Rookie heat check: Are we buying or selling preseason hype?

Harmon views Adam Randall only as a speculative backup to Derrick Henry, jokingly referring to him as a 'nepo pick' by the owner.

Matt Harmon has dropped Antonio Williams in his rankings, stating it does not look like he will be an impact player this year.

Matt Harmon and Hayden Winks express concern about Cade Klubnik potentially taking over the Jets' offense, noting that his reliance on RPOs and first-read throws could be problematic for Garrett Wilson's fantasy production.

Harmon notes that Douglas is a riser in his rankings and a player to watch for two-WR set snaps, citing a consistent positive drumbeat throughout the offseason.

Harmon is nervous about Carnell Tate's outlook, noting his ADP is dropping and he is concerned about the Titans' offense. He fears the team will rely on bubble screens and RPOs for Wan'Dale Robinson, which doesn't fit the vertical skill set of Tate.

Matt Harmon is actively moving Tate down his rankings due to concerns about the Giants' offensive environment and quarterback play. He views Tate as a player to avoid in drafts, preferring elite quarterbacks over him in rounds 6-7, and notes that he rarely ends up with Tate on his rosters given his WR35 ranking.

Matt Harmon views Carson Beck as a player with limited upside who serves as a 'keep the train on the tracks' type of quarterback. Harmon warns that if Beck starts, it would likely negatively impact the fantasy value of teammates like Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson.

Matt Harmon and Hayden Winks are high on Chris Bell, noting his impressive speed and size (225 lbs). Harmon has been drafting him in the 17th-18th round and believes he could be a productive player on the move, comparing his potential range of outcomes to players like Deebo Samuel and DJ Moore.

Matt Harmon has been charting Chris Godwin's routes and reports that the results are not looking great, suggesting a potential decline or lack of impact.

Harmon is 'way ahead of market' on Cyrus Allen in dynasty and likes him in redraft as a late-round dart throw. He notes Allen is trending toward being a three-wide-receiver set starter and has been 'lighting everybody up' in camp.

Harmon is very high on Stribbling, ranking him as his WR42 and suggesting he is a priority late-round sleeper. He praises Stribbling's route running, release moves, and ability to beat man coverage, noting that he is a better prospect than Quentin Johnston and should be drafted once Johnston is off the board.

Harmon advises a heat check on Boston, noting that while he is a talented contested-catch receiver, he is likely the third or fourth option on a poor offense. He expects Boston to flash on tape but struggle to maintain consistent fantasy relevance compared to players like Concepcion who have easier paths to targets.

Harmon identifies Emmett Johnson as the most likely RB2 in Kansas City and his favorite waiver wire target among the deep-league rookie group. He notes the coaching staff and broadcasters love him, and he could see sacrificial touches to keep Kenneth Walker fresh.

Matt Harmon and Hayden Winks believe Mendoza should be the Week 1 starter. While they expect Kirk Cousins to hold the job initially, they anticipate Mendoza taking over by October or November. Mendoza is noted for his mobility and ability to execute layered throws, making him a potential waiver wire add or superflex consideration.

Matt Harmon projects a 28% target share for Garrett Wilson, noting that he can be a productive 'grind-out' wide receiver even with Geno Smith, though he expresses concern about the impact of a potential quarterback change to Cade Klubnik.

Hayden Winks notes that Jadarian Price has shown improved pass-catching ability in training camp, though pass protection remains a weakness. His fantasy outlook is heavily tied to Zach Charbonnet's recovery from February 20th ACL surgery; if Charbonnet starts the season on the PUP list, Price could see significant volume. Winks currently has Price ranked exactly at his ADP (RB26, 68th overall) and lacks a strong conviction to move him up or down.

Matt Harmon and Hayden Winks agree that Jeremiah Love is being significantly undervalued at his current 27th-overall ADP in Yahoo leagues. Harmon argues that Love looked like an elite prospect on tape and in preseason, out-snapping Tyler Allgeier at a 75-25 or 80-20 rate. Despite concerns about the Cardinals' offense, Harmon believes it will be competent enough for Love to showcase his explosiveness, making him an auto-click in the third or fourth round.

Hayden Winks views Jonah Coleman as a solid, scheme-fit player who does nothing wrong but lacks the elite explosiveness to be a high-ceiling fantasy asset. Winks expresses skepticism about Coleman's path to a top-20 finish even if J.K. Dobbins misses time, suggesting he is more likely to be a touchdown-dependent flex option. Harmon agrees that Coleman is a late-round target but warns he should be one of the first players dropped if Dobbins remains healthy early in the season.

Harmon advises against drafting Jordan Tyson at his 92nd overall ADP due to recurring hamstring injuries and a projected return timeline of week nine. He suggests that taking him is essentially taking a zero for the first half of the season.

Harmon highlights Katron Allen as his favorite prospect among the deep-rookie group, noting he is battling for the RB3 role in Washington and resides in an ambiguous backfield that could eventually lead to him becoming a starter.

Matt Harmon advises against drafting any rookie tight ends, specifically calling Kenyon Sadiq a 'nebulous' move tight end and suggesting that drafting him at his current ADP is equivalent to lighting a pick on fire.

Hayden Winks notes that Kirk Cousins looked sharp in the preseason and knows the offense well, but he is expected to eventually be replaced by the rookie quarterback.

Harmon views Lemon as a bench-upside WR4 who could see increased usage as the season progresses. While Dontavian Wicks may start in two-WR sets, Lemon has the potential to emerge if Wicks struggles, with Harmon noting that if Lemon develops into a player like DeVonta Smith, it would be a massive win.

Harmon identifies Fields as a player with a clear path to snaps in two-WR sets for the Giants. He views Fields as a more interesting fantasy option than Darius Slayton or Darnell Mooney because he fills a specific need for a physical receiver who can win over the middle and block.

Matt Harmon highlights Fields' downfield ability, go-route proficiency, and improvisational skills. Harmon considers him underrated in the rookie class and notes he is likely to beat out Darius Slayton for a starting role.

Hayden Winks is high on Mike Washington Jr., citing his unreal explosiveness and rare athleticism, which compares favorably to Adrian Peterson. Winks believes Washington will eat into Ashton Genty's snaps and projects him for roughly 84 touches. If both starters were to miss time, Winks would prioritize Washington over Jonah Coleman as a waiver wire pickup, noting that Washington's scheme and talent profile make him a high-upside stash.

Matt Harmon ranks Washington in the same territory as other late-round running backs and suggests taking a shot on him at the end of drafts. He views Washington as a high-end waiver wire pickup if anything happens to Gentry, noting his elite athleticism comparable to Adrian Peterson.

Harmon is not interested in Nicholas Singleton, citing poor pass protection in the preseason and a lack of confidence in his talent. He also notes that Singleton lost his job to Katron Allen in college.

Matt Harmon and Hayden Winks express significant concern regarding Omar Cooper Jr.'s development, noting he appears heavy and struggles to get on the field. Harmon compares his potential floor to Khalil Shakir but warns that his ceiling is problematic.