
Yahoo Fantasy Forecast
Yahoo fantasy football podcast
10 players with wrong ADPs

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Chris Olave is a really good player with an ADP of 27th overall and WR12 ranking. He was excellent last year and is a strong draft target. The New Orleans Saints were projected at 7.5 wins by BetMGM, but Matt Harmon believes the Saints are going to be better than an eight-win team and could win the NFC South division. Olave should be able to hold down his target total of 139 targets, making him an interesting value pick despite playing for a projected bad team.
Colson Loveland's ADP has risen to the back end of the third round, a significant move from earlier projections. While Loveland is expected to have a great season and is well-positioned, he should not be considered the number one tight end going forward. He had a great finish last year and is set up well for 2025, but he still needs to prove he can do it for a whole year. His ADP rise means he may no longer represent the value he once did.
Trey McBride had a transcendent fantasy tight end season last year, scoring more than 2 fantasy points per game—more than the next closest tight end. However, his elite production was elevated by Marvin Harrison being out in the second half of the season and Jacoby Brissett throwing the ball. With Marvin Harrison returning, McBride will still be really good but won't reach that elite level he showed when Harrison was sidelined. Matt Harmon considers McBride a fine pick but prefers Brock Bowers going forward, as Bowers has more potential for a transcendent season.
Gabe Nabers produced 1,300 yards from scrimmage and 10 touchdowns last year in a chaotic environment with a mid-season coordinator change, yet still delivered solid production. The improved offensive environment around him—new head coach Clint Kubiak and better quarterback play—means the environment around him is going to get better, making him a comfortable draft target in the top 20 alongside Brock Bowers.
Brock Bowers is the tight end one off the board at 17th overall ADP and has potential to be a true league winner and difference maker. As a rookie, he finished as the number two fantasy producer at tight end in fantasy points per game behind only George Kittle, and despite a mid-season injury, still finished as a top-four fantasy tight end in PPR. In half PPR, he's a great second-round pick; in full PPR, there's an argument for him at the end of the first round or beginning of the second round. The improved offensive environment—new head coach Clint Kubiak, competent veteran QB Kirk Cousins, and eventual franchise QB Fernando Mendoza—combined with a weak receiver core means Bowers will be the de facto number one receiver in the offense, similar to how Trey McBride was deployed last year. In PPR, only five running backs and three wide receivers averaged more fantasy points per game than Bowers last year. Matt Harmon believes Bowers could potentially exceed McBride's transcendent 2024 season.
Keon Coleman faces career viability questions entering year three of the 2024 WR draft class, with Matt Harmon and Rich Hribar asking 'Is it over for Xavier Legette and Keon Coleman?' in their deep dive analysis, reflecting concerns that the class has not met lofty expectations.
Jalen Coker is a 2024 WR draft class member receiving dedicated segment analysis from Matt Harmon and Rich Hribar on the Yahoo Fantasy Forecast deep dive covering what's gone right, wrong, and 2026 fantasy outlook for the class.
Ladd McConkey is a 2024 WR draft class member and subject of a dedicated segment in Matt Harmon and Rich Hribar's deep dive analysis on what's gone right, wrong, and what to expect for each WR in fantasy in 2026.
Xavier Worthy was a first-round pick in the 2024 WR draft class, which was hyped as exceptional, but entering year three the class has not met lofty expectations. Matt Harmon's deep dive analysis examines what's gone wrong with the 2024 WR class, with Worthy as a dedicated segment subject.
Xavier Legette was a first-round pick in the 2024 WR draft class, which was hyped as exceptional, but entering year three the class has not met lofty expectations. Matt Harmon's deep dive analysis poses the question 'Is it over for Xavier Legette' as part of the examination of what's gone wrong with the 2024 WR class.
Ricky Pearsall was a first-round pick in the 2024 WR draft class, which was hyped as exceptional, but entering year three the class has not met lofty expectations. Matt Harmon's deep dive analysis examines what's gone wrong with the 2024 WR class, with Pearsall as a dedicated segment subject.
Brian Thomas Jr. was a first-round pick in the 2024 WR draft class, which was hyped as exceptional, but entering year three the class has not met lofty expectations. Matt Harmon's deep dive analysis examines what's gone wrong with the 2024 WR class, with Thomas as a dedicated segment subject.
Rome Odunze was touted as a can't-miss prospect entering the 2024 draft class, but entering year three the class has not met lofty expectations. Matt Harmon's deep dive analysis examines what's gone wrong with the 2024 WR class, with Odunze as a dedicated segment subject.
Marvin Harrison Jr. was touted as a can't-miss prospect entering the 2024 draft class, but entering year three the class has not met lofty expectations. Matt Harmon's deep dive analysis examines what's gone wrong with the 2024 WR class, with Harrison as a dedicated segment subject.
Malik Nabers was touted as a can't-miss prospect entering the 2024 draft class, but entering year three the class has not met lofty expectations. Matt Harmon's deep dive analysis examines what's gone wrong with the 2024 WR class, with Nabers as a dedicated segment subject.
Scott Pianowski expresses skepticism about whether the Chiefs can bounce back to their dominant form, noting that the team has been a mediocre middle-of-the-pack offense for two straight years and the idea that Mahomes will just be the dominant player in the NFL is uncertain; he wants to see it before believing it.
Scott Pianowski believes Rasheed Rice, currently WR12, has not come down nearly enough in ADP despite multiple red flags: he failed a drug test and will serve jail time, had a recent cleanup procedure, we don't know how healthy he'll be on opening day, he's had trouble staying healthy the last few years, and the Chiefs offense has been mediocre middle-of-the-pack for two straight years. Pianowski sees Rice's floor as wrecking your season as a third-round pick with no real floor, only upside.
Matt Harmon believes Isaiah Likely, currently TE11 at 108th overall ADP, should be ranked a few spots higher. With Malik Neighbors potentially starting the year on PUP and the Giants' ambiguous wide receiver room, Likely is positioned to lead the team in targets, similar to how Tucker Craft was positioned last year before injury.
Matt Harmon notes that while Drake May got A.J. Brown and Dobbs as great additions, making the offense much better in pieces around him, his fade is purely market-based, not skill-based or scheme-based. The market is pricing him too high relative to similar production available at more affordable prices later.
Matt Harmon is intrigued by Johnston at his very late ADP, noting that his rookie year struggles are still held against him when he's improved beyond that. Harmon believes Johnston's improved play is undervalued in the market.
Scott Pianowski believes Herbert has MVP upside if things fall right with the Chargers' improved offensive line, new offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel, and fresh playbook. Currently consensus QB9, Pianowski sees him as a strong arbitrage play—you can get Herbert four or five rounds later than early-round QBs like Drake May and still get comparable or better production.
Brenton Strange is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
AJ Barner is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
Gunner Helm is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
Mark Andrews is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
Dallas Goedert is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
Kenyon Sadiq is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
Chig Okonkwo is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
Isaiah Likely is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
Dalton Kincaid is discussed as a candidate for 'This year's Tucker Kraft'—a tight end currently going outside the top 10 in drafts with potential to finish as a top-5 TE in 2026.
Tucker Kraft exemplifies the sleeper tight end archetype—a player drafted outside the top 10 at the position who finished as a top-5 fantasy TE in 2025, establishing the template for identifying similar breakout candidates in 2026.
When Mason had the opportunity by himself from week three to week seven last year, he was the RB16 in fantasy points per game, and he had his second-highest yardage total of the season with 94 yards on 14 carries in week 18.
Mason is a touchdown-or-bust profile with zero involvement in the passing game, making him a best-ball-only player who gives unusable fantasy lines in weeks without touchdowns.
Claiborne is a rookie who could potentially be used to alleviate Aaron Jones' workload with a couple of touches per game, though he has a lot of work to do outside of just running the football.
The Vikings have tried to extend Jones' role each of the last two years as he's gotten older, and he's picked up injuries as they put more on his plate, making him unreliable.
Jones is turning 32 in December and has dealt with six straight seasons of different injuries, including soft tissue issues, making him a tough bet despite often playing through injuries.
If Dobbins finally stays healthy for a full season, he would likely finish top 12-15 in fantasy and have a great year, though durability concerns make this outcome unlikely.
Coleman is going very late in drafts and is the preferred pick in the Broncos backfield because he was brought in to be the Dobbins replacement and offers more three-down versatility.
Coleman is a complete wild card with a high success rate, strong pass protection, no fumble issues, and receiving ability, offering the most complete three-down package of the three Broncos backs.
Harvey was one of the most inefficient backs in the NFL last year, ranking 42nd in yards per carry, 41st in success rate, and 47th in explosive run rate despite playing behind one of the best offensive lines.