Week 3 Fantasy Football QB Ranks and Tiers: Bryce Young is BALLING
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.
34 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Sep 22, 2026
Published
Tue, September 22, 2026
29
Player insights
29
Players mentioned
Topics
Aaron RodgersBaker MayfieldBo NixBrock PurdyCaleb WilliamsCam WardDaniel JonesDrake MayeDrew LockJacoby BrissettJalen HurtsJameis WinstonJared GoffJayden Daniels
Player analysis
Player insights
Aaron Rodgers
NegativeProjection32:36
Ranked as QB32, Aaron Rodgers is considered a poor fantasy option by Ian Hartitz, who cites the Steelers' broken offense and a difficult upcoming matchup against the Bengals' defense.
Insight pageBaker Mayfield
NegativeProjection12:48
Ian Hartitz ranks Baker Mayfield as QB18, citing his status as a turnover machine who leads all quarterbacks in fumbles and ranks second in interceptions. Mayfield is 29th in EPA per dropback, and Hartitz expresses frustration with his accuracy, describing his tendency to overthrow deep targets as 'nauseating'.
Insight pageBo Nix
NegativeProjection19:16
Ian Hartitz ranks Bo Nix as QB16 for Week 3 against the Rams; while his start to the season has been underwhelming, he showed improvement in Week 2 as the Broncos offense began to flow better by pushing the ball.
Insight pageBrock Purdy
PositiveProjection4:08
Ian Hartitz ranks Brock Purdy as QB4, noting he is the QB2 in fantasy points per game since Week 10 of last season and has recorded four 25+ point performances since Week 15. Purdy is considered a must-start quarterback for fantasy managers regardless of matchup context.
Insight pageCaleb Williams
NegativeInjury0:17
Ian Hartitz identifies Caleb Williams as an injured player who may require fantasy managers to seek streaming alternatives for the week.
Insight pageCam Ward
NegativeProjection32:34
Ranked as QB31, Cam Ward is considered a poor fantasy option by Ian Hartitz, who notes that all passing efficiency metrics indicate he is playing poorly and that Brian Daboll's scheme has limited his upside.
Insight pageDaniel Jones
NegativeProjection48:56
Ian Hartitz ranks Daniel Jones as QB27 against the Texans, noting he has posted two of his three worst performances in adjusted yards per attempt to start the season.
Insight pageDrake Maye
NegativeProjection15:56
Ian Hartitz ranks Drake Maye as QB12 with significant hesitation, noting back-to-back single-digit fantasy performances and a difficult matchup against a Jaguars defense that ranks in the top 10 for pressure rate.
Insight pageDrew Lock
PositiveSleeper5:16
Drew Lock is identified as a potential streaming option for Week 3 against the Commanders. Ian Hartitz ranks him as QB20, noting that his fantasy value is heavily tied to his connection with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who is currently dominating the Seahawks' target share, and the Commanders' 29th-ranked defense in EPA allowed per dropback.
Insight pageJacoby Brissett
NegativeProjection27:33
Ian Hartitz ranks Jacoby Brissett as QB24 against the 49ers, citing a 'horrible' performance last week with 3.4 yards per attempt, the lowest single-game mark for any quarterback with at least 25 attempts this season.
Insight pageJalen Hurts
PositiveUsage2:19
Ian Hartitz ranks Jalen Hurts as QB3, noting his strong historical performance as a favorite (21.1 PPG) and a favorable matchup against a weak Bears defense. Hartitz highlights that the Eagles' offense has been largely carried by Hurts' individual performance during extended stretches, as the team struggles with overall passing and rushing success rates.
Insight pageJameis Winston
NegativeProjection5:28
Ian Hartitz ranks Jameis Winston as QB25, expressing skepticism following a 'horrible' Monday night performance. While Hartitz acknowledges Winston is a potential bounce-back candidate due to upcoming favorable matchups against the Titans while Jackson Dart is sidelined, he currently prefers Marcus Mariota over Winston.
Insight pageJared Goff
PositiveProjection8:26
Ian Hartitz ranks Jared Goff as QB10 against the Jets, arguing he is undervalued. Since 2024, Goff has 10 games with 25+ fantasy points, trailing only Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. He remains a strong threat for 300+ yards and 3+ touchdowns despite the Jets' high defensive 'havoc' rate.
Insight pageJayden Daniels
NegativeInjury0:17
Ian Hartitz notes Jayden Daniels is dealing with an injury, necessitating potential streaming options for fantasy managers.
Insight pageJoe Burrow
NegativeBust7:20
Ian Hartitz ranks Joe Burrow as QB8 against the Steelers, citing concerns over his lack of mobility and a career-worst 28.6% sack rate on pressure dropbacks, which ranks 30th among 33 qualified QBs. Hartitz suggests the blame for the sacks lies more with the quarterback than the offensive line.
Insight pageJordan Love
NegativeProjection15:27
Ian Hartitz ranks Jordan Love as a low-end QB1 (QB12) against the Falcons, citing strong volume metrics like drop-back rate despite an offensive line that ranks last in time to pressure allowed.
Insight pageJosh Allen
PositiveProjection0:29
Ian Hartitz ranks Josh Allen as QB1, citing his elite production with five of the top 13 overall fantasy performances since Week 1 of last season and his status as the best player in football. Allen is also used as the benchmark for fantasy quarterback performance, currently leading Trevor Lawrence in fantasy points per game since Week 10 of last season.
Insight pageJosh Downs
NegativeUsage49:16
Ian Hartitz hopes that Josh Downs and Tyler Warren will receive enough targets to remain viable in fantasy despite the overall struggles of the Colts' offense.
Insight pageKirk Cousins
NegativeProjection32:18
Ranked as QB28, Kirk Cousins is coming off back-to-back games with three touchdown passes even without Brock Bowers, but Ian Hartitz is not expecting the good times to continue given his lack of a rushing floor and a tough upcoming matchup against the Saints defense.
Insight pageLamar Jackson
NegativeProjection0:45
Ian Hartitz ranks Lamar Jackson as QB2, highlighting a favorable matchup against a Cowboys defense that has been statistically vulnerable and lucky to avoid giving up more points. Jackson is considered a must-start quarterback for fantasy managers regardless of matchup context.
Insight pageMalik Willis
NegativeProjection22:52
Ian Hartitz ranks Malik Willis as QB19, but believes that is too high, citing a lack of rushing usage (only two attempts last week) and arguing his recent fantasy production has been lucky, specifically pointing to a 77-yard touchdown pass against backups.
Insight pageMarcus Mariota
NegativeProjection31:25
Ian Hartitz ranks Marcus Mariota as QB26, noting a tough matchup against the Seahawks but highlighting a favorable upcoming schedule in weeks four and five against the Colts and Giants.
Insight pageMatthew Stafford
NegativeProjection21:40
Ian Hartitz ranks Matthew Stafford as QB17, noting the ranking feels low but is influenced by the difficult environment in Denver, where only three of 18 quarterbacks have scored 14+ fantasy points since 2024. Hartitz would move Stafford up if Puka Nacua returns to action.
Insight pageMichael Penix Jr.
NegativeProjection32:21
Ranked as QB29, Michael Penix Jr. is considered a poor fantasy option by Ian Hartitz, who expresses skepticism regarding his performance coming off a knee injury for his first road start in Green Bay.
Insight pagePatrick Mahomes
PositiveProjection3:41
Ian Hartitz ranks Patrick Mahomes as QB5, citing his improved mobility, ability to evade sacks, and success hitting deep balls to Taekwon Thornton. Mahomes faces a Dolphins defense that ranks dead last in EPA allowed per dropback, making this a 'wheels up' matchup.
Insight pageSam Darnold
NegativeSleeper5:18
Ian Hartitz identifies Sam Darnold as a potential streaming option for Week 3, provided he returns from injury, due to a favorable matchup against the Washington Commanders. Hartitz ranks him in the QB20 range, placing him in the same tier as Drew Lock.
Insight pageTaysom Hill
NegativeProjection53:55
Ranked as QB30, Taysom Hill is viewed as a poor fantasy option for his upcoming Monday Night Football matchup against the Eagles.
Insight pageTrevor Lawrence
PositiveProjection5:48
Ian Hartitz ranks Trevor Lawrence as QB6 for Week 3 against the Patriots. Despite a recent poor performance, Hartitz remains confident, noting that Lawrence has been the QB2 in fantasy points per game since Week 10 of last season and ranks fourth in rushing fantasy points among QBs in that span.
Insight pageTyler Warren
NegativeUsage49:16
Ian Hartitz hopes that Tyler Warren and Josh Downs will receive enough targets to remain viable in fantasy despite the overall struggles of the Colts' offense.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00is a great day to break down my week three fantasy football quarterback rankings and tiers. Also going to be touching on some bigger picture
0:06questions such as what the sort of schematic changes are looking like across the league with new play callers, best and worst offensive lines, what
0:13defense we should be worried about or targeting, and also streaming options to get you guys through if sadly you had Jaden Daniels, Caleb Williams, Jackson
0:21Daughter, and a number of other injured players. Appreciate you guys tuning in.
0:25And with that, let's get after it with tier one. The big five quarterbacks.
0:29Shouldn't be too much debate going on here. We got QB1 Josh Allen who guys is responsible for five of the top 13
0:36overall, not just quarterback fantasy performances dating back to week one last season. Home against the Chargers right now, Josh Allen looking a lot like
0:45the best player in football. QB2, I got Lamar Jackson at Dallas in Brazil.
0:50Hopefully that turf is nowhere near as slippery as it looked like a couple years ago when we saw the Eagles take on
0:55the Packers, but should be getting Zay Flowers back from that hamstring injury.
0:58That will help. It's also just a Cowboys defense, guys, that was lucky not to give up 35 plus points. Seriously made a
1:05whole video and I do every single week that comes out on Monday that's kind of beyond the box score looking at things
1:09like drop touchdowns, inaccurate passes, guys tackled at the one yard line, nullified scores, things of that nature.
1:16And seriously, whether it was the Antonio Williams misfired Terry McLaren, McLaren dropping one in the end zone.
1:21Jaden Daniels getting injured from the oneyard line before halftime and Diami Brown seemingly happened the football with a knee down in the end zone, but
1:28it's still not being called a touchdown.
1:30Do not be fooled by that final score.
1:32This Cowboys defense remains one we want to target and it's also just Lamar Jackson. So, probably could have just ended with that. Give me three. I got
1:39Jaylen Herds going up against the Bears here on Monday Night Football. I think Jaylen's played pretty damn good. And honestly, again, I mentioned that video.
1:46One of the things I do is interception doctor probably should have given Herz a little bit more credit for his second
1:50interception against the Titans. Got hit a little bit while he was trying to find Devonte Smith open down the sideline.
1:56First one was really bad. All right, there's no excuses to be made for there.
1:58But generally, genuinely as well, I am trying to give Jaylen Herds a compliment. I think he's been pretty much him and Devonte Smith and Dantavian
2:06Wixs. They've been the bright spots of this offense. The offensive line is not getting anything going on the ground.
2:11We've heard all off seasonason about how, hey, this scheme cannot get any worse. Kevin Patulo, the stone cold worst. It's not great so far, guys. You
2:19can say it's because of the offensive line, because of the players, whatever.
2:22But the Eagles this year are 31st in play action rate and 22nd in pre-nap, shift, and motion. Those are the two
2:27easy buttons that we've been dying to see Philly use more often. Still not quite getting them here. That said, road favorite and historically for his
2:34career, Jayen Herz averages 21.1 fantasy points per game as a favorite versus just 14.2 and two as an underdog.
2:40Actually, that's since 2024, by the way.
2:42But point stands. Feeling good about Joe Herz against a pretty bad Bears defense.
2:48QB4, I got Brock Perie going up against the Arizona Cardinals, guys. Fun, arbitrary, cut off, but man, since week 10 of last season, Perie has four
2:58separate performances, guys, with I'm sorry, since week 15 of last season, Perie has four separate 25 plus fantasy point performances. That's number one in
3:06the NFL. More than Josh Allen, more than pretty much anyone. He's actually the QB2 in fantasy points per game since week 10 of last season behind only Josh
3:14Allen. That's why I was getting a little bit confused there to start off. So again, just saw the Cardinals get picked
3:20apart by Drew Lock and the Seahawks.
3:21Vegas has the 49ers scoring the third most points of this week. Brock Perie playing as good of football as pretty much any quarterback in the league. Got
3:28to love that late round price tag that you, a scholar, managed to get him with back in August. TB5, we're back. Patrick
3:35Mahomes, guys. I was so freaking impressed with that Sunday night performance. Maybe the Colts defense isn't going to wind up being very good.
3:41But just seeing Mahomes effortlessly be able to evade sacks. His mobility looks more than fine out there and actually hitting some deep balls again to Taekwon
3:49Thornton, man, I'm buying back in because one, it's Patrick Mahomes. And if there was going to be someone where we should just wake up and say, man,
3:57that dude who has been arguably the best quarterback in football for the past decade looks really good again. Let's believe it. We have that going for us.
4:05And also just the reality that guys, the Dolphins are horrible. Okay, going back to week one of last season, 28th in the
4:10EPA allowed per drop back. And man, dead ass last this season as a whole. Mahomes versus the Dolphins. Wheels up here.
4:17Let's go. Key question though for this tier, guys. What are the worst defenses we should be targeting after two weeks of football? I actually went ahead and
4:24pulled up this handy dandy graph. Shout out to my friends over at True Media. On the X-axis, we have their 2025 defensive
4:30EPA per dropback numbers. On the y-axis we have their numbers in 2026. So in the top right corner we have groups that
4:36were good last year and so far have been good this year. Patriots, Chiefs, Broncos, Rams, Seahawks, Vikings, and Steelers are standing out among that
4:44group. We also have some groups that have been better in 2026 than they were last year. Jets, Bengals, 49ers, and a
4:50little Steelers are kind of in the middle there as well. Now also have some groups that were better in 2025 than
4:55they were in 2026. Chargers, Texans, and Bills stand out there. For our purposes though, I really want to focus on the
5:01guys who suck last year and lo and behold, they suck again this year. And those are the Cowboys, the Commanders, the Dolphins, the Titans, and the
5:08Cardinals above all else. So again, small sample size. I get it. These things will continue to get better as the year goes on. But you're starting
5:16Lamar and Brock Pury anyway. Don't be surprised if Drew Lock or Sam Darnold if he manages to return, gets the good
5:21times going here against the Washington Commanders. Again, we're betting on the Patrick Mahomes comeback season trend continuing at least for this next week
5:28against the Dolphins. And as bad and horrific as Jameus Winston was on Monday Night Football. He does get the Titans in a couple decent games after that for
5:37however long Jackson Dart is going to be out. So, going to be talking about the streamers a little bit later, but yeah,
5:41at least for week three, looking pretty good for a bounceback from Jamus. Tier two, guys, we are starting these quarterbacks and feeling good about it.
5:48I got QB6 Trevor Lawrence against the Patriots. I'm not getting scared off because of one bad game literally in T Law's last like 10 or so. Going back to
5:56week 10 of last season, Trevor Lawrence is still the QB2 in fantasy points per game behind only Josh Allen. Hey, still
6:02talking about a baller here. It's a tier again. So, these guys are close. If you wanted to again move them around, I
6:08would not call you crazy or anything like that. For me, I'm giving Tall the go-ahad above these other guys because he has the fourth most fantasy points
6:15from rushing among any quarterback since week one of last season. QB7, I got Dak Prescott going up against the Ravens.
6:22Had some provocative home away stats for Dak Prescott. He has been a killer at at Jerry World over the years, but again,
6:28they're in Brazil. So, things that happen when you're trying to knock out some of this stuff on Monday night before getting everything going. But
6:35anyway, guys, Dak played so freaking well in week three. We heard the Tom Brady piss missile call heard around the world. I just think in this matchup,
6:43even though the Ravens have a good defense, highest game total of the week, Cowboys Ravens 52 and a half, this looks
6:48like an absolute shootout. And as we know in basketball and football alike, great offense usually finds a way to beat great defense. And I do think when
6:56Dak is clicking like he was last week and hopefully moving forward, he can do just that. Hey though, I've been yelling
7:02about the Ravens DST for a while, guys.
7:04I wouldn't be surprised at all if we actually see them released ahead of this week for good reason. All right, I don't
7:09want to start the Ravens against the Cowboys. If you do see the Ravens DST though on your waiver wire, they get the
7:14Titans, the Falcons, and the Browns over these next three weeks. Let's go QB8. I got Joe Burrow guys going up against the
7:21Steelers. Pretty miss mediocre, I should say, start the season here. 14.2 16.2 fantasy points per game. Now he's got a Steelers defense that again with TJ Wall
7:31and company could make stuff could make stuff tough around the line of scrimmage. Particularly with Burrow not moving around all that well, guys. Maybe
7:39it is the back injury. Maybe it's something else, but 28.6% of Joe Burrow's pressure dropbacks have actually turned to sacks this season.
7:47That's the worst marker of his career and ranks 30th among 33 qualified QBs.
7:51So, the Bengals offensive line being bad is kind of like this tired storyline at this point. Honestly, again, small sample, I think more of the blame is
7:59arguably on Joe Burrow for taking some of these sacks. Now, the context with this, and it's something that he's even talked about after that Super Bowl when
8:06he took so many sacks against the Rams.
8:08Burrow, for good reason, says that he's happy to hold on to the ball on a third down as long as he's not taking this
8:12team out of field goal range to give his guys more time to get open. If he takes a sack, who cares? You're kicking the
8:18field goal anyway. So, again, like anything, there's more context behind the numbers. But come on, Joey Burrow.
8:23Let's see a little bit more, man. TB9, I got Jared Goff against the New York Football Jets. And honestly, man, as I
8:29talk about this now, like, why are we giving Burrow the benefit over the golf?
8:34Even Dak over golf. This dude has been awesome. And I'm tired of pretending like he doesn't have any upside in fantasy football land. Since 2024, Jared
8:42Gooff now has 10 games with 25 plus fantasy points. The only quarterbacks with more are Josh Allen and Lamar freaking Jackson. Okay. No, he's not
8:50going to run the football. Yes, he's a threat to throw for 300 plus yards and three or three or more touchdowns in a
8:56given week. So, Jets defense has been actually okay this year, guys. I have a stat called Havoc. I didn't make it up.
9:02All right. I think I actually saw from Bill Connelly once upon a time. It's used more often in the uh college
9:07football streets. Shout out Bill. Love his work. But havoc is the percentage of plays in which a defense gets a pressure, tackle for a loss, force
9:14fumble, interception, or a pass breakup.
9:16Jets are fifth this year. Maybe some of that was just getting to again feast on the Titans and uh obviously the Packers
9:22lackluster offensive lines to start the year. It'll even out as things started going on with the season. But maybe with a pane switch to left tackle not exactly
9:32going the most smoothly through two weeks. Maybe this could be a situation where the Jets make it interesting against the Lions. Regardless though,
9:38Jarro Goff, Amra Leaporta, hopefully a rebounding soon. Jameson Williams and Jir Gibbs. Plenty of weapons. I think golf state QB10. I'm going Tyler Shuck
9:47against the Raiders guys. And honestly, if you wanted to go a little bit higher, even towards the top of this tier,
9:52wouldn't be the wildest thing in the world. Here's where it could get real interesting. Okay, since week 10 of last season, Tyler Shuck is averaging 19
9:59fantasy points per game, that's good for QB6 numbers. He has a chance though, if what we saw at the end of last week is
10:06real to get in that top five conversation. If we see the Saints say, you know what, Etchen Chimera Donaldson, Kendre, we appreciate you guys, but when
10:16we get to the one yard line, we're doing the tush push. We got a big young quarterback, youngish, you know, big
10:23quarterback and Tyler Shuck. It worked at the end of their Ravens game. We're going to become a tush push team. We
10:28only see Josh Allen and Jaylen Herz do that, guys. Trevor Lawrence had nine rushing touchdowns last year. He does the Jew Breeze jump over the pile thing
10:36sometimes. Burn them a few times. If Tyler Shuck all of a sudden is a threat to score like eight rushing touchdowns
10:42this year, oh boy, look out. Because he already leads the NFL in passing yards, and I get it. A lot of it is because
10:49we've seen the Saints trail so far and they've had to come back in the second half. But we don't get extra fantasy
10:54points for style points. Anyway, this Saints offense is second in drop back rate over expected. Shout out fantasy life. And also second in plays per
11:02minute. They're fast-paced, pass happy, and Tyler Shuck is making it work so far with really only one wide receiver and one pass catcher I should say as a whole
11:11that defense has to overly worry about with all due respect to Jawan Johnson and Devon. So QB10 for Tyler Shuck against the Raiders. I don't love the
11:19fact that he that they lost one of their starting tackles going up against Max Crosby and a Raiders defense that I
11:23mentioned that Havoc stat they're in third this year. So could be sneaky toughish matchups for the Lions or Saints, but Golf and Shuck playing some
11:31good football respectively. I'm leaning into it. Key question for this tier guys, what offense have most consistently pushed the easy buttons
11:38through two weeks? And again, this is pre- snap shift in motion as well as play action rate. we've just regularly seen over the years, the Rams, the
11:45Dolphins, especially in the heyday of the Mike McDaniel years, the 49ers, the Ben Johnson Bears, the Lions, all these teams that again we consider to be the
11:54smartest groups in the league. Very, very regularly rank inside the top 10, if not even the top five in pre- snap
11:59shift in motion and play action rates.
12:01So, got a handy dandy chart up here.
12:03Mentioned it last week, man. Zack Robinson is doing everything we could really be asking for in Tampa Bay. My god, Baker is missing a lot of throws
12:10out here, man. the amount of times that he's been targeting dudes deep downfield and still manages to overthrow them.
12:15Absolutely nauseating. So, I know Ted Hurst dropped a touchdown at the end of Regulation 2. You know, it's a team sport after all, but would really like
12:22to see more from Baker. I think he's got the talent and I think Zack Robinson so far is doing as good of a job as we
12:28could be asking for. Obviously, the Jimmies and Joe's are going to be more important. The ex's nose and I think that's what we're seeing here with the
12:33Chargers and also with the Dolphins as well. We will cry and talk about Justin Herbert here shortly. Um, yeah, still not exactly sure what Zack Taylor does
12:42for the Bengals. We've seen back-to-back preseasons now since he actively talk about and lean into more play action.
12:48Then the regular season comes around and they go back to being one of the least creative offenses in the NFL. But when
12:53you got Joe Burrow, Jamar Chase, T.
12:54Higgins still finds a way of working out. Yeah, guys, not loving this bottom lefth hand quadrant. Declan Doyle is one of the only new play callers that I
13:03think we can actively look at the first two weeks and say, "Good hire. I like this guy." But even then, maybe that's
13:09just Lamar Jackson being Lamar Jackson.
13:11That fact is not lost on me as well. But anyway, guys, Davis Webb with the Broncos, [sighs and gasps] Matt Naggie with the Giants, David Blau
13:19with the Commanders, they're all in this bottom lefthand corner. Man, that is not good. Todd Monkin's barely using any motion. A
13:26little more play action, which is fine.
13:28Brian Dable.
13:30Brian Dable's being Brian Dable. It's not as bad of shift in motion as we've seen in the past, but still bottom 10 in
13:36the league. Frank Reich's Jets aren't much better to uh Kevin Stfansky and Tommy Reese not looking too good with the Falcons and with Shawn Manion and
13:43the Eagles guys again bottom I think eight offense in terms of what we've seen from the Eagles in terms of passing
13:49and rushing success rate really has just been Jaylen Herz putting the team on his back here for extended stretches. So have not liked what I'm seeing out of
13:57this much at all. Also shout out to Brad Idzik for the Colts. I'm not not the Colts, I'm sorry, the Panthers. Have
14:03seen them take a nice step forward.
14:04We'll talk about Bryce Young in a second, but the two things I would call out here, the Bears and the Packers have
14:12rather inexplicably abandoned these portions of their offense. Okay, last season the Bears were 29th in pre-nap motion. I'm sorry, last year they were
14:21sixth. This year they're 29th. Last year they were second in play action rate.
14:24This year they're ninth. Packers, last season they were ninth and 14th in motion and play action. This year 24th and 26th. It's two weeks and if I had to
14:34guess, I think the play action stuff especially is maybe something that you just don't want to do as often against the Blitz happy Brian Flores led
14:41Vikings. Something to keep an eye on though moving forward because those again are two offenses that we have assumed and believe to be led by
14:48offensive masterminds. Not a great start to the season. Tier three, we have some questions. Starting off with Sad Packers quarterback Jordan Love, QB1 going up
14:56against the Falcons here on Thursday Night Football. a little bit of a step back in week two, but again, they're just having a lot of time protecting
15:02this dude at the moment. When you look at the Packers this year, we got the volume, fifth in drop back rate over
15:07expected, 11th in plays per game in regulation. Like those are great numbers. The problem is, guys, this offensive line is falling apart for our
15:15eyes. When we look at Jordan Love since he took over as a starter, the Packers have ranked in terms of average time to
15:21pressure allowed fifth, fifth, last year, 21st, and this year dead ass last.
15:27No quarterback has been under more consistent early pressure than Jordan Love. And accordingly, guys, it hasn't made for the most, you know, viewership
15:35pleasing version of this Packers offense. That said, Falcons are a defense who, while they have actually, I think, played better than you would have
15:42expected given all their losses in the front seven. Still is a defense I'm not overly scared about. We still got Christian Watson, Matthew Golden, Tucker
15:49Craft snaps her up. I do think Jordan Love still is enough to go ahead and post a low-end QB1 performance. QB12.
15:56I'm going Drake May, guys. And it was tough to even get him this high, honestly. It has been so bad this year.
16:01Back-to-back singledigit fantasy performances. He never had that happen last season. Even in the playoffs when things were going rough, we simply have
16:09not seen Drake May play this poorly. And now he's got a Jaguars defense that ranks inside the top 10 in both pressure
16:14rate and average time to pressure. So, absence of AJ Brown isn't helping matters. I'm giving the guys some respect. I don't think the Jaguars are
16:21an elite defense by any stretch of the imagination. maybe by some stretch of the imagination. I'm not trying to put him down. Just I wouldn't put him in the
16:29same Seahawks, Steelers, you know, Chargers, Broncos, Texans sort of tier that we've seen and been struggling with. Could be wrong, though. We'll see
16:36what happens. Here it is. QB13.
16:40Justin Herbert. It's so bad. It's so bad. Adjusted net yards per attempt. I know it's a lot of weird words. It's
16:48taking regular yards per attempt. It adds an extra weight for touchdowns, extra weight for interceptions, and it also removes sack yards. All right. So,
16:54it's just giving Yeah, you know, it's just a more complete version of yards per attempt. He is at 4.6 adjusted net
17:00yards per attempt right now, guys. I don't think he's 29th among 33 qualified quarterbacks. Cam Ward and Malik Willis are significantly better. Drake May is
17:09down there, too. He's at 3.3. Cooper Rush is at 0.9.
17:14I'm I hate Cooper Rush. I hate him personally. Maybe not personally. You guys know what I'm saying.
17:21I don't think Herbert's interceptions last week were his fault. The first one hitting Njoku in the chest. The second one was again down multiple scores under
17:28three minutes left. You got to kind of force things at that point. I am scared though people. This offense looks so
17:33disjointed how many footballs are on the ground last week. I would like to think even in a not so easy matchup against
17:40the Bills, we could see Josh Allen and company score a lot of points and Herbert and company have to keep up.
17:44Fantasy points back and forth shootout.
17:46Yay.
17:47I have no confidence in it right now though. If we see yet another dud from a man who I previously believed to be one
17:54of the better quarterbacks in the NFL, this QB13 mark's gonna look high this time next week. And better news, QB14 Bryce Young. I made a 121 second
18:04highlight clip of Bryce Young on Monday and it was one of my favorite parts of the week, guys. This dude is dealing
18:08right now. One of only three quarterbacks with north of 600 passing yards. Only Josh Allen has more fantasy points than Bryce Young at this point of
18:15the season. What a time to be alive. So whether again in sideline dimes with Tedo McMillan the 55 yard throw over the
18:22middle of Xavier Leggette was awesome or just being you know Houdini kind of using that superpower from his Bama days evading pressure in the pocket finding
18:29ways to get the ball out to open receivers. Bryce Young is playing some incredible football right now deserves all the love he's getting. I couldn't
18:36quite pull the trigger. I'm moving moving up over Drake May and Justin Herbert. One more week though I think we're going to be there. We'll talk more
18:44about Bryson a little bit here in terms of the best streamers to get you by some injuries, but yeah, Bryson Young top of
18:49the list. Spoiler alert there. QB15, I'm going Kyler Murray against the Buccaneers. Bucks are one of these passfunnel defenses, meaning teams don't
18:57like to run the ball as much because Vita is in the middle and it's really tough to do so. So, accordingly, we see
19:02the passing numbers against the Buccaneers inflated. Didn't love the very very brief intro from Kyler in week one, but man, it's still been an offense with Justin
19:12Jefferson looking good. We got Addison, we got Hawinson, we got KC calling things. Kyler Murray, QB15 kind of a hedge with him maybe still not being
19:20great like we saw last year and hopefully uh KC getting more out of him because this is a very talented number
19:26former number one overall pick after all. QB16, last one in the tier. I got Bicks going up against the Rams. man,
19:33not the best obviously starting the season in fantasy land, but certainly looked a lot better in week two when the Broncos got back to pu pushing this
19:39offense first and foremost through their guy Jaylen Waddles. So again, this is probably about the bar guys where I not even here. I would say after Jordan
19:48Love, maybe even after Tyler Shuck. There's 10 quarterbacks I feel really good about this week and then we get into situations. So tough match up against
19:58Aaron Donald led Rams. obviously saw them flex their muscles against Jameus Winston and company on Monday Night Football. Bon Knicks my QB16 for this
20:05week. Takes us to a good question though. Good question in my opinion cuz I came up with it. How have offenses
20:10performed relative to preseason Vegas expectations through two weeks? Again, in the preseason one, the exercises we did was we ranked every offense one
20:17through 32 in terms of what Vegas expecting them to finish, taking their game by-game scoring lines. So, as you guys can see in this chart, blue is
20:26good, red is bad. I use blue instead of green to help my colorblind friends out there. Shout out you guys. And yeah, on
20:32the left side we see teams that are vastly outperforming their preseason expectations so far in terms of their offensive points per game. On the right
20:39side towards the bottom, we see the teams that are not doing so. The most pleasantly surprising offenses this year have been the Panthers, the Raiders, the
20:46Saints, the Jets, and the Chiefs.
20:48Panthers in particular, guys expecting to be the 26th ranked offense going in this year, sitting pretty at number two through two weeks of action. Not exactly
20:57expecting the Raiders to be keeping on, keeping on. The Jets are more so here because they've been below average instead of absolute dog [ __ ] And the
21:04Chiefs, man, with the way Patrick Mahomes is looking, again, I am buying into that. So, I would say biggest story lines there would be Bryce Young and
21:10Tyler Shuck really playing some good football. On the other side of things, the guys who have been the most surprisingly bad offenses, we have the
21:18Rams, Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, and Packers. I'm not sweating the Bengals.
21:22Obviously had that tough Texans matchup.
21:24Packers and Chargers and Patriots are a little bit different. We talked about some of the offensive line problems going on there and in the case of Drake
21:31May and Justin Herbert quarterbacks simply not playing well enough. Rams particularly after what we saw even without Puka Nakua on Monday night. I
21:38think they'll be just fine.
21:40Tier four superflex only if you can help it. We got Matthew Stafford here, QB17.
21:44And it feels low, but it is in Denver.
21:46And when you look at the Broncos, guys, just three of 18 quarterbacks have scored 14 plus fantasy points in mile high since 2024. If we get Puka Nakua
21:56back in action, though, I'll probably move Stafford up a couple spots. QB18, I got Baker Mayfield going up against the Vikings, who ranked first in havoc rate
22:03this year. And face a quarterback in Baker Mayfield who's been a turnover machine, guys, since 2024. We are talking about the number one quarterback
22:11in fumbles. that's not particularly close and the number two quarterback in interceptions behind only Gino Smith.
22:16So, look, lot of fun to watch when it's third and 12 and he scramles and he lowers his shoulder and he finds a way
22:21to get the first down. That is awesome.
22:24And again, I mentioned that Ted Hurst should have come down with that one touchdown. If the Buccaneers don't fumble four times in week one, maybe
22:30they are sitting there at 2 and 0. But you know what? You can kind of do this exercise a play here, a play there for a
22:36lot of NFL teams. And right now, the Buccaneers simply haven't been making them. So, pretty bad version of Baker so far this year. I mean, 29th in EPA per
22:44drop back, guys. I know the turnovers are heavily influencing that. But again, that's part of the freaking Baker Mayfield experience at this point. Not
22:52feeling good about a rebound game this week. QB19, I got Malik Willis going up against the Chiefs. Can you imagine three weeks ago if I was like, "Hey
22:59guys, after 120 minutes of football, Malik Willis will rank right behind Joe Burrow in fantasy points." Be feeling pretty good, right? Not feeling too
23:08good. And honestly, it's just pretty lucky that he is even doing as well as he has. Hit a 77 yard touchdown to Ryan
23:14Miller, guys, at the end of the fourth quarter last week where the 49ers have backups in and they did not carry the
23:20wheel. Always carry the wheel, kids. But yeah, only two rush attempts last week.
23:26What are we doing, guys? You're making Malik Willis your quarterback. You paid him. He's your guy. You got to run him
23:32more than twice. You're just setting up your offense for failure. Not liking how this is going against Steve Spagnola.
23:37Honestly, as I talk this through, QB19 feels a little too high for Malik.
23:41QB20, I got Drew Lock going up against the Washington Commanders. Drew Lock gets the ball at JSN, and that's all you
23:47pretty much need because JSN is a god.
23:4964% of the Seahawks receiving yards have gone to JSN. Justin Jefferson's at 50% of the Vikings, nobody else is even at
23:5745%. So, this is such a one-man show. I know last year we were saying like well I mean this preseason actually we were
24:03saying like well JSN there should be some level of progression because how can one guy just be that much of the
24:08engine of your passing game again. So far it's happening once again.
24:12Commanders blitz happy 29th ranked defense and EPA allow for drop back.
24:16Wouldn't be surprised if JSN again goes off which means Drew Lock should probably put up a decent number of fantasy points. This would be about
24:23where I have Sam Darnold ranked as well.
24:25So how about that? Drew Lock and Sam Darnold same people. Gotta love 2026.
24:30QB22. I got Gino Smith here. Took four sacks last week. Just six yards per attempt. You know, anidally watching the game, I did not think he looked very
24:38good out there, but he gets a Lions defense that has probably looked worse through two weeks of the year. Still don't have their starting safeties, 31st
24:44in scoring right now. Certainly think they more closely resemble the Titans and the Packers and maybe could be a fantasy friendly shootout given
24:50everything we know about the Lions offense. So, key question for this tier, guys. I want to look at what offensive lines might be really, really bad. So
24:58top right in this chart for my YouTube audience. What's up guys? Appreciate you. Bills, Rams really standing out there. Also generally seeing some good
25:05things from the 49ers, the Buccaneers, the Bears, the Jets, and even the Commanders so far. Small sample, but fun seeing the Jets and Commanders there.
25:13Again, probably more so to do with their opponents than anything, but interesting nevertheless. The really bad group so far, Packers, Bengals, Colts, Seahawks,
25:22Giants, Saints, Chargers. Pick it up, fellas. Even the Chiefs aren't looking all that good, but Kenneth Walker and EMTT Johnson are so good. It simply
25:30hasn't really mattered. So, we'll see how these offensive lines continue to improve as the season goes on. So far, though, really would like to see more
25:36out of the Packers in particular. Guys, before we keep on going, I want to give a quick shout out to our friends over at
25:42Fantasy Genius because being in a long-term fantasy league isn't just about the competition, it's about the history. And Fantasy Genius keeps all
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25:54analytics tailored to your league. The possibilities are truly endless, guys.
25:57And one of the best features is the player history, which breaks down who has owned which player throughout the course of your league and how they've
26:03done on each team. Maybe your idiot friend Keith only drafted CMC in 2020, 2021, and 2024 and told the whole league
26:10he wasn't going to draft him otherwise because he would just get injured. Or maybe Mikey just can't stop drafting Marvin Harrison Jr. no matter what.
26:17Again, truly an endless display of possibilities here for leagues that deserve this s sort of personal touch.
26:23And I mean personal touch, guys, because Fancy Genius also has human written fancy writeups for your league. No more boring and generic AI generated recaps
26:31that nobody reads. If you want custom fantasy football analysis from colorful personalities, Fantasy Genius should be your go-to option. Head to
26:38fantasygenius.io, connect your league, and see what your history has to say. Again, use code rotoire for 20% off your first year.
26:46That's fancygenius.io code rotowire for 20% off. Shout out to our friends over at Fantasy Genius. All right, guys. Tier five here. I titled it
26:55yikes, but hey, any given Sunday, we got QB22 CJ Stout going up against the Colts. Third and passing yards this year. CJ Strad and he even left some on
27:04the table last week missing Jared Bruce Wayne and Xavier Hutcherson for potential touchdowns. Not too scared of this Colts defense, but please Nico
27:11Collins, do what you need to do to get healthy, my man. QB23 Deshawn Watson.
27:16Fancy QB13 through two weeks.
27:18Physically, he looks better than he has in years. Both from an arm strength, shoulder standpoint, and even the mobility.
27:25I could see him having a nice game against the Panthers. I could also see him going home, having a bad first half,
27:30getting booed, and us never watching him start another game. QB23 seems down the middle. QB24, I'm going Jacobe Brassette against the 49ers. Last week was
27:39horrible, guys. 3.4 yards per attempt from Jacobe. That is the lowest single game mark of the season for any quarterback with at least 25 pass
27:47attempts. And no one seems to care because we can instead laugh at Marvin Harrison Jr.'s lack of effort out there, which is not ideal. I'm not trying to
27:55excuse Marv. I know I got the Buckeye hat on. I will never beat those allegations. I get it. But I'm just
28:00saying this Cardinals offense is force feed the ball Trey McBride. And if that doesn't exactly work out, great.
28:07Everything else pretty much falls apart.
28:10Michael Flor, Nathaniel Hackit. Are we positive this is gonna go a good direction? Can we feed Jeremiah Love more touches than Tyler Alier? There's
28:20signs, guys. I don't think Jakobi Br's particularly good quarterback. He's a veteran journeyman objectively. There's some better matchups coming up. I know
28:27he's gotten there on garbage time volume in the past. I'm reluctant to go ahead and test those waters too too severely
28:33though this week against a healthy 49ers defense. QB25. I got Jameus Winston. I am embarrassed and will not tell you guys where I had him ranked immediately
28:43after the dart injury before I actually got to see what the rest of the game happened. I think it was like 15th or
28:49something like that. We saw it last year. He had the sweet Lions game. He caught the touchdown, hit that fun endzone dance, was going crazy in 2024.
28:56Four top 12 performances in the sevename stretch with the Browns in 2024. But man, did not look good Monday night at
29:03all. In fact, he looked horrible, guys.
29:05He looked like someone who spent the summer uh yeah doing the whole World Cup thing instead of you know getting better
29:10at football. That said, it's the Titans and the schedule even gets easier after that. As long as Jackson Dart is out,
29:17it's going to be Jamus. If we can get 80 90% of 2024, 2025, Jamus could still be enough to be a somewhat consistent QB2
29:26in Fantasy Land. QB26 Marcus Marota with Jaden Daniels out unfortunately facing the Seahawks who continue to look like a complete juggernaut out there. So, I'm
29:34excited about Mario Ta in the future.
29:36Not so much this week. QB27 Daniel Jones against the Texans has posted two of his three worst performances in adjusted yards per attempt to start this season.
29:44Now, know Alec Pierce to stretch the field. Darius Sllayton, Laquan Trebwell, Ashton Dulan, like these are the guys that we need to go ahead and try to
29:52convince defenses not to load the box. I am scared about this Colts offense.
29:56Hopefully enough targets to Josh DS and Tyler Warren to still be fine in fantasy land. Jonathan Taylor is a god. Can't be
30:02too excited about Daniel Jones for right now. Takes us to our last key question.
30:06Who are the best streaming options for the next few weeks? If you have Caleb Williams, Jaden Daniels, Jackson Dart, I am sorry for your loss, but pick
30:13yourself up. We still got fantasy matchups to try to win. Bryce Young would be the number one recommended streamer guy. Maybe not available in
30:19your leagues, I know. But hey, only 34% roster in ESPN and Yahoo. Overall QB2 and fantasy points. He gets the Browns
30:26and Lions before the Panthers week five buy. After Bryce, I'd look at CJ Shroud.
30:3029% roster in ESPN, 39% on Yahoo. Again, hopefully getting Nico Collins back. And then the matchups, guys, really do set up nicely. Colts, Cowboys, Titans,
30:40Jaguars, and Giants before their week eight buy. Straoud really again, if you need that extended leash, really could be your guy. Uh other other than that,
30:49teardrop and then I would go Gino Smith and Jacobe Brassette. I prefer Gino just ahead of Jacobe because we get the
30:55Lions, Bears, and Browns over the next three weeks. Jacobe, we got to deal with the niners and then we get the Giants
31:00and Lions. But again, we got to try to win week three. I do not think Jacobe is going to be that guy. And that is also
31:05kind of the issues with Jameus Winston and Marcus Mariota. With Jamus, hey, Titans, Cardinals, Commanders, and Saints, but that looked such like such a
31:13broken offense. His neighbors even going to be out there with the shoulder. I want to see Jameus in the year 2026 do
31:19good things again with my own two eyes before too fully uh buying into the experience. And then with Marcus Mariota, really tough one against the
31:25Seahawks. It does open up though in weeks four and five against the Colts and Giants. So Bryce Young, CJ Strad definitely in a tier of their own in
31:32terms of the top waiverwire ads. After that, Gino and Jacobe and then I would have Jameson and Mariota next. I lean
31:41Mariota over Jamish right now. And lastly, tier six guys, not good, in fact bad. QB28, Kirk Cousins, QB29, Michael Penn. But thank God, thank God no more
31:51Cooper Rush. Seriously brings a smile to my face. QB30 Tag Tyson Bean against the Eagles on Monday Night Football. QB31 we
31:58got Cam Ward and QB32 Aaron Rodgers. So we'll say shout Kirk Cousins backto-back games, three touchdown passes even without Brock Bowers. Just not exactly
32:07expecting the good times to keep on rolling. Obviously a zero in the rushing floor and the Saints are a defense that
32:13again deserves at least some respect.
32:15Maybe shouldn't be again too enthused with the defenses that Cousins has been taking on. But hey, playing well. I don't want to take anything away from
32:21the guy. One more good week and I'm going to be forced to move him up the ranks. Penn, you know, got a little bit
32:26of that Jameus Gan on him, but his first game coming off the knee on the road in Lambo on Thursday night. Not buying into
32:32that. Tag ranks 59th or worst in yards per attempt, passer rating, touchdown rate, and interception rate among 72 qualified quarterbacks since 2023. Tough
32:41matchup against the Eagles. Cam Ward, this is what sucks, guys. Cam Ward's still been really bad this year by any number. All right, that's just a fact.
32:49Every passing efficiency number that we use to try to quantify how they're playing says he's bad. And he was bad last year, but at least last year he was
32:56fun. Brian Dable has made Cam Ward not fun. 5.1 yard average target. 5 freaking one for this dude who has a howitzer for
33:06a right arm. Only Cooper rushes lower. I am sad. At least make him a fun bad.
33:11This is just sad at this point. And then QB2, Aaron Rogers, Dexter Lawrence and the Bengals, guys. Second in havoc rate.
33:17The Steelers offense looks broke. DK Metaf probably gonna get clamped up by DJ Turner this week. Not loving Aaron Rogers or the Steelers offense at this
33:25point in time. But I do hope you guys love the video. If you did, please like the video and hit that subscribe button.
33:30Always helps as well. Go be back with running backs here before too long as we continue to get through this fantasy
33:35football season. Hope your team is 2 and 0. If not though, America loves a comeback. So, let's get after it.
33:40Reminder, please don't tell anyone about this show ever. Even if there's a fire, we gota keep it between you and me and
33:47the handful of other people that are checking us out. Let's go win those fancy championship, everyone. So, appreciate you tuning in again. Until
33:52next time, take care everybody.
