0:00is a great day to break down the week three injury report. We'll be going through quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end. Breaking down
0:07who's playing, who's questionable, and the fantasy football ramifications of all that. Also have Olly Williams weather report and maybe, just maybe,
0:14some winning bets this week. Appreciate you guys tuning in as always. Ian Herditz with my guy Billy Collins aka Billy Football back from a much and very
0:22well-deserved vacation. And Billy, you have boots on the ground this weekend.
0:27Bengals Steelers. Are you gonna be one of those guys in the crowd who has a laptop and is just taking advantage of
0:32the six-second, you know, delay between games?
0:34>> For any of the courts out there, uh, hit me up in my DMs, uh, at Collins_Billy, and we'll we'll talk about an
0:41arrangement.
0:43>> It kills me. I I forget it was like some baseball game, but it was broadcasters like, "Oh, man. Look at these look at
0:48these unfortunate kids having to be here working on homework." And it's like, that's that's not what they're doing, man.
0:53>> No, it's not what they're doing at all.
0:54I will say from a sports betting perspective, when you're live betting and you're watching on YouTube TV, it's almost like why am I watching it on TV,
1:01just put it on like one of the sportsbook apps, you get the live feed a lot quicker. It's a game changer for
1:06sure.
1:07>> Good shout, my friend. But anyway, guys, we'll be enjoying some football on Sunday, but let's get those minds and and lineups right first with again the
1:14updated injury breakdown. So, at quarterback, good news. Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold is officially off the injury report. He is good to go
1:20for this match up here against the Commanders. So, shout out Drew Lock for holding down the fort in his absence.
1:25But yes, it will be the reigning Super Bowl champion Sam Darnold back under center. Good news for JS and everybody, but let's be honest, Darnold not
1:32somebody really touching too much unless we're talking superflex. Quarterback's not looking good. The Bears, okay, Caleb Williams with the hamstring. Tabag Tyson
1:40Beijing with a concussion. Now, the guys managed to practice here. It is going to be Monday Night Football. Does seem like
1:45it is going to be Case Keenum out there right now. Now, the Vegas implied team line for the Bears has them scoring just
1:5018 and a half points. Only the Titans, Dolphins, and Commanders are lower. So, very much looking like an iffy situation for the Bears this Monday. Over in
1:59Washington, quarterback Jaden Daniels is out with an elbow as expected. Noir though, we actually did hear from Dan Quinn that he is week to week. Marcus
2:06Mariota in the meantime, they have games up until their week seven buy. So, it seems like week eight is probably kind
2:12of the latest sort of return mark they are questioning uh or at least looking for. We'll we'll hopefully find him out
2:18sooner. And finally, guys, Giants quarterback Jackson Dart with the knee and meniscus injury will be out quote for the regular season according to
2:24Harball, which Billy is really a great bit that he is deciding to roll with like Jameus Winston and company can't get them in January. But hey, maybe
2:32America loves an underdog. We'll see what happened. It is going to be Jameus right now. Per Harball though, he didn't exactly give the most ringing
2:38endorsement. He literally said all options are open in terms of adding another quarterback. Look, Billy, Jameus Winston has made our red zone and Sunday
2:45viewing experience so enjoyable over the year for the better and sometimes the worst as well. Often the worst as well.
2:52I just don't look at Harval as a type of guy who wants to go all in on their Jamus experience. Do you think I'm crazy
2:56with that?
2:58>> No. So, this actually ties in well with one of my longot plays for best bets. I really like on FanDuel the under 31 and
3:04a half Titans Giants at plus 230 odds.
3:08Fantasy managers love the Jamus of old throwing bombs, pick six, right? A lot of points, a lot of scoring on both
3:14ends. I don't think with Harbaugh at the reigns. What we saw last week, granted, great Rams defense. I think we're going
3:20to see more of that. Just kind of play it more conservative. So, I really like low scoring because I don't also believe
3:26in Cam Ward.
3:28>> Some bad weather as well, man. So, I know we'd love to see a bunch of points in the Brian Dable Bowl that we got
3:32going on here, but I'm with you. Really like that call, my friend. Over in the running back streets, guys, these running backs are good to go and not
3:39listed on the final injury report. So, Aaron Jones got into a full practice to end the week. He's my RB19 behind guys
3:44like Kyra Williams, Bucky Irving, Cam Scatabo ahead of DeAndre Swift and Dave Montgomery. Travis Tenne also not listed on the final injury report. My RB23
3:53behind DeAndre Swift and Bay Tutin.
3:55Garyen Price also good to go for the Seahawks had this chest injury we were worried about, not listed. And Mike McDonald even said he will be a full go.
4:02So McDonald also added that quote practicing next week is potentially on the table for Zack Charvinet. Again, wouldn't call it the most ringing
4:08endorsement in the world, but he should be back at some point. In the meantime though, Price set up very well here
4:13against the Commanders. In Tennessee, we actually have Tony Pard with the ankle injury not listed. Taj Spears though actually is questionable with a ankle
4:21injury himself. So Pard is my RB29. It actually is the week's second best matchup. I've talked about combining some of these stats before and yards
4:29before contact per carry. Only the Jets against the Lions actually are set up for more success in the trenches than what we're seeing out of the Titans
4:36back. So if we do see Taj Spears actively ruled out of this game, I probably would move to Tony Pard up to
4:43the RB2 borderline. Let's not get crazy.
4:45It's still the Titans. I'm with Billy. I don't believe in this Cam Ward le offense at this point in the season.
4:49He'd be right around that Bay Shaw Tuton, Travis Etchen, Jeremiah Love range if Spears eventually ruled out.
4:54Note that Bears running back Kyle Manungai practicing in full on Friday.
4:58He should be fine. and Bills running back Ty Johnson could be back in the picture. He is not listed. Ready to make
5:03his season debut. Got a whole four catches in two games from James Cook in the meantime. So, didn't exactly see too
5:09much going on there. Billy, one of the bigger situations, but I think it's trending positively is actually going to be this Eagles backfield. Saquon Barkley
5:17somehow inexplicably the healthiest guy there. He started off the week as a limited participant with the stinger shoulder issue. Meanwhile, Tank Bixley
5:23with an abdomen and Will Shipley with foot injuries are not practicing out there. So, man, it's scary for me like for talking Survivor Billy. Like, on the
5:33one hand, I look at it and I'm like, "All right, Case Keenum is starting. Why not just pick the Eagles?" But I did
5:38watch the Bears run all over this defense last year and just even if Saquon's out there, maybe it's not 100%.
5:44Do you have a read on this Eagles Bears game? Because again, I it feels like it should be a layup for Philly, but you
5:48know, I got that devil on my shoulder telling me it looks like a trap, too.
5:52>> Anything that I would lean, I lean more on the unders. Um, I would like to lean a little bit more there, but uh, no, you
5:58know, with with Case Keenum, it's really a wild card situation. Yeah, he's a veteran QB. You think he should know what to do, but he could go out there
6:04and just throw a couple easy picks and then we're looking at maybe a lopsided play. So, yeah, for myself, I'd rather
6:11just stay away.
6:13>> I'm tending lean that way as well. But for you Saquon Barkley managers, again, we'll get the official Monday night statuses here Saturday afternoon. It
6:20does seem like Saquon Barkley is going to be the go good, good to go. So, yay.
6:24Over in Denver, we have Jonah Coleman actively ruled out with the ankle injury. But good news, JK Dobbins and RJ Harvey are not listed and they are good
6:32to go playing through their respective hamstring injuries. So, I got JK Dobbins RB30 right there with guys like Tony Pard and Quinn Sean Judkins. RJ Harvey
6:40just a few spots behind him. Going to be Sunday night here at Broncos against the Rams. So, good that we don't have to be
6:45sweating any, you know, game time decisions. Guys who are ruled out, we have Rico D for Pittsburgh actively out of this one. I'm so sorry you don't get
6:52to watch Rico Dow live with your own two eyes, Billy. What a what a missed opportunity out there.
6:56>> He's been so bad, man. He's so bad.
7:00>> The whole Steelers offense, man. That's the thing, too, cuz Jaylen Warren, it's a boost. It's definitely a boost. I'm going to move him just ahead of Bucky
7:06Irving. He's going to be in my RB 17.
7:08But again, with how bad this whole offense has been, really tough for me to go ahead and just actively recommend having any level of confidence in anyone
7:15to do with this situation. Now, Warren is officially listed as questionable, but he was limited all week long, which is a good sign. And their running back
7:23coach was literally quoted today saying, quote, "With Rico being the position he is now, Jaylen is going to go out. He's
7:29going to lead the group. Don't think he would be saying that again if they thought he was going to be sidelined."
7:33But either way, it is going to be the 1 p.m. Eastern kickoff. So, god forbid I'm wrong and Warren ends up being
7:38sidelineed. You have plenty of options to go ahead and figure out a backup plan. Speaking of backups, Jonathan Brooks is on IR officially out six to
7:46eight weeks. Chuba Hubber is my RB12 and Jaylen Wright with a stinger and foot issue. He is doubtful. Olly Gordon's the
7:52next man up in Miami if you hate yourself enough to care about that sort of thing. But we do have Chuba Hub and
7:57the Panthers. Uh Billy actually kind of sort of looking good. It's going to be another matchup here against the Browns.
8:03I know they haven't been overly tested against the Falcons and also the Bears, but I don't know. Falcons defense despite having half of their front seven
8:11injured continues to show up pretty well. What's your like kind of confidence level that what we're seeing out of Bryce Young company is real so
8:17far to start the season.
8:19>> I'm starting to believe in Bryce. I like what I'm seeing. I do like Dave Canales at the helm. And then, you know, we all
8:25know Ted Tennet McMillan is fantastic. I have some Jaylen Coker shares. I really like what I'm seeing from Jaylen Coker.
8:32And you know, now we know Chuba is going to be the guy. So, you know, I I do like where this Panthers offense is trending.
8:38And I think from Deshun Watson, yes, he had one of the best best games in terms of quarterback rating last week. Ah, I I
8:46just don't believe in Deshun. I I like the Panthers here.
8:49>> I am with you there, man. Again, prefer to have all 32 quarterbacks be good. We get more points, we get better games.
8:55But yeah, way more evidence telling us that at this point in time in year 2026, Deshawn ain't quite that guy, pal.
9:01Speaking of Jaylen Coker and these wide receivers, now Coker is listed as questionable. He didn't practice on Thursday, which was concerning, but he
9:07got back out there on Friday. And we did hear from Dave Canalis himself that Jaylen Coker is expecting to play borderline wide receiver, too. Again, in
9:14a suddenly pass happy and exciting Carolina Panthers offense. What a time to be alive. No Xavier, probably no Xavier Legette, though. We'll see what
9:22happens. He's a game time decision. He was limited to end of week. He's officially questionable. Not that you guys are playing Xavier Legette, but you
9:27know, a few extra targets to Coker or T-Mac if he does wind up being sidelineed. With the Chargers, Lab Mcconkey not listed. He is fully good to
9:34go coming off the rib injury. Brennan Thompson, the reigning defending SEC leader in receiving yards. People don't forget people. He is officially out
9:42though. Didn't practice all week, so maybe an extra shot downfield for guys like Trey Harris or god forbid Quinton Johnson does something cool this year.
9:48Who knows? Malik Neighbors not listed.
9:51He practiced in full on Thursday and Friday. They said he got good news from the X-rays. I don't know, Billy. I'm
9:56still a little bit worried here. I It's so tough with Neighbors. I have him wide receiver 25 which feels inexplicable because it's Malik Neighbors but based
10:05on what I've seen from Dr. Jeff Mueller and some of these other Twitter doctors like it sounds like this is a shoulder
10:09that when it's unstable could pop out again and be an issue there. It could uh impact the performance and we'll get to
10:16the weather report later but this is one of two games where there actually could be quite a bit of rain or wind. I'm
10:22guessing most people if they have Malik neighbors you probably don't have a great backup plan so go ahead and start them. But man, if you are especially
10:29blessed out there in the fantasy streets, again, it sucks to be saying this, Billy, but I could see myself sitting neighbors if I can afford to.
10:36>> 100%. If I could find another way or another pivot out of this, vibes are just down in New York alto together. Um,
10:42and so with everything that's kind of culminating here, I know the Titans defense doesn't really scare us a ton, but just everything outside of that, I
10:49would look to pivot if you can.
10:52>> Again, we're still just a little bit not sure what version of Jamus we're getting out there. just take it easy for a week.
10:57Hopefully, we're wrong and then we have a healthy Malik Neighbors from week four on the rest of the season. Also hoping
11:02that Devonte Smith is fine. He did not practice on Thursday with the hamstring injury. The Eagles are straggling on getting their injury report out, which
11:09is annoying. You guys, you guys are a Midwestern team. All right, I get it in from the Los Angeles squads, but pick it
11:14up, Philly. Uh, recording this at 5:00 PM Eastern on Friday. We'll see if we get an update by the end of the show,
11:18but it sounds like he did go out to practice on Friday. And as much as we don't like guys obviously having
11:24hamstring injuries and not practicing to start a week, Smitty has been one of these guys where he just kind of missed
11:29practices here and there and kind of wound up and went ahead and played anyway. So I'm not too concerned right now if I'm wrong and Devonte Smith does
11:36not play for the smash bot against the banged up and already bad Bears secondary. Dante Wix would rise up to wide receiver three status alongside the
11:43commanders wide receivers more wide receiver four. Also note that Jacobe Myers is good to go. Chris Bell, the Dolphins wide receiver and the sleeper I
11:50put my entire reputation on is also good to go. Hopefully, he gets more than a catch or two one of these days. Caleb
11:56Douglas is out, so it seems like they actually will be having to focus more on Chris Bell. I'm not too optimistic,
12:02Billy, about this Dolphins passing game getting going, but they did move the ball well. It's very low bar in Miami for about what I'm about to say, but
12:10they did move the ball well against the Niners before having to settle for field goals. I just want to see Malik Willis
12:15run the football. Kurt Cousins has more rush attempts than Malik Willis this year. And on the one hand, Billy, we can
12:21look at that and we can say, "What the hell is wrong with you, Bobby Sloick?
12:24Why are we doing this?" But the other part of me wants to say Slick is, you know, an NFL OC for a reason. He knows
12:30what he's doing. I'd like to think that we see Malik Wills correct himself and run the hell out of the football this
12:35week.
12:36>> Exactly. And that's going to be my long shot anytime touchdown play of the week.
12:39Um, and get this over Cali. Really any price that's plus 270 or better. So plus 300, plus 350. I like him anytime Malik
12:46Willis touchdown this week. Um, it might be a garbage time touchdown. It might be a 3113 type of game here, but I like to
12:53see him use his legs a bit more because we have to get going here. Malik, let's go. Hey, the money and the fantasy
12:59points all feel and count the same.
13:00Garbage time or not. So, I do like that call. Finally, Jaylen McMillan from the Buccaneers, not listed. He played last week technically, but wasn't actively
13:08involved in the offense. I'm just curious to see what happens here and that's kind of why I'm talking about him because Ted Hurst, man, he looks good.
13:15He's gotten good reviews from the coaching staff. Baker stole a lot and he is their most pure like ex field stretching wide receiver. So, if they're
13:23not taking him off the field, maybe Jaylen McMillan just doesn't play.
13:26That's an option obviously, but man, I'm just worried I'm going to be sitting here on Sunday night. It's like a Mecca
13:31Buuka and Chris Goblin losing some snaps to Jaylen. Don't sound the alarms just yet, but it is on the radar. Some guys
13:37who are a little bit more limited. All right, we could have a questionable game time decision situation coming. Zay Flowers for the Ravens. It's a 425
13:44kickoff in Brazil. He is officially questionable. He was limited on Friday.
13:49They said he was working with the individual like during individual drills, I should say, which is a uh an improvement upon last week when
13:56apparently he was just standing off to the side. That said, the Ravens also said it was basically a walkthrough. So, I'm trying to read between the lines
14:03here. The best thing that I got was apparently when they asked Jesse Mentor about their three questionable guys, he said that Ronnie Stanley status, their
14:11left tackle, should go all the way up until game time and apparently was more optimistic on Z Flowers. So, I'm tentatively expecting Flowers to go out
14:20there and play. It's the 425 game, so you need to have a reserve option ready to go, whether it's going to be in the
14:26late afternoon, the Sunday night, or the Monday night game. Please, insiders, I called you guys out on our tight end show on Thursday. I said you guys are a
14:34bunch of glorified aggregators. Prove me wrong. Give me some good Z Flowers info before Sunday 1 PM kickoff, please. Also note, Bills wide receiver DJ Moore. This
14:44one I'm less optimistic in Billy because he didn't he was limited on Wednesday.
14:47He didn't practice on Thursday. He was limited on Friday, but he was wearing a non-cont uh jersey out there. So, he's
14:53officially questionable. And Joe Brady even went went ahead and said he has a game time decision. Kian Coleman is also questionable after getting a limited
15:01practice on Friday. So Josh Palmer will get the biggest bump if we do end up seeing this situation where both these
15:06guys are out. Chargers Bills though luckily is going to be a 1pm game. But man, Josh Allen is playing like the best
15:13quarterback alive right now. I get that.
15:15But you know, I don't think he was a way worse player last year. We just saw him with not too many guys to get the
15:21football to. You take away DJ Moore, you take away Keon Coleman.
15:26Maybe it's just the person in me, Billy, who just believes so hard in the Chargers for so much this offseason. I
15:31want to see something good happen to him. Like, could you see this being a little bit of a trap game for Buffalo or
15:36Nah?
15:37>> I mean, I definitely could see it. I like to see maybe more increased targets for Dalton Concaid. Um, or maybe even a
15:43little bit of Dawson Knox and then obviously using James Cook. Yeah, I mean, the Chargers now enter this period of the gauntlet.
15:50Can they wake up or are we going to see like an o one and six or 0 and seven Chargers team in a couple of weeks with
15:56this just brutal schedule?
15:59>> Moving right along with the 49ers officially list Mike Evans as questionable. That said, he did practice on Friday and per beat reporter David
16:07Lombardi, he said, quote, "The status has never been in question for Sunday."
16:11So, I'm feeling good about Mike Evans going out there and playing. Again, it's annoying. It's at four o'clock. So, I get it. You do need to have a backup
16:18plan in place, but the way I'm setting my lineups, I'm tentatively thinking Zay Flowers and Mike Evans are going to play. DJ Mort is one I'm a little more
16:25worried about. Note that Demarcus Robinson is sidelineed. If I'm wrong and Mike Evans, you know, isn't going to be out there. Would be a nice bump for
16:31Devbo Samuel. He would probably push ahead of Amecha Ibuka and Malik Neighbors for me in this smash spot that they got going against Arizona
16:39Cardinals. Note that Jets wide receiver AD Mitchell. He's questionable with a finger injury. Just try to keep an eye on pregame. They showed him in practice,
16:47man. He had like a club on his hand. And look, Billy, I played defense for a reason back in the day. All right. They
16:52could I could not catch the football. I get it. But for someone that can catch a football, I imagine having a club on one
16:57of your hands isn't exactly going to help that. So, I had AD wide receiver 41 right there with Dantavian Wixs. But,
17:03man, not great here. I would say just again, if you have a closer start sit decision, you're torn. Should I start
17:09Mitchell? Should I not? When you have a wide receiver actively dealing with a finger hand injury, man, probably would lean towards sitting the guy. Also note
17:16that Steelers wide receiver Michael Pitman is officially questionable, limited all week. Wouldn't exactly be going out of my way to play him anyway,
17:22but maybe you could see a few more targets with DK Mechaf getting that DJ Turner shadow treatment. Guys, who will not be playing in all likelihood
17:30officially doubtful, but McVey did say he is expecting to play in week four. So going to be a nice bubble for Devonte
17:36Adams again. Tough match up against Patrick Certan and company, but again it's also Devonte Adams. Terrence Ferguson also will be a low-end tight
17:43end one. Nicl Collins once again out with the hamstring injury. Last week it was Xavier Hudson and Kan Booty with the
17:49full-time roles. Dylan Noel and Jared Bruce Wayne with the ones rotating. Alec Pierce on IR. Ashton Doulan also out.
17:55Wheels up for Josh Dallas to a lesser extent Keenan Allen. And then for the Bengals, Andre Yoshas on IR, which means
18:01Kobe Young season everyone. Please don't play him, but I am excited about Kobe Young. Bailey, I think that dude has a
18:08lot of talent out there. Want to keep on that Rams train though because again with no puka, we saw it last week.
18:14Terren Ferguson got up to a 70% snap count and we actually saw a situation where Kobe Parkinson is officially questionable for this game. So McVey
18:22said he's trending in the right direction, but this was always part of the plan. I will say, you know, didn't want to see a goose egg in week one, but
18:29the bull case behind Ferguson was always could he be this offense's wide receiver three and their tight end one and also
18:35just being in a situation to benefit from any tight end or wide receiver getting banged up. We saw what happened last week and with Puka out for now.
18:43Also, Billy Passan locking down Adams, I imagine Stafford is going to be wanting to try to look more in the middle of the
18:48field. I got Terence Ferguson tight end 10 just ahead of Aronda Gatson, Dalton Schulz, Coulson Lovelin just behind Sam Laaporta and Isaiah Likely. Does that
18:57sound crazy man or does that sound like something that we should be hyped about?
19:00>> No, I mean this could be the breakout game or the game that really gets you hyped about Terren Ferguson. It seems
19:05like I mean all the chips are on the table for him to really take that next step forward and they got to throw the
19:10ball to somebody. So, is it gonna be 22 Outwell or is it going to be a little bit more Terence Ferguson or they just
19:15gonna use a plethora of all the tight ends, you know?
19:18>> And the guy throwing the ball just won the MVP. So, I feel a little bit better about again someone's role rising up and
19:24feeling good there. Brock Bowers, guys, he's questionable. He did not practice on Friday, but it was planned, which makes me feel good. Kubiaak said he's
19:33optimistic, but he also said the team will not be working Bowers out pregame like they did last week. I don't know
19:40exactly what that means, Billy. My interpretation is that they're just going to make the decision. They're not leaving it up to how Bowowers feels an
19:48hour before game time. Everyone's going to work out regardless and stretch. It was a very weird quote. The way I'm trying to interpret it is that he's
19:55saying the decision probably won't need to go up until kickoff. Does that seem reasonable to you?
20:00>> I think it does. I mean, we got to just cross our fingers and hope that Brock Bowers wakes up in the morning out of
20:06bed and be like, "Okay, well, how does he feel?" So like this one obviously you love to have a backup option in place.
20:11You probably do if you're the Brock Bowers manager, but yeah, this is like up to the last second. What's happening?
20:18>> That's what I was going to say. The good news is I think a lot of the guys you probably have had to pick up are playing
20:23the later windows. So we do have Jawan Johnson playing at the 425 spot. We have Michael Mayer, obviously the back of the
20:29Bowers if you do need to go down that route. Terren Ferguson, Evan Ingram, and Zack Herz. Wow, Zack Herz, we're back.
20:35Those would be the other best replacements if needed. Uh, note that Patriots rookie tight end Eli Reridon is officially questionable. Will be a
20:41slight bump up for Hunter Henry. Uh, Dallas Goddard is going to be out for a few weeks, hence Zack Z mentioned. Chica
20:46Conquo is once again out. Washington is rotating guys behind him. David Njoku is on IR. Charlie Kohler is out, not on IR,
20:53but yes, that is good news for Aronda Gaston. Again, I got him tight end 10.
20:58He's going to be tight end 11 now after I move up Terrence Ferguson, guys. But I've seen Gatson available in a lot of
21:04my leagues and he was one of these guys where I didn't really expect that to be the case. So if you see Gaton out there,
21:09if you are in a situation where again you got to have some level of insurance, really would like to get him guys on
21:14that bench because he is one of these candidates where he's one good game away from everyone freaking out on Monday and
21:20Tuesday about picking him up. You can probably get him for free right now. Per Harbaugh Gaton had quote a very good
21:25week. He is ready to step up. And then for the J gets Jets Jets Jets Mason Taylor out this week. Kenyan Sadiq
21:32wheels up. He is my tight end 18. If you want to push higher I get it. It's just one of those things where you know we
21:37got Pat Fry with playing the Bengals. We got Darren Waller's role going up. We got Jake Ferguson, Terren Ferguson doing good things. A lot of good tight ends
21:45right now in fantasy football and you usually cannot say that. So those were the key fantasy football related injuries guys. But there are another
21:52handful of spots that again groups of injuries. Uh Billy, I love that book from Hey, your namesake Billy Walters where uh again one of the greatest
22:01gamblers of all time and he was talking about how when he's actually trying to look out lines and everything like that.
22:06Obviously losing a key defensive end is one thing, but the point he made was he looks for groups of injuries in the
22:11offensive line, the secondary and the front seven and stuff like that. And I do think that is a situation where yeah,
22:16if we're seeing that impact betting lines, then we sure as hell should be paying attention to it for fantasy purposes as well.
22:21>> No, I agree 100%. Yeah, you just want to make sure you know that's one domino that's a major piece that can affect
22:27everything else. So, you just want to make sure you know you're keeping an eye on what's going on.
22:32>> One big fish that will be out though is 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa with the calf. And holy update from Adam Shfter. He might
22:39not go on IR partially because Sam Fran has limited spots available on the injured reserve list at this point. So, just
22:48I shouldn't laugh at the injuries, but my god, at some point it's hard not to with the substation stuff acting up. But
22:53yeah, no Nick Bosa this week. Cowboys defense remains very banged up. You're feeling good about the Ravens either way, but cornerback Kobe Durant, safety
22:59Molly Cooker, and the linebacker Deario and Overshun are all out of this one.
23:03Giants defense also a little bit banged up. These guys are questionable, so maybe they will play through it. But outside linebacker Brian Burns,
23:09cornerback Deontay Banks, and safety Tyler Nuben all questionable for this one. Panthers a little bit banged up off the ball. Devin Lloyd, Clauden Cherless,
23:17and safety Nick Scott are out of the picture. The Bucks front seven also taking a little bit of a hit, guys. Edge
23:22Ruben Bane, firstrounder, he's out with a groin injury. And their linebacker, Josiah Troder, who was flashy a little bit to start the year. He's out with a
23:29shoulder issue. So, good news there for the potential for Aaron Jones to actually kind of overcome some expectations that usually go south when
23:36you're playing VA and company. Cardinals cornerback room very banged up. Will Johnson's out for the season with a neck injury. Garrett Williams still hasn't
23:43made his debut. Max Belton is also banged up. And then in Pittsburgh, Joey Porter Jr. is questionable. He was limited all week with this conditioning
23:52thing. And normally, Billy, I'm like, "All right, well, they don't have the contract worked out. How's he going to play?" Apparently, one of these Steelers
23:59beat reporters was saying that because he's now listed as just conditioning.
24:03They took the back injury off. if he doesn't play, he could actually be placed on the reserve list where he doesn't get paid at all because now
24:10they're basically saying there's no injury here. You're just refusing to play football. I mean, Jamal Dean's questionable as well. If there is ever a
24:17Sunday to maybe get your number one quarterback, it would be against the Bengals. I I don't know, Billy. It's interesting here.
24:24>> No, it really is because because he was the first pick in the second round when he was drafted. It's all about the
24:28money. He's only guaranteed $4 million, so it's all about it. But they've the Steelers now have made it against him.
24:34They've kind of created this own situation on their own as well in terms of the organization. But yeah, you got Jamar Chase and T. Higgins out there. If
24:42you're trying to get the bag or trying to showcase to other teams that like, hey, trade for me, like this would be a
24:48game that you'd want to suit up for.
24:51>> And look guys, like we're starting Jamar Chase and T. Higgins. Even if Joey Porter Jr. does wind up playing, I get
24:56it. But the expectation change is real.
24:58When you look at it, the top four cornerbacks since week one of last season, the lowest completion percentage allowed the targets in their coverage.
25:04Kind of the whole point of playing the position is Christian Gonzalez number one, Quinon Mitchell number two, Joey Porter Jr. number three, and DJ Turner
25:12number four. Truly in a class, you know, at the top of the league there at this position. Would love to see him play
25:17football again soon. Will not be seeing Dolphins free safety Fitzpatrick though playing football again soon or at least this weekend. He is out once again with
25:24a groin injury. So guys, that was our injury report. Now, we do have some weather to get to and also going to be
25:30doing some fun bets. First though, I did want to give a quick shout out to our friends over at Circa because you can
25:35catch every drive, every play, and every touchdown poolside, stadium, swim at Circa Resort and Casino in downtown Las Vegas. Take it all in from six
25:42temperature control pools or claim your place in a lounge chair, daybed, or private cabana. You got a massive 143 foot screen. I cannot stress enough that
25:51although I've not been there just yet, I've seen the pictures and it looks absolutely fabulous. immersive audio and again you won't just watch the action
25:59you will feel it. Make Stadium Swim at Circus Resort and Casino your game day ritual. You can reserve your spot in the
26:04sun today at circa las vegas.com and again go check out circa stadium swim today.
26:10>> Billy first I was going to say I can tell you from firsthand experience whether you're there in November where they heat the water when you're out
26:17there when it's cold or in the summertime it's a fantastic experience.
26:20You can't beat it.
26:22>> D it. Again, I love the sportsbook vibe.
26:24It's tough for me to kind of make it out there during the season because, you know, my Sundays are just a big-time
26:28workday. But I can't picture a better place to go spend a Sunday. And we're done with the ad. Like, this is just
26:34straight up like circa. It looks It looks so fun.
26:37>> It's a Yeah, it's my favorite casino uh in Old Vegas. Uh if you haven't been, guys, definitely recommend it. Check it
26:42out.
26:43>> Definitely check that out. Make sure you check the weather first. Although it's probably fine in Vegas, but not fine across the rest of the NFL. How about
26:49that for a transition? But okay, Browns, Panthers, Steelers, Bengals should be fine. Not expecting much if any rain.
26:56And the winds that we usually want to make sure are not above 20 m hour. They are expected to be in the 10 to 15 m
27:02hour uh range with gusts up to 20. So again, when the weatherman Kevin Roth, shout out. When they say not to worry
27:08about it, I don't worry about it. I'm not worried about these games. Cowboys Ravens could have some more potential.
27:13Kevin was actually pretty upfront saying that he doesn't know the Brazil, you know, uh, climate quite as well. Step it up, Kevin. Come on, man. But yeah. Okay,
27:21Cowboys Ravens. We'll hear more about it during the day, but yeah, you know, combined with the turf, like we do not
27:26want to see uh that rain be an extra problem. Hopefully, it's not. We have two games though, guys. Giants Titans and Commander Seahawks. Billy, do you
27:34know what a nor easter is?
27:37>> So, I no to be just answer. I know it's just bad weather. It's good. It's means wet football. Maybe more running the
27:45football. Um, I don't see either quarterback going out there, you know, trying to throw 40 to 50 attempts.
27:52>> I did not know what a nor easter was either. Google tells me it is a powerful macrocale cyclone that primarily affects
27:59the east coast of the United States and Canada. Is named for the strong prevailing winds that blow in from the northeast. So, the more you know,
28:06everyone finding out some cool facts here today. But yeah, apparently this nor easter is hitting and it is impacting Giants Titans and Commander
28:12Seahawks. Per Kevin Giants Titans looks like it's getting the worst of it. Rain is highly likely. Wind could be 15 to 20
28:18miles per hour. Sustained with gusts over 30 30 miles per hour. Not good. Not saying it's going to be a wipeout like
28:25the Bears and Vikings, but if there was going to be a game to really be concerned about, it is Giants Titans.
28:30And again, that's more reason to for me to just not feel fantastic about Trott and Malik Neighbors out there. Run games. Again, we're not so worried about
28:37that as the pass catchers involved here, which again goes to Commander Seahawks conveniently, Billy. I mean, look, we're come on, guys. We're playing JSN even if
28:44there's a freaking fire on the stadium.
28:46Even if we get like a Dark Knight, you know, situations going on there. So, JSN's playing, but these other teams, Giants, Titans, Commanders, like you
28:53don't want me to play their pass catchers. Fine. I'm not going to be worried about that. So, again, keep an eye on it. It doesn't sound like
28:59Commander Seahawks is quite as bad as Giants, Titans, but we should know more as Sunday comes along. And that was your
29:05Olly Williams weather report. Time for some better bets here, Billy. Appreciate our friends over at Better. I always like sending out my better card on
29:13Sunday mornings. Haven't hit a parlay just yet, but you know what? America loves a comeback and I'm feeling good about this week. So, going to start you
29:20off, Billy. We're going to be tag teaming this one. Two legs each to make our little full leg parlay. I believe I
29:25got $10 to win about 98 down already.
29:28So, you had to adjust already because you picked some lines in the morning that have already moved a lot. So, you're on to something here, Billy.
29:34Let's uh let's keep it going for the fine folks. What is your first bet here for this Sunday? First bet's going to be
29:40Tyler Warren over four and a half receptions. You know, we've already seen kind of Keenan Allen phased out from the Colts offense. Josh DS obviously saw
29:46increased target share. Tyler Warren though is still Tyler Warren. He's a beast and I just like him in this spot.
29:52You know, definitely going to be at that five reception mark. I don't think he's going to go and get eight, nine or 10,
29:57but I like his over four and a half. How about for your first light?
30:00>> Well, you also I mean I like the Warren call, too. And I like in general, and I'm going to be talking out my ass here
30:06cuz I picked two receiving yard ones, but I do like the call for receptions and like rush attempts cuz you're just
30:11you're betting on the volume. And as a fantasy guy, like, and we say it, man, the players got to go out there and do
30:17it at a certain point, weird stuff's going to happen. But predicting the volume is something I can feel a lot more comfortable about. And in Warren's
30:23case, they just scheme him up so many RPOS's and short screens. I don't know if Tyler Warren's going to have five
30:28catches for 10 yards or five catches for 30 yards. All right, but I am feeling pretty good about that five catch number
30:33and accordingly you got a nice little over there on the four and a half. My first one though is going to be another
30:38over in the tight end streets. Give me Oronda Gaston guys over 35 and a half receiving yards just minus 119 as well
30:44so you don't have too much juice attached to it. Mentioned it before, no Coler Nojoku. This is the second highest game total of the week right now. Again,
30:51maybe we do see the Chargers offense just be okay, not be horrible, not make me freaking cry myself to sleep every
30:57Sunday. It's got the second highest overunder, only behind Cowboys and Ravens right now. We saw the magical four-game stretch last year. He ripped
31:04off 68, 164, 77, and 68 receiving yards.
31:08He looks a lot like the second best pass catcher available in Los Angeles at the moment. So, Bills were very strong
31:13against tight ends last year. However, we have seen their defense fall off a bit in terms of their just pass defense,
31:18at least through two weeks of action.
31:20Dalton Schultz at 35 yards. Sam Leaport had 52 against this group. So with Gaston, it is one of those where he's so
31:27he's a big slot that we're calling a tight end. All right. So he's not like kind of the fall down like dad bod like
31:32sort of tight end that we've seen over the years. He is someone where if we only get one or two catches, I honestly
31:37think one could go for 40 plus yards. So feeling good about Gassin. It's not even national tight end day, Billy, but we're
31:43going with another tight end prop here for your uh second leg of it. Who you got?
31:47>> So I got Travis Kelce under four and a half receptions. And this is also just a great price on better. So, we like the
31:53edge that we have over there, but then just I could see Travis Kelce when they start the fourth quarter. They show
31:58those camera. He's on the sidelines with his hat on. It's a comfortable win here for the Chiefs. I think it could be that
32:04way. So, that's why I really like the under four and a half. A lot of miles of the feet. I don't I'm not scared by the
32:09Dolphins defense at all. I can see the Chiefs just easily moving the ball down the field. So, as much as Kelsey really
32:14went off last week, I still just like his under right now.
32:18If you happen to be picking between the Chiefs and the Bills, theoretically, Billy, for a Survivor pick, who would you lean more towards?
32:26>> I still got to lean more on the Chiefs.
32:28I just think that, you know, they just because the they just the Dolphins don't scare me is where the Chargers could be
32:35not maybe a sleeping giant, but they could wake up finally. you see McDaniel and this offense that we've been talking about finally click whereas I I just
32:43don't really believe in the Dolphins even now that you know um they're losing one of their wide receivers. Yeah, I just give me the Chiefs all day.
32:51>> I'd be very surprised if the Chargers upset the Bills. My jaw would break through my freaking floor if the Dolphins took down the Chiefs. So, good
32:58shout there. And yeah, look, Kelsey's been playing great. He looks good out there, but you know, we even saw it in
33:02week one. It's not like they're force-feeding him the ball necessarily.
33:06And I do think he benefited from playing two more man-heavy defenses. I could see Rashi Rice getting a little bit more
33:11volume than we've seen over these past two weeks against more of a zoneheavy defense like the Dolphins. And finally though, guys, I got an under here for
33:18you. DK Mechaf under 52 and a half receiving yards against the Cincinnati Bengals. So again, not too worried about the weather, but I am worried about
33:27everything we've seen from this Pittsburgh Steelers offense. Aaron Rogers looks beyond wash at this point.
33:32DK can't hold on to the football and it's just such a tough matchup. He had 49 and 50 yards in these two shadow
33:39spots against DJ Turner where yes, we actively saw under the same defense Turner follow me all the way around the field. I do not expect that to change
33:47and I already shouted out just how good Turner is earlier again being in that top four group incompletion percentage allowed. This Cincy defense also just
33:54looks really good, Billy. One of my uh favorite stats I found in the college football streets, but it's havoc rate.
34:00It's the percentage of plays that a defense gets a pressure, a tackle for a loss, a forced fumble, an interception, a pass breakup. If you think of a stat,
34:07and it reminds you of Havoc, it goes into this metric. The number one defense in the NFL, and Havoc is the Minnesota
34:13Vikings, which makes sense. They blitz more than anyone. The Cincinnati Bengals are in second, even though they don't even blitz out here, man. And that is a
34:21nightmare. And it's one of those funny things where we've heard it like used against Mahomes and even Tom Brady in the Super Bowls. It's like, hey, you
34:28just got to get four. You gotta get pressure with your four down lineman and keep everyone back. Like that's how you
34:32limit Tom Brady. It's like yeah, no That's how you limit any quarterback who's ever existed out here.
34:37But man, Billy, like I would say again just two weeks, but one of I would say the more crazy storylines so far isn't
34:44just the Bengals defense going from god awful to average. It's them going from god awful to maybe pretty damn good.
34:50>> They are quite good. And the biggest thing that I love this under with DK is is like, you know, we could talk about
34:54the shadow matchup, but he actually has to catch the ball in order to get those yards. And at least the vibes in the
35:02city of Pittsburgh is is like there's so many memes out there about how he just is unwilling to be able to catch the
35:07football. It's definitely in his head.
35:08Low-key, maybe the yips, not sure.
35:11Obviously, as a black and gold fan, would love to see him go out there and ball out, but I it just you got to prove
35:16it to me first. DK, >> that's where I'm with it, too. And again, the tough matchup on top of it and your offense sucks. Just seems like
35:23everything is pointing to the under with this one, which means he'll probably go for like 175 though, showing how much we
35:28know. But DK Mechaf under Aronda Gaston over 33, 35 and a half receiving yards, excuse me. And Billy's got Travis Kelce
35:35and Tyler Warren.
35:37>> Kelsey under four and a half receptions.
35:38Warren over four and a half receptions.
35:40So, feeling good. And I feel good about this show. Billy, I hope you guys enjoyed the experience. If you like the
35:45show, please like the show. Hit that subscribe button always helps as well.
35:48Billy, let the people know where they can find some of your work over in the Ozjam streets.
35:52>> Sure. So, over at BillyC over on YouTube, Billy C24 or just go over to Ojam and you'll see my face OJM YouTube.
35:59Check it out over there and then Collins_Billy over at X aka Twitter. Um, that's where I'm just typing out a bunch
36:07of different content. A lot of new tools coming over at OGM, the games tool where you just tap on the games page, it shows
36:12you all the plays. A lot of it's a free tool that you can check out. So, um, that's where you can find me. Very cool
36:18stuff over there. Shout out to the homies at OddJam. Shout out to you guys again for tuning in. Really appreciate you. Go win those week three matchups.
36:25I'll be back on Sunday night breaking down all the all the games to get you guys ready for another week. So for
36:30Billy, I'm Ian. Thanks again for tuning in. And until next time, take care everybody.