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Yahoo Fantasy Forecast fantasy football takes on Travis Kelce
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from Yahoo Fantasy Forecast about Travis Kelce.
13
Insights
10
Positive
2
Negative
Insight ledger
All Yahoo Fantasy Forecast insights about Travis Kelce
NegativeProjectionSep 24, 2026
Kelce is not playing up to his contract right now, despite the contract's size. Matt Harmon expresses concern about his current production level relative to his financial commitment, suggesting drafters who took him early are disappointed with his performance so far.PositiveRoleSep 23, 2026
Kelce is receiving the bulk of short-area targets in Kansas City's offense, not Rasheed Rice. Matt Harmon notes Kelce is "a real starting tight end in fantasy football with some good upside, especially as Patrick Mahomes gets more integrated back in the offense." The Chiefs offense looks markedly different and more functional with Mahomes' return.PositiveRoleSep 23, 2026
Kelce has shifted into a dual-role target: he leads all pass catchers in short-area targets (5 or fewer air yards) with 8 through Week 2, but also receives explosive plays downfield. This represents a meaningful role change from prior seasons where he was primarily a possession receiver, now functioning as both a safety-valve option and vertical threat.PositiveBreakoutSep 23, 2026
Harmon admitted he did not anticipate Kelce's 2026 resurgence, initially viewing him as a late-round "get on base" option at tight end. The turnaround stems from improved fluidity and lighter weight this season, combined with increased short-area targeting and explosive plays. Kelce's 11.5 mph average route speed in 2026 is his best since 2022, suggesting genuine physical improvement rather than scheme-dependent uptick.PositiveProjectionSep 23, 2026
Matt Harmon ranked Kelce sixth among tight ends in his weekly rankings (behind McBride, Kincaid, Craft, Laporta, and Warren), but bumped him up a couple spots ahead of the Dolphins matchup due to Miami's brutal defense. Harmon noted this ranking "might be underselling" Kelce's current value.PositiveUsageSep 23, 2026
Kelce posted nearly 26% target share in Week 2 with 2.4 yards per route run and 66 yards after the catch; ranked seventh highest usage score among all wide receivers in Matt Harmon's Trinity model for the week. He has become the lead target getter in short-area passes (5 or fewer air yards), with 8 such targets through Week 2 compared to 4 per game in the 2024-2025 seasons combined.PositiveProjectionSep 23, 2026
Kelce is tracking toward a vintage 2022-caliber season. Through two games, he has 16 targets, 12 catches, 172 yards and one touchdown—nearly identical to his 2022 start (16 targets, 13 catches, 172 yards, one touchdown), which culminated in 110 catches, 1,338 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns. He is the engine of the Kansas City offense alongside Kenneth Walker, with 25.6% target share in week two, 2.4 yards per route run, 66 yards after the catch, and the seventh-highest usage score among all wide receivers and tight ends in the Trinity model.PositiveBreakoutSep 21, 2026
Kelce looks more explosive and is turning back the clock, recording more games with 60+ yards after the catch in the first two weeks of 2026 than in the entire 2024 and 2025 seasons combined.PositiveUsageSep 16, 2026
Matt Harmon notes that Travis Kelce was the only Chiefs receiver to reach league-average usage in Week 1, and he remains the preferred fantasy option in the Kansas City passing attack over the younger receivers.PositiveUsageSep 15, 2026
Travis Kelce recorded a 59-yard explosive play, showing he can still be a major factor. However, Matt Harmon notes that Kelce's fantasy value may face volatility in the Chiefs' new, more balanced, and slower-paced offensive system when he isn't breaking off long gains.PositiveProjectionSep 9, 2026
Ray Garvin notes that Travis Kelce finished as the TE52 in week one of 2018 but went on to be the TE1 for the remainder of the season, serving as a historical example of why week one results can be misleading for stars.NegativeValueSep 4, 2026
Matt Harmon uses Travis Kelce as a comparison point in a hypothetical roster construction, suggesting that taking him alongside an elite QB like Josh Allen is less optimal than waiting on the position.NegativeValueJul 30, 2026
Kelce was a top-six fantasy receiver on a per-game basis last year and top-15 at the position over his final 10 games even going back to his rookie season. Matt Harmon views him as a massive value in the current market because the Chiefs didn't bring in real competition to take away from him; as long as he and Mahomes are on the field, the upside is significant. The risk is off-field issues and injuries recurring, but Harmon is willing to take that risk from the third round onward given Kelce's ceiling at the position.