0:00Big show for you here today. It is our midweek show with Nate Tice.
0:04We've got a ton to get into here. It's a big show.
0:07We've got some news to break off the top.
0:09A few players heading to injured reserve. Jordan Mason, DeJong Stribling reported going to IR here.
0:14Then we go team by team and decide, are these Week 1 revelations true or are they lies?
0:19Or which one is more true? Is it time to admit that we underestimated what the Jets' offense can be?
0:24The Ravens' Big 3, are they going to be the best in fantasy at each position?
0:28Is Bucky Irving back? Can Bryce Young finally support multiple fantasy starters?
0:32We also have our flex players to consider for this week and a Thursday Night Football preview.
0:36Like I said, this one's a big show. All right, so let's get going here.
0:40All that and more come up on today's show.
0:43Let's get into it. What's going on, everyone? I'm Matt Harmon.
0:46Welcome to the Yahoo Fantasy Forecast. It is a hell of a day to talk ball.
0:50And joining me to do just that is my guy showing us off a little bit of board games on the other
0:56side of this call here during the pre-show chat.
0:58It is our very own Nate Tice. Nate, what's going on, buddy?
1:02Not too much. Yeah, fired up. Always fired up when I get a new game.
1:06I think the last game I ever showed you was a game called Comic Hunter, which is now available at Barnes & Noble, if you're interested.
1:13But no, the game that I just got, it's called Aqua Garden, which I kick-started, which is a big thing in board game land.
1:19It kick-started like several years ago and it finally came.
1:22So pretty fired up about Aqua Garden, but also fired up for another show with you, Matt Harmon.
1:27Oh man, Nate, you're an interesting guy, bro. Kick-starting board games and whatnot.
1:30Hey, we've, okay. It's, it's, you know, I, I'm a psycho competitor and I like puzzles.
1:35So it's my way to scratch those itches, you know, just like, Hey, a little puzzle, a little competition without being kind
1:41of like over the top with it. Kind of, sort of.
1:43I should show you my closet one day of board games.
1:46It's, it's kind of sad. Yeah. I would love to see that.
1:50Listen, we've all got our things. Okay. That's a, that's what we are here.
1:53We've all got our things that we are obsessed about.
1:56What we are obsessed about besides board games though, football.
1:59Okay. Especially trying to dissolve football, the puzzle that is the NFL, Nate.
2:02And that is what we're going to be doing on today's show.
2:06Yes, I am a professional. We're going to be looking at every single team in the NFL, a quick look via the
2:12matchups this week to try to figure out if what we saw in week one was a truth or a lie.
2:17That's what we're going to be doing on today's show.
2:20We also will have our first flex fit check where we'll look at some players that are considered, you know, in the
2:26flex borderline, you know, see if they're start worthy here in week two.
2:29Then we'll finish it up with a Thursday night preview and Nate, we got a banger ahead for Thursday night preview today
2:35to really interesting teams to talk about. But before we do that, should we just take a quick moment of silence for the preseason hero?
2:42The one and only Dajon Stribbling underwent ankle surgery Wednesday.
2:45He is expected to miss 10 weeks. According to head coach, Kyle Shanahan, we also got some bad injury news out of Minnesota.
2:51Jordan Mason is on IR did not see that one coming.
2:54And Joe Burrows like, will he won't he practice today?
2:57I mean, Nate, we're fully back in the thick of the preseason, the real regular season.
3:01But man, what a shout out to our preseason wonder kid.
3:04Dajon Stribbling now going to miss 10 weeks. The Niners just can't catch a break.
3:08And it felt like it was like his first route of the game in Australia.
3:12And it is it felt like he bent his ankle.
3:15So I even noticed that right away. Thought it might be like, all right, our favorite, our favorite injury of the year, the high ankle sprain.
3:22So I thought it was going to be one of those.
3:25But it was no, it was just it's obviously something worse, probably ligaments or something of that sort if it needs surgery.
3:31So, yeah, real a real bummer, because I thought like he was such a smart player that could be whether fantasy impact or not.
3:37I loved having shares of him of just what I could saw in the preseason and with the makeup of the 49ers is right now.
3:44But real bummer. Still fine with him with Dynasty.
3:46I know we focus on Dynasty here. I think there's going to have plenty of opportunities in the future of what he
3:52showed and what his role should be, because at the very least, he can be a guy that's out there on the
3:58field a lot as a blocker underneath guy, kind of just contribute in a lot of ways.
4:03But real, real bummer. And like you said, the Burrow thing, he took a hit against Alex Anzalone on the shoulder on third and six.
4:10I thought that's what it was. Then he had a QB sneak and Bengals fans are all over this as they usually are.
4:16And he took a QB sneak and you seem wincing because he got his back bent.
4:20And as someone that has done those, that sucks.
4:23I've done QB sneaks and that really hurts when you get bent back like that.
4:27So interesting to note, because as much as everybody likes Burrow, including myself and watching him play, injuries are a thing with him.
4:33And it's been a thing with him from college onwards and now rookie year.
4:37So just another one, back tightness, back soreness, but back tightness and not throwing is way different than back tightness and still questionable on the thing.
4:44That's a little interesting that he wasn't really throwing today, at least from earlier ports in practice.
4:48Totally. It's just really, really interesting to figure out what's going on with the Burrow injury part.
4:53But we'll talk about that team. We'll talk about that game overall.
4:56I do want to double back to Stribbling too.
4:59You mentioned Dynasty. He is a tough player now to figure out from a Dynasty standpoint.
5:03I do agree with your point. It's like, OK, long term, he should be fine.
5:07But he was a little bit of a... Again, when I'm talking about what to do with him in Dynasty, I'm thinking
5:13about from a market standpoint, because he was a player that a lot of Dynasty evaluators who just go based off data
5:19didn't really like Stribbling as a prospect because he wasn't this guy that checked all those boxes from a statistical standpoint.
5:25I think those of us who watched him, especially that final season at Ole Miss, me, you, obviously the San Francisco 49ers
5:30and according to the Insiders, basically every other coach in the NFL.
5:34We all really liked what we saw about Stribbling, but that sort of made him a polarizing player anyways.
5:39Now, missing 10 weeks, ultimately this could just be a total wash of a rookie season.
5:43He comes back in 10, freaking 10 weeks from now.
5:46I mean, I can barely contemplate what's going to be happening in October, much less 10 weeks from now.
5:51Is he going to be really ready to rock for a team that hopes to be pushing for the playoffs?
5:56We'll see. Just makes like, again, a really difficult evaluation for Stribbling right now from a Dynasty standpoint, Nate.
6:02And yeah, and also, yeah, Dynasty standpoint. And this is what I'm weary of.
6:05You know, I'm a big fan of buying the dip on players and try.
6:09I mean, everybody is. That's the whole point of this.
6:12But really trying to kind of go zag when everybody's really low on somebody, whether it's circumstances, whether it's injury.
6:17But I'm weary of giving up like, if I wanted to like, maybe, hey, ask the owner, like, hey, do you want to trade?
6:24You want to use something like that? Yeah. I'm weary of giving up like next year's draft picks because next year's draft is loaded.
6:30It should potentially be loaded with guys that would push Stribbling to his third round as opposed to where he went to early second.
6:37There's a lot of talent at every skill position.
6:39Not just quarterbacks get the headlines, but running back tight end receiver.
6:42It looked like we know NIL, all that stuff, but looks like it's loaded, like absolutely loaded of a class.
6:48So again, if you are going to try to buy a dip with him, it might be more of a player swap,
6:54a Trojan horse kind of thing, whatever you want to call it, as opposed to giving up those picks unless you can
7:00really buy low, low, low, like fourth rounders, all that stuff.
7:03But I would just say just be weary of that right now, especially where he ended up going as rookie drafts went along.
7:09And I will say, just keep an eye on him for waiver ads late in the year.
7:13Like, you know, you don't know the health of Mike Evans, George Kittle with his Achilles.
7:18Debo Samuel is going to be an ebb and flow guy.
7:21So just keep an eye on that. Just keep them in the back of your mind when it's like, okay, maybe in week 12.
7:27And it's like, hey, I got that waiver stash at the very end for a playoff push.
7:32So I would just say that for redraft leagues as well.
7:35That's fair. I hope you're right about that because man, I do just worry about missing 10 weeks of your rookie season.
7:41And, you know, if you fall behind and the whole deal, but you're right.
7:44He's a smart player. It sounded like you picked things up quickly in the off season.
7:49Hopefully we can see him really make a big moment in the late season push.
7:53Cause yeah, I mean, it's crazy that we thought, Ooh, three wide receiver set of, uh, you know, Mike Evans and X
7:59receiver, Ricky Pearsall moving around as the vertical Z.
8:01And if alternating into the slot with scribbling, who can be like a big Z slot players in his own right.
8:07And now it's like, well, let's hope Mike Evans stays healthy.
8:10We're back to the Debo Samuel and Demarcus Robinson show in the three receiver set for the San Francisco 49ers.
8:15Yeah. Robinson is a guy that if you're absolutely like a sick freak, you play in one of those deeper formats.
8:21He's somebody to maybe stick at the end of your bench at this point.
8:25Um, you know, dolphins this week, like he's someone to at least keep an eye on.
8:29But, um, with that, let's get into our fantasy truth and lies here, Nate.
8:33Uh, these are things that have, you know, maybe been said or percolating in the fantasy community that we got to determine
8:39if they are truth or lies after week one.
8:41Again, we're going to go game by game here and we will be very disciplined in this.
8:46And what the way we're going to do it is, uh, you know, call producer, Colin, the great, great producer, Colin came
8:52up with a wonderful concept on the show today.
8:54I'll give him some credit for this one. Uh, and he wrote all of these lines here.
8:59We're going to decide which of them is more true after week one.
9:02So we're really only going to focus on one storyline for each game.
9:06So with that, let's get to the first game we've got here, which is Packers at jets are Packers truth.
9:11The Packers passing game will be great in fantasy.
9:14Not so much in the running game. Our jets truth, according to producer Colin is we underestimated the talent and the ability of this jets offense.
9:21Nate, which of the two do you think is more true coming out of week one?
9:25Uh, the Packers passing in would be great in fantasy, but more of the running game.
9:29Not so much is more of the heavy truth of that one.
9:33I think. And that's because I don't think I underestimate quite what the jets offense could be, but we can get to that.
9:39But really the Packers thing, and I think this is going to be an issue for a while because they're figuring out their offensive line.
9:46They have injuries there. They're talking about rotating guys to figure out who their best five is.
9:50Not what you want to hear. Especially with the run game that usually requires cohesion, requires time together.
9:55And especially in that offensive system, that's going to do that.
9:58And on top of it, Marshall and Lloyd is a hit miss type of player.
10:02And even Brooks right now is more of a protection back in a fine runner.
10:06I mean, if you want to give a great example, watch two first two runs that the Packers called against the Vikings.
10:12First one, he runs it right. They repeat the exact same play call on the next play.
10:17And he cuts it back for no reason and gets like a couple of yards where he should have been for 15.
10:23So it's one of those where it's like, it's Caleb Johnson get an opportunity.
10:26But this is really one of those situations I look at that that's exactly what I expected.
10:31And when I watched him against the Vikings, I was like, yeah, of course they weren't able to burn clock or sustain drives.
10:37And they lived and died on explosives. And also it's just a credit to Jordan Love and what I think Christian Watson
10:43looks like now and really what Tucker Craft and Matthew Golden look like as well.
10:47So that's, that's still a heavy truth for me.
10:50I think that is the one that is more true here, especially in the spirit of the way the questions are written.
10:56Uh, I am definitely buying into the, the passing game for fantasy football for the Packers talked about that on yesterday's show
11:01with Ray, uh, where Nate, do you remember in, uh, the March, uh, show maybe March, February, the show that you and
11:07I did about the, uh, the coaches show where I talked about my pace score and my static score spreadsheet.
11:13Uh, well your boy here, speaking of, you know, some of our intricacies and tendencies and things that we hyper fixate on,
11:19uh, I spent all yes, not all yesterday, but between watching film, uh, building a week to week spreadsheet of static score
11:25and pace score, like a full dashboard of it.
11:27So, um, I can keep, keep track on how these things are going on a weekly basis.
11:32We're going to integrate that into the show here at some point producers.
11:35That's a note for me. We'll, we'll, we'll, we'll talk about that off the air, but this is why we're Packers, this is why we're friends.
11:42The Packers went from, uh, 20, 25th in my pace score last year to second in week one.
11:47And again, that was a continuation of something you and I talked about in the preseason that they were going to play faster.
11:53They were going to play with more pace. I think that's a big reason why the passing game will be better, but
11:59on the jet side of things, again, they were the team that were one of the biggest shifts in terms of how
12:05they were schematically from this year to last year, especially in that static score metric that I mentioned, they were 28th last season, 11th this year.
12:12And again, that's blend of plays, heavy personnel, under center play action, uh, motion, all those fun little bells and whistles.
12:18We love from NFL offenses right now. I think the jets just, I know we won't do this for every single team
12:24talk about both of them, but I did want to get this takeoff about the jets.
12:28I was really impressed with how the offense looked, uh, function wise and the way it looked schematically, which I think again,
12:34talent wise, we knew they had talented players. It was just what's Frank Wright going to do.
12:39What's it going to look like? Again, it's one week, but it looked pretty good in week one.
12:44I was very impressed. And yes, Titans caveat. They have to have that, but I thought the old line looked great.
12:49I thought their play style was, uh, it's very run.
12:52Um, I would say run heavy, but run friendly.
12:54So I think Brees Hall and Braylon Allen, um, they both looked really good in that run scheme.
12:59Uh, I thought the use of tight ends was great.
13:02I really do think Mason Taylor has developed into a great overall player, but then you see Kenyon Sadiq and use in such creative ways as well.
13:09So no, I, I was the idea of it.
13:12Like that's the thing that I got burned by the jets last year.
13:15I was like, Hey, they might be a little bit sneakily better than you would think.
13:20And then this year it's like, Oh, here it actually is.
13:22Geno Smith looks confident because the old line's pretty good right now and giving him nice pockets.
13:27Uh, so, you know, whether it's Garrett Wilson or little AD Mitchell, Omar Cooper's banged up or whether it's the tight ends,
13:33like Geno actually is kind of a lot more valid.
13:36I would say in fantasy sense, and really just everyone at this jet.
13:39So like, this is not a lost cause. This is not like having quinch on Jenkins where you're just like, hopefully they get one positive game script.
13:47Like these, this team's going to be in a lot of games.
13:50They're not perfect. They're not amazing, but it's a lot more relevant and a lot more like competent.
13:55I should say just overall, the entire operation. Last thing I actually had, do you have one little speed?
14:00I had this note anyways, about the Packers. Um, they ran plays and this is outside of two minutes to each half.
14:06So it's not two minute drill. The Packers did run plays at six seconds faster than they did last year.
14:11Yep. Um, last year is about 32.8. This, this week it was 30, 26.7 and that that's within the normal game flow.
14:17So exactly what you're saying, like I attest in your numbers and just my numbers that I look at as well.
14:23A hundred percent. Yeah. Um, big excitement for that one in particular.
14:26Okay. Saints at Ravens. Next one up here are two potential truths on the saints side.
14:30Travis H and might be a fantasy bust after the usage in week one Ravens.
14:34The Ravens big three could be the best in fantasy at each of their positions.
14:38Again, that's Lamar Henry and Zay flowers. Which one do you think is more true coming out of week one?
14:44Ravens big three more true. And that, you know, we can talk about a Chan, but no Ravens big three.
14:49I'm big believer in this Ravens offense already. Big believer.
14:52Zay flowers hamstring. We got to get healthy. I think he's gonna be fine, but yeah, I think your call about receiving
14:58leader for Zay flowers is a great, great, great hot prediction that you had.
15:02Like there is this offense is gonna be super explosive.
15:04Lamar looks so comfortable. Yes. It's week one and the Colts defense.
15:08I don't think it's gonna be all that, but the designs were awesome.
15:11The run game looked great. Everybody knew what they were doing.
15:14There's a variety of personnel formations. I'm all in on this Ravens offense right now.
15:18So yeah, that is more true to me that I think Lamar, Derek Henry, and Zay flowers are all systems go.
15:24Yeah. Those three are just going to be awesome this year.
15:27You can tell Declan Doyle calls plays like he thinks these three guys are awesome.
15:31Cause you know what? They are. They're all. Yes.
15:33Like, Oh, I love calling plays for you. Right.
15:36I love calling plays for you. It's like, I bet you do.
15:39I bet you do, buddy. Why not, man? Yeah.
15:41And obviously Zay flowers has to get healthy, you know?
15:44And I think you called plays like, again, put these like motions in shape for Zay flowers, getting him routes out of the backfield.
15:51This is what you do when you think a guy is a superstar.
15:54Okay. Yes. And you saw that in week one for Zay flowers.
15:57As long as he's healthy, he's going to go crazy.
16:00Jacoby lane is going to miss a bunch of time.
16:03Now, unfortunately that definitely eats into their receiver depth.
16:05Like they got to get Devonta's Walker healthy. They got to maybe get Elijah to rot some game time, no comments on Rashad Bateman.
16:12And then we'll move along from there. But yeah, no, I think Henry's going to go down as a great pick.
16:17Lamar is going to be a great pick. Zay flower is going to be a great pick when he's healthy just quickly
16:23on Travis H and just my one liner here.
16:26I think the saints think more of their running back depth than we think of their running back depth.
16:31I think they like, like this is a new coach tap.
16:34They like Kendra Miller. I think they like the Donaldson, the, the rookie that they have there.
16:38So I know that we keep coming back to the contract, but I'm, I wouldn't say fantasy bust, but I certainly can
16:44see scenarios where if that rotation continues, Nate, he would be like a, certainly a small loss player is around for type of selection.
16:51Yeah. More like, yeah. Famous see limitations. I think too.
16:54And also a chance not very good in protection.
16:56And I think that's what they're having some issues with right now.
16:59I'm only a little bit through back watching that game, all 22 wise, and they were so sloppy in the first.
17:05Oh my goodness. That's why I waited, but there was so sloppy in the first half.
17:09And then I, I, you know, they honed in on the second half, the lines defense.
17:14I, the back end, I don't think is all of that anyways, but they will bring some funk.
17:18And I think that's a little bit too, is they don't trust him.
17:22And not, and no real coaching staff has with him.
17:25So they're going to be kind of game script dependent or he is going to be game script dependent.
17:30And like you said, Miller looked good. Um, I've never been the biggest Miller guy.
17:34I always try to make Devin Neal thing, but he can't stay healthy.
17:37And that's why he's not on the team anymore.
17:40But no, I, I think Miller is going to have always a decent amount of snaps, um, that it's not just gonna
17:46be a chance show the entire, you know, for every single game.
17:49So I think he's more of a boom bust player than really you would expect.
17:53Alvin Kamara, not, uh, in the mix yet either.
17:55So he's going to be a role player for this team in some way, at least you would think.
18:01Okay. Next one up here. Eagles at Titans are two truths.
18:04This Eagles offensive line could take every player down a notch in fantasy football or the Titans.
18:08This is, this is the Tennessee Titanic, AKA time to jump ship.
18:11Well done on the writing on that one. Uh, which one do you think is more true coming out of week one?
18:17Oh, I mean, these are pretty both for me.
18:20Um, I, I, I mean, the Titans one is kind of time to jump ship.
18:24I was, I lean into that one more. I think the Eagles figure out their version of this Landon Dickerson admitted that, you know, I was not healthy.
18:31I try to get through it all that, which it was like, that takes a lot from a guy.
18:36He's tough as all get out, but he was such a weakness in week one that it was, it was so shocking.
18:42Like, cause I knew he had play had fallen off, but he was like outright, the worst player and he was hurt.
18:48So it makes sense. Um, but no, more of the Titans that was so, I am so down on them.
18:54I am so down on their operation. It's not like a, a play caller that's young and figuring it out.
18:59That's a coach. That's called a lot of ball plays and they were sloppy.
19:03I tweeted a play out. They had two guys running into each other on the same route.
19:08They had another two guys running into each other, uh, trying to do a pick and they botched a protection on a third down.
19:14It was like, all right, what is working for you guys?
19:17Um, so yeah, that I'm way down on the Titans right now.
19:20I, even their defense, I'm a little bit down on, which I thought could be a sneaky, decent unit so far this year.
19:26Oh man. Yeah. Yeah. It's, it's, it's, it's just so bad for the Titans.
19:30I think this is the right one. The one that is again, in the spirit of the exercise, more true is that we're going to, yeah.
19:37Like this, this is definitely more true. And I just don't really know where they go from here.
19:42I know it's week one. I feel so bleak to say that, but I just don't really know what I can hang
19:48my hat on with this team right now. Hopefully it turns around.
19:51We'll see about that. Yeah. Eagles offensive line wise.
19:54I think actually getting Landon Dickerson out of there might help a little bit, but I'm more, I'm more concerned about the
20:00run game than the past game right now for the Eagles, which is weird to say, uh, but they got to get that sorted out.
20:06And, you know, listen, you lose like a hall of fame level run game coordinator.
20:10Things might not be so easy on the offensive line.
20:13So, uh, you know, there, there, there might've been some warning signs on that one.
20:17Okay. Next one up here. Oh yeah. Go ahead.
20:20Go ahead. You have something to add there. Oh no.
20:22I was going to say like early downs, the, the Eagles.
20:25So first and second down, they averaged, they had a 28% success rate against the commanders defense, which did look improved.
20:31The D I will say commanders defense did look improved, but not that much improved like that.
20:36Like that, they averaged three yards per run. Um, 78 of Saquon Barkley's 83 yards came after contact, uh, the passing game
20:42wise, uh, four, two out of five plays either resulted in a sack scramble or an explosive play.
20:46So the past game is going to be very boom bust.
20:49And the run game is just the floor is so much lower than I think people realize with that run game, which has deteriorated over the years.
20:57But even week one, it was just like, it was a nothing burger when they finished with a 28% success rate was Saquon Barkley back there.
21:04Would you consider like getting off Saquon Barkley just on name value right, right now?
21:08Like how, what is your level of panic on the, on the Eagles?
21:11It's not like full bone panic, but if you can find a fun trade for him, like I would dangle him out there.
21:18Um, cause I, it's just, I don't trust the operation right now and it's not, it, I really don't, they might figure
21:23it out, but right now how it looked week one, even their best plays.
21:27I thought Jalen hurts had two really good throws in the red zone, um, on those two touchdowns, but even the big
21:33plays that came out, the Dallas got her one was just the commanders were just weren't ready because they thought it was a false start.
21:40And the other one was the deep ball of Don Tavian wicks, which was a play that hurts.
21:45Actually sure to throw it to Goddard and the DB for the commanders, like, wasn't expecting, he was just like kind of
21:51looking around and the ball gets there. So again, yeah, it's week one.
21:54You don't want to extrapolate too much, but I did have some concerns about how the whole operation looked.
21:59And it's like, now you're losing what used to be a pro bowl left guard.
22:03I've already had worries about the old line anyways, with their old line coach.
22:07So, and they had some sloppiness with like, um, even in past protection of passing things off.
22:12So there's just some harbingers of bad, not bad, but below average right now with the Eagles offense right now.
22:17Well, and this is the thing when you're talking about like round one, early round two fantasy picks, like the margins are very thin.
22:24Um, right now coming out of week one, I would definitely take still Gibbs B John, of course, ahead of Barkley, definitely
22:30still Jonathan Taylor, probably still Christian McCaffrey who went ahead of him.
22:33Yeah, I think, I think I would still take McCaffrey.
22:36I definitely would take Derek Henry. I definitely would take Kenneth Walker.
22:39I'd probably still take James cook. And I, I think I'd probably take Ashton Gentry over Saquon Barkley right now.
22:44And those were guys that were like closer to him.
22:47Yeah, we'll, we'll get, we'll get to Ashton Gentry.
22:49That was a pretty exciting debut for him. Okay.
22:52Let's get to the next one here. This is Bengals at Texans.
22:55We talked about the Bengals and the burrow thing.
22:57So here's our truth for the Bengals. Chase Brown has league winning upside and I'll editorialize this and say he has league
23:03winning upside no matter if they do the under center stuff or if they live in the shotgun world doesn't really matter
23:09for Chase Brown or David Montgomery was the best running back to pick you could have made.
23:14Which is your more truth of the two potential truths here, Nate?
23:17More truth is Chase Brown has league winning upside and I can get into really, it's because I think Woody Marks is
23:23going to have more touches for the Texans. Um, and I think that's the end of the season, but like you, yeah,
23:29I think, well, I think it's just gonna be more of a split where it's going to be a true split, split backfield.
23:35So yeah, David Montgomery is going to get some touchdowns, but then there's gonna be times Woody Marks eats into stuff too.
23:41And that's more of a credit to Woody Marks than anything wrong with David Montgomery.
23:45Um, I just thought he had a really good showing in week one.
23:49Both of them did actually. And then the old line, I, I hyped it up really how they put against the bills defense or really the run game.
23:56And I look back, it was, it was fine.
23:59It wasn't as encouraging as I thought it would be, but I thought protection wise, they were decent and everything, but more
24:05are getting into Chase Brown is he's going to get touches.
24:08He's going to get juicy touches. I think he's going to get a lot of carries with inside the five yard line.
24:14It might not always be 150 yards, those types of games, but I think there's going to be a lot of those.
24:20He's going to score every game and I have a decent amount of touches every single game.
24:24They want them on the field. Um, uh, P Ryan's only out there to be a protection and a true spell guy.
24:30So Brown's gonna be on the field for a lot of touches.
24:33You gotta remember Zach Taylor too. He still has a little bit of that McVay.
24:37I like to have the same personnel out there every single snap, just a little bit.
24:42And that means running back included. So Chase Brown, like a guy I tried to swoop up in leagues and just, just never had the pick for it.
24:49But yeah, I I'm very bullish on what he looked like in week one and with the offense looked like as far as run game wise.
24:56Me too. I feel the same way about Chase Brown.
24:59Yeah. The Montgomery thing is interesting where the Texans, I believe they had, if I can remember the South top of my
25:05head, cause I tweeted this out that they had the fourth best rushing success rate on running back runs, uh, in that
25:11game last week that they had of the CJ Stroud era.
25:14So since 2023 regular season playoffs, and they were 31st in running back rush success rate since they drafted CJ Stroud.
25:20So like, that's all I care about with Montgomery.
25:22I still, even out of, after week one, I still don't really have like a strong feeling about him as a fantasy, uh, asset.
25:29I didn't really have that strong feeling about him coming into drafts.
25:32Obviously he scores a bunch of touchdowns. That's great.
25:34You want that? I really don't care. Like, I just want him to keep the train on the tracks for like Nico
25:40Collins and CJ Stroud, which is what he did.
25:43But I think Woody Marks, like definitely showed pretty well for himself too.
25:46So, uh, Marks is maybe that like, what the heck flex.
25:49And for the time being, I do think Dave Montgomery is still, um, you know, obviously like a running back to in fantasy right now.
25:56Let's jump to the NFC North here. Vikings at bears, which is more true.
26:00Nate Ben Johnson was right. This could be a legendary offense or.
26:03However, Carson Wentz is actually the most viable quarterback for fantasy fantasy.
26:06Just fantasy alone in Minnesota. Yeah. Ben Johnson was right.
26:09This could be a legendary offense. Oh yeah. That's easy.
26:11Take away. You know, it actually is one of those signs where I was like, oh, this could be real good.
26:17The biggest weakness I thought on the offense line is whoever's playing or offense was whoever's playing left tackle and Braxton Jones looked good.
26:24So I'm like, oh, okay. All right. If you're supposed to be the weakness.
26:27All right. I don't have an assessment on the center, but I know.
26:31So, and it's, it's weird. I don't think I've talked to you about this, but like, what was so cool about that
26:37game against the Panthers is all the star players.
26:39I'll call them Colson Love when Roman dunes, a Luther burden blocking their asses off.
26:43And when they blocked like that, it opens up big plays for the run game.
26:47It opens up big plays for screens. And then everybody eats and picking which guy will be might be a little difficult
26:53every week other than Caleb, you know, eating every single week.
26:56But I think overall, this offense is a 30 point a game offense.
27:00And if you're a 30 point a game offense, that is a legendary offense.
27:04That's a nickname offense. If you're averaging 30 a game.
27:06I mean, shoot. He said after the game or not after the game.
27:10I mean, I think he said today, Ben Johnson, that he wanted to go for two on one of those just so
27:16they could get to 60, which I love. I love that.
27:19That's like his mindset. You know, he's great, dude.
27:21He says. So like you and I talked to just a ton about Ben Johnson in the offseason and just how much
27:27we loved that offense that it's last year. Like he's so obviously the guy.
27:31And because like, think about what you just said there about all these players run blocking.
27:35Like they have some. And it's so true when you watch this team, like everybody gives full effort, blocks their butts off consistently.
27:41And think about some of these players here. Like DeAndre Swift was known as like a underachiever, you know, in the NFL,
27:47like a guy that, you know, was frustrating. And now he's just like on his P's and Q's all the time.
27:53Luther Burden fell in the draft because he had a down statistical season.
27:57But also people were like, what are you? And I'll tell you, like I watched Luther Burden.
28:01I thought his effort stunk sometimes on tape. And people felt the same way about it.
28:06Like he would just run himself into zone coverage and just kind of sit there.
28:10And now he's just he's out there grinding, like blocking consistently.
28:13Joddy Walker, you know, he's out there blocking consistently in these heavy.
28:16Like Joddy Walker's got like something, something to him.
28:18And then they give him like a play where he scores the one yard touchdown.
28:22Like so it's just everybody on this team. And I think that will be annoying sometimes in fantasy where you can go.
28:28They score 59 points and Colson Loveland puts up a bagel.
28:31That's crazy. That stinks. And I get it. Like I have Colson Loveland teams.
28:35I find that to be very, very annoying. But I'm also going to live with it because this team can score 59 points.
28:41And there's going to be one week when Colson Loveland drops a 30 spot as a tight end, which is very unusual.
28:47And they also match up well. They're matchup proof, which is something that you always want from a top offense.
28:53There's not like he's going against Flores this week.
28:55I'm not like, oh, how's Caleb and Ben Johnson going to handle it?
28:58Ben Johnson already has proof of concept of knowing how to handle Brian Flores.
29:02And on top of it, you have Caleb Williams who plays the style that you want to, to beat a defense like Brian Flores.
29:09I already know what they can do against bad defenses.
29:11Now they're going against the knuckleballer. And I think that they do have those answers.
29:15So again, if you want to be a 30 point a game offense that you have to be matchup proof.
29:21And I really do think that they can run it some weeks.
29:24They can go heavy personnel. They can go light personnel.
29:27They can spread you out. They can go condensed.
29:29Those are the signs of a top tier offense.
29:32And it was one high on going into the year.
29:34And I know it's just week one and Panthers defenses and all that.
29:38But it was like, check. They're checking every single box that you want to see from what an offense that should look like this.
29:44Yeah. The Panthers defenses and all that. And I know Josh on our recap show ripped them to pieces.
29:50And deservedly so. They have been a pretty bad defense under Giro Evero.
29:53And Evero gets a lot of hype and stuff like that.
29:56I totally understand his point. But also, they aren't one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
30:01No, and they actually did throw a lot of disguised coverages at Caleb.
30:04Like where they would rotate down to single high out of two high.
30:08And that was stuff that gave him trouble last season.
30:10Guess what didn't give him any trouble in this game on Sunday?
30:14Like that was one of the other really exciting things.
30:16In addition to the fact that he's like maybe the fastest player on the field right now.
30:21So my two big takeaways out of that game.
30:23Again, just there's a lot to talk about. But the two overarching ones is like Caleb is he's taking he's taking a step.
30:30I think Ben said it. He is. He's like ahead of the offense now.
30:33I totally felt that while watching him. He was in complete command.
30:37And of course, obviously, the run game was truly capital E elite against the Panthers.
30:41The other thing is like, again, the other proof of concept they're going to have to be.
30:45They're going to have to be the best offense because that defense is going to give it up like crazy on the other side.
30:52Which is good for fantasy. Oh, yeah. Points, points, points, points.
30:55But on top of this, even just we were doing this exercise.
30:58Kyler Murray practiced today and reports. I know you're in rap reports.
31:01That's something different. But from reports was if he's healthy, he's starting, you know, and so they're going to assess him later in the week as well.
31:08So that was also part of this, too, is that, you know, Carson Wentz, you know, his flourish might have just been
31:14a half of chuck it up to Justin Jefferson on a free play.
31:18You know, that might be the highlight of all of it.
31:21But, yeah, no, I'm I I'm bullish on the Bears and just what their offense is.
31:25It's it's really fun to watch and it's very real.
31:28And it wasn't perfect. They had a failed fourth down.
31:31They had a Luther burden fumble like it wasn't even perfect.
31:34And that's what they put up there. Now, imagine a game where they're cooking like like the Jags were like where everything was perfect.
31:40Speaking speaking of the Jags, the team of the Jags beat in week one is our next one here.
31:45Browns at Bucks are two truths here. One for Cleveland.
31:48As long as Deshaun Watson is quarterback, there's no hope for this offense in fantasy football.
31:52I'll also say in real life as well. And then for the Bucks, Bucky Irving is finally back.
31:57Which do you think is more true? Well, these are both true, but I'm going to go with Bucky Irving is finally back.
32:03I'm going to go more positive here because it was just a joy to watch him run the ball.
32:08The line looked good. Again, the Bengals defense isn't.
32:11I don't know why I said again there, but the Bengals defense isn't incredible, but it did look improved.
32:16So it wasn't just a cupcake that they went against in week one that you should watch the first couple of drives
32:22before Baker, you know, put grease on the football.
32:24It was they were moving the ball like they did good things.
32:28That offense had really good moments against the Bengals.
32:30It was actually a lot more of an entertaining game to rewatch on all 22.
32:34And I think, yeah, Bucky's fully back. He had a couple of cuts.
32:38He was good. His vision's still good. And I think the Bucks old line is almost all the way back where it's
32:44like that's going to be a dominant. That's why the screens felt good as well.
32:48They threw a lot of them. But remember, that was a couple of years ago with that Liam Cohen offense.
32:53The old line being better. You get those guys out in space.
32:56The screens feel better as well. No, but I think Bucky Irving is definitely finally back.
33:01Not to say Kenneth Gamewell was bad or anything like that.
33:04But yeah, this is Bucky. Yeah. And of course, with the Browns, it's like we all know that.
33:08You actually don't need to tune into our podcast to know that.
33:12I think Bucky's like a fringe top 15 running back this week.
33:15He's a big winner coming out of week one.
33:17One of the biggest at the running back position.
33:20Just real quick, because you mentioned the offensive line.
33:22I actually wanted to ask you about this. Did you make anything of what?
33:26I felt like there was just more pressure on Baker than I probably would have thought.
33:30What did you make of that for the Bucks in week one?
33:34Because I agree with you. This is a great offensive line.
33:37Is this just new coaching staff, new offensive coordinator, maybe some busts?
33:40Or what did you make of that? Yeah. I thought Baker was just trying to do a little too much.
33:45A lot of times, he was trying to extend plays.
33:48The fumble in the red zone was probably the most frustrating one.
33:51Because he's trying to juke a guy. And then he also switches hands.
33:55And you never switch hands in traffic when you hold the football.
33:58So it's just things that's like, you should know better.
34:01The first fumble was one of those where it's like, all right.
34:04He got out of his sack. You have to give him credit.
34:07But then it's like, you also have to understand what you are.
34:10Hey, it's third down. Get rid of the ball.
34:13And then, you know, I think it was just him trying to do a little too much.
34:17He also had an interception that got wiped off because of pass interference.
34:21So I felt like him. And maybe I actually thought Zach Robinson tried to do a good job of calming him down
34:27with all those screens before asking him to push the ball again.
34:30So I think it was just a little him probably just amped up from the contract.
34:34Week one, all those types of things. You would just hope a guy with 180 starts between college and the NFL would know a little better.
34:41But that's not my woes. That's not my decision to extend him.
34:45But yeah, I thought he was too amped up for a guy that he can just get a little too amped up overall.
34:51And I felt like that he was trying to just do a little too much.
34:55But there's going to be real highs with the offense because he's still willing to push the ball.
35:00The offensive system I actually was fine with. I thought they actually did a lot of good things.
35:05So I'm not, it's not like a total bottoms out thing.
35:08But if that's the worst, that's a pretty good worst, if that makes sense.
35:11Yeah, just a little disappointing because it's like, oh man, Bengals defense week one, this should be a print fest.
35:17And I think when I talked about the matchup on football 301 with you, I kind of framed it as that way.
35:23But just some bad football in that game. But there was good football too.
35:26Like the bad footballs, you can't fumble four freaking times in a game, especially three if you're the quarterback.
35:32But other than that, it's just, I do think a lot of good signs for Tampa Bay.
35:36So Bucky Irving, big winner. Still feel really good about Emeka Buka in his role.
35:40He was like moving all over the formation, getting a lot of separation on the end cuts and stuff.
35:45So yeah, I think those are going to be the guys in that offense.
35:49Next one up here, Steelers at Patriots. Our two truths here, Nate.
35:52Patriots, Drake May will struggle to be a fantasy QB one, especially with A.J.
35:56Brown out or Steelers. There is actually no right answer in fantasy for the Steelers running backs.
36:01There's no right answer in fantasy for Steelers running backs.
36:03I will say, I think Drake May is going to be fine.
36:07He's always going to scramble and run. And that's going to keep him very lively, no matter what the passing was.
36:12And I do think the passing game is actually going to sort itself out, even without A.J.
36:17Brown. And they're not playing the freaking Seahawks every single week.
36:20Opponent matters. So going against the best defense or one of the best defenses is going to limit maybe some of your production.
36:26But no, rewatching the Steelers, I thought the offense, it's too much Aaron Rodgers.
36:30I think that what they should do because of their personnel is lean into bully ball, but they won't because they have Aaron Rodgers on that team.
36:37So I'm not buying anyone in this run game and they're splitting it.
36:41And yeah, I'm not, I'm trying to, I have Jalen Warren because that was a stash from years ago and a lot of dynasty.
36:47I'm trying to get them out. I'm trying to get them out because I just, with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback and Mike
36:53McCarthy leaning into that, it's, I do think that it's going to be a very frustrating run game where there's not a
36:59lot of production because it's just going to be a lot of dink and dunk passes and they don't fully lean into
37:05the bully ball that they should with that offensive line and those blocking tight ends they have.
37:10I know it's a shame. It just is like what it is.
37:13This, what did you expect? I didn't think there was going to be a big winner from the only way there's a
37:19big winner is unfortunately if one of them gets hurt and then that guy consolidates the snaps, then that's how this works out.
37:25Otherwise there's just really no, no right answer here.
37:28Okay. Next one. NFC South battle Falcons Panthers at Falcons for the Falcons.
37:31Michael Penix is our only hope for Drake London and Kyle Pitts or for the Panthers.
37:35Bryce Young can finally support multiple fantasy starters. Which one is more true, Nate?
37:39I actually think Bryce Young can finally support multiple fantasy starters because those two starters are Jalen Coker and Tetreault McMillan.
37:45And also I think Jack Strand is our only hope for Drake London and Kyle Pitts.
37:49No, but I actually do think the Bears, again, Bears defense caveat.
37:52I thought Bryce Young actually looked pretty good and like actually was decisive, made some good throws.
37:57And that's why I think Tetreault McMillan and Coker are valid that you can play him in some way, shape or form.
38:03I really do think that. So yeah, I'm going to lean into that because Bryce Young, I watching it back on film.
38:09It was one of the most solid games that I've seen him play, playing actual quarterback and not just relying on total creation throughout the game.
38:16I think, oh man. I mean, the easy answer is yeah.
38:19I mean, Penix is our only hope for Drake London and Kyle Pitts just because like there is no your boy Jack Strand.
38:25Listen, I'd love to see it. I'd love to see it because I don't want to see.
38:30Why not? I don't want to see. I don't want to see what I saw in week one ever again.
38:35And I want to see Tua even less. And I don't think Tua wants to see Tua out there.
38:40So I mean, it's just like, yeah, it's that's my it's my answer by default is it's going to be have to
38:46be Michael Penix or your, you know, to however long segment you did with Derek Klassen on Jack Strand needs to become
38:52like a Cinderella story of the year. Even though I looked at crap in that because we were just moving and I wasn't sleeping.
38:59I'm going to keep tweeting out that video because it was like, hey, I put it in the work.
39:04I better get 15 minutes out of this. My 15 minutes of breakdown fame.
39:08So yeah, I'm glad I put in the work on that Minnesota Moorhead tape.
39:11But with all that said on the Panthers, you know, it's funny.
39:15I think I said this to Hayden on the recap show, if maybe not on stats versus film.
39:19I don't know. All these shows are starting to run together now at this point, and they were already running together before there were all these shows.
39:27OK, I said that two of these guys that were promoted, like the head coach demoted themselves to have a new play caller there.
39:33And we'll talk about the Broncos in a second.
39:36But it was kind of both of them where Dave Canales said about Brad Edzik.
39:40And, you know, this was kind of sort of said, although there was other things maybe intimated as well that Sean Payton
39:46thought that, hey, Davis Webb and Bo Nix have this great relationship.
39:49Brad Edzik and Bryce Young have this great relationship.
39:51They have a better they have a better feel for each other.
39:55So we're going to we're going to make this guy the play caller.
39:58You know, it'll feel better. It definitely worked better for the Panthers than it did for the Broncos in week one.
40:04That is for sure. Obviously, opponent matters. As you said, one's going against Steve Spagnuolo and Arrowhead.
40:08The other is going against that Bears defense. Totally understand.
40:11But I did think Bryce had a really good command of the offense.
40:15And it was like they had a lot more concepts designed to push the ball down the field to these monster receivers that they have.
40:21The offense did look different. And I think that does matter here.
40:25Let me ask you a question that is leading the witness because of who is asking it.
40:29But I swear to God, I'm asking this not in a way to dunk on one player, but to just make the point.
40:35And yeah, yeah, go ahead. No. What does Teddero McMillan do better than Jalen Coker?
40:39Oh, I really do think. Wow. A little bit better.
40:42Yeah, guy. I would say that. But I really do think, man, because Coker's got good catching range and they both can play inside and out.
40:49Wow. This is tough, actually, because this is more just this is more saying how much better Coker is as a player overall.
40:55Then I think what you would think then more than down on Tetra McMillan, you know?
41:00So I would say McMillan's a little bit better as a yak guy.
41:03I would say maybe that's the one thing because he he's not a burner, but he's really good.
41:08Again, that kind of like just extra couple of yards.
41:11He's really good at turning tight spaces for a big guy and like doing the drop step stuff when he kind of catches like stop routes and everything.
41:18So I'd say that's the one thing. But maybe Coker is more of a willing blocker, too.
41:23So, you know, Coker's got a lot going for him, too.
41:26Yeah. So I know that's a it's closer as a guy that has shares of both of them.
41:31So I don't care about saying this. It's closer than you would expect for a top 10 pick in an undrafted free agent.
41:37But I think it's more that both are real good players.
41:40Like, I really like both of them. I really, really.
41:43Yes. It's that Coker is way better than a UDFA and Tetra is totally fine.
41:47Like, if not a very, very good player for a top 10 relative to what you'd want in a top 10 receiver.
41:53I think I think you nailed that. You know, this would be my answer to the question, too, is that I think
41:59Tetra has a little bit more upside to him as a yak based player.
42:02At least he's he hasn't realized that just quite yet.
42:05I'm very interested to see, like how he continues to play as he's packed on like 12 pounds and see what that kind of does for him.
42:12Because I do think there are times where like he probably could have powered through tackles as a as a more physical player in his first season.
42:20So I'm interested to just kind of keep an eye on that.
42:23But regardless, I think the the grand takeaway here is that there's more to the Panthers offense, I think, than meets the eye.
42:29Both because of what Bryce did in week one, the way the offense looked in week one.
42:34And because these these two dudes are both excellent, excellent young receivers.
42:37So I'm really excited to see this Panthers offense continue before.
42:40Maybe not fantasy relevant, but they have three tight ends that are very playable and are well.
42:44Tommy Trimble, Mitchell Evans and Darren Waller, like all those guys, they're rotating them through.
42:49No, I was I wouldn't say impressed might not be the best word, but I came out of that game again.
42:54Bears caveat just going like, wow. All right, Panthers, you really aren't just going like, well, we got Bryce Young, so we have to lean into this.
43:01They were really trying some new stuff and that's and I think they know that they got some juice at receiver.
43:07And I think they're in a bevy of tight ends like it was cool.
43:11They it's like they kind of figured out their personnel and I'm I was really encouraged.
43:15I really was encouraged from week one. Absolutely felt really good about that.
43:19Also felt really good about one of these two teams that we're about to talk about here.
43:23Raiders at Chargers didn't feel so good about the other one for the Raiders.
43:27Our truth is Clint Kubiak has unlocked Ashton Jente's full potential for the Chargers.
43:31Our truth is this is not going to be as good as we thought.
43:35And without Ladd McConkie, they're cooked. Which one do you think is more true?
43:39Oh, I want to say this. All right. I'm again going to go more positive here.
43:43Kubiak has unlocked Jente's full potential. I'm all again like I always use this term, but all systems go with that.
43:49He looked great. The Raiders offensive line are actually bullying guys like it's not finesse zone stuff.
43:53It's actual double teams kicking butt. I was really, really encouraged.
43:56Again, they're playing the Dolphins. Dolphins are iffy. But no, it was, you know, Dolphins have some have some dudes up front, actually.
44:02Kirk Cousins worried. Definitely worried. I think we're going to see Mendoza very soon when Clint Kubiak's already dropping hints about, no, we need to push the ball.
44:10Oh, OK. OK. Noted. But I would say, no, this is what I was hoping to see.
44:14And the confidence that Jente was running with. He's now just a magnet for contact, trying to prove that he can run over everybody.
44:21The structure of the offense, the soundness of the offensive line as far as where they were going.
44:26Everybody was playing fast. Yeah, I'm more into Kubiak has unlocked Jente's full potential.
44:30I mean, we can talk about the Chargers, too, if you want to, because that was I don't.
44:34It's ugly. Their defense. Their defense, too, is worrisome.
44:37Like, I'm worried about that defense like that. I asked this to Sheil.
44:40I asked this to Sheil Kapati on Football 301.
44:43I haven't tweeted the clip yet. Which roster, Sands quarterback, would you rather have?
44:47The Cardinals or the Chargers? I mean, I'll just say from an offensive standpoint, it's not even close.
44:51Like, quarterback aside. It's easy. Which is easily, like, 10 times out of 10.
44:55I mean, that is a way better offensive roster.
44:58Defense, I'd have to sit down and, like, really go unit by unit and kind of pick it apart a little bit.
45:04Yeah, but the fact that you have to think is that's...
45:07I know. I know. And that's... Isn't crazy how much it feels different just in a month.
45:11But once you just sit there and you're, like, looking at it, you're like, huh.
45:15Like Sheil said, it's like, where's the talent at?
45:18Like, you're three of the... Like, where's the talent?
45:20Where are the needle movers? And it's like, as you sit marinate on it, it's something I'm keeping my eye on.
45:26Like, wow, this is not as deep of a roster.
45:28They were my AFC West pick. So I'm... So maybe I'm just dumping cold water on myself.
45:33And maybe I just, again, overreacting. But, man, I'm looking at the whole thing going like, wow, this is maybe not as
45:39juicy as I thought or just encouraging as I thought.
45:42But, yeah. But, yeah, that's kind of... That was my biggest takeaway is I think the Cardinals roster I'd rather have.
45:47The team that was projected to win three and a half games this year.
45:51It's tough. It's tough. It did not look good in week one.
45:54I do think they tried to do a lot in week one.
45:58I think they maybe need to simplify things. But if they don't have Lad McConkie, I do kind of think they're banged.
46:04Their passing offense is in trouble there. Okay. Next one up here.
46:07Jags at Broncos. For the Jags, Trevor Lawrence has become the prince that was promised.
46:11For the Broncos, Davis Webb aside, Bo Nix looks like he has regressed.
46:14Which one of those two do you think is more true?
46:17Prince that was promised. Trevor all the way. I mean, just why others have this stat, but just going from the second
46:23half of last year into week one, Trevor's playing like a top five guy.
46:27Statistically, we can get into the old tier stuff.
46:30But it's... No, but he's playing like a guy.
46:32Like a guy that is the hub of an offense.
46:35A guy that is making decisions and just... You don't even have to look at the throws Trevor was making.
46:40Watch his feet and the timing of every throw.
46:43Every throw came out after one hitch. That means he has confidence in what he's seeing, what's getting designed there.
46:48I am all in on the Jags. I am all in on them.
46:51They looked... I know it's the Browns, but the vibes of the Jags, what they were doing on offense, what they were
46:57doing on defense, I am like really, really optimistic about them and what this offense could be this year and this team could be this year.
47:04And I will say, and this might be a little negative on all of it, but Bo Nix looks like he's regressed.
47:10I think that's just Bo Dix. I think they took out...
47:13They're trying to take away training wheels for him and make him play more quarterback.
47:17And you kind of see against Spags, it looked a little scary.
47:21I want to see how Nix plays maybe against lesser defenses or less chaotic defenses, but I just kind of what Bo Nix is.
47:27So I don't say regressed. It was just statistically regressed, but more play style.
47:31That's kind of what he is or my assessment of him anyways.
47:34I would agree with that. And jumping back to the Jaguars point, this is if you want to still be optimistic about
47:40the Chargers, this is where you have to look is to the Jaguars because that team was a mess in the first
47:46week, the first seven weeks or whatever of last season.
47:49So keep that in mind. And hopefully you can just say, listen, they just had to get all their stuff sorted.
47:54They had to get all the motions and the checks and the shifts and stuff.
47:58The quarterback to feel better about it, blah, blah, blah, blah.
48:01Like that's what you got to feel if you want to be optimistic about the Chargers.
48:06Um, I would also say to just on the Trevor Lawrence thing.
48:09Yeah. It looks completely in control. Uh, he, he looked at, he was just, he was so good.
48:14And yeah, I agree. Like comfortable in the offense.
48:16The talent is showing. It's another thing. Like we talked about the, with the bears where they don't have any, uh, what
48:22Dave Montgomery and Jameer Gibbs described to me when they were talking about the lions, they don't have any like culture vultures
48:28on those, those offenses where it's like, even BTJ was like, God, I had his role minimized.
48:33You don't see him out there like loafing around.
48:35And he's given a lot of effort and is doing his thing.
48:38So, uh, I feel really good about that team for shorts.
48:41A shame if somebody like had Trevor Lawrence as their ninth ranked quarterback heading into last year and a bunch of other
48:47shows, like did whole segments on why that guy's an idiot.
48:50Um, but you mean national TV shows like, you know, like, uh, you know, like talking heads do entire segments and tweet it out and don't tag you.
48:58Yeah. Yeah. Um, no. And also if I want to get some Trevor stats, that was the second best single game of
49:04his career in terms of success rate, in terms of EPA per drop back.
49:08He only had one scramble. It was the second highest rate of throws over the middle he's ever had in the game.
49:14It was his highest air. His, uh, uh, it was the highest, uh, rate of his career of throws.
49:19I traveled 10 or more air yards. It's a, he finished with a 68% success rate.
49:23That's absurd. Anything about 50% is absurd. Um, 25% explosive pass rate.
49:26He, I mean, they're chucking it. It's sound and they do cool designs.
49:30Yeah. Like I said, just all systems go on this offense.
49:33This is the real deal. I think more people will buy in and more people are going to wait to see it.
49:39Maybe it has to be the Broncos game again, but this is real.
49:42This is as yeah. And I, I, O lines not amazing, but the old line is at least competent enough that it's
49:48not going to kneecap the year, knock on wood, as long as injuries don't happen, all that good stuff.
49:53But yeah, shout out to national shows using lists, uh, for content in the summer.
49:57Unbelievable stuff. Uh, all right. Our next one up here, dolphins at 49ers are 49ers truth.
50:02Kaelin black is a problem for CMC managers and is a must add for the rest of the season or for the dolphins.
50:08This team is so bad. It might sink Devon H and with it.
50:11I want to quickly address in the YouTube chat, by the way, from noobster 13 said, I'm stashing Kaelin black just in
50:17case, but I think Aaron Jones might be helpful the next few weeks because Mason just hit IR yes or no.
50:23Uh, I have JT love and Bucky. Listen, I'm all for stashing.
50:26And I do believe that like Kaelin black might be a minor problem, Nate, for CMC managers and is definitely a must add.
50:32Like he should be rostered across leagues. Yes. But listen, but, but I mean, this is, this is week two, bro.
50:38Like you got to win football games. You got to win fake football games here.
50:42And, and I do think I'd rather, I'd rather have Aaron Jones rostered, uh, because you know, you might be like this game against the bears.
50:49It's going to be tight between a guy like Bucky or Aaron Jones.
50:53And by the way, if one of those guys gets hurt next week, you're going to really want to have Aaron Jones as that flex option.
51:00So, um, listen, stash season is not early season.
51:02Stash season is like late season. So, uh, when in doubt, definitely go for the guy that's going to get touches, but
51:08I do think Kaelin black will get touches Nate.
51:11So, um, which one of the two do you find more true that the dolphins are so bad or that Kaelin black
51:17is, is, is a problem for CMC? I wouldn't say a problem, but it's like, he's relevant.
51:21I think is a good way to put it for, for Kaelin black.
51:25Like he looked really good actually. Um, like I was, I was very pleasantly surprised and they trust them in protection.
51:30Um, as well, again, I'm always going to bring that up.
51:33That means more reps for you. And also they're trying to, I think they're trying to spell CMC a little bit.
51:39They know how many touches he had last year, uh, which is a ticking time bomb.
51:43I do think, uh, CMC takes great care of himself, but you just gotta, you know, so, because I do think that
51:49a chain is going to eat enough, um, and get the touches and just, he's going to be more boom bust though.
51:55Like that's, that's, that's the thing as opposed to last year where it was like, he had some steady eddiness to him.
52:01I just think that's going to, how it's going to be with the dolphins.
52:05And so this one, this is actually probably the toughest one I've had so far trying to decide because Kaelin black is relevant, worthy of a stash.
52:12If you do have stash spots, but to answer that guy's question as well, Aaron Jones has the backfield to himself essentially.
52:18And the Vikings run game is whether it's Carson Wentz or Kyler, they're going to be running it like a decent clip
52:24and actually are pretty good running the ball or better running the ball than they have been maybe under KOC.
52:29So maybe just to answer that question as well, that I'd rather have Aaron Jones right now than Kaelin black stash.
52:35Okay. So we got four more here and we got to go through these pretty quickly.
52:39So we can only pick one from each individual one that is, we think is more true to talk about here.
52:45So first one commanders at Cowboys are commanders truth.
52:48Antonio Williams and Stefan digs will both outperform Terry McLaurin in this offense or for the Cowboys.
52:52The defense is so bad that Dallas is post potent offense.
52:55Can't get on the field. Which do you think is more true?
52:58Nate? Antonio Williams and digs. Well, I'll perform Terry.
53:01I, I, I, Terry looks scary and not a great way.
53:04I thought in week one and also just the offense overall.
53:07And Antonio Williams just looked good. Like just straight up good.
53:10Yeah. Straight up. Awesome. Um, and I would say my counter also for the Cowboys point is no, that's a good thing
53:16that the, that the Cowboys defense might be a leaky, but I don't think they'll give up those types of drives.
53:21The giants are, that was a terrible mashup for them.
53:24The giants are, that's how they're going to play.
53:26And not every team is going to go nine for 10 on third down.
53:30Um, that is just, you know, you've rarely ever see that.
53:33I tweeted this out. That was before the final knee.
53:36That was the second highest conversion rate on third down that we've seen this millennium.
53:40Uh, that's not going to happen every single week.
53:42Third late downs are volatile and you're not always going to play an offense like that.
53:47I mean, they play it again more time, but hopefully they have better answers there.
53:51So more Antonio Williams and all that. Cause I think more of the Cowboys defense takes time, it's going to be not.
53:57Four drives of 10 or more plays. It might just be more explosive and then they get the ball back and then the Cowboys offense can cook.
54:04Yeah. We always see these Fangio defenses and obviously that's where Christian Parker comes from.
54:08Takes like a minute to, to sort of settle in here.
54:11So I think that'll probably be what happens for Dallas.
54:14And yeah, I think digs McLaurin, that's going to be tighter than pre-draft rankings and Antonio Williams.
54:18Like I wrote him up for the reception perception charting notebook for week one.
54:22He looked really good. They got to get him more opportunities for sure.
54:26Okay. Next one. Seahawks at Cardinals are Seahawks. It's true.
54:28Janarian price is at best just a flex running back because of the workload concerns and some of the usage or Jacoby
54:34Brissett and the Cardinals are in fact a dangerous offense.
54:37Which do you think is more true coming out of week?
54:40One percent. The Cardinals are a dangerous offense. Maybe not this week, but Brissett and Cardinals are a dangerous offense.
54:45Uh, that is very sound for sets. A good trigger man for a sound offense.
54:49You know, maybe not the highest ceiling. They got a lot of weapons.
54:53Like we talked about Jeremiah love looks incredible. Tower Algier is tower.
54:56Algier Trey McBride keeps the good times rolling and they got a cool little bevy of receivers like a group of receivers.
55:02No, that's a dangerous offense. So yeah, no, I would say that's the better answer.
55:06And also I think Jadarian price is a little bit even better than a flex option.
55:11I think he looked good as well. And I think that Seahawks run game is going to really start, you know, turning along as the season goes along.
55:18Yeah. God, I'm so glad I got that Cardinals curious video up on my YouTube channel before the season started.
55:23That's like, I'm bringing the things I'm most grateful from, from the off season.
55:27I'm more grateful that I got that video done.
55:30Then I got to take a two week vacation in Europe.
55:33That's how good I feel about it. The fact that I recorded that video.
55:36Okay. Our last two year. First one Colts at chiefs, the Colts truth.
55:40The Colts offense might be a sneaky fantasy scam due to a terrible defense on the other side, or for the chiefs,
55:46Kenneth Walker will be a top three running back in fantasy football this season.
55:50Oh, I actually kind of like both of these.
55:52I'm going to go. Can I both kind of will be a top.
55:56Okay. Yeah. Top three fancy running back. Emmett Johnson though did look good.
55:59I will say that. And Kenneth Walker is a guy that has been banged up in the end over season.
56:05So that's it. But if healthy, that's, this is their offensive system this year.
56:08What you saw against the Broncos. This is what they're going to do this year.
56:12That's right. And that was proof of concept. It was my theory on it and good to see it going to come to fruition.
56:19No, but he's going to get a lot of touches.
56:22He's going to get touchdowns. We didn't even get to see some screens with him yet too much.
56:26He's going to get some screen touches and they're going to run the ball and pound the rock.
56:31So yeah. Canine would be a top three fancy, fancy running back.
56:35But the Colts one is kind of a fun one too.
56:38Cause yeah, I'm not that defense looks pretty crappy.
56:40Yeah. Yeah. That defense. And this is the thing.
56:42Remember it coming out of Thursday night football. There was all the, uh, not Thursday night football last week, the Australia game.
56:48There's all this discourse about, well, you got all these cornerbacks and you're playing a bunch of zone coverage.
56:53Like, what are you doing? What are you doing?
56:56It's like, well, if you play man cover it, you know, for the Rams against the Niners.
57:00Well, if you play man coverage, you can have two great man coverage corners, but everybody else in the defense will then also have to play man coverage.
57:08And like, then you're going to have one of those Rams linebackers and man coverage against freaking Christian McCaffrey, probably not a good idea.
57:15And that's kind of what the Colts did in week one against the Ravens.
57:18Oh my God. We know you have, we know you have sauce Gardner and ward and those guys are good man coverage corners.
57:25You don't have anybody else that can cover like Zay flowers when he's in the backfield or, or all these other things that they're doing there.
57:32So yeah, I think that unless, you know, Lou Anna rumo is going to have to get back in the lab and
57:37figure something else out there other than like, just push the man coverage button.
57:41Cause that defense, if not, is going to get cooked on the other side.
57:45And I don't know where you're at with Daniel Jones, but I do think it could be a little scammy on that
57:51other, on the Colts side of things. I'm a little scared of what Daniel Jones looked like.
57:56He's not really pushing off that leg. And, and also the other thing too, not even just a 49ers matchup.
58:01Did anyone ever watch Trent McDuffie with the chiefs or what?
58:04Like, or Dylan Watson, they, they run zone and zone blitzes.
58:07They're extremely good zone players and blitzers and, and, and trap corners.
58:10And that's why the Rams got them because they run a lot of zone.
58:14I, I felt, you know, it's so crazy to me that people were just like, oh, you got a corner now.
58:20Now you run a bunch of man coverage. Now everyone's PS2 and now everyone's going to live that way.
58:25And that's not the defensive system. The Rams run, they're a heavy zone team.
58:29So I don't know that one, that one was that whole takeaway.
58:32That was not my takeaway from that game. My takeaway, it was like, you're like, I might take away.
58:37It was not that put it that way. My takeaway was like Matthew Stafford.
58:41Are you blind right now? That was my takeaway from that game.
58:44Not why is Trent McDuffie and Jalen Watson playing man, not playing man coverage.
58:48Well, perfect. On that note, our final game here is giants at Rams.
58:51Our giants truth. Jackson dart is taking a leap certified top 10 fantasy quarterback.
58:55And Isaiah likely will be a top 10 tight end along the way for the ride.
58:59Always tough when you've got the three parter here is the truth or for the Rams.
59:04Can we really just blame everything here on the bad flight slash plan?
59:07Yeah. My thing with Stafford is, is he sleepy old man?
59:10A little sleepy after the 15 hour flight, you know, on the same day, like maybe just a little tired there, Matthew Stafford.
59:16Which one do you think is more true? Nate?
59:19This is tough. I'm going to say, I'm going to blame everything on the bad flight plan as more of a true.
59:25And this is tough though, because dark did look a little more competent, but I really do like the Isaiah likely part of this.
59:31That's real. I would say maybe of, if I could chop this up, the likely as a top 10 tight end is
59:37I would say the one I bet them or I have as the most truthy thing here.
59:42Truthiness. But I would say really blaming on the bad flight and plan.
59:45It looks like the Rams were there betting on weeks two through 18, as opposed to trying to just win one game a week, one in Australia.
59:53That's what it appeared looked like to me. I understand some of the science in this, this, I don't even want to get into that.
59:59We've seen too many tweets on it, but I do think that they are just kind of like, let's kick the can
60:05down the road and deal with everything in week two.
60:08And I, I, I have to see it, but Stafford did look a little worrisome to me as far as how he was seeing the game.
60:15But like you said, this is a guy with a bad back that just flew 18 hours.
60:20So maybe it's just that, but it is something I'm keeping my eye on.
60:23Like he wasn't pulling the trigger on some throws.
60:26And that was curious to me for a guy that has a lot of reps in this offense.
60:31So I am keeping my eye on that. Yeah.
60:33I'll, I'll just finish on the giants here and say Jackson dart just played really well through like a very catchable football,
60:39like layered some throws over to Malik neighbors at the second level in particular, like on one of those outbreaking routes.
60:45So that was a really good throw by him.
60:47And this happens with these Greg Roman offenses. And I feel that offense felt more Greg Roman than Matt Nagy in, in
60:53week one, like those guys get a good bump in, in the first season there.
60:57Cause like Greg Roman does get a lot of crap on the internet and you know, everybody's taking their shots on Greg
61:03Roman at times, but I mean, he has sound offenses that can be advantageous when they get into these heavy personnel looks and put teams in binds.
61:10And I feel like dart will be the beneficiary of that.
61:13So I will say that is more true. The top 10 fantasy quarterback and likely a top 10 fantasy tight end.
61:19I'm in on that one. Okay. We are going to take a quick break.
61:23We come back. We're doing the flex check. Who should you put into flex?
61:27Who should you not? We'll get into that right after this.
61:30All right, we're back. And here is this week's flex fit check presented by verse.
61:34A great fantasy flex player does it all just like verse guys where build your lineup, a versatile looks fit for whatever the week throws at you.
61:41And each week we take a look at five players on the flex line.
61:45And we tell you if they should start or sit based on their matchup.
61:49And it's kind of tough, right? Nate, when we just have one week of matchup data, we don't really know if these defenses are good or bad.
61:56We don't really know what these roles look like, but that's the fun part of things here.
62:00Let's start with a guy that we do know when he is fully healthy is good.
62:05That is Alec Pierce, Colts wide receiver going against the Kansas City Chiefs defense.
62:09Okay. I got like, you know, the two, the two wolves here.
62:12All right. Are talking to each other. I thought Alec Pierce in a limited snap count look pretty good.
62:17I look pretty good in week one. I agree.
62:19And I like Alec Pierce. We're pure. We're a Pierce positives.
62:22Me and you. Yes. You know, but we also are a little worried about the Daniel Jones, like being able to push
62:28the ball vertically, I think is probably the biggest problem right now.
62:31And oh man, that Chiefs defense made Bo Nix, Davis Webb and all the pass protection, the rules and stuff there up front.
62:38They made that. They made their lives hell in week one.
62:41So how do we feel about Pierce going against this defense here?
62:44I feel Pierce better about Pierce long-term in this season because also his route tree was a little different.
62:49It felt like it wasn't as vertical dependent. A lot of in breakers, a lot of stuff working over the middle, encouraging.
62:55That's a little bit because Daniel Jones, that's where he's going to throw his target charts.
62:59Pretty funny in that game. A lot of stuff at five to 10 yards over the middle of the field.
63:05But that is why I'm worried is that going against a Steve Spagnuolo defense, I'd rather have the boom bust version of
63:11Alec Pierce because it's the gas or be gas launch it.
63:14Let him have those vertical throws. So I do think that I'm not super high on this matchup this week, but there are certain matchups.
63:20I really like Pierce just because of an expanded route tree.
63:23So more desperation flex for me than like, oh, lock it in, put it in here this week.
63:28So more of a sit than a start, at least leaning just this week because it's just the chiefs matchup.
63:34Yeah, I'll probably have Downs who had a great usage in week one in terms of like he finally got a full snap count.
63:40He started off really hot and then the offense kind of just it was a bad matchup again against the Ravens defense,
63:46which played, I thought, really well at all three levels on Sunday.
63:49You know, I think Downs will probably rank a little higher for me because I think they will have to sort of check things down.
63:56We saw that with Denver in this one. But I think I'll still have Pierce as like a fringe top 35 ish receiver.
64:02Like once we get into the Cardinals receiver zone where, you know, those guys have a bad matchup against the Seahawks, you know, you have Cortland Sutton.
64:10I'm like, let's looking at kind of consensus ranks right now.
64:13You know, digs, Brian Thomas. I think Pierce is totally fine there because there were going back and watching the Waddle film.
64:18There were definitely open windows downfield. It just the pass detection was a mess.
64:22I thought for Denver, like the running backs, the tight ends and stuff.
64:26And I trust Indianapolis to be a little more buttoned up in that way.
64:30So I think they can wad it up in protection and we'll see if Daniel Jones can get the football down the field.
64:36But I do agree with you. It's it's volatile for Alec Pierce here this week.
64:40Let's go to the running back position. Let's talk to Corey Krosky merit going against a Dallas Cowboys defense that obviously looked really bad in week one.
64:47Yeah. And you're hoping maybe at home, the Cowboys defense amps it up a little bit.
64:51It's and I don't know if the commanders have that bully ball to them that the, you know, the giants can get
64:57to and really give them bad matchups. I think they want to trot out lighter, lighter stuff and lighter.
65:03It's really what Jane Daniels just prefers. The under center stuff just didn't look good.
65:07I think he went one of six from under center and it was just the overthrow to Antonio Williams.
65:12And yeah, that game script with everything. Also, that's where Jane and Daniels whole thing is he was really good on late down.
65:18So maybe the Cowboys don't want to see that.
65:20But, but having said all that, I do think he's a fine kind of start this week.
65:25Just also too, cause the receiving is the linebackers had a lot of issues with that Cowboys team.
65:30So where I don't think the run game will be as juicy as it was that the giants had.
65:35I do think he'll have some receiving opportunities, especially as they'd want to get them out.
65:39The Cowboys also don't blitz a lot or they shouldn't blitz a lot.
65:43So that can kind of get him more reps on the field because they probably trust other guys more than bill.
65:48So yeah, I actually kind of like him as a, again, like an okay start more as a more because of the
65:54receiving stats that he can gather up this week.
65:57Yeah. I'll probably have him just below the true running back to range, you know, Aaron Jones without, without Mason, I'll have ranked ahead of him.
66:04Yeah. Basial Tootin versus Denver, I think is like an interesting call, probably pretty similar profiles there.
66:08And it just feel way better about the Jags offense.
66:11We'll see about Ramondre Stevenson who, you know, is Trayvon Henderson going to be back.
66:15But like once we get into the Jadarian price, like no pass game floor, Quinchon Judkins, no pass game floor.
66:21I think I would take a JCM there who again might not project for a bunch of catches because Rashad white is
66:27still there, but I mean, JCM is just the better back and like they need explosive ability on the field.
66:32And I think this is a decent enough matchup against Dallas.
66:35I will say he's a, in the flex range is probably a guy that I think is a, you know, solid, very
66:41much boom bust because you know, you're, you're dealing with, uh, with matchups or with, uh, touchdowns and everything there.
66:46I'll probably go, uh, for that him in that range.
66:49Next one, Devo Samuel with the Miami dolphins. Pretty good start.
66:52I think if you need, if you need to help this week, right.
66:55Yeah. Yeah. I think this is an easy start, at least for me, uh, dolphins defense.
67:00I think on the back end is not going to be great.
67:03I think Kyle Shanahan and what Jeff Halfley does on defenses and exotic or crazy.
67:07Um, yeah, so I'm, I think this is one of the, of the, of the ones we're going to talk about.
67:13Actually, I think this is the easiest start, uh, call for me because also we got the, the strip club news as well.
67:19So yeah, I think Devo is a pretty easy start matchup usage, everything.
67:22Uh, I really do. Especially. I think the weakness of that dolphins defense will be not just big plays, but just stuff work.
67:29I don't know. Yeah. Stuff stuff, stuff working over the middle stuff, movement stuff, I think is more of the weakness.
67:34Cause I think the corners have a chance, which means more Mike Evans, fewer Mike Evans.
67:39So I think this might be a big Devo week actually.
67:42Yeah. I mean, just if you can get him on those linebackers and stuff and coverage, he's, he's not even really like
67:48a real receiver, you know, at this point he's kind of the fun house mirrors version of himself.
67:52So, uh, you're going to look to get him against those linebackers.
67:56I will say dolphins ran out single high, a decent bit in week one.
67:59So I think there could be some opportunities for shot plays with Mike Evans.
68:03Uh, and I think that will be like, he could have some big plays down the sideline.
68:08Like the real thing is just start your 49ers this week.
68:11Like, but I think Debo is within that mix, uh, certainly as well.
68:14We're actually going to stick in that same game for our next one here.
68:18And I can, I'm very fascinated to talk about this player with you.
68:22Caleb Douglas going against the San Francisco 49ers. Douglas had a really nice week.
68:25One cleared 90 yards, probably like maybe the only bright spot for the Miami dolphins in week one.
68:30Um, I thought he was impressive. I thought he had some good routes on tape.
68:34Um, you know, he plays on the perimeter. Mostly nice week.
68:37One debut for, uh, Caleb Douglas. Have you gotten a chance to watch the dolphins back and see Caleb Douglas?
68:43Like, where are you at with this? Just through the first quarter film wise, but I did watch it as far as,
68:49you know, I usually kind of go through and watch TV copy try to on Sundays, um, little boom busty, but that's fine.
68:55I think because that's more of the quarterback than Douglas.
68:58Um, so, but also I think cause the pass rush of the 49ers isn't make Malik Willis do a lot of out of structure stuff.
69:04So I actually, I'm saying all that in a positive way for Douglas.
69:08Cause it's like, I think that he can get so many of those scramble plays, those broken plays working out for him.
69:14So not maybe a high reception total, but I actually think they, you know, I'm going to yards could be there this, this week with a couple chunks.
69:21Um, like that's how I view that passing game is more chunky than efficient.
69:25So I'm actually fine with it. Uh, because 49ers defense did a great job.
69:29They, I think they're going to be a little susceptible to the run, but I think Douglas is valid if you, I
69:35mean, if you don't have anybody else right now, I'm not starting cable dogs this week, but I do think he's actually more of a fairly good start.
69:42Actually, if you do have them and you don't really have anything else at flex.
69:46Yeah. Yeah. If you're playing in a, and I ha I actually have him on one of these rosters where it's like
69:52three plus flexes, you start like the bunch of wide receivers.
69:55I'm going to throw him out there because I liked what I saw enough, you know, and as a prospect, uh, I
70:01thought he reminded me a lot of Quinton Johnston, but was better at the catch point.
70:06And, um, just, just an interesting player. Like the way they move is very similar.
70:10And obviously one guy was a surprise third round pick and one guy is a disappointing first round pick.
70:15So I think you can kind of even out there in terms of where we're at.
70:19Uh, he's not nearly the same specimen that QJ can be after the catch, but on breaking routes in particular, this was
70:25the thing that, that kind of took me by surprise going back and charting Caleb Douglas as a prospect.
70:30Like he can snap off routes over the middle.
70:33He just didn't get a lot of those opportunities in the offense that he came from, you know, at Texas tech definitely
70:39got those opportunities in week one, uh, with the Miami dolphins.
70:42Like that's the way this offense wants to work.
70:44So I think he, he passes the eye tests of a guy that I think can play in the NFL, which is
70:50good because they need guys that can play in the NFL and this Miami dolphins roster.
70:54Uh, and so I think again, he's, he's definitely a dart throw.
70:58Like you can easily get worse than the projections here, which is three catches for 40 yards.
71:02But if you connect on a couple of big plays, you could also get better than that.
71:07So definitely a boom bust, like deeper flex play option for me.
71:10Last one here. And I'm curious how long you think this guy will be on the flex radar common guy against the
71:16Minnesota Vikings, man, my none guy ripping off that big, long run.
71:19You know, I, I didn't know. I didn't know that was like in his bag, man.
71:23He is a really impressive runner. He's a, obviously we know who he is.
71:27We know the bears offense rules. Like how long, um, can we have common guy on the flex radar, Nate, or is
71:33he going to establish himself as more of a, even though he's running by two for his own team, like a guy
71:39that we're starting every single week in fantasy? Um, man, I think it's still, maybe this isn't the week for it.
71:45Uh, you know, the floor as and everything, I just think of the game flows can be a little bit different, um, for this team.
71:52So like, I think he's more flex relevant or starting what relevant down the road.
71:56Um, depending on what just more of a run heavy script, I think there's going to be a little bit more pass heavy for the bears.
72:03I think they're going to want to chuck it a little bit more, which means more swift.
72:07I really have to see to how they, who they trust most in protection right now as well, just because of those cheapies you can get.
72:14So Mononga is a good player. It's really more just like he's a thumper that has a little bit of juice as
72:20we got to see in that one thing. I, or that one big run.
72:24I think there's more of a swift game just because I just see the game flow being more a little bit more pass heavy for the bear.
72:31So I'm a little pessimistic on him this week, optimistic about him as the season goes along and just based on how the bears offense is.
72:38Yeah. I mean, they're definitely going to be games where they can saddle up both these guys for a lot of touches.
72:44I'm with you that this probably won't be the week and yeah, you know, I think they just really trust Deandre Swift
72:50right now to be that type of player. So a really interesting, a really interesting player there.
72:55And also like, I would just say once you get to the running back 30 ish zone in, in fantasy.
73:00So again, we're, we're in the, we're in the flex radar here, you know, it's a great offense.
73:05So if you want to break ties in favor of him, that's fine.
73:09Cause you're also going to find names like Rico Dowdle, Tony Pollard getting in that range here pretty soon.
73:14So you can project those guys for more touches, but oh my God, it's going to be ugly touches.
73:19So when I'm guy is going to be an interesting player to talk about every single week, I would agree that this
73:25is probably not one of his weeks that projects best on paper, but you can at least go touchdown chasing in the bears offense.
73:31Cause they're going to score a lot of touchdowns every single week.
73:35Okay. We are going to take our next quick break.
73:37We come back. We're talking Thursday night football bills lions.
73:40It's a big matchup. We'll get into that right after this.
73:43All right. We're back. It is time for a little Thursday night football here.
73:47We've got Detroit lions, Buffalo bills. The bills are four and a half point home favorites, a 54 and a half point total.
73:53We are expecting a lot of fireworks in this one.
73:56Nate, before we get into your props and what you're looking at in this game, a little worried about the Detroit lions offensive line coming into this game.
74:03Uh, panace school. He's going to be playing at left tackle left guard.
74:07Christian mahogany is out. Cade may is the center is on IR.
74:10As we know, Tate ratledge. He's going to be playing a right guard, Blake Miller, rookie, right tackle, first round pick.
74:16He's out. They're pretty much down three of their five starting offensive linemen, which, um, I don't know.
74:20I, I don't know how you feel about the bills defense after week one.
74:24It was a little, okay, maybe need some work on this.
74:27Uh, but some good, some bad still going down three or five starting offensive lineman, not ideal heading into a short week here.
74:33Well, how about Blake Miller who never missed a start in college started like 50 something games is now banged up and missing time.
74:40As soon as he gets into the NFL, like that is just brutal.
74:43Uh, yeah, not ideal. The lions offense. I really do want to look in the second half.
74:48Again, I get through a lot of games and it's like, I gotta do show.
74:52Um, so I really do think that with them, I think they're going to try and just keep it simple.
74:57Um, going against a bills defense that did fine.
75:00Like Dion Walker was really good for the bills front.
75:03Um, they just, again, don't have a lot of juice, uh, on the backend, you know, like they just are more just okay.
75:09Jim Leonard, who was really aggressive in college. He's a Rex Ryan guy was safer.
75:13It felt like they ran a lot of quarters, a lot of just kind of like keep everything in front.
75:18I think you can really pepper them on the outside in that quarters.
75:22Like you got to see Nico Collins kind of eat on that as well.
75:26Um, Jared Goff, of course likes to rock stuff over the middle.
75:29Um, I could see a lot of kind of crossing routes and kind of quick hitters in this game.
75:34And also, you know, uh, just throw out my first prop on that side of the ball.
75:39Uh, Jameer Gibbs over 19 and a half rushing attempts minus one 10, even though they, the backups aren't really there for this run game.
75:45And I think just cause if you have backup offensive lineman, Jim Leonard might throw out some stuff at you that you
75:51just want to kind of keep it simple and just, Hey, let's run it.
75:55Let's shorten the game. Let's kind of get out of here.
75:58Um, or I should say, get out of here, but just kind of just pound the rock, control the game as much
76:04as we can and help out our backup offensive lineman.
76:07So I see a lot of screens and I see a lot of run game coming from this lines offense.
76:12I, this is maybe a hot take. I listen, it's not what you think.
76:16I kind of wish that the lions had been a little bit more serious about the running back to spot.
76:21I know that we're all like gushed about, Oh my God, Jameer Gibbs.
76:25He's going to, he's the runaway one Oh one in fantasy.
76:28And he, and he was, and he should have been, and he touched the ball 34 freaking times in week one, but
76:34he touched the ball 34 freaking times in week one.
76:36I know they had, again, there was an overtime game.
76:39It was wild. There's a lot of plays run on both sides, but they just, I mean, they have nothing at the running back to spot Isaiah Pacheco.
76:47I don't even think was a serious plan to begin with.
76:50And he's going to miss maybe the entire season.
76:52Like he's not going to be back for months.
76:54I mean, I'm, I am a little bit nervous about Jameer Gibbs.
76:58Not, I mean, listen, I'm not, I don't want to put anything negative in the air, but just about 34 times we're
77:04turning around our short week where Nate's like, we're going to saddle them up for a bunch of work again.
77:09Uh, it just makes me like, I do wish he just had somebody to give him a little bit of a breather.
77:15I understand why they moved off Montgomery, but. But this makes me like a touch nervous with Gibbs.
77:20Yeah. Pun intended. Uh, no, I really do think that, uh, no, I do think that I I'm too, he's not the biggest guy.
77:26This isn't Earl Campbell. This isn't Ricky Williams. This is not a 230 pounder built to last like that.
77:32You want him in space. You don't want him grinding out yards and on top of it, they have no one in protection.
77:38So he has to be out there for that.
77:40So it's, it's, they're a weird team. I am trying to figure out the contract.
77:44Oh, I know. Yeah. Thankfully he got paid. He's a hell of a player.
77:48The lines are just in a weird place right now.
77:51I am trying to figure them out. I really am.
77:53I, I want six weeks before I have strong lines takes because offensively and defensively, which we'll get to in a sec.
77:59So I, but I do think that they will ride him a little bit, not ride him, but just kind of control that game flow.
78:06And I really, I'm just curious how aggressive Leonard is.
78:09Yeah, no, I think that's totally fair. And I mean, it's just on the lines offense.
78:13Like we just, it's hard to talk to them from a fantasy standpoint, because we just know where the football is going.
78:19Like we know where the football is going. It's going to be that way.
78:23Uh, Isaac Tesla is like a sacrificial player. He's just out there.
78:26He's going to allow them to move these guys around.
78:29Like I'm on Ross St. Brown is a superstar.
78:31Jameer Gibbs. He had a bad game in week one.
78:34He's going to have bad games sometimes folks like in the aggregate, it ends up looking really good, but we know the
78:40journey to get there is, is like this it's up and down.
78:43And it's not just the stats perspective. Like he's a volatile player.
78:46He's one of these guys. That's a number two receiver, good number two receiver, but he's a number two because he's a volatile player.
78:53So whatever, like totally fine. I, and I think that there were enough, it was interesting to me, Nate, watching the bills
78:59defense where, I mean, Christian Benford is one of those guys that can ISO up on a receiver and, you know, he
79:05had his moments against Nico and things like that.
79:07But I mean, it's, he leaves you really vulnerable at the other cornerback two spots.
79:11So I think, and, and with this team, I'm not even saying like, Oh, that's going to be good for Jamison Williams.
79:17Cause I think this would be a big St.
79:20Brown game with just some of the miscommunications they had in coverage and the way they were really, and I, maybe they won't do it.
79:26I thought this was very strange. Like I'm not, it's Jim Leonard's first game.
79:30So I'm not taking shots at him, but it was kind of crazy how they were just kept shading to like outside leverage the whole time.
79:37And just, he just went crazy on them at in break.
79:40Cause I'm like, if you guys watch this, this, these two guys, they, they know on in breaking routes, like for the
79:46last three seasons, I did think that was a little strange.
79:49And that leads me to say like St. Brown is a guy who cooks on in breaking routes.
79:54Uh, James Williams, when he's rolling, he does his best stuff on the end cuts.
79:58Yes. And that's what Jared golf loves to throw.
80:00No, I'm with you. I, I couldn't find a prop.
80:03I liked the prices weren't great on all my wrestling Brown, but I think it's more of a him week this week.
80:09Cause I also could see crossers, you know, uh, chip up into crossers, you know, all those that he loves eating on.
80:15I could see some designer plays in the low red zone for him because it just how, uh, again, that quarters, it was a true shell.
80:22It was so strange. It's not what I expected out of Leonard.
80:25I, I just thought there was going to be a little bit more variety and he kind of like, well, I think
80:31he was just kind of like, all right, what do I got?
80:34That's what it felt like. Leonard was kind of like, what do I have on defense?
80:39All right. And then he'll adjust as the season goes along.
80:42But not now it's a short week. So usually there's carryover from week one into week two.
80:46So I expect more of the same into week two, um, or I'm sorry, if you're the short week, you know, usually
80:52you kind of carry over game plan going into a Thursday night game.
80:56So I expect more quarters. So to me, that's all my Ross St.
80:59Brown. Um, I don't see a lot of goes and stop routes to Jameson Williams.
81:03Jared Goff doesn't really throw the goes anyways. And I just think it's going to be those in breakers.
81:08And to me, that's all my Ross St. Brown.
81:11On the bill side of things, uh, with their offense, we haven't had a chance to talk about that bill's offense.
81:17I watched that game on Sunday. It was one of my games for the recap show.
81:21And I've watched it back since I'm really excited about what I saw at a Buffalo's offense on a Sunday.
81:26I mean, they were ripping it down the field, Dalton Kincaid, two catches for over 70 yards out of 13 personnel.
81:32Um, he I've dogged on Dalton Kincaid before for just being kind of a weird player and not being explosive or I
81:38thought he looked bigger and more explosive noticeably, uh, last week.
81:41So really excited to see him go against this defense in particular.
81:44I don't think they have somebody who can hang with him on the backend, DJ more immediate impact there.
81:49And they're one of these teams that went from 29th to 19th in my pace score primarily because they went from 32nd in seconds per play to eighth.
81:57Like they played faster. Their pass rate over expectation went up.
82:00It was pretty clear that the substitute teacher, Nate, the first thing he's going to do is going to get in there is throw that football.
82:07Okay. We're throwing the football now because Josh Allen's buddy is the head coach.
82:11I think that's going to continue going forward. Yeah.
82:13I mean, it was really impressive when they, they only had like a 30% rushing success rate.
82:18Which is the bills can really pound the rock.
82:20And so they, it's like, okay, we'll just, you know, use number 17 and what just, and I use this term.
82:26He created his own luck at moments, but that's what the best players do.
82:30You know, that throw to Galt and Cade and then DJ more, uh, going into the half.
82:34Like, so I, I'm, I'm really optimistic about what that offense looked like and what Josh Allen looked like.
82:39Cause I think that was the most he's pushed the ball in like five years in the game.
82:44Um, I had, Oh, here we go. They also had five.
82:47They also drew five combined defensive PIs, defensive holdings and illegal contacts.
82:50Um, but Josh Allen average 11.9 air yards per attempt, almost three yards past the sticks on average, 29% explosive pass rate.
82:56Um, this was the tie for the second highest amount of throws of 10 or more air yards in his entire career, 53.8%.
83:03And 27% of his throws went 20 or more air yards.
83:05It's there's going to still be that some of that screen stuff and some of that movement stuff, but I love the protection plan.
83:12The bills offense had, they were moving the pocket left and right.
83:15They weren't letting these guys tee off on them.
83:18So, and again, Joe Brady is feeling himself right now going into week one.
83:21He even said he wants to, I think he said, we're not going to put on a show.
83:26We're going to put on a clinic at home and the bill.
83:30So I think he's going to have, yeah, I know he's feeling himself right now.
83:34So did you see him pop his shirt off in the locker room?
83:37The white boy chain hang out. I like, he's like to see that.
83:41He's copying Ben Johnson a little too much. So it's like, yeah, well, it remains to be seen as the season goes
83:47along, but it's still a high floor. And I, it was like, they passed the first test is maybe the best way to put it.
83:53Or I could put it too. And I'm optimistic about how they'll look against this defense too, by the way.
83:59Yeah. Yeah. I want to come back to the defense point.
84:02It's just like with Joe Brady, it was, and I said this, I was like, I promise you guys, he doesn't want to do this.
84:08It's like everybody eats, rotate the personnel and like throw a bunch of bubble screens.
84:12This guy's got a really fun, interesting concept of plays.
84:15They just don't have any players. Now they have players and the buck stops with him.
84:20I think he can, he can control the joystick a little bit more.
84:23Obviously. I'll tell you what, Ben looks a little bit better with his shirt off than Joe Brady does.
84:28Joe, if you're going to pop the shirt off, you got to at least get a tan.
84:33All right. Got to at least, you know, you got to do it helps as someone that's half Irish, you know, that,
84:39that it does, it does help to try and try and get at least a little semblance of a tan.
84:44Cause mine doesn't usually stick as well. If you're listening to us on the audio side, we were on the, the YouTube,
84:50we had the Joe Brady shirtless pickup. So this is my thoughts on that, but like the scheme in week one, why
84:56do you like this offense against this defense in particular?
84:59Oh man. They're beat up on the back end.
85:01They're not extremely exotic defense that helps mitigate that.
85:04They're coming off a short week and it's Josh Allen, not Tyler Shuck.
85:07And it's a bills offense with a lot of returning players.
85:10And it's not a whole bunch of new faces.
85:12So like even some of my props, like I really like Khalil Shakir this week.
85:17Tyler Shuck last week when targeting the slot, when 12 of 17 for 197 yards, targeting the slot, 11.6 yards per attempt.
85:22Yeah. I really liked that. That's where Khalil Shakir gets some work.
85:26So I feel like it's going to be pepper in them.
85:29So it's 50 or more receiving yards plus 120 for Khalil Shakir.
85:32He's just one of the mouths I think is going to eat this week, but he's just the one I identified anytime touchdown to him as well.
85:39I could see a crossing route working to him.
85:42Just somewhere in the red zone, low red zone where, cause the lions like to run a lot of man coverage for
85:48better, for worse, even with backup fricking DBs in there.
85:50That's what they do. So I don't even know who's going to guard them in the slot.
85:55Like if they want to run man coverage, if they want to go zone, that's not what they're comfortable with.
86:00That's where Khalil Shakir does a lot of work.
86:03So that's a guy I've really ID'd. I like to don't Kade props if you want those as well.
86:08And on top of it, Josh Allen over 21 and a half completions.
86:11I think there's going to be some screens and some peppering.
86:14I think they're going to lead into dropping back.
86:17I don't think they're going away with that. And then also on top of that, this is really my more home run
86:23one is Josh Allen to score two or more touchdowns plus three 60, whether it's sneaks or whether it's a scramble in
86:29the red zone against all that man coverage, or, you know, what's really good against man coverage is design runs to the
86:35quarterback just because of how everybody flows with the tight ends and everything.
86:38Think Josh Allen can maybe get a couple of scores there on it with his legs.
86:42Ninth highest man coverage rate for the Lions on second to fourth down in week one.
86:47So, yeah, I think we'll see a lot of that.
86:49And it's a good call on Khalil Shakir, too.
86:52I noted that his route tree was definitely going a little bit deeper.
86:55He had two immediate deep shots, two catches for 45 yards on his first two catches.
87:00So good like fantasy sleeper here is Khalil Shakir in this matchup.
87:03All right. It sounds like we're both expecting a lot of points.
87:06I am excited to see this Thursday night football matchup.
87:09Nate, great show. Absolutely loved it. This was electric.
87:11Make sure to tune into football 301 tomorrow for our preview show there.
87:15We're going to be diving deep on a bunch of games and on this particular feature.
87:19Listen, you can you can consume two preview shows.
87:22All right, folks. Football 301 real life. This one fantasy.
87:24And we're going to cross pollinate the whole deal.
87:27Lots of real life fantasy along the way. It's going to be absolutely fantastic for our show tomorrow.
87:32Josh Norris joins me for a banger of a week to preview everything.
87:35You're going to need to know heading into week two slate of games.
87:39Until then, we are out.