0:00Big Show here for you today. It's gonna feel like a little bit of a June show, but I promise you this
0:06is gonna be an incredible and actionable August show here for you.
0:09Nate Tice joins me for the 10 players who are better in real life than fantasy football.
0:14Yeah, we're not gonna sit here and just break down the routes for Aidy Mitchell or Kalief Raymond or Wyle Quint Allen is a great pass blocking back.
0:22We're also gonna tell you all of those things, but how it will impact some of the fantasy football stars you are drafting.
0:28From those guys as teams. Plus we finish it up with Nate's offensive line rankings.
0:33You're not gonna want to miss who his number one offensive line is and the number one offensive line he is most
0:39concerned about after seeing preseason all that and more come up on today's show.
0:43Let's get into it. What's going on everyone? I'm Matt Harmon.
0:46Welcome to the Yahoo Fantasy Forecast and it is a hell of a day to talk ball and joining me to do
0:52just that is Nate Tice for a show. I've been very very excited about Nate.
0:56We're gonna talk about some guys who are better in real life than fantasy football and you know, I like to say
1:02that I have my feet in both camps, you know, in terms of the real life and fantasy football, you know, depending
1:08on the time of the year, I kind of shift where my lean is right now squarely in August.
1:14I'm pretty I'm in fantasy land for sure. But you Nate Tice are our resident real life football guy.
1:19So we're gonna be talking about some guys who are better real life today and some offensive linemen on the show as well.
1:25So it's a big one here, buddy. I'm very excited.
1:28Yeah, we're using a term here. And it's like real life vultures and we get we can come up with a real better one off this.
1:35I've been really trying to brainstorm one. I'm kind of brain dead right now.
1:39But may I need to read Red Rising to juice up my brain.
1:43You know, that's some that's some vocab in there.
1:46But no, I am very excited for this one.
1:48Because I feel like every time I'm on the show with you, and it blends together on football three one sometimes, where I'm asking like, even a question.
1:56I'm like, Oh, I should ask this question through a fancy lens, because I'm actually curious on that side.
2:01But also, there's times I talk about a player usually blocking tight ends, a little bit of hit here where I'm like,
2:07in real football terms, this guy's a very valuable player, but fantasy, I'm not sure here.
2:12So very fun to kind of like really focus on it on and on those kind of players today.
2:17Right. And sometimes, though, these guys end up turning into fantasy players, right?
2:21I mean, I bring up the AJ Barner example all the time where sometimes, listen, you're going to give him a couple
2:27of weeks every now and again, because he's a real boy who can block in line and be that traditional wide tight end.
2:33That's that's kind of the guys we're talking about here.
2:36It's not just going to be a list of 10 players who are going to vulture touchdowns at the goal line.
2:42We might talk about a handful of those running backs here.
2:45But that's another thing that I when we get into this, I really want to focus on both like kind of the archetype.
2:51Of the player that we're talking about and how that also informs the overall offensive ecosystem.
2:56So there we're not just talking about 10 players who absolutely do not matter in fantasy.
3:00I promise that is not going to be the show that we are going to have today.
3:05Another promise that I can have for you people out there is that this weekend is going to be the best weekend of your life.
3:12Yes, that's a Matt Harmon guarantee. If there is an if though, if you show up to the Yahoo fantasy draft weekend
3:18presented by verse because it is coming to Dick's house of sport in the Buffalo area on Saturday, August 29th, 3 to 7 p.m.
3:25I'm going to be there. Justin Boone. He is obviously going to be there.
3:29He's a little skip away from the Buffalo area.
3:31All right. Josh Norris is going to be coming along with me to the big event Yahoo fantasy draft weekend.
3:37So if you get ready for your draft, you got some friends.
3:40You have nothing to do on Saturday. You have no friends.
3:43Come down. Make some friends. Okay. We'll be your friends.
3:46Certainly for the weekend for sure because we all love fantasy football.
3:49We all love versed. We all love Dick's house of sport in the Buffalo area and that is where we're going to
3:56be Amherst, New York Saturday, August 29th, 3 p.m.
3:58I will see you there or I will be offended.
4:01The only reason Nate that it's not going to be the best.
4:04I said it's going to be the best weekend of people's lives.
4:08The only thing that could make it better is if you were there, you know, so that's the sad part.
4:13Oh, that's really nice of you. Yeah. Screw you, Colin.
4:16It's just me being there. No, I appreciate it because especially right now.
4:20Good time to get into New York before. Four turns.
4:22Four turns quickly before that weather goes south. No, no, but it's also a great time up there.
4:27Have you been to like upstate New York, western New York at all?
4:31Nope. Ever? Nope. Nope. Only been to New York City.
4:34So this will be a first for me. So I mean, I'm looking forward to it.
4:38I'm gassed up about it. I'm going to like it.
4:41I'm going to like it. I'm going to like it even better.
4:44But they've all moved. They've all moved to Florida because they retired.
4:48But no, classic New Yorkers. No, but it's going to be a great time.
4:52I actually do wish I was going. I'm excited to get my travel cap back on now that my daughter is getting a little bit older.
4:59I've been kind of bobbing and weaving around travel for a while.
5:02But now I'm excited to kind of spread my wings, get back onto the flights again of maybe the spring.
5:08No offense to my family. I love them. Just say I'm excited to do a little bit of a traveling coming up.
5:14Well, I'm certainly excited for it. You know, we got a big game in February.
5:18I'm sure we'll see each other there. There'll be a little bit traveling coming.
5:22You know, the big game as they call it.
5:25Okay, let's waste no more time. Yeah, talk about that.
5:27Right. Let's waste no more time. We got we got a big show here.
5:31We got things to talk through. We got our 10 vultures here.
5:35What is a vulture? This is somebody who is better in real life than they are in fantasy.
5:40When you're watching the games on Sunday, they're going to get some snaps, some targets, some opportunities.
5:44You're going to be ripping your hair out a little bit.
5:48But also for a couple of mine, Nate, I kind of wanted to say like these are the type of players who fulfill a use to the ecosystem.
5:55They bring some that drink. That's your first one.
5:58They bring some value to the ecosystem overall, which actually can help clarify the roles and the opportunities for some of the
6:04other players that you guys actually care about in your fantasy lineups.
6:07But that's not the case for the first one that you I mean, you're starting off aggressive.
6:12You're coming in hot here with your first better in real life player than fantasy football.
6:17We're sticking with running backs here for our first two.
6:19So who's your first one here? I'm going and this is more not the actual player because I'm not a big fan of this player.
6:26It's maybe the role on a team, which is we usually think of a spell back as like the scat back pass catcher type.
6:33But in the Lions system and the Lions offense, they kind of have that true kind of goal line back that short yardage back that pass protection back.
6:41That was David Montgomery. That's been Jamal Williams before that.
6:44They like having the classic one to punch of thunder and lightning.
6:47Jameer Gibbs can do a little bit of everything, but we talked to this on God now.
6:52Truly, the show is merged together at one point recently about Jameer Gibbs.
6:55And I pointed out, too, that he allowed the highest pressure rate of all running backs last year.
7:00David Montgomery is gone. Pacheco is not amazing in pass protection, but I think that like he's still fine enough that that might be his role.
7:08He might vulture the classic vulture of touchdowns. So that's the thing.
7:11As good as Jameer Gibbs is and he is that good, he's going to get a lot of touches.
7:16I still think there will be those moments where I don't know if frustrating is the word, but there will be a
7:22role for whoever the backup running back is. They just had the visit with Kareem Hunt as well, which is kind of
7:29funny that Pacheco and Kareem Hunt have to be paired together.
7:32But that's why I just want to like say this all as backup running backs as opposed to one of those, because
7:38no matter what, there is that role for the two in the Lions backfield.
7:42Well, the Kareem Hunt visit is the one that I almost kind of wanted to dial in on here, because to me,
7:48Nate, when I think about what the Lions do want in the complimentary back, they don't really.
7:53I mean, do they really have a need for a guy like an Isaiah Pacheco who, you know, no disrespect, but is it?
7:59It's like a fine player, a hard runner, the whole deal.
8:02But is he the exact type of gritty short yardage back that David Montgomery has been?
8:07Is he the past protector that David Montgomery has been?
8:09In my opinion, probably not. But you know who is this version of Kareem Hunt?
8:14And that's why when I saw that one go off, I'm immediately thinking not to I shouldn't even say this.
8:19I shouldn't even manifest it. Should not put it out into the universe.
8:23But I mean, yeah, I had the exact reaction here from Obsession that the Yahoo fantasy handle pose, which, by the way, I watched Obsession.
8:30So there's a movie I've seen. Did you watch that?
8:33Yeah, a movie. I really watch. I've watched the Odyssey and Obsession over the last month.
8:37I mean, I'm I'm I'm cooking in terms of the movies.
8:40You already filled your quota. The Odyssey was your quota for movies for three hours worth of movie.
8:45And it's like, well, did it. That's it. Pretty much the entire year.
8:49But that was the first time I've been in a movie theater.
8:52Obsession was good. Obsession was good. I really I actually really enjoyed it.
8:56It was it was it was an uncomfortable watch at times, but but a good one.
9:00But this scene, again, if you haven't seen the movie, it's a you've probably seen the meme when she's no, no, no, no, no.
9:07That is I. I had that thought when I saw the Kareem Hunt visit, because like I said, I shouldn't even put this out in the air.
9:14But this is the exact type of vulture that the Lions kind of do need and would certainly not like nobody that
9:21drafts Jameer Gibbs at number one overall would enjoy seeing a cream hunt sign here.
9:25Yeah, I think there's gonna be those moments where people are gonna be mad that that also there's cream hunt in the
9:31one yard touchdown has eight carries for 18 yards or 21 yards, but one touchdown.
9:35And Jameer Gibbs finished with 17 carries and over 100 yards.
9:38You know, it can lead to that. It's the classic vulture.
9:41It really is. But there this has been something that they have highly valued.
9:45They know Gibbs is gonna be a big engine for them.
9:48They want to rebuild that run game that lacked a lot of efficiency last year.
9:52Cream hunt for some of his warts has been Mr.
9:55Efficient in that chief's offense. It's just that he hasn't been explosive at all.
9:59So, yeah, no, I really do think that this is gonna be a very real role on this team.
10:04It just yeah, it's just how much how much are they gonna eat into it?
10:09But do you think it's gonna be real? Yeah, they didn't give Pacheco barely any money whatsoever.
10:13None. Cardinals released Trey Benson earlier this week. Yeah, that to me is like the obvious connection would be, oh, does he follow Drew Petsing to Detroit?
10:21But that's not really the type of skill set.
10:23Yeah, that's yeah. Jameer Gibbs is like the Hulk version of what Trey Benson theoretically should be.
10:28They kind of need a James Conner grinder short yardage pass protection back.
10:32And, you know, it's a little bit like, all right, it's last call.
10:35Got to get somebody here. And that might be Kareem Hunt, essentially.
10:39Yep, I think so. Oh, man, no, the James Conner connection is, I mean, more real.
10:43But I care. Jeremiah loves injury probably might slow that down slightly.
10:47But, you know, they feel okay if they're getting rid of Trey Benson, you know, as far as what Conner's health is or what that back.
10:54They're talking about the Cardinals right now, too. That's a good shot.
10:57But I mean, it's like anyway, I'm trying to even just think who else might get pinched in some backfields.
11:03You know, you look at Washington and like what's going to go on with their backfield and everything like just like someone might get dropped off for there.
11:11So, yeah, I just think that you just keep an eye out for whoever they end up going with in this backfield for the Lions.
11:18But also, I just think if you have Gibbs, I know Gibbs is going at one or two at worst.
11:23Yeah. Really keep an eye out for this because otherwise would a Kareem Hunt signing?
11:27Would a Kareem Hunt signing just brass tacks like cause you to flip B.
11:31John Gibbs because right now consensus ranking is pretty much everywhere.
11:34It's Gibbs number one B. John number two, and it's been a pretty hard and fast like one, two.
11:40I know for me personally, I don't think it would be enough, but it at least is something to think about.
11:45Would that cause you to maybe flip a Robinson and a Gibbs here?
11:49It would just I would still stick with Gibbs slightly, but it has always been at one.
11:54And anyone beefed me because I just think Bajan is just like more bulletproof in the weirdest way because of just what
12:00he can do and just his build and everything.
12:02Like, I just think I think he is more no matter what, his situation is going to be fine.
12:08Like Brian Robinson. I think Algier is a better player than Brian Robinson.
12:11I think just their situation to a little bit more diverse run game a little bit could be cool as well.
12:17So, man, maybe maybe that out. I'm talking it out.
12:20Maybe, maybe slightly. But I still think Gibbs is the guy just because that offense in Detroit's gonna be phenomenal.
12:26And Atlanta might be starting my guy Jack Strand from Minnesota Moorhead.
12:29You know, that that has to go to account for it.
12:32Yeah. And the Lions defense is gonna be bad this year.
12:35And they play a whole bunch of good weather games.
12:38So it's more just buying into the offense as well.
12:41That's why it wouldn't be enough for me personally.
12:43And honestly, you could even because kind of in our theme here about players who are better in real life than in fantasy.
12:50If this is Kareem Hunt, again, we're almost working in a hypothetical here with our first vulture.
12:54But in a way, you can sort of galaxy brain this to say that.
12:58Well, because Jameer Gibbs, as you pointed out, has gotten better, but it's still kind of not a net positive.
13:04Certainly, let's put it that way in pass protection, having a pass protection back actually might take the offense from being I
13:10think I had them ranked number two or three in our top 10 offenses and like maybe make them the best offense in the league.
13:17If they can just mount some more drives because Jared Goff doesn't get blasted on third down with pass protection.
13:23You know, they punch in some goal line attempts there.
13:25Again, you could sort of galaxy brain it. But but obviously, that's the value you're hoping to get from a player of this archetype.
13:32But it's funny. We actually have a couple of easy transitions here because we've talked Cardinals backfield.
13:37We talked Bijan Robinson, who no longer will be playing with Tyler Algier, but Tyler Algier will be in that Arizona Cardinals backfield.
13:43He's my first player to mention here for this particular if we want to call it award, you know, often players that
13:49are better in real life than in fantasy football.
13:52The funny thing is Tyler Algier has actually had some moments in fantasy.
13:56He's even had a thousand year season on his resume.
13:58He's been a valid flex player for a couple of years.
14:01I've had some good weeks with him just like he's like, all right, I got to play this guy as a flex.
14:08Yeah, but he gets he gets kind of bucketed in that irritating vulture, you know, kind of mold.
14:13My thought has been usually this type of vulture, quote unquote, Nate.
14:16Like if you can't handle Bijan Robinson seeding a few carries to Tyler Algier, you got to get another hobby.
14:21I mean, you got to just be able to live with that.
14:25I've said that's even more so about David Montgomery and Jameer Gibbs.
14:28Like if you're if you rostered Jameer Gibbs last few years and you can't handle like David Montgomery, who's a really quality back getting in there.
14:35I mean, sorry, you got to you. You're not cut out for fantasy football.
14:39I hate to say it, but that's how I feel about Tyler Algier because he's a really good, valid quality player.
14:45He's just never he's not dynamic in the passing game.
14:48I'm curious what you think about like his we've even got a post from you here saying every team with any semblance
14:54of a question mark at the running back position should be calling the Cardinals about Tyler Algier.
14:59Now that's probably not going to happen because, you know, Jeremiah loves dealing with the injuries, although we did.
15:04We did get a video of Jeremiah Love carrying some pizzas up a up a up a flight of stairs.
15:10I think I saw the video on social media.
15:12You know that you know that fantasy Twitter is mega tilted over injuries when I saw a lot of people be like ankles looking good on Jeremiah.
15:20I love carrying. I mean, how many pizzas is that?
15:23I can't be talking because I've been scouring. Daniel Jones Colts videos.
15:26Oh, I know. Have I have I told you that?
15:29Yeah, I think I have told you is that the Colts media social media team started editing, squeezing a lot of those
15:35videos that I can't see the lower body now.
15:37I don't know. I know they listen to the pod Colts dot com.
15:41There's a few members that listen to the pod.
15:44So I don't know. But no, I love the pizza.
15:46The pizza video is great because it reminded me of Nate Burleson when he dropped the pizzas and got hurt.
15:52Remember like in the car? Yeah, that's why I thought that was going because I hadn't seen that video yet.
15:57So that's great. But no, back to Algier. Algier is a coach's favorite to doesn't fumble.
16:02Great protection catches kind of everything. I can't. But like you say, he's not going to like you're not going to run choice routes for him.
16:09He's more just a check down screen guy. I think I just even looked up.
16:13He's 83rd in target rate over the last three years among 103 running backs.
16:17But having said that, he's 13th in success rate per snap.
16:20So when he's on the field, he is just a steady.
16:23He's just above Bucky Irvin, just above Aaron Jones and just below Blake Corum, Josh Jacobs and James Cook.
16:29So he's in great territory. He's going to be.
16:31Yeah, I love how you just put it. If you're not if you can't handle his 30% touches and yeah, he's very effective.
16:38So that's the thing. It's not like it's like, why are you giving this guy all these?
16:42Oh, you're wasting a whole series with these carries.
16:45It's like, no, he's a good player. It's actually frustrating for me as a and we're talking about real football sense again.
16:51I've never understood his market. Actually, the Cardinals have a few guys like that.
16:55Roy Lopez, who we talked about yesterday. I just don't understand these guys markets and Algiers supposed to be a great guy.
17:01But yeah, that's a sidebar conversation. But no, he's going to have a role.
17:05He's good at everything, too. As far as short yardage, he can handle early down work.
17:10He's got the pass protection stuff. So he's going to have a role on this team.
17:14They're going to it's going to be like Blake Corum last year with Kyron Williams.
17:18I think where he has that 30% share, just like he had with Bajon and Elena.
17:23Yeah, he's kind of the Pierre Thomas guy for me, where I always thought with Pierre Thomas.
17:27Just dating back to his time with the New Orleans.
17:30And it's like, man, he's just a good running back.
17:33Good runner. I thought with Pierre Thomas. And I mean, obviously, let's be clear.
17:37I wasn't doing the deepest of deep scouting work back in the day when he was playing for the New Orleans Saints.
17:43But just I thought he was good player. Good back.
17:46And somebody that was also like you said, he's going to catch everything that's thrown his way.
17:51He's just not necessarily going to be the guy that you run the choice routes with.
17:55If that was obviously like, you know, there were plenty of different backs doing that for the New Orleans Saints.
18:01Yeah, Sproles. Back in the day. Yeah, plenty, plenty of guys.
18:04Right. However, when you think about a Pierre Thomas type, he was never truly that guy in fantasy.
18:09But he had like 909 scrimmage yards, 1095 yards from scrimmage, 987.
18:12I mean, there he definitely had some moments. Right.
18:15And I think there was like an outcome for Tyler Algier to be that guy.
18:19But he just kind of got stuck in this.
18:21He had a thousand yards as a rookie for Arthur Smith and a pretty good run game.
18:26And then they're like, yeah, but we can get like even better than that.
18:30And that was essentially where they got B. John Robinson.
18:33And my question to you that I wanted to ask you specifically about this archetype of fantasy vulture, better in real life, whatever player.
18:39I love this player. Really fond of him. We've talked about him on the pod.
18:44We've had him on the pod. I know you have been excited about this player.
18:48I kind of think this is the destiny for Broncos rookie running back Jonah Coleman, too, is to be probably a Pierre Thomas type.
18:54Where, look, if the Broncos offense went as wild as the Saints, maybe he could have a few thousand yards from scrimmage,
19:01900 yards from scrimmage type of seasons. But I can also see a destiny where he's a Tyler Algier.
19:06You know, people who watch running backs, watch them like we do.
19:09And you talk about them from a man good decision making standpoint.
19:13They catch everything. They're good in pass protection, which is basically the Jonah Coleman scouting report.
19:17We talk about him on this fantasy show, but he never truly becomes like a real fantasy football difference maker.
19:23I mean, I kind of can see that future for a guy like Jonah Coleman.
19:27Totally. No, I would say Coleman's got God. No, they're actually very, very similar.
19:31And it's again, it's the type of running back I always fall for because I just think they're high floor back.
19:37Like, that's the best way to put it. High floor, low ceiling back.
19:40Coach's favorite. They can play every role where you're just like, OK, they're not.
19:44Sometimes they don't move the needle completely, but they're not negative.
19:47And sometimes when you have a team that has a lot more like, OK, guys, aces out there, those are the best players for you.
19:54It's like, we don't need you to be a star.
19:57Just do your job. No, Coleman. I mean, champagne won't shut up about him.
20:01Davis Webb won't shut up about him. So it's like one of those.
20:05And also, you just look. That's more of an opportunity backfield, too, with the Broncos, because, you know, RJ Harvey is just going to have his role.
20:12And then I think J.K. Dobbins is always a ticking time bomb.
20:15So it's just that's where I think Coleman has a role.
20:18But that's. Yeah. Like Coleman's going to be the guy that's like he's always going to leave you wanting just a little bit more.
20:25And he's always going to need another guy with a little bit more juice in that backfield, which is supposed to be Harvey in theory.
20:32But we'll see down the road. But no, that's no.
20:35That's a great comparison. It really is. Might be relevant this year, though.
20:39Might be. Oh, yeah, he might be. But like I said, Tyler, his year had a thousand yards in his rookie season
20:45and gave people some weeks in fantasy. Touchdowns, too.
20:47Didn't you have like eight touchdowns, too? Yeah. Yeah.
20:50I can't. I can't remember off the top of my head.
20:53I love to have an old year that rookie year.
20:56That was one of my favorites. One of my favorite fantasy stashes ever, like stash waiver stashes ever.
21:01And I feel like Jonah Coleman could have one of those seasons this year.
21:05But then it's like, as Hayden Winks has said on the show previously, it's like a little bit of a, well, you
21:11know, he he might not necessarily he'll get talked about.
21:13It's like, oh, you got to pick this guy up off the waiver wire.
21:17He's an immediate running back. One of J.K. Dobbins gets hurt.
21:20But he's more just really good running back to I think type.
21:24If not, also, then he has that. Let's just we're living in a hypothetical world where, yeah, Dobbins misses five games or something like that.
21:31He has something this, that and the other. OK, he has a good stretch.
21:35But then the Broncos still upgrade on him in the offseason.
21:38And you think about that from like a dynasty fantasy football perspective there.
21:41So, yeah, I think this is a really good archetype of better in real life player that people need to know, because
21:48especially for this show, which I'm proud that we are this show in the fantasy space where we kind of toe the line between real life and fantasy.
21:55We can sometimes maybe over index. I know I certainly do.
21:58I'm right there with you. I love the coach's favorite back of the Pierre Thomas award winner.
22:03I love those backs. I've been high on Algier previously.
22:06I'm really high on Coleman. But again, just a little disclaimer for these guys when it comes to fantasy upside.
22:12But with that, we are going to take our first quick break.
22:15We come back. We're going to get into a couple of wide receivers, two very different wide receivers.
22:20We'll get into that right after this. All right, we're back.
22:23Next guy up here, Nate, is a member of the Chicago Bears, which we have talked.
22:27I feel like talk the Bears to death. Okay, since the end of the regular season from a fantasy standpoint, my keep
22:34saying all your Bears just draft them all, baby.
22:36Let's go. But I probably have only brought this player's name up in relation to the guy that they drafted in the
22:42third round this year, who I think is his future replacement.
22:45But yes, let's get into your next guy here.
22:48That's better in real life than fantasy. It was great, too, because as I put him in the dock, producer Colin was like, hey, what about this guy?
22:56And I was like, ah, I got him in there.
22:58And that's Khalif Raymond, who another coach's favorite, a Ben Johnson favorite.
23:02But every coach has loved him when he was in Tennessee.
23:05Arthur Smith. They loved him like they always had a role.
23:08There goes to Detroit. It was always a signing.
23:10I really liked because I was like, why isn't this guy getting more of a role?
23:15He just kind of fills every gap. He for a guy of his build is also able to do a lot more dirty work stuff.
23:22I mean, this is a great quote from Ben Johnson.
23:25That's exactly right. He's most selfless player I've ever been around.
23:28That's how he plays. But he actually has some juice.
23:31You know, usually these guys are these scrappy, burly, slow Jonah Coleman's Tyler.
23:34How old years at running back old Robert Woods, you know, those types of players, not a guy with actual twitch.
23:40That's been a returner that has those types of things.
23:43So he's just it's hard to describe this because I think Loveland and those two receivers are going to have roles no matter what.
23:50But also you have guys that have injury history at Dunes.
23:53Now, I think Burns has battled some stuff as well.
23:55Loveland battled stuff last year and in college. So but Raymond's Mr.
23:59Reliable. So he just kind of always is going to be relevant.
24:02Ben Johnson designs touches for him. Yeah, at least he did in Detroit, like loves designing some like special touches for him.
24:08So just another guy that's where he's like, he's he's your ideal number three.
24:12If you have a top three of Loveland and two receivers, you know, number three receiver, I should say.
24:17But he's your best kind of auxiliary player fills every role.
24:21Got enough juice that you don't mind the ball going his way.
24:24And I think that's going to happen sometimes. I mean, remember how many third downs the keyist was getting last year?
24:30Like Johnson doesn't care. He's going to go to what he thinks is reliable.
24:34It's going to work. So. I said last year when they signed.
24:37I know I tweeted this out there like people can find that when they signed Alameda Zaccheaus and then they signed Devin Duvernay last year.
24:44I was like, oh, yeah, people keep talking about like who's going to be the next.
24:48I'm on Ross St. Brown in this offense is like, no, Ben Johnson's clearly looking for the next version of Khalif Raymond in this offense.
24:55And then one year later, he's like, forget it.
24:58I'm just going to go get me the real version.
25:01I'll just get the real thing. And like I said, I'm pretty sure they drafted Xavier Thomas to be like the next Khalif Raymond, which number one.
25:08I mean, for Khalif Raymond. Seems like. Yeah. Oh, they do.
25:11You thought he was interesting, but they've been. I might be wrong, but at least the last time I checked in on
25:17him, it's been very positive, at least around Thomas.
25:20Yeah, especially during OTAs in mini camp, you know, when, of course, a speed guy like that is going to thrive.
25:26But no, I think he's got some real juice from Xavier Thomas.
25:29He could be the long term three here. But I mean, for a Khalif Raymond standpoint, I mean, see, there it is.
25:35There's look at the producers here. Instantly found. I know they're on it, man.
25:39They're looking for their Khalif Raymond type. And now he's got the real version of it.
25:44But yeah, I mean, Raymond had a couple of seasons, you know, with Tennessee Titans, like 3.15 yards per route run.
25:50Super small sample size, but still 3.15 yards per route run.
25:531.911 with the Lions. 2.08 with the Lions. He's definitely been.
25:56It's fallen off a little bit. And again, I think these speed guys do shine there.
26:00There's two guys that get maybe a little overhyped in training camp.
26:04And I talk about this a lot. It's the contested catch types.
26:07Jacoby Lane is proving me right on a daily basis.
26:10Our boy Denzel Boston is proving me right on a daily basis.
26:13And then a guy like this, the speed little fast guys in the padless practices.
26:17The beat writers usually always over gas these guys up.
26:20Not to say they're not going to be good NFL players.
26:23So I think all of those players I talked about are going to be good NFL players to some degree.
26:29Khalif Raymond already has been. Honestly, Nate, from a fantasy standpoint, this is actually the perfect type of receiver to be the
26:35third receiver for a team where we want a concentrated target tree.
26:38Because Raymond is never going to be a highly, highly involved player with the 2021 Detroit Lions.
26:43He had a career high 71 targets that year.
26:45And it pretty much went down every single season since.
26:48And that's kind of how it goes for a guy like this where he's super useful.
26:53And even to the point that I've talked about the sacrificial X receiver, Nate.
26:57This is kind of like the sacrificial speed. Not like the sacrificial off ball player.
27:01You know, I've talked about Jimmy Horn being one of these guys, but it's almost like good for an offense to have
27:07a player like this because it opens up the vertical stuff without them having to sacrifice the X like a Roma Dunze
27:13or the when Colson Lovell incredibly lines up at X.
27:16So I know that was like a long diatribe about this.
27:19But yeah, I kind of like this actually being this is one of my favorite third receiver archetypes right now.
27:24Same. And he also it's a three and D guy in basketball.
27:28He can take he can attack vertically and he block and do the scrappy stuff.
27:32So it's like that's you need these role players around your stars because he can play inside outside.
27:37He can because he can take the top off.
27:40Then you know where the ball usually goes the intermediate areas.
27:43So then the guys that you want in those juicy touches, the Roman Duzes, the Luther Burns, the Colson Lovelins, they get the juicy touches.
27:50Shanahan, the Shanahan offenses have always liked these types of guys.
27:53And then Sean Payton has always had this kind of archetype that he goes after.
27:57He likes everybody in these kind of roles like you are the speed guy.
28:01You do this. And I do this to you every single time.
28:04I always forget the guy's name. The 2016 Falcons had a little undersized guy that takes the top off the defense.
28:10And I tell you every single time. Thank you.
28:13And that's the guy that is the ideal speed burner.
28:15Open it up for everybody else guy. And also I think about two with Cleef Raymond was Tennessee Titans days.
28:21He played in those kind of heavy personnel packages with Arthur Smith, with A.J.
28:25Brown, you know, with Corey Davis. And he was the third guy, the speed guy.
28:29This is an offense that's going to just drafted another tight end.
28:32They're going to leave in those heavy personnels. They're going to live in 12.
28:36They're going to do 22. I bet you there's some concepts where they go one receiver on the field and it's Khalif Raymond.
28:43And Colson Loveland split out. Love running the over.
28:45And Raymond's running the deep route. And he might get a target on that.
28:49But I bet you there's going to be a play with that.
28:52No, he's going to have a role. It's just.
28:55And I justifiably. He's like the Tyrell Algear of receivers.
28:58It's like. It's like. That's. That's kind of how it is.
29:01There's. He's a deserved coach's favorite. And like I said, just to hammer the fantasy point home here.
29:06I love when this is the third receiver on a team, because, again, you're going to get some looks.
29:11You can live with that. But when we look up at the end of the season, he'll probably have.
29:16Not even a 10 percent target share, and that's going to mostly go to the guys that we actually are drafting in fantasy.
29:23But he will make the offense better because of the roles that he can play here.
29:27I'm going to skew in a complete different receiver direction with this next player that I'm going to nominate here.
29:33And I'm going to say 80 Mitchell not only is a better real life than fantasy player, even though he's kind of
29:39a very up and down real life player. Yeah.
29:42But I also think this this is like just a fascinating archetype of receiver to talk about in this regard.
29:47And I actually think he's a good late round pick in fantasy this year.
29:51There's a, you know, I think he's a good late round pick in fantasy.
29:55But I do always just wonder about the target ceiling of this type of player where the flashes are excellent.
30:01And I hear so here's his reception perception man coverage zone coverage press coverage splits.
30:05Press coverage 82nd percentile success rate. Awesome man coverage 65th percentile success rate versus zone coverage.
30:09Sixth percentile. And this is like the this is this type of X receiver.
30:13Doesn't this make a lot of sense? I mean, you scouted him in college.
30:17I felt that this was the exact that's a more of a funhouse mirrors version of it.
30:22But this was the exact type of player that he was a prospect.
30:25He was as a rookie with the Colts. And he's definitely this type of player, obviously, with the New York Jets and
30:32a little bit with the Colts last year as well.
30:34And these type of guys, I think the flashes are always there and they are actually helpful to the offense because you
30:40he's one of the rare receivers neighbors. Like, I don't need to see him do anything other than just play X.
30:46I don't need to see him in the slot.
30:49I don't need to see him run an option because of that success rate versus zone.
30:53That's just like not his strength. But you line it up and just say, hey, go win against press man coverage.
30:59And obviously, he needs to be a little bit better at the catch point.
31:03That's for sure. But, you know, make plays down the football field.
31:06Great. We're going to help the offense in that regard.
31:09And that's going to also then allow us to move around our superstar receiver, have a clear cut slot, which I think they're going to have this year.
31:17So, yeah, I just like this player helps an offense in real life.
31:21It also can be productive when you throw them the football.
31:24He's actually had like a high targets per route run over his career, but from a consistently putting up fantasy production, I
31:30do kind of think that can that maybe is a little bit hit or miss.
31:34Oh, yeah, no, but he could be that late season, midseason dart throw where you need you got some bye weeks going on schedule stuff injuries.
31:41Watch him the preseason as well. I have been a guy, you know, everybody had to pick a Texas guy when they came out.
31:48It was him or Xavier Worthy. And if anyone's followed my scouting, I'm probably not going to prefer the guy that's 160 pounds.
31:54So it's like it was pretty, you know, default.
31:57But I did think that Mitchell, though, had a lot of twitch and was one of those guys that was an eye test guy over underlying stats.
32:04And also you had to understand the frustrations with him, which is why he was trade fodder.
32:09And you see that with his play. The Jets situation was the most consistent I've ever seen him play.
32:15And they probably just streamlined his role. And they're just like, hey, we can't give you a big playbook anyways.
32:20You got traded midseason. All right, run this. I watched him the preseason.
32:24It's so funny how you just listed all those stats.
32:27And I could tweet out a three play sequence where he has two catches in the preseason.
32:31And then he has a third play where they run a stick concept, which is a very simple concept.
32:37So one guy runs a quick out. One guy runs a flat.
32:40Everybody runs it. You've seen it. Even if you don't know what that concept is, you've seen it 500 times this preseason because everybody runs it.
32:47Aidy Mitchell has a botch on it. And that's where I'm like, therein lies the rub.
32:52Why he can't beat zone is because when he has to work in combo with somebody else, he blacks out.
32:57And like, yeah. If they change personnel groupings and like maybe he has to be the F or the X or Z or something like that.
33:04And they change the formation and get to a funky formation.
33:08I can see his brain pop. Some guys are just like that.
33:11They just don't have that kind of like the spatial figuring that out.
33:15And that's exactly him in a nutshell. It was two awesome plays.
33:18He's like, he beats, he runs a comeback, torches this guy man to man.
33:22And it's like, oh, there we go, A.D. Yeah.
33:24And then it's like three plays later, against zone, he botches his route.
33:28And it's like, yep, this is A.D. Mitchell in a nutshell.
33:31So he's going to be a splat, just like he was with the Jets last year.
33:35He had those games where he had like three plays, 100 yards, touchdown.
33:39And then there's going to be games where it's one catch on seven targets.
33:43And it would be so frustrating. But I do think there's so much talent here.
33:47It's just, God, it's just not really the great team situation.
33:50Having said all this, the Jets actually looked decent in preseason.
33:53Oh, they looked great in preseason. They looked actually good.
33:56And it was very real good. Like it wasn't just like, you know, they're running really good plays and everybody else is running basic stuff.
34:03The players actually look pretty decent. Gino's operating decent.
34:06The whole line looked okay. Yeah, I don't know.
34:08They could be an interesting, fancy bad team. But again, it's the Jets.
34:12It's the fell for it again award. I don't want to be that guy.
34:16Totally. I saw Garrett Wilson saying today that he's going to look back with like a lot of fondness about this Frank
34:22Reich offense one day, which is, by the way, kind of similar to what he said about Mike LaFleur's offense many years ago.
34:28And I'm like, it's a little funny that number one, clearly Garrett's never looking back with fondness on the Aaron Rodgers, you know, Nathaniel Hackett offense experience.
34:36That's number one. Number two, I'm like, Garrett, you're already sounding like, you know, you know, our buddy Kevin Clark says pre-fired,
34:42you know, you're like, you're talking like about Frank Reich as if he's pre-fired.
34:46You're already pre-fired. Someday I'm going to look back on this in fondness.
34:49But yeah, I think that there's definitely something to that.
34:52I mean, is Geno Smith like this year's the quarterback reclamation project that he's been before?
34:57Like this year, Sam Darnold, you know, something like that.
35:00I think it's possible. This year's Baker Mayfield. This year's Geno Smith.
35:03Yeah, this year's Geno Smith. We've had that. Yeah, we've had that guy before.
35:07And I definitely think that is possible. Just to close the loop on Aidy Mitchell, though, I will say, you know, he
35:13is a more exaggerated version than this player. But the guy that I compared him to as a prospect and this player
35:19also had very similar success rate splits early on his career.
35:22This was like what George Pickens was early, early on with the Steelers where yes, when you lined him up in a
35:28combative and some guys just come alive like this, like combative man press coverage situations, the best would come out of him.
35:34But you ask him to run routes against zone.
35:37It's like, oh, my God, where's the pace? It's an ISO ball.
35:40Yeah, exactly. Watch a basketball player that only think that thinks everything's one on one and they're great at they think everything's
35:46Kobe or MJ and hey, it's like late 90s, early 2000s NBA, like everything's ISO ball.
35:51But it's and so that's an X. That's how traditional X lives.
35:54But now everyone runs cloud and cover two and quarters and three.
35:58And so now it's like you have to work in unison.
36:01You have to move around the formation. You have to run routes and combos with guys.
36:05And that's where you can see some of these guys not understand that.
36:09Oh, I have to get to this depth on a dig route because I have to help out the underneath route.
36:15I have to get to this depth on the corner route because I have to help out the other route.
36:20I'm working in unison with some guys like Pickens.
36:23I'm an X. I'm winning against you, man. One on one.
36:26Like, let's go, baby. And so, yeah, some guys just don't maybe see the big picture.
36:30Pickens maybe saw a little bit of a bigger picture.
36:33Maybe he gets into a situation where he got forced to see the talent shine.
36:37Yeah, I think so. And that can be part of it, too.
36:41But even still, like Pickens just follows the general pattern of better in man impressed than in zone.
36:46Even last year, it's just he's gotten a little like a little bit better every year.
36:50And so that's what 80 needs to do. He needs to not be sixth percentile.
36:54He needs to be 35th percentile or something. And then we're golden.
36:58But even if he doesn't do that, I think he's still a really good real life player for the Jets.
37:03And he was on the line of scrimmage on ball.
37:06Eighty seven percent of the snaps I charted in twenty twenty five.
37:09It looks like preseason so far. He's just still that X receiver.
37:13So that's good for him. It's good for the Jets offense.
37:16And it's definitely good for Garrett Wilson. So we like to see that.
37:19We got two Jaguars to talk about here in our next grouping, Nate.
37:23I've got tight end Brenton Strange. We can kind of loop this together.
37:27But you have LaQuint Allen. Tell the people why LaQuint Allen is a better real life player than a fantasy player, which I think this is perfect.
37:34Yeah, this is like I think the epitome of this, because I don't think LaQuint Allen will ever be totally fancy relevant ever.
37:41He is, again, saying the coach's catnip, coach's favorite to a T special teams ace, one of the best pass protection backs
37:47as soon as he entered the league, which is really cool for a rookie to be that good that early.
37:52Earn the coach's trust right away. It's remarkable when you see a late round running back get reps over a former first
37:58round pick who just got paid highly this offseason.
38:01And Travis A. Chan got his name right finally.
38:03So that is significant that that's how much faith they had in this day three running back, which also speaks to the coaches to do that.
38:11But he is a guy that's going to always have a role.
38:14We're going to all year to Rodriguez. Rodriguez is kind of part of this, too.
38:18He's a better real life player. Like he's not the most exciting player, but he's the jab of this offense is that of those three backs.
38:26I know Allen's role the most. Like I know what he is going to do and he's going to get 15 to 20 percent snaps.
38:32He's short yardage. I think that's going to be Rodriguez.
38:35But yeah, you can just even see my tweet right here.
38:38But no, he is just going to always have that 20, 15 to 20 percent snap share because he'll be on the
38:45field on third down until Tootin can maybe show that a little bit more this year because obviously he has a little bit more juice.
38:51But yeah, he is the epitome of a way better in real life player than in a role player than a fancy role of a guy.
38:59And this is so perfect, too, because I kind of think fantasy analysts I've seen have almost kind of started to over
39:05discuss the impact of a of a LaQuinn Allen in the backfield.
39:08Like he definitely matters. He's going to be a part of this.
39:12But this isn't what I would call like a three headed monster because he is truly just there to block.
39:17I mean, he's not even a special. He's not he's like a passing down back, but he's not a pass catching back last year.
39:24He was 47th in snaps on passing plays last year at the running back position, which is pretty again, very impressive for
39:30a for a rookie, you know, like unheralded guy, the whole deal.
39:33But he caught 10 passes that was outside of the top 60 at the running back position.
39:38So he's that sort of shows it like 47 snaps on passing plays.
39:42He ran a route on fewer than 30 percent of the 22 percent of the time he's running around on the dropbacks there on passing plays.
39:49So like he's not a factor in the passing game whatsoever.
39:52He's literally there just to stonewall dudes and keep Trevor Lawrence upright, which is great.
39:56We actually really want that to happen. You know, he's one of these and I just had this kind of light bulb moment.
40:03It's like if you have a Jags, if you're invested in the Jags backfield at all, just be real.
40:08And maybe you're like, OK, I don't know if this is a toot week and maybe you have a couple other good
40:14options and everything is really schedule dependent. Are they playing a blitzing team?
40:18Are they playing the Broncos? I'm going to shy away from toot a little bit because Alan's going to get more snaps,
40:24you know, like, all right, if I'm playing the the Browns, I don't think will be too funky.
40:29The Eagles, not very funky. You know, those Browns in week one, I think this this season.
40:34Yeah, that's a new defense in week one. And so that'd be my best advice.
40:38Like it's like that. It's really kind of some schedule there where Alan gets more snaps against the funkier defenses like, you know, the Colts.
40:45Lou Anna Rumo's crazy stuff on third down might not be the I don't think they'll be able to stop the run
40:51this year, but it's really about third down. Alan might have more snaps because Anna Rumo can do some funky stuff.
40:57So that'd be my little kind of like kernel of advice, I guess, with this backfield.
41:01Sometimes where Alan could have an outsized role depending on who they play against.
41:05We're definitely going to keep our eyes on that one.
41:08That's a really good trend to point out. Nate, okay.
41:11The Jaguars podcast. We have two podcasts. Between our between our two.
41:14Like we're just Yahoo Sports is actually the official Jaguars media outlet of the national media escape to fall sports, baby.
41:20Okay. My guy was Brenton strange the inline tight end who somehow has become an inline tight end, even though I know
41:26you didn't think he was going to be that guy.
41:29I didn't think he was going to be that guy, but he's on a pretty solid contract extension.
41:34And now at this point, like strange is a guy that people are not drafting really in fantasy from an ADP perspective.
41:40You know, he's not up there. I don't nobody's really ranking him as like a super draftable player, you know, which is totally understandable.
41:47I mean, he goes off the board tight end 21 in Yahoo fantasy drafts.
41:51You know, nobody's really drafting Brenton strange at this point, but really valuable player.
41:55He's going to help. Like I, I, I kind of like his movement blocking stuff even maybe better than the true inline stuff, which is really cool.
42:02Liam Cohen likes to make use of that player.
42:05I kind of think Brenton strange is sort of going to settle into maybe a rich man's from a production standpoint, real
42:11life impact, whatever, but like a rich man's Kate Otten, which is essentially the guy that like when we, if we have
42:17wide receiver injuries, we can use this guy. We're going to get him in a, he'll help us out of a pinch.
42:23But for the most part, he just kind of brings the offense to life overall, even if he's not a passing, like a huge volume player.
42:30He, and honestly, so this is what I've gathered to, and this is kind of getting lost in the sauce.
42:36Cause I'm part of this too, like trying to figure out the receiver room and then, and I'm excited about the receiver.
42:42I'm excited about the Jags in general. Uh, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the,
42:48the, the, the, I've been told was with Brent strange in mind.
42:52And this makes total sense to open him up, to get into those more tight end looks and to get him.
42:57I sewed up a choice routes, get him where he can be the move guy and be the slot essentially, or, you
43:04know, the adjuster in a 12 personnel look. So that's what I've been told.
43:07So it's more than those things where, again, the J this is a, excuse me, in a real football sense, the Jags are very well situated this year.
43:15Um, they can pivot to a lot of different things.
43:18Fantasy sense. It's going to be very frustrating. Um, unless you have Trevor Lawrence, that's kind of, that's it though.
43:24That's the tape. That's the hub. That that's the tape right there.
43:27You've ever taught me about fancy. Sometimes it's just like, Oh, who do I want this?
43:31Just fricking draft the quarterback. Just, just get the hub of the offense because they're good.
43:36They're better in real football. And it's going to be frustrating.
43:39Fancy wise, but there's going to be games where all these guys are going to pop off, but it's like, do you
43:45want to really pick it and really go through that stress every week?
43:49Just get the quarterback that can run a little bit too.
43:52Yeah, totally. I mean, career highs across the board as a rusher.
43:55Yeah. For me, he's definitely somebody that, um, I've really, I think I rank him either first or second in that tier
44:01of quarterbacks that I love to draft this year.
44:04Uh, Trevor Lawrence. So I ended up with him a lot.
44:07He's definitely someone that I'm really excited about. And yeah, it's just like Brent strange is good.
44:12The Nate Borkert your pick is interesting in terms of what the personnel packages that they can get into.
44:17They figured out the right role for Parker Washington.
44:19You know, Jacoby Myers is still rock solid. BTJ.
44:22I think can be a better player than he was last year.
44:25Coach's favorite. Yep. And then the guy that can, the guy that can just get them all the football is Trevor Lawrence.
44:31So, you know, he's the one that's going to be serving these dishes up, you know, slinging it from the kitchen and putting it on the table.
44:39So like, just get this guy here. Uh, essentially I'm pretty excited about Charles.
44:43But yeah, strange is good. I strange is a good player.
44:46If I sat down and ranked NFL tight ends, he would not come up at tight end 21 or tight end 24.
44:52But that's again, where, where he's drafted, uh, right now.
44:55So, all right, we are going to take a quick break here.
44:58We've come back. We got two more wide receivers.
45:01We get into the power slot territory on the other side and get into that right after this.
45:06All right. We're back as promised. I mean, the people were going crazy before the break.
45:10They're like power slot talk with Harmon and Tice.
45:13My God, this should, that should be the whole 90 minutes here.
45:16Um, I actually think people, there's definitely a segment of people.
45:19And by the way, they're kind of right about this.
45:22Um, where, when I call somebody a power slot, there's, there's like power slot, complimentary power slot derogatory.
45:27And people get mad at me for the derogatory one.
45:30When you're like, just say the guy stinks that you, you just say, you don't like him.
45:35I'm like, well, actually this is my, what I view Nate.
45:38I'm sorry. I'm ranting right off the top here.
45:40When a good, that's great. Would allow you to talk.
45:43I agree with, um, sometimes when it is my way I view what I do with, with like to peel the curtain
45:49back with reception perception is like, look, let's look at the player's profile and like, try to find how this could work.
45:55And you know, this is like the key on Coleman corollary.
45:58It's like, well, that's not going to work at X receiver.
46:01So I think he could be a big slot.
46:04You're like, people are like, well, just tell me he stinks.
46:07Like, well, he's going to stink if they use him the wrong way, but if they find the right way to use
46:13him, which is what my goal, I'm just what I'm trying to do.
46:17Then I can also tell you like, and they do that and ain't going to, it ain't going to work out.
46:23Okay. Um, that's, that's the way it is. So you, that's how you take the actual information.
46:27But I do think when it does work out for those players that it's like power slot complimentary it could, well, but
46:33it works out for the guys, like the two, the players that we're going to talk about right now, which is Jawan Jennings.
46:40Who's your guy and Pat Bryant, who is my guy.
46:43I basically, you went with like the old version.
46:45I went with the new version of this player.
46:48Here's the funny part about Jawan Jennings though, Nate, and I'll throw it to you with this.
46:52I have actually, well, I've been shocked. Not, I actually don't think he's going to be fantasy relevant whatsoever this year.
46:58No, not this, but, but people are like drafting him as if he will be.
47:03It's kind of crazy. Like when I look at my rankings versus Yahoo ADP, he is the one that I am most out of line with.
47:10Um, at times he has been like actually drafted on the platform.
47:13It's kind of going down at this point overall.
47:16But for me, I just, I don't think he's going to be relevant at all this year from a fantasy standpoint, but
47:22I do think he's going to help the Vikings.
47:24So talk to us about that. Yeah. He is one of the best blocking receivers in the league period, you know, on the podium.
47:31And that's a role that this Vikings team has needed.
47:34They've needed a power slot for a few years now.
47:37Like I always liked the Addison pick. I was fine with it, but he's never going to be able to play in
47:43the slot and you don't want Jefferson could be actually a great power slot, but you don't want to, you don't pay.
47:49Justin Jefferson is one of the best receivers in the league.
47:52I'm not going to have them do all the dirty work stuff.
47:55You know, uh, it's just not, not how you use those guys.
47:59So I just thought of how they've used these condensed formations over the years.
48:03This is a role that this offense is needed.
48:05And they got one of the best ones at it.
48:08Who's also one of the best receivers on third down.
48:11So it's just that, again, that three and D player, he's not the vertical guy, which I usually use that for, but
48:17just the effective, put a screen setter in this offense.
48:20If we want to use the basketball analogies, analogies like the rebounder.
48:23Um, but I do think that this opens up everything for Addison, for Jefferson, for, I guess, Hockinson, but I also think
48:29that in a real football sense that this eases Hockinson's role.
48:32But another thing though, is I can see some really cool looks of this offense getting into 11 personnel with Josh Oliver as the tight end hint.
48:40Also spoiling later guy, but Josh Oliver being on there and then running the ball and being effective and affecting the running game in a positive way.
48:47So Jennings is going to have a role. He's going to do dirty work stuff.
48:51I, I, I don't think he'll be fancy relevant this year unless Addison gets hurt, which is a possibility.
48:57Uh, but also the other thing is where he would operate as a power slot is over the middle.
49:02Well, guess where Kyler Murray does not throw is over the middle.
49:05So where it is. A lot of the balls go a lot of outbreakers, but that opens up Addison being the Z
49:11on the outbreak or already have seen it this preseason.
49:14Um, it opens up those roles, a lot of movement throws for, for, um, Kyler Murray.
49:19So yeah, I Jennings, I think is this type of guy who in a real football sense, I love him, but I
49:25think that projected stats we even had for him is like, yep, that's probably what he'll finish with with this year.
49:31And, but in a real, but he'll be my play 60% plus percent of the snaps, but would not just be fancy
49:37effective at all, but he's going to help everybody else.
49:40He's gonna be a boost effect for everybody else.
49:42Yeah. And that's kind of what I wanted to dive in on here because this is, it's kind of similar with Pat
49:48Bryant too, where I'm really obsessed with thinking about these third receivers who just help clarify and allow like roles to be a little bit more diverse.
49:56I was kind of hoping Isaac Tesla was going to be this guy for the, uh, for the lines this year.
50:02And he still could be from an alignment perspective.
50:04It just sounds like he hasn't been separating in, in camp like consistently, which he didn't separate last year.
50:10He made cool plays and occasionally read out zones well on big breaking routes, which is what he did in college.
50:15So it's like, well, the congratulations lines. That's the guy you drafted.
50:19That's what, what did you expect? That's what I was going to say.
50:22Which doesn't lie. Yeah, that's cool. That's cool though, for your auxiliary third receiver, you know, because actually I think this type
50:29of guy and Bryant is this way and, uh, Jawan Jennings is this way.
50:32These bigger guys who can be the on ball slot receiver allows you to do so much with that Z or in
50:39the lions case actually can allow them because St.
50:41Brown is an elite receiver. And now, in my opinion, he can separate so well off the line of scrimmage on these quicker routes.
50:48You can almost play him on ball and get James Williams moving around the formation, which he's had to be that stuck on the line of scrimmage player.
50:56So it's just, I'm obviously I think about this stuff way too much, but because of the rules of the sport folks,
51:02like two players have to line up on ball and they can't be, and they can't be next to each other because
51:08that is what they call it a legal formation.
51:10So you got to figure that out somehow. And I, these like big bodied, not highly targeted players.
51:15And I think, I do think Pat Bryant ends up settling into this Jawan Jennings archetype, which is totally fine.
51:21It's just obviously not going to be Pat Bryant is the guy that people get really excited about as a late round pick.
51:27And I am excited about Pat Bryant too. I know we're both late.
51:31We're both Pat Bryant guys, but just might settle out into the Jawan Jennings archetype.
51:35But going back to Jennings, Nate, I think your point about him, what rings to me is that he is part of
51:41this move that the Vikings are signaling that they really are serious about running the football this year, which I think is pretty desperately needed for that offense.
51:49Yeah. And that run game was a lot better than I think people realized last year.
51:54It was, it was the best run game that Kevin O'Connell has ever had, but still, what were they, the 13th in rushing DVOA last year.
52:01So better than what they had, it was still 13th.
52:04But no, I think that's just a whole part of this.
52:07And that's to help Kyler Murray out. You know, they know that Kyler Murray is not a guy you want chucking at 40 times.
52:13You want him as a big play guy. And his offensive preference, Kyler's throwing preference has gotten shorter and shorter.
52:19So rather than throw shorter and shorter, it's one throw deep.
52:22And let's have the run game build up everything underneath.
52:25And they've invested in it, not only just talent wise, you know, Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason, but also just coaching wise.
52:31They brought in Dolphins assistant to help out with this run game, to diversify it, to kind of blend some things together.
52:37Maybe some pistol and gun run games with Kyler in there.
52:40So I think they are definitely investing in it.
52:43I think they were seventh in running back rushing success rate.
52:46I think last year on top of that DVOA stat I had, I have it.
52:50Oh, here we go. Sixth in early down rushing success rate on running back runs.
52:54Now you get Kyler dropped in there. Now you get a little diversification of the coaching staff as well.
52:59Now you get guys like Juwan Jennings, auxiliary blockers.
53:02There's something here that I share with you, my Aaron Jones stat.
53:05Did you know since, since 2013, there have been 40 running backs with a thousand more carries.
53:10He is first in rushing success rate. First, James Conner, second, CMC, third, Derek Henry, fourth, Jonathan Taylor, fifth, Zeke, six, Kareem
53:16Hunt, Austin Eckler, Josh Jacobs, Alvin Kamara. That's the top 10.
53:19And he's first though. I know he's a baller dude.
53:22Pleasant stat. He's awesome. He's going to be, he's going to be one of these guys.
53:26That's not, he's not a hall of fame or anything, but you know, 20 years from now, God willing, we're still doing podcasts.
53:33And be like, remember Aaron Jones? Like he was one of the best backs of that era.
53:38Very good. Yeah. Yeah. And also God, truly one of the best dudes in the sport as well.
53:43Just such a, I've met him so many times and he's just awesome.
53:46Such, such a nice guy. Great, great interview with the whole deal.
53:50So yeah, he's amazing. By the way, the Vikings last year, there are, there are only five, one, two, three, four, five,
53:56six teams that had an eight gap, eight spot gap or higher in their drop back EPA.
54:00And they're rushing EPA. Those teams are the Bengals, the dolphins, the Ravens, the bucks, the bears, and the Vikings.
54:06They were 16th in rushing EPA and 24th in drop back EPA.
54:09There are one of the only teams that were like just the, one of the worst passing games there, you know?
54:15So it's a tough scene from that part of it.
54:18You got to hope that evens out this year.
54:20Bullish on a man. That's what I'm just like.
54:23Like coward just has to be his median self set, which is the 17th best quarterback in the league since he's been in the league.
54:30And this offense is, I know, I'm sorry. It's just like the math for me is working for them.
54:35At least how I envisioned it anyways. Yeah. I'm still just a touch hesitant because I think the passing game is so the design of it.
54:43I mean, look, they were 14th in explosive play rate last year, which is crazy to think that offense was 14th in explosive play rate.
54:50But that's what this offense does. Because it's so boom or bust from a design perspective.
54:54And they don't really have. I mean, maybe Jennings can be that kind of layup receiver.
54:58I actually was talking to somebody who would know this two or three years ago.
55:03And they said, oh, man, like the Vikings desperately want their own version of Juwan Jennings.
55:07And now they actually have Juwan Jennings. And that was pre 2024.
55:10That was before Jennings had like a 900 yard season.
55:13That was when he was just third and Juwan for the for the San Francisco 49ers and the blocking in the whole.
55:19When I was doing like blocking interviews with him at the Super Bowl, that was that version of Juwan Jennings.
55:25Now they actually have Jennings three years later. But anyways, so maybe he could be that layup guy for them.
55:31But I think they need more layups in the passing game.
55:34And I think Kyler's boom or bust. The passing game design is kind of boom or bust.
55:38That makes me a little bit nervous just talking about some of the receivers statistics this year.
55:43But I can also see a scenario, Nate, where their run game is better.
55:47And it's mostly because they just say, hey, Kyler Murray is only here for one year.
55:52Let's just run him around. Run him. Chuck it.
55:54Who cares if he gets smoked in the backfield?
55:57That's what they did with Darnold on his one year rental.
56:00They didn't run him a bunch. But they said, hey, we don't care how many times he gets hit.
56:05Let's keep on chucking it. We don't care how many picks he throws.
56:09Let's just keep on chucking it. I know there's – and again, this is just the human scouting of it all.
56:14And this can – I think some people weigh too much.
56:17But you got to weigh it sometimes. Kyler and KOC are really mad right now.
56:22And Justin Jefferson is really mad right now. And they don't like how their reputations have gotten hit.
56:27And that's just me on the outside looking in.
56:29There's something to that. And there's not a lot of like – I know a lot of things focus and the oxygen about this team is about J.J.
56:37McCarthy and stuff. No, this is the Kyler's team this year.
56:40And this offense, I think, is just – they're motivated to kind of show some things this year.
56:45So that's why I'm kind of bullish on it.
56:48Maybe I'm overweighing that a little too much. But it's going to be – it's a fun experiment.
56:53There's some fun experiences this year, positive and negative.
56:55I'm looking at you, Philly, in Washington. But I think this one will be one more of a positive one.
57:01Mmm. Definitely Washington. Yeah, we'll get into that in the final offensive line segment, by the way.
57:05But yeah, this is, again, just to put a bow on it, this is why Nate and I do obsess about the
57:12power slot or just the slot that can line up on ball, even if it's not one of these big time –
57:18I mean, it's not Chris Godwin or one of these great players of the past.
57:22It's the guys that can really activate the rest of the receivers, at least I'm obsessed with that, which Pat Bryant, that's
57:28part of the reason because he's going to be that third receiver.
57:31It's honestly part of the reason I'm so high on Jalen Waddell because he can take so many snaps off ball and
57:38be in motion and the whole deal. But we are going to take a quick break.
57:42When we come back, we actually are talking about one of those former godfathers, figureheads of the power slot archetype.
57:48We'll get into that right after this. All right.
57:50We're back. We were joking about this during the break, and now I have to say it on air.
57:55This is the most June 30th podcast on August 26th that's ever been done.
57:59Nate, when people right now are literally like, can you idiots just tell me who to draft?
58:04Tell me who the sleepers are. And we're like, how about Josh Oliver?
58:08How about Colby Parkinson? Which, Nate, those are the guys you're going to talk about next.
58:12But like I said, I guarantee you all are – we think so highly of you that we think you're smart enough
58:18to listen to a discussion about these. These vulture players and say, okay, I can now turn that into an actionable take
58:24for myself about what to do with some of these other players in the offense that I actually care about.
58:30Because we, unlike the other shows out there, we think you're smart.
58:33We don't need to just spoon feed you the answers.
58:36We think you're smart and can interpret the meaning within this discussion.
58:40So, Nate, what do the people need to interpret about your two inline blocking tight ends?
58:44I just wanted to talk about them. And I was like, let's just talk about some blocking tight ends, some rugs that tie the room together.
58:51I already hinted one, which was Josh Oliver. I guess – but I think even just category, I was like, I don't know, pick a blocking tight end.
58:59John Bates from the Commanders. Like, I could just keep going on and on with this.
59:04Jackson Hawes from the Bills. But Colby Parkinson, I think, is the guy I really want to identify because we talked about
59:10the Rams extensively yesterday on Football 301. Make sure you check that pot out.
59:14It was really fun, FC West. But we talked about Terrence Ferguson and that vertical element that he adds.
59:19And Colby Parkinson is the blocker, the inline guy, while also being an effective receiver as well.
59:24And I brought this up when we did the All Football 301 team.
59:27But with 48 tight ends last year or 200 more routes, he was second in success rate per route or successful catches
59:33per route and fourth and first down per route.
59:36So very effective when he is asked to run routes.
59:39He's also asked to block a lot. But he is the guy that kind of just – as high as you want
59:45to get on Ferguson, it's like Parkinson's always going to be kind of tied in one, if that makes sense.
59:50He's kind of overtaking Higby and the Rams backfield for everything.
59:54He is the guy that gets the most snaps.
59:56He's the guy that's going to have the most versatile roles where Ferguson's going to be truly receiving and getting a lot
60:02of stuff where it's like very designery. So it's more like Parkinson.
60:06I can envision his role and sometimes that leads to the A.J.
60:09Barners of the world. I think the Rams have other options that they can attack.
60:13But it's like he is the role that I can envision the easiest because I've seen it the most and also just because he's very damn good.
60:21He's a really good tight end, even if not always fantasy relevant.
60:24Well, yeah, it's like you said. These are the guys that bring the ecosystems together, the whole deal.
60:29It increases offensive potency. In addition to the fact that, yeah, I mean, Colby Parkinson had some weeks last year in fantasy.
60:35If you guessed them right, that's cool for you.
60:38But even better, the actionable fantasy takeaway for guys like this is if you can pick these guys late in your best
60:44ball draft, there is a way to kind of compile a room together.
60:47You probably want one real deal receiving tight end here.
60:50But for your tight end to your tight end three, the whole deal, there's definitely a path forward for you to just
60:56compile some weeks from these guys at the tight end position.
60:59Like I was in a best ball draft yesterday.
61:02I took Charlie Kolar at the very last pick of the draft because I think there's a real shot that he leads
61:08the charges tight ends and snaps this year. And he just has a couple of weeks and you don't have to pick them, right?
61:15You don't have to pick them when you're doing best ball.
61:18So that's the thought process there. No, that's simply Charlie Kolar is that his role I envision the easiest.
61:23It's everyone we're hemming and hawing about Gadsden and what he can do and how many snaps he's going to take.
61:29What's his role? Are the receivers going to get more?
61:32It's like, well, they paid this guy and they handpicked him and he's going to have.
61:36I know there's been some kind of stuff out there.
61:39It's like his receiving role hasn't been huge, but his role overall in the offense is going to lead to the most snaps.
61:45And I chase snaps because more snaps means more opportunities for touches, more opportunities for touches means more points.
61:51Again, it's theory of it. But again, when it's kind of that's the tiebreaker for me is the guy that's going to get on the field the most.
61:59Absolutely. Yeah. Every now and again, it means into it ends up being a Tucker craft.
62:03That's like the best outcome, right? That it ends up being tough craft.
62:07That's probably pretty rare. But, you know, it can end up being an A.J.
62:11Barnard type. I mean, I think about your boy Marlon Klein from the draft.
62:14Marlon Klein. Could he be that guy for the Texans?
62:17You know, I mean, there's a lot of options in this year's draft class.
62:21But that's a guy that he. Yeah. Eli Raritan.
62:24I've obviously like he's the one that I think could end up being like a high praise.
62:28But like, could he be like a Tucker craft type?
62:31You know, I don't know. But he's probably the one that has that ceiling.
62:35But like, yeah, Klein could be one of those guys that in a couple of years we have best ball drafts.
62:41It's like, oh, yes. 18th round, 19th round Marlon Klein.
62:44And he scores five touchdowns randomly for the Texans.
62:46Like I do think. But again, it's what these guys are able.
62:50The real take from an offensive potency perspective is what they can do from a formation standpoint.
62:54But that's how these guys also with the way teams are mixing things up now, personal groupings and everything.
63:00This is how guys can end up having random, you know, quote unquote, 300 yard seasons with four to five touchdowns.
63:06Yeah, the spike weeks. And I think that's a great point with the best ball stuff like these.
63:11Yeah, I think that's a it's a nice strategy.
63:13Actually, it's kind of like I've inadvertently done sometimes because I've I find myself sometimes kicking, you know, punting on tight end.
63:19It's just how I've always kind of really looked at the position because I always feel like I can find a guy that's I.
63:26Tucker Craft. I know some of the guys over the years.
63:29But I do think that like best ball is a great time to use these guys.
63:33If you accumulate a few, if you have a deep roster, you can do it and all those types of things.
63:39Yeah, because the roles are there. And then also just with more heavy personnel and the play action off of them.
63:45Think of A.J. Barner's touchdown in the Super Bowl, which is that is those are the opportunities that they get.
63:51It's like they're marching down. Jason's got to catch their run of the ball.
63:55Kenneth Walker shot play goes to the blocking tight end because it's like the defense has just been used to getting pounded in the face.
64:02That guy's blocking, blocking, blocking. And then they get the juiciest touch of the entire drive.
64:06So it's sometimes those opportunities lead to those three catches, 30 yards, one touchdown games that not bad for a best ball sometimes.
64:13Oscar Delp, Matthew Hibner, two other rookie tight ends to watch.
64:16Hibner's a great one. It could be great shout.
64:18Yeah, especially because just the Mark Andrews stuff. We'll see how that goes.
64:22But all right, we are going to finish here our last fantasy vulture.
64:25You're such a sicko, Nate. I think we were supposed to have five and five and you went six.
64:31So I only got four, which is good because I have no creativity left in my brain right now.
64:36But this is such a perfect one to end it on.
64:39So tell us who's your final better in real life than fantasy player.
64:43Yeah, I think it's just, you know, once you're seven, eights through division previews, you really kind of talk about these rosters a lot.
64:49So you start dipping and you start thinking about this a lot.
64:53It's Cooper Cupp, who has been, who is essentially, I always say Tino, a tight end in name only.
64:58And I guess he's a wino. A rhino W-R-I-N-O.
65:01It's every kind of rhino that it usually is.
65:03Wide receiver in name only. How the Seahawks use him, or at least last year with Clint Kubiak.
65:08He got used in a lot of kind of what we usually see wing tight ends doing.
65:13Really just the off ball stuff, walking on outside zone, a lot of slot routes, third down routes, just getting past the first down.
65:20But he gets those opportunities, and he's going to be on the field a decent amount because his skill set is to open up Jason.
65:27Rashid can't be used in those situations. He's a deep burner intermediate guy.
65:30So Cooper Cupp is going to have a role.
65:33Coaches love him. Trust him. I mean, but that's the thing is he went, he got used as a receiver like a
65:39tight end, and that opened up the receiver things.
65:41Now he's going to use as a receiver like a tight end to just be used as a tight end, essentially.
65:47So I think also, too, is that we've talked about this all the time.
65:51It's the invert roles. Him and Elijah Arroyo can do some cool stuff, too, where Cupp's inside.
65:56Elijah Arroyo split out. So boosting everybody else, but not fantasy relevant this year.
66:00No, and he is like the rich man's Jawan Jennings.
66:03Oh, my God. This is so perfect. This is from the dark night that the producers have put on.
66:08They put Cooper Cupp's headshot on the you either die here or you live long enough to become the villain, to see yourself become the villain.
66:15And this is great because that's kind of Cooper Cupp.
66:18Yeah, you either die. Let's say you either retire one of the best at your position or you see yourself live long
66:24enough to become the fantasy vulture, like the fantasy league winner to the fantasy vulture.
66:28I always just say this is like this is so true at the running back position.
66:33I used to say this to Eckler when we did the show together.
66:36I was like, this is the life cycle of a fantasy back, you know, because he was when he really started popping off.
66:43It was the oh, my God, like get this guy on the field and get Melvin Gordon off the field after a
66:49few years before it was Melvin Gordon. First round pick Chargers running back one.
66:53Awesome. Let's get Melvin Gordon out of here. Then he goes to the Broncos.
66:57Get Melvin Gordon out of here. I just want to see Javante Williams and then a couple years later, get Javante Williams out of here.
67:04I don't want to see him anymore. And then for Austin, I mean, shoot, there was there's some disrespectful fantasy accounts last year.
67:10I'm like, get Austin Eckler off the field. I'm trying to see Bill Krosky merit.
67:14And then I hope you guys feel great. He tours Achilles in week two.
67:18I hope you guys feel good about yourselves out there.
67:21Anyways, that's enough of my Mount Pius high horse rant there.
67:24But yeah, with Cooper Cup, he has kind of become this rich man's Juwan Jennings in a way.
67:29Bigger name, of course. But yeah, it's just he's a guy really like Rashid Shaheed is a late round pick this year
67:35because I've always believed there's more to him than just just the burner.
67:39I think he's got really good hands. He attacks the football well.
67:42He has good catching technique and he definitely separates on some breaking routes and things.
67:46But you can only get so high on this guy because Cooper Cup is going to play some level of a role here.
67:53Exactly. And how they want to use other guys.
67:55It's just like his. Oh, no, I can envision his role because a lot of times it's like sometimes you want JSN being the vertical guy.
68:03All right. Well, Rashid Shaheed, I want him on the field to be the vertical guy, if that makes sense.
68:08Or JSN could do every role. The other guys have more specific roles.
68:12So they kind of have to be rotated through.
68:14The other thing, too, is Jake Bobo got hurt, who was the other kind of younger version of kind of the dirty work guy in this offense.
68:22So, again, more opportunity for Cooper Cup to stay on the field and kind of eat into other touches as well.
68:28Also, people don't realize how big Cup is, too.
68:30He's like 6'2", to 10. I think, yeah, I get why, you know, white slot guy.
68:35But, no, he's like a big dude, like a big receiver.
68:38He's a big guy. He also runs his routes kind of hunched over, too, which I think makes him look a little shorter than.
68:44Yeah, he does that thing. But, yeah, dude, he's the original big slot.
68:48I mean, I remember this at the time when he came into the league.
68:52He was the first kind of RP charting mold breaker in that, you know, that was 2016.
68:572017 he came into the league, and it was 16, 17?
69:00Yeah, 2017. And he played that role where it was just like, wait, this is different.
69:04And it was the first guy where I had to kind of be like, all right, you need to throw this metric out.
69:11You need to throw this metric out because what the Rams are asking him to do, they don't ask anyone else to do that.
69:17Like, they don't ask any other receivers. I mean, this guy would literally, as a rookie, like check and release from the
69:24slot and just run wide open into the flat against zone coverage.
69:27And Jared Goff would find him every single time.
69:29And then he'd have run after catch opportunities. He still does all that just without the run after catch.
69:35It's a little Jewish. Yeah. Or, yeah, just gets caught right away.
69:38Watch the Steelers game. I think I had a stat about him where it was like, I have like how many times
69:44like the receivers block on true media. And it was something like he always had like one of the highest rates, like
69:50of like not just run blocking, but like actual.
69:53I have like pass blocking percentage. And usually most receivers are like 0% or 0.02% or 0.2%.
69:58And his actually was like a decent amount. Like it was like, no, he actually was blocking pass blocking, not just run
70:04blocking, like 10% of his snaps, which is like absurd for a receiver to be doing that much.
70:09I want to see if I can find that stat.
70:12But yeah. Yeah. Last year was about 2% of the stats, but when he was with the Rams was a little bit higher.
70:18But it was, it was always pretty funny to see how much he stood out that because that's a tight end usage.
70:24He's just as receiver next to his name. Well, again, the actual takeaway from why this is good.
70:29If cups on the field, he's doing some of that blocking stuff.
70:33Good for Janarian price. That's cool. Also. Good for JSN with that 35.8% target share, which I've said many times is the highest since at least 2015.
70:40We want that to stay above 30%. Cups, the wide receiver too.
70:43Got a pretty good chance for that thing to stay above 30%.
70:47Commanding those targets. Not any of those targets. All right.
70:50We're going to take our last quick break. We come back.
70:53We're talking Nate's offensive line rankings. Yes. The people are dying for those.
70:56We'll get into that right after this. All right.
70:59We're back. And as promised, we are taking a look at Nate's offensive line rankings.
71:03And I hope, Nate, you did not take that as a slight when I said the people are dying to hear this.
71:09Because I'm actually not kidding. I have had people reach out and say, I want Nate Tice's offensive line rankings on the show.
71:15I want to know who the good offensive lines are and everything.
71:19A little bit of a. Yeah, right. Tweet this.
71:21Look at this. You tweet. Tweet this bad. That's what I'm saying.
71:25Tweet this bad boy out, which is great. Because my thing is here, we do not have time to talk about every
71:31single one of these offensive lines on this show.
71:33So you're going to look at that. You're going to look at the tweet graphic when Nate tweets this out.
71:39Secondly, you're going to go to the website, Yahoo Sports dot com, and you're going to read Nate's offensive line rankings.
71:45We'll link that in the show notes. Producers, there's a little bit of homework here.
71:49But because we are reading again in 2026. I've said I've said that many times.
71:53We are reading 4,000 words. We are reading again in 2026.
71:56I was just under 4,000 words on it. So yeah, it was supposed to be just a quick listicle plus type article
72:02that I was like, yeah, yeah, that works out.
72:05And I just couldn't help myself. And the words just kept pouring out.
72:09Yeah. I was supposed to write a quick little look at who could be the wide receiver one overall this year.
72:14And that was like almost 4,000, 5,000 words. So tough scene.
72:17Okay. The top unit for Nate Tice. This number one offensive line coming into the 2026 NFL season is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
72:24This is a big one here, Nate. Tell us why they're your number one unit.
72:28Yeah, it's the talent that they have. And how I kind of try to weigh this is like, all right, how much high end talent do you have?
72:36What's your weakest link? What's your scheme and coach is like?
72:39And do you have like other personnel that helps you out?
72:42Quarterback running back. You know, those tiebreakers. As far as the left to right talent, Tristan Wirth might be the best offensive
72:48lineman in the game at the very least, I think, on the podium.
72:52And then when you look at the other four starters, this last year, I was very high on this offense or this offensive line, especially.
72:59But then they just got hurt like right away.
73:01We're starting on PUP. Graham Barton was playing a left tackle.
73:04Cody Mock got hurt at right guard. And Cody Mock had ascended in his second year into I would say he was
73:11a below average starter as a rookie into a good starter his second year.
73:14And they got hurt last year that I was like, oh, yeah, you're good.
73:18It was kind of like a reminder. Oh, yeah, we have a good starter coming back at guard.
73:23We have Luke Geteke, who I think is a good starter at right tackle, not pro bowl quality, but good.
73:29Barton, I think, is good that has maybe even more room to tap into.
73:33So I brought up four guys at the very least, I think, in my estimation, I hold as above above average to good starters or better.
73:40And then Ben Bredesen is like a B minus starter.
73:43So that's really just it. They have no real weak link.
73:46They are scheme independent. Like no matter what scheme you use with them, they are going to excel.
73:51They can do screens, pass protection. They're smart with.
73:53They have the same offensive line coach for a few years now.
73:57They had drop off last year, but I attribute most of that to injuries, you know, which is the offense as opposed to like, oh, scheme was bad.
74:05Or there was some scheme stuff, but some scheme might kind of like their fall off the play, I should say.
74:11But really, I do think that this this unit just has the talent and a lack of weak weak link.
74:16That really kind of gives me worry that maybe some other things do with some other schemes or some other other units,
74:22I should say, that we'll talk about. Yeah, you are not alone, really, on this take either.
74:27I've seen Brandon Thorne, who's a great offensive line evaluator.
74:30I believe he's got them in his top three as well.
74:33So this is something that you, you know, are not alone on.
74:36And I'm with you on paper. This looks like a great offensive line.
74:40And this people forget that Bucks started their season off last year without Tristan.
74:44Worse, like Graham Barton, who was a great center, has to kick out the left.
74:48They started in chaos right away. You know, knock on wood.
74:51They're healthy right now. And, Nate, to reference our, you know, ADP rank versus offensive projection show last week, we didn't talk about the Bucks.
74:58But they're 21st in ADP ranking. I mean, and they're 15th overall in the offensive projections.
75:02So there's like a six spot difference here. So, like, that's because their wide receiver one comes off the board 45th overall.
75:09They're running back 158th overall. Another player doesn't come off the board for the Bucks until 97th overall, Chris Godwin.
75:14And nobody wants to draft Baker Mayfield. He's literally QB 24 in ADP.
75:18If you're right about this Bucks offensive line being number one in the NFL, and, you know, again, Abuka's dealing with the toe right now.
75:25But these guys all stay healthy. There's going to be some big, fat, you know, league winners from this group here.
75:31And I know Bucky Irving kind of had the year from hell last year.
75:35But he looked better when I watched him this preseason.
75:37And Kenneth Gainwell is a very effective player. Really, it's that's that's what even when I did the NFC South preview with
75:43Josh, I kind of was I was going into that show thinking I was going to pick the Saints.
75:49And I think doing all the prep work and stuff, I'm like, this is maybe the best unit in this division.
75:55And it's like a true needle moving unit where all the rest can get hurt.
75:59They can figure out what the hierarchy was with the receivers.
76:02Everything else can get sorted out. And Baker Mayfield was scrambling so much last year.
76:06OK, maybe this calms him down. And then, you know, just kind of getting into this offense and getting with this kind of ecosystem.
76:13So, yeah, it was just kind of like doing that research and going into it.
76:17It's like, wow, this is a real strength and a strength that can carry him in some games, especially in that division.
76:23Yeah. It's so funny that you said that because I was having a conversation this morning with my personal trainer who's a Bucs fan.
76:30That's right. Shout out to me. I have a personal trainer.
76:33And I said, I think I thought I was going to I've been teasing him all offseason that I think the Saints are going to win the division.
76:41I admitted this morning that I was like, actually, I changed my mind.
76:44The Bucs are going to win the division this year.
76:47And I think this offense is a huge screaming value in fantasy football.
76:51So we're sharing a brain here on that one.
76:53Your next grouping is next top four units. Yes.
76:56Broncos, Eagles, Bills, Cowboys. I don't even need to talk about any of those.
77:00I think people know those offensive lines are good and we're drafting a lot of players from those teams.
77:05I want to talk about just from this group, the next group here.
77:09And again, like I said, we're not going to be able to get to all these, but good units with a couple spots are things I'm squinting at.
77:16You got Chiefs, Bears, Colts. Pick one offensive line here, Nate, that you think actually could jump up into the next tier up, like could outperform expectations.
77:24Oh, that would be the Chiefs. The Chiefs are knocking on that door.
77:28It's just really for me. It's Josh Simmons. If Josh Simmons is playing most of the season, because he just seems like this weird question mark injury stuff.
77:35And I do think that there's some other stuff with him that I don't want to go into here.
77:41But it's like I do think with that with Simmons is that.
77:44But if he's playing, he's an all pro, like all pro quality player.
77:48Like he really is. He was so impressive as a rookie.
77:51Kingsley, Stu, Mata, either left guard. It was a very improved last year where I think now he's good.
77:56And Creed Humphrey is the best center in the game.
77:59Trey Smith is good. He's streaky. And so he can get beat sometimes because he's like kind of a shotgun playing right guard.
78:05But the things that's made me feel a little bit better is this guy Khalil Benson, this undrafted rookie they got.
78:11Benson was at Indiana and Colorado and back to Indiana in college.
78:15Ends up undrafted. He looked excellent in preseason at guard.
78:17And I think they're playing him at tackle a little bit, too.
78:21They have Jalen Moore. They signed him. He's the weak link right now, but he's not awful.
78:25Like it's not like, oh, my God, you guys are starting Trey Pipkins.
78:29You know, you're not starting. You know, one of these guys, that's the one of the boogeyman's at offensive line.
78:35So I'm curious at the right tackle spot. So that's what I'm squinting at, squinting at Simmons and his availability.
78:40The Khalil Benson thing is actually really kind of been really interesting to me is like the right side depth.
78:46Yeah, he was really impressive at guard. Like I was I had no radar.
78:50I was aware of him, but it wasn't like a guy I was seeking out to watch right away.
78:55He just kind of washed over me because he was standing out so much.
78:59All right. So the next group is better than you think.
79:02I'm just going to read off these names because there's a couple of these offenses that are not good.
79:07And yet, you know, these lines are better than you think.
79:10And that's how some of these could become, you know, maybe not great teams, but value fantasy offenses.
79:15Bengals, which I know is again, I want people to go read your Bengals section because this is, one, you've been like
79:22your axe to grind with big football media. I've seen you post about this a lot that the Bengals line is better than people putting this morning.
79:29Giants. I saw it. I saw giants. I could have dolphins, saints, jets.
79:33If any of those teams outkick expectations, it's likely to be because their O-line is better than you think.
79:38But just last one I want to end on here.
79:41Your final section is injuries. And now I don't know what to do with you.
79:45You have the Panthers here, which I think people won't be surprised by because they've lost both of their theoretical starting tackles to injuries.
79:52I think they kind of planned for the Ikea Quanu one, but, you know, Taylor Moton has been a great player for a long time.
79:59He's out with blood clots. I believe it is.
80:01Right. So monitor, Freeling, Rashid Walker. We'll see about that part of it.
80:05And they've had some guard stuff in the like we know what the deal with the Panthers is.
80:10But the Commanders, you are certainly starting to send some alarm bells up on the Commanders, Nate.
80:15And I have also started to every time I start to look at these passing game players for the Commanders when I
80:21update my fantasy rankings, I'm starting to dock these guys down a little bit.
80:25This is a unit I was excited about. What's kind of ringing your alarm bells about the Commanders right now?
80:30So I was interested in this O-line. I actually thought they would be more about average-ish going into the season.
80:36And I was curious about this offensive system. Losing Laramie Tunsil, definitely alarm bell.
80:40Their center has been dealing with a calf injury, Nick Algaretti.
80:43I'm actually still high on Josh Connelly, the right tackle.
80:46I think he's a good run blocker. I'm curious how he is as a pass protector.
80:50Chris Paul's solid, Cosme's solid. But I watched them in preseason.
80:53And again, you weigh all these teams differently in preseason because they're all trying to accomplish something different.
80:58But they look bad. Like they look sloppy on offense.
81:01They look sloppy on defense. So I'm getting really worried about this team, especially a team going through a big transition on offense.
81:07And that's what's got me really, really concerned. I'm not concerned about Sonny Stiles, by the way, which I know is grabbing
81:13a lot of the oxygen about that team. He looks good.
81:17So don't worry. People can't do linebacker. No, the O-line is very concerning, especially how I think they want to attack.
81:22That's what Cliff Kingsbury is. Again, his offense has warts.
81:25It hides offensive line deficiencies because they win with speed.
81:28They say, we're going to run a bunch of plays.
81:31We're going to – even if we're not perfect, we're going to pop something because we have so much speed and we're going so fast.
81:38Now they want to be methodical. If you want to be methodical, you've got to be really down on your details.
81:44Their offensive line coach is a guy that's only – he's been an assistant line coach in the league, but he's only
81:50come from college as an O-line coach. That's a little concerning for me, even if it's some of the stuff he did in college I liked.
81:57It's a big jump. And it's a new first-time OC, so I'm not sure if he has ways to mitigate that.
82:03They have a quarterback that likes to scramble a bunch.
82:06They don't have a running back that really like – I can really hang my hat on.
82:10I like a couple things, but I can't – see what I'm building here?
82:14It's not like – I'm really starting to get more and more worried about this team as the time has gone on this summer.
82:21It's not just you talking, Nate, that is a horror show, but if you're watching with us along on YouTube, you've seen
82:27just like five or six – I mean the producers are deep in their bag right now looking – I know which
82:33producer it is, by the way – deep in their bag – actually it could be two of them – deep in
82:39their bag looking for just like sliding scale of – it just keeps getting worse offensive lines specifically reports from commanders, beat
82:46writers, who are all really good by the way.
82:48The commanders have a really good beat. But just group of offensive line horror shows from training camp and everything, and we have seen this in the preseason.
82:56Absolutely. This is one of those ones, Nate, we were talking about this with Mike Evans yesterday on Football 301 where like a March curiosity idea.
83:03You start to get into August and you start thinking about this in practice.
83:07This is David Blau to me as the offensive coordinator for the Washington commanders because I have been super, super interested in
83:13the idea of David Blau coming off the – I mean he's coached under Cliff Kingsbury for two years as the freaking assistant quarterback coach.
83:20So that's a big jump in addition to the college offensive line thing, which I know you have raised the alarm bells
83:26before previously and been correct about, let the record show, for other teams.
83:30But the Blau is a big promotion, but it's all about based on the theory that he's going to bring some Ben
83:36Johnson things in here because he's come up as a Ben Johnson backup quarterback with the Lions, whatever.
83:41Dan Quinn, excuse me, said at the opening presser they want to do more under center play action.
83:46I'm like, ooh, I'm really interested in that. And that is like such a classic March curiosity that then you see it
83:52and it all comes to come together in August and the reality doesn't look so good.
83:57So, yeah, I thought I was going to be over-indexed on the commanders from a fantasy perspective, Nate, but worried about the
84:03passing game and worried like Bill Krosky Merritt, who's like a nice sleeper running back.
84:07Does he just get banged from a snaps perspective because they need your boy Rashad White out there to pass protect?
84:13And that's what's concerning, too. And then even guys like Chico Kwankwo, like they had him doing pass protection and he botched it.
84:19And that's what led to the Jaden Daniels sack in the preseason.
84:23And again, you don't want to just go, oh, it's one bad play in preseason.
84:27They're fixing this up. I watch other teams with new coaches, and this is over years.
84:31When I'm starting to watch the depth and the depth is making a lot of mental mistakes, that kind of indicates coaching.
84:38It's not all ability. I'm watching the Seahawks backup defenders teeing off on guys and running, flying.
84:42And you want to who's one of the best coaches in the NFL?
84:46Mike McDonald. I'm watching the 49ers backups trotting out there and doing good stuff.
84:50I'm watching the Rams undersized center making calls and doing all this.
84:53And then I watch the commanders. I'm like, oh, wow.
84:56They just, oh, oh, no. And mental mistakes, mental mistakes, mental mistakes.
84:59And that's, again, now that we've built and now I've seen their moves.
85:03There's certain players, too, that teams sign that are kind of red flag players.
85:07And they have a couple. They have DJ Humphreys.
85:09They have Daniel Brunskill now. And they have Nick Petit.
85:12Oh, man. Like, they have a lot of guys on this team.
85:15Stephon Diggs is a little bit of a red flag player now.
85:19I think now as we're getting to the. But it's like these.
85:22That it's scary. It's getting scary with this team right now.
85:25Yeah. It's getting really sloppy. So it's not like even the defense improvement.
85:29I'm like, oh, yeah, that can carry him. It's like, no, the defense, which is just as sloppy as the offense.
85:35And so that's that's, again, leads to concerns. And all of this could have been, you know, not good, but maybe fine
85:41if they didn't lose one of the three best left tackles in the NFL.
85:45That's where it all comes down to. Like, this is how you get to disaster level.
85:49So really positive note for us to end on here at Nate Tice.
85:53But that is really good analysis. As people are going into.
85:56You had to make it through the first, you know, 87 minutes of the show to get the most actionable takeaway here,
86:02which is maybe start docking those commanders players in fantasy rankings.
86:05But I hope I'm wrong about that because I do love I mean, Terry McLaurin and Stefan digs, especially digs are like RP Hall of Famers.
86:12So hopefully I'm wrong about that. But I have started to dock both of those guys just because the offensive line concerns.
86:19So great show today with Nate. This was amazing of a June podcast right at the end of August is your drafts are coming up.
86:26The better in real life players for fantasy football plus offensive line rankings.
86:29You absolutely love to see it. You know what else you love to see out there, people?
86:34It is day 17 of 29 for Yahoo Fantasies 29th year.
86:37And to celebrate day 17 of 29, we are revealing commissioners can now set custom scoring by position and stat category.
86:43Yes, I've seen the sentiment out there. The people want the custom scoring.
86:46They have been dying. They've been thirsting for this.
86:49Well, guess what, folks? Now you can do it.
86:51You can award points for any stat touchdowns, receptions, yardage, yardage bonuses, 60 plus yard field goals.
86:56I saw Adam Vinatieri was the guy announcing this for us.
86:59That's pretty incredible. You can credit team wins, team wins and defensive return yards.
87:03Absolutely amazing. Play with custom scoring. And reminder, next week's a big one.
87:07The Yahoo Fantasy Analyst League. September 1st, 5 p.m.
87:09Right here on the YouTube channel. This is going to be really sick.
87:13Nate's going to be. Nate will be there for that.
87:16We booked him for that. Okay. For this massive live draft stream.
87:19It's going to be absolutely. It's going to be crazy.
87:22I hope to see you guys there tomorrow. I am going to be not in this little box.
87:27I'm going to be in New York City. I'm going to be in the Big Apple as they call it.
87:33In studio, in person with Yahoo NFL senior writer, Jory Epstein.
87:36She's going to join me as she finishes her training camp tour for 19 freaking teams.
87:40I'm going to ask her the most important things she learned.
87:43These are things you guys are going to need for your drafts.
87:46I promise you that. Until then, we are out.