
4:46any indication of how people feel about Luther Burden, people absolutely hate Luther Burden and no longer want him on their fantasy team. And he's not going
4:54to be ranked as a starter this week, so it's going to be even easier to acquire him because he will be on most people's
5:00benches. Our third move to make this week, drop Justin Herbert. I I'm sorry guys, I just don't see it. I think that
5:08Justin Herbert needs to be likely on the waiverwire in 12 team leagues. I would rank Bryce Young ahead of him. I would
5:14rank Tyler Shuck ahead of him. I certainly would rank the quarterbacks who went directly behind him in fantasy football drafts. Patrick Mahomes, Brock
5:21Perie, I I would roster them over him.
5:24This upcoming schedule that they have, I I this is insane. They play at Buffalo.
5:29So, he's going to get a chance to throw a lot of passes against Buffalo, but I just don't know how effective he will be
5:34at Seattle. There's no world where you would want to start him at Seattle. Home to Denver is not a particularly good
5:40spot. They're probably not going to have the ball. And then they go to at Kansas City. These are all miserable spots for
5:45Justin Herbert who currently has an adjusted yards per attempt below six. He has two passing touchdowns this year. He loses his two starting tight ends, David
5:54and Charlie Kar. Having a Ronda Gadston on the field will probably make his passing offense like it'll will make the Chargers passing offense a little bit
6:02better. The thing that you would be very concerned about if you were a big Justin Herbert guy would be that interior
6:07offensive line looks like it might be the worst interior offensive line in the NFL. And if you're also removing their best blocker, their best blocking tight
6:15end Charlie Clark, does that just mean Alec Ingold is going to play every single down? It just it all feels like
6:22it is kind of going sideways. Daniel Popper tweeted this yesterday uh as he retired from the Chargers beat, which is just very funny, but he said, "The Los
6:30Angeles Chargers leveraged their entire season on the bet that Mike McDaniel would be able to reconfigure the offense and come up with something for their
6:38superhuman quarterback." That has not happened. It has been an absolute failure. So, I would be like, if you could get I mean, if you could get Brock
6:45Birdie for Justin Herbert, you should be absolutely laughing. But I don't think you're wrong at all to drop Justin Nurbert and go with guys like Bryce
6:53Young, uh, like Tyler Shuck. You know, I I just it's very very hard for me to see how the Chargers turn this around
7:00without a total change in offensive philosophy. Like they are going to kind of have to abandon the run with how bad
7:07the offensive line has been. And I just don't know if Harbaugh and McDaniel are capable of doing that. I have a buy. I
7:15would like to buy Z Flowers. I I think that Z Flowers is likely going to be a top 20 player in fantasy football for
7:21the rest of the season. He does not play in week two against the New Orleans Saints. The passing offense actually still looked okay without him. I still
7:28don't really know how the Ravens lost that game, but in his first half of football, he had five for 150 and one.
7:33The thing we have always worried about with Z Flowers is how is this guy going to score enough touchdowns? And what was
7:38evident to me from that first game of the season was that the entire passing offense that Declan Doyle had spent the
7:45offseason cooking up all revolved around getting Z Flowers the football. And it was going to be done in very creative ways, ways that were going to allow him
7:53to use his insane speed, his insane change of direction. I mean, the narrative coming into this season was that we were all looking for the wide
8:01receiver who was going to be this year's Jackson Smith and Jigba in the third round. Some people thought it was going
8:05to be Dvontto Smith who did have a very good game in week two. Some people thought it was going to be Lad Mani.
8:10Some people thought it was going to be Jaylen Wadd. It's not going to be any of those guys. Uh if there is going to be
8:14one for me, it's going to be Z Flowers.
8:18And I would probably take Z Flowers. I I would try and trade for him with guys who are are definitely ranked ahead of
8:24him. Like at wide receiver, would you rather have Z Flowers or Nico Collins? I think I would rather have Z Flowers.
8:30Would you rather have George Pickkins or Z Flowers? I actually think I'd rather have Pickicket. How about this one?
8:35Drake London. Uh I I would rather have Z Flowers than Drake London. I would certainly rather have Z Flowers than Lad
8:42Mcconi, Jaylen Wadd, Rashy Rice, T.
8:44Higgins, Garrett Wilson, Christian Watson, Tedoy McMillan, guys who are all kind of going in the similar range. But I'm buying on the Ravens passing offense
8:52and I'm definitely buying on Z Flowers.
8:54Uh I I think he is of the currently injured guys, he seems to be one of the guys whose injury was least severe and
9:02was closest to playing last week. And frankly, if he does not play this week again, uh it's just it's just much
9:08easier to acquire guys who are not playing. You you can help someone out. I mean, maybe Z Flowers is on an O and2
9:13team in your league and then he becomes like infinitely uh easier to acquire.
9:19Here's the headliner. I think you can sell Deon Achan and I think that you can probably sell him based on the name
9:26value. He does have 11 targets through two games which is actually less than I thought it would be. He had 11 carries
9:32in week one against the Raiders, 20 carries for 74 yards in week two against the 49ers. I don't think Achan is
9:39non-talented. I think Han is actually insanely talented. The season that I would compare this to, if you guys remember, David Johnson was once a first
9:47round pick for basically the worst team in the NFL. Uh, it was the Arizona, it was the Arizona Cardinals when Josh
9:54Rosen was the quarterback. And boy, did he try in the 2018 season. I mean, he did the absolutely everything he could
10:02when Josh Rosen and Sam Bradford were the quarterback. He had 258 rushes, only got to 940 yards, had 50 receptions for
10:09446 yards, ends up with 1300 scrimmage yards and 10 touchdowns, but he just didn't matter in fantasy because the team is so bad. I thought there was a
10:17chance that the Miami Dolphins would not be as bad as they have been. I thought like, okay, Jeff Hafley is bringing
10:23Malik Willis with him. He's seen Malik Willis a ton of practice. Like, he wants to utilize his skill set. And I was
10:29wrong. There have only been eight designed rush attempts through two games from Malik Willis. Kurt Cousins actually technically has more rushes right now
10:37due to kneel downs than Malik Willis does. That was never going to work. The only way the Dolphins offense was ever
10:43going to work was if it was sort of a Cam Newton on the Patriots style where they took a lot of shots on offense, but
10:50they held the ball. They generated a bunch of first downs via the rush. They were happy to go for it on fourth down.
10:57That has not been what the Miami Dolphins have done. And part of it is because they're down in these games immediately because the defense is that
11:03bad. We probably should have known that things were going to go bad for the Miami Dolphins when they claimed seven players off of waiverss from other teams
11:12and all seven of those guys made their roster. But uh Achan went off the board as a second round pick. I would rather
11:19have Zay Flowers than Devin Han. I would rather have Malik Neighbors. I would rather have Bree Hall than Devin Han. I
11:25would definitely rather have Javvante Williams. I would probably even rather have guys like Bucky Irving uh than him at this point. And if you wait longer,
11:35like if he has a bad game against Kansas City and they are massive, massive uh home underdogs against Kansas City, what
11:41are you going to be able to get for Deon Achan to trade? Every week you wait to trade Deon Han away in fantasy football,
11:47it's going to get worse. My friend Scott Barrett tweeted this, but Devin Achan in the fantasy points database is the only
11:53player uh in their database, so in like the last 10 years in the NFL to play over 80% of his team snaps as a running
11:59back and average fewer than 17 fantasy points per game. You should be able to get a decent hall for Deon Han and and I
12:08would encourage you to do so. I I really would. think there definitely is a value in fantasy football in being patient,
12:14you know, not straying the course too much from your priors that you had before the season, but we do need to
12:19react to what our eyes are telling us.
12:21And I think our eyes are telling us that the Dolphins are just not going to be good enough regardless of how good Devin
12:27Han is individually to allow him to generate enough numbers in fantasy football because running back numbers are downstream from how good uh a
12:36rushing offense is. This one pains me because when he came back healthy, I wanted to root for him. But I think
12:42Tucker Craft is a clear cell in fantasy football. He still has a ton of name brand value because people have remembered how good he is. But what is
12:51clear to me is the passing offense for the Green Bay Packers is totally dedicated to Christian Watson and Matthew Golden. Everyone else is a
12:59distant afterthought. I think a lot of Tucker Craft's production in his NFL career has been as a result of there really not being dependable wide
13:07receivers. Like most of the receivers he played with have been quite bad, but Golden and Watson look so good. An additional factor that is brutal for
13:15him. The offensive line, they they might be the worst in the NFL. They were one of the worst units coming in the NFL and
13:21they had four starting lineman injuries in their game against the Jets. Things got so bad that according to reports, apparently the Green Bay Packers were
13:30talking about shifting Tucker Craft from playing tight end and actually having him play right tackle after their right tackle got injured. Now, that is
13:40obviously not going to happen. They're not going to have him playing tackle, but this is going to be a situation that
13:44we've seen plenty of times where tight ends who are forced to stay in and block, they see their route participation decrease. They see their
13:50target share decrease. And because Matthew Golden and Christian Watson are on such an insane start to the year, it basically just means Tucker Craft went
13:58from being one of the conceivable tight ends who could finish second on the team in targets to a guy who's going to be
14:03third on the team in targets. And the difference between second and third, like with all the research, Dwayne McFarland has done awesome research on
14:09this, but basically the key way to finish as a tight end that matters in fantasy is you have to be able to be
14:16second on your team in targets and you have to have 75% rap participation. he will definitely get close to 75% ro
14:23participation, but I no longer think that Tucker Craft will have the ability to be second on the team in targets. So,
14:30some tight ends that I would take over Tucker Craft right now, uh, I mean, I think one of them is going to be very
14:36obvious, but it's going to be Duncan Kade, who's one of the biggest risers.
14:39Uh, I would prefer Travis Kelce right now. I would prefer George KD. I would prefer Sam Laaporta. I obviously would still prefer Coloulston Lovelin, Tyler
14:48Warren. Where it starts getting interesting is okay, would I rather have Tucker Craft or Isaiah Likely who now has to play with Jamus? Would I rather
14:55have Tucker Craft or Harold Bannon?
14:57Would I rather have Tucker Craft or a Ronda Gadston now that Kar and Injoku are out? And just the fact that he is in
15:03those conversations makes me feel much less good about starting him or acquiring him. So I I would be selling Tucker Craft. I am buying Matthew Golden
15:13every single format. I I think you want Matthew Golden on as many fantasy teams as possible. 12 targets in week one, six
15:21targets in week two. Now, keep in mind, defensive pass interferences do not actually end up counting as targets. He generated over 70 yards of defensive
15:29pass interference uh yards added on to his team. I don't think they would have been able to win that game without how
15:34good Matthew Golden was in the second half. 30% target share week one, 20% target share in week two. Jaden Reed is
15:41going to be out for the rest of the season. He suffered a pretty scary neckback injury. It is all pointing towards everything that we learned about
15:50Matthew Golden in the offseason actually being true. So the the coach speak stuff is so funny, right? Parker Washington, an alltime win for the coach speak.
15:58Everybody in the Jacksonville Jaguars building told us, "Hey, Parker Washington's a star. Trevor's going to throw to Parker Washington every play."
16:05yada yada. And all that stuff was true.
16:07Luther Burden, oh, buy Luther Burden stock. Luther Burden is a star. Luther Burden this, Luther Burden that from the Chicago Bears training camp. That looks
16:14like an absolute, you know, load of of crud basically up until this point of the season. I mean, we'll see how truth
16:20Well, you know, we'll check back in after a month and see if I was right to buy Luther Burton or if all the Luther
16:25Burden haters were correct. But we also got a similar amount of coach speak to Matthew Golden. He was awesome at the
16:30Packers family night, which I always like to tune in to the Packers family night and see what the team is doing. Uh
16:3582% and 86% of the snaps. He is a basically an every down player for the Green Bay Packers. He certainly has
16:41looked the part. And if you wanted to consider Christian Watson a buy, I would have no issue with that as well. I mean,
16:47Christian Watson is going to be targeted more often in the red zone and in the end zone than Matthew Golden just
16:53because of the style of player he is, but Matthew Golden to me because the the smashes in terms of the usage have not
17:00come with a touchdown, I actually still think he would be acquirable. And there are plenty of guys that you could trade
17:06to get Matthew Golden. I bet you could trade Brian Thomas to get Matthew Golden. I bet you could trade Terry McLaren. You might even be able to trade
17:13AJ Brown, uh, who is not even playing.
17:15You could certainly trade Roma Dunes.
17:17Uh, I would take Matthew Golden over Jameson Williams. How about that? Uh, about about a 50 spot ADP difference between them before the start of the
17:24season. But just given their usage and the context of their offenses, I right now would rather have Matthew Golden than Jameson Williams. Not not to say
17:33that Jameson Williams is like totally over like you got to drop Jameson Williams. That's actually not what I'm saying. I just am that high on Matthew
17:40Golden for the rest of the season.
17:42Probably the most obvious buy a wide receiver is going to be one Mr. Josh DS 83% of the snaps last week. Nine
17:50targets, seven receptions, 72 yards. Has not scored a touchdown yet. But with Alec Pierce out for four to six weeks, I
17:57mean we will see if Alec Pierce is even able to play again this year. the team is playing Laquan Treadwell. Keenan
18:03Allen was only able to earn uh he was only able to generate one reception against the Kansas City Chiefs. Downs in
18:09that game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Like to me, my very amateur scouting eye, he just looked like the best player on the field. And I that's
18:17kind of the Josh Downs experience. It was actually Peter Overset that made that point to me is that the Josh Downs
18:22experience in fantasy football is you watch the game, he looks electric, you're like he's got to have like 27 fantasy points and then you look at the
18:28box score and he has 14. But very similar to Z Flowers, if he is ever able to add touchdowns as part of his
18:36repertoire, you are going to feel awesome about having Josh DS. And there are probably some managers who are thinking like, "Oh, I'm going to get one
18:43over on this guy. I'm going to sell him Josh Downs, who I think stinks. You know, I drafted Josh DS in the ninth
18:49round because that was the only guy who was left there. But I I I would have DS as one of the clearest guys who are
18:55moving up in my rankings for the rest of the season without A Pierce. I mean, he really is the only game in town for the
19:02Indianapolis Colts in terms of their pass catching. And I I would imagine he is going to outtarget Tyler Warren for the rest of the year. is one of my
19:09big thesis heading into this season was that if DS is going to be a full-time player that's very bad for Tyler Warren
19:15because DS is going to be better at earning targets than Tyler Warren close to the line of scrimmage. So I would
19:20rather have DS than Carnell Tate. I'd rather have him than Stefon Diggs. I would take him over Brian Thomas Jr.
19:25over McLuren over Metaf. I would take him over Chris Godwin, over Debo, over Addison, over QJ, certainly over Marvin Harrison Jr. Michael Wilson, Michael
19:34Pitman. I I I would have him fairly high in my rest of season rankings. I consider him a fairly obvious buy. Uh
19:42and then our final trans our final transaction here is going to be Trevian Henderson. This is one that uh I don't
19:48know you guys maybe would disagree with me on this. Raandre is not going anywhere. That much is true. However, Trevon Henderson is so clearly better
19:58than Randre Stevenson that I don't think the Patriots really have a choice at this point. and they started the season 1 and one. Drake May just like actively
20:07looks bad. AJ Brown is not going to be back for a minimum of 6 weeks after having a procedure done on his ankle. I
20:13mean, maybe he come back earlier than that, but I really really doubt it. The reporting has been a minimum of 6 weeks.
20:18I I would actually probably be more skeptical of that. A 30-year-old wide receiver having surgery on the ankle. He did have the rush for a 39yd touchdown.
20:26Other than that, he did not look particularly special. Was not targeted in the passing game. But guess what?
20:31That is the Trebon Henderson experience.
20:32I mean, that is what we saw from him in year one. He was actually not really that involved as a receiver, despite
20:37that being one of the things that he did at Ohio State. It is worth noting he actually held up pretty well in pass
20:43protection week two against the Pittsburgh Steelers. That was one of the biggest concerns about him was that Raandre is so much better than him in
20:50pass protection. That was going to lock Raandre in to playing third downs, which he did, by the way. After fumbling and
20:55then turning over the early downs to Trevon Henderson, Raandre still did play on the third downs. Cory Ker also got in
21:02for five snaps in this game. But the way that I look at the New England Patriots, I say, "All right, you were playing a
21:07wide receiver group of M. Collins, Deario Douglas, Romeo Dubs, Kyle Williams. You've got Hunter Henry out there. Eli Raren uh actually injured his
21:16hip and maybe is not going to be able to play in week three. So like you just have a full field of guys who are slow
21:22and who are not dynamic. Like sure, a bunch of guys who are happy to do the dirty work and do their jobs and
21:28whatnot, but you don't have anyone on the field who is a special player.
21:31Trevian Henderson is a special player.
21:34At least in terms of his early down rushing explosiveness. There are I guess the issue with buying Trevon Henderson, so you guys might even say this is bad
21:42advice, is generally speaking, Trevon Henderson drafters are going to be the type of person who they believed in the talent because the price on draft day
21:51did not actually make a ton of sense.
21:53But I have him as a clear buy. I would rather have Trevian Henderson than Judkins, then a Dunay, than Jaylen Warren, then Terry McLuren. I would have
22:01Henderson over Raandre, over Brian Thomas Jr., over Coker, over Diggs, over Cardinal Tate, over Chris Godwin, over DK Metaf, over Blake Cororm. These are
22:10all just kind of guys that he is ranked around. I wonder if I I would maybe rather have him than David Montgomery.
22:15David Montgomery in a clear 50/50 time share and, you know, very similar to Honestly, actually, they're not really that dissimilar in terms of usage. I
22:23just think Trevan Henderson is more likely to generate explosives. So, those are our nine transactions to get done this week in fantasy football. If you
22:31have any comments uh or questions or concerns about your fantasy team, ask them down below. I will do my best to
22:37respond to them. If you want a guaranteed answer, you can go over to flockfantasy.com.
22:43You can sign up over there using code Davis. It will show up in my inbox as a trade question. Uh and I will answer. I
22:51mean, those those are those are guaranteed to be answered.