Matt Harmon artwork

Can Kirk Cousins Save The Viking's Season?

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

15 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Nov 13, 2026
Published
Fri, November 13, 2026
7
Player insights
7
Players mentioned
Topics
Brock BowersCarson WentzFernando MendozaJordan AddisonJustin JeffersonKirk CousinsMax Brosmer
Player analysis

Player insights

7

Brock Bowers

PositiveRole14:00

Brock Bowers is identified as one of the best chain movers in the entire NFL, making him a key target for Mendoza to utilize in the Raiders offense to move the ball downfield.

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Carson Wentz

NegativeProjection3:27

Carson Wentz delivered one of the worst quarterback performances of the 2024-2026 season, ranking sixth-worst in EPA per drop-back, fifth-worst in adjusted yards per attempt, and fourth-worst in success rate among 1,293 games with 20+ drop-backs in that span. This catastrophic performance was a primary driver of the Vikings' desperation to acquire Kirk Cousins.

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Fernando Mendoza

NegativeMatchup13:42

Fernando Mendoza is the upcoming starter for the Raiders, but his first two starts come against the Seahawks and Denver Broncos defenses, which presents a difficult early schedule for the rookie quarterback to prove himself.

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Jordan Addison

NegativeProjection0:00

Jordan Addison's fantasy outlook depends on Kirk Cousins' ability to restore the Vikings passing game to top-10 production levels after the Carson Wentz and Max Brosemer era decimated production. Addison is positioned as a secondary receiving option in the Vikings offense alongside Justin Jefferson. Kevin O'Connell has been allocating more slot usage and favorable looks to Addison and other receivers rather than maximizing Jefferson's touches, which Harmon criticizes as a departure from O'Connell's original mandate to move Jefferson around. With Kirk Cousins' arrival, the expectation is that target allocation will shift back toward Jefferson (30% target share), implying Addison's role may be secondary to Jefferson's in the new offensive scheme.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveProjection0:00

Justin Jefferson's efficiency metrics remain elite despite Vikings offensive struggles: 2.07 yards per route run and 10.5% first-down rate this season. Matt Harmon argues the narrative of Jefferson falling off is false—he has declined 0% in efficiency. The core issue is offensive context: Vikings rank 29th in offensive efficiency, possess the ball minimally due to three-and-outs, and have reduced Jefferson's slot usage to a career-low 11% (down from 24% in 2023, 20% in 2022, 18% in 2021). Even in three-plus WR packages, his slot rate is 15.4%, down from 23% last year and 27% two years ago. Harmon expects Kirk Cousins' arrival and Kevin O'Connell's commitment to moving Jefferson around more—targeting him on 30% of plays—will restore him to elite production, positioning him as an offense lifter. However, Jefferson has been visibly frustrated by poor quarterback play and offensive scheme; after the 49ers game, he threw his hands up in frustration on a route break when the QB threw an interception to another receiver—a reaction Harmon has never seen in his charting from 2014 to current. Jefferson has been a good soldier with a great attitude despite the Vikings' quarterback carousel (changing QBs every 3.5 games since letting Cousins go years ago), but the frustration has now piled up. Jefferson himself told media they need to simplify the offense and make it easier for everybody, marking the harshest criticism he's given to media.

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Kirk Cousins

NegativeProjection0:00

Matt Harmon believes Kirk Cousins can elevate the Vikings offense to a top-10 level given the talent around him (Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison), though he acknowledges significant downside risk. Cousins is a 38-year-old pocket passer in his upper 30s who has been devolving over the last three weeks and is notoriously streaky—he performs well in October but historically falls off as the season progresses. His worst game of the season came against the 49ers with three interceptions, lowest passer rating, and worst EPA per play of the year. The Vikings' desperation to acquire him (trading only a third-round pick) reflects their offensive collapse under Carson Wentz and Max Brosemer. Best case: Cousins elevates the Vikings to a top-10 offense given favorable divisional matchups (Chicago and Detroit have weak secondaries/defenses). Worst case: Cousins could get hurt immediately or completely implode, especially given the weak receiving corps. Harmon notes the luster has come off Cousins over the last three weeks and he could absolutely fall off the map in November and December. The range of outcomes is described as 'completely wild'—from league-average to top-10 depending on Cousins' performance and health. His tenure is limited by Minnesota's bye week in week 13, meaning he may only start three more games for the team.

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Max Brosmer

NegativeProjection3:30

Max Brosemer's two games sandwiching Carson Wentz's catastrophic performance were among the worst EPA per drop-back performances for the Vikings, placing three Vikings games in the bottom ten for EPA per drop-back. Matt Harmon humorously notes Brosemer's poor play against prevent defense, underscoring the Vikings' offensive collapse that necessitated the Kirk Cousins trade.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

458
0:00Minnesota could not reek of more
0:02desperation right now. I could also see
0:05Kirk Cousins elevating this offense to
0:07like a top 10 offense because he's got
0:09Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison.
0:12>> Look at the release.
0:13>> There's your separation.
0:14>> Wait, route.
0:14>> Stutter and go. Gets by clean.
0:16>> is unbelievable.
0:17>> May be the greatest catch I've ever
0:19seen.
0:22>> Kirk Cousins going back to Minnesota. I
0:24will focus on the wide receivers, J
0:26Jetta's, Justin Jefferson, um you know,
0:29Addison, Jordan Addison.
0:30I I don't know. Does Kirk Cousins come
0:32back? It's By the way,
0:34so the question is does Kirk Cousins
0:35come back and save the production for
0:37those wide receivers? Does he save the
0:39offense in general?
0:41But let me just say
0:44Minnesota could not reek of more
0:47desperation right now.
0:49You're talking to me about an aging
0:52quarterback that again y'all let go
0:55and is coming off of what is clearly the
0:59worst performance of the season for Kirk
1:03Cousins and they're still hot. [snorts]
1:06I mean, Minnesota was hot going after
1:11Kirk Cousins despite the fact that he is
1:13in his upper 30s, despite the fact that
1:16he is over the last three weeks
1:19devolving as a player. It is very
1:22interesting to me and quite sad that
1:25Minnesota was chasing after Kirk Cousins
1:28that badly. Uh so yeah, I don't know. So
1:31I go back to the original question of do
1:34you think Kirk Cousins
1:36brings Minnesota's offense back to a
1:39level of just like let's just say league
1:41average production?
1:43>> Hell yeah, I do. I really do. Um I agree
1:47with with everything you just said there
1:49uh about the desperation of it all,
1:52especially in context of this is a
1:54player that they were totally willing to
1:56say see you later to
1:59like what, three years ago, four years
2:00at this point? That's not that long.
2:01They were goodbye Kirk Cousins.
2:03Apparently their relationship got a
2:04little frosty at the end there too
2:06between Kirk Cousins and KOC. By the
2:08way, that might be a little bit of a KOC
2:10problem considering everybody else likes
2:11Kirk Cousins and people are starting to
2:13not like Kevin O'Connell there. Uh so
2:15there there's that. But yeah, I mean
2:17they the timeline of events here for
2:19Minnesota is humiliating to think about.
2:23Let's let's go let's go back to it. They
2:24have a pretty good stretch run with Kirk
2:26Cousins who then what tears his Achilles
2:28and then they were like see you later
2:30Kirk. We're we're good on that.
2:32Uh and then they they sign Sam Darnold,
2:35they draft J.J. McCarthy. They have a
2:36great season with Sam Darnold. They said
2:38all right, cool, we're done with you Sam
2:39Darnold. See you later. He goes and wins
2:40the Super Bowl with the Seattle
2:41Seahawks. They then start J.J. McCarthy,
2:44the dude they took in the top 10 and
2:47they hate that which that experience
2:49doesn't go well. Um you know
2:50organizations fail young quarterbacks or
2:53organizations fail young quarterbacks
2:54before
2:55young quarterbacks fail [laughter]
2:56organizations. Well I guess you failed
2:57J.J. McCarthy uh because you didn't
2:59develop him a lick. Uh then they decide
3:01like all right, we're done with
3:02McCarthy. They could actually have
3:04signed Kirk Cousins this off season.
3:07That he was available for somebody to
3:09sign and instead they're like we don't
3:11want that. We're going to get Kyler
3:12Murray even though he fits our system
3:13exactly 0%.
3:15And then Kyler Murray predictably is
3:18bad. You still trade J.J. McCarthy away
3:21for a fifth round pick. You give him up
3:22and he's been whatever. He's been fine
3:24with the New York Giants, he's been
3:25fine. But you say goodbye to him. You
3:27start Carson Wentz
3:29and Carson Wentz
3:31was I mean it was easily one of the
3:33worst performances of the entire season.
3:36The only two games from an EPA per drop
3:37back standpoint this year that were
3:39worse than Carson Wentz was Michael
3:41Penix and Baker Mayfield in the rain
3:43monsoon game against each other several
3:46weeks ago.
3:48I actually I actually looked this up.
3:50There have been 1,293
3:53games from 2024 to our current moment in
3:552026 where a quarterback has taken 20
3:57plus drop backs. The Wentz game is the
3:59sixth worst EPA per drop back in that
4:03stretch, fifth worst by adjusted yards
4:05per attempt, and fourth worst by success
4:07rate in that stretch. If you look at EPA
4:10per drawback, there are three Vikings
4:12games in the bottom ten. Three. The
4:15other two games sandwiching Carson Wentz
4:17are Max Brosemer games.
4:20By the way, Max Brosemer gets in the
4:21game on Monday night and Troy Aikman has
4:24to like fan himself because his face
4:27passed by Brosemer against prevent
4:29defense, whatever, is so is so good.
4:32That's So with all that said, that's how
4:34desperate that the Minnesota Vikings
4:37were that they go back to Kirk Cousins.
4:40And with all that said, James, I was
4:42actually kind of relieved to see that
4:43they only gave up a third round pick.
4:48I thought I thought the Raiders were
4:50going to
4:51bend them over the barrel because man,
4:53they had all
4:55they had all the leverage in that
4:56situation. This This is a 30 year old 38
5:00year old quarterback who is notoriously
5:03streaky.
5:05>> Yeah.
5:06>> I Notori- I mean,
5:07would it would it be would it be a
5:08surprise to anybody if Kirk Cousins like
5:11starting really hot then just falls off
5:13the cliff?
5:14>> That's what that's what's happening.
5:17Bro, that's what's happening.
5:18>> Yeah, I mean, it is it's kind it's kind
5:20of happening. It's it's kind of
5:22happening. I I think obviously
5:23>> so bad last week, dude.
5:26>> Yep, the three picks were bad. It was
5:28definitely his worst game of the season,
5:29passer rating, EPA per drawback easily
5:31Yeah, it's easily his worst game of the
5:32season. Uh tough game obviously when
5:34you're constantly behind against the
5:36Niners, but um yeah, no, I mean, we
5:38could be in that moment where Kirk is on
5:40I think actually if you look
5:41historically, Kirk is always awesome in
5:43October and then starts to fall off as
5:45the season goes along. That's totally
5:47possible. And yet, Minnesota had to do
5:49this. They had they had to do it. They
5:51had to do it. They could not play in
5:52their current stuff the rest of the way.
5:54And I still think that the player if
5:56he's the player that he was to start
5:57this year, I still stand by what I said
5:59earlier that hell yeah, he gets them
6:00back to an average offense. And really
6:02all I care about is just get that pill
6:05to Justin Jefferson, man.
6:07Just get that ball to
6:08Jefferson James. I I don't think I've
6:10ever seen this before.
6:12I don't think I don't think I've ever
6:13seen this before, but on Monday night,
6:14Carson Wentz, when he throws the ball
6:16right to Tyron Johnson on one of his
6:18picks,
6:19>> Yeah.
6:19>> Jefferson's coming out of the in cut
6:22and like throws his hands up cuz
6:24>> I've never seen that.
6:25>> never I've never seen all my charting
6:272020 2014 to current, I've never seen
6:29somebody throw the WTF hands up coming
6:31out of the dig route on the on the route
6:33break there. First time I've seen that.
6:36>> I mean, Justin Jefferson has been such a
6:38good soldier, honestly. He's had a great
6:40attitude.
6:42He's had such a great attitude and it
6:43just
6:44it's piled up now, you know? Like the
6:47stat I saw was that ever since that
6:49Minnesota let go of Kirk Cousins a few
6:51years ago, they have changed
6:53quarterbacks about every
6:56three and a half games,
6:58which is bonkers.
7:00>> Yeah.
7:00>> That's insane. And keep in mind, they
7:03had Darnold in there for an entire
7:04season. Like that was a thing, you know?
7:08So yeah, I don't I don't know. I don't
7:10know what is going on. It's it's a
7:11little crazy, but
7:13look, I agree with the overall
7:17premise that Kirk Cousins is a good fit.
7:20Obviously, with the scheme, he can drop
7:22in just drop right in and immediately
7:25start producing.
7:26But I am also open to the fact I'm just
7:28trying to be more open-minded about
7:30things, man, you know?
7:31Like talk about range of
7:33outcomes. Like I'm more I am also open
7:35to the fact that Kirk Cousins could get
7:37hurt immediately.
7:39>> Sure.
7:40>> And he could also just completely
7:42implode immediately as well. Because
7:45again, the football that we we have
7:47he started hot, he's been hot, he's been
7:50dragging along a wide receiver room that
7:53again is not good.
7:57It's it's not good. Like Trey Tucker's
7:59your number one right now. Like
8:01listen, you you could like Trey Tucker.
8:03He's not a number one, you know? He
8:05should be be three in a in a real deal
8:08So no, Kirk Cousins has done a really
8:09really good job getting these guys the
8:12football.
8:13But over the last I want to say three
8:15weeks, we have certainly seen a lot of
8:18the luster come off of Kirk Cousins. So
8:22I don't know, man. Like I'm also very
8:24aware of the fact that Kirk Cousins is a
8:26streaky player and I could absolutely
8:28see him falling off the map in November,
8:31December as well. And then and then
8:33where they at, you know?
8:35>> I mean, look, all of that is very fair
8:37and totally possible. You know, you're
8:38right. We want to be open to more
8:40things, range of outcomes wise. Here
8:42here's the thing that I would say when
8:45what I want to be
8:46I want to be more open-minded to things
8:48too in a lot of ways and I want to be
8:50less reductive about analysis, you know,
8:53because sometimes it is very simple, but
8:55I think in this situation we have this
8:56has been a constant theme for us on this
8:58show that it's not just the quarterback
9:01in Minnesota. There are other issues
9:03that this team needs to figure out and
9:05they can't just drop Kirk Cousins in
9:07here and say like fixed.
9:09There are other things scheme wise that
9:10need to happen here. And by the way, you
9:11know who else said that?
9:13Is Justin Jefferson after the game on
9:15Monday. This is like the the the the
9:17harshest thing he's said to anybody in
9:19the media
9:20is he's he basically said they have that
9:23that they have to find ways to quote
9:24simplify the offense and make it quote
9:27easier for everybody. We have the
9:29talent, we have the guys in the room and
9:31on the offensive side of the ball to
9:32make plays and make something happen.
9:34And I looked this up. Like Justin
9:36Jefferson this year
9:37efficiency wise, then this is why this
9:39this is why this matters so much to me
9:41because I think Justin Jefferson is one
9:42of the best wide receivers of all time.
9:43Like he's [clears throat] no worse than
9:45fifth in terms of the best players of
9:47the reception perception era. You know,
9:49obviously it's it's he hasn't
9:52he's not an older player. We'll see how
9:53it tracks as he ages or whatever, but
9:55just peak wise he's up he's up there
9:58with everybody. You know, Antonio Brown
10:00like all these guys
10:01>> Adams on them too too.
10:02>> Adams. Adams is like what is a little
10:04trickier because obviously he had a
10:06tough start to his career, but like I I
10:08Justin Jefferson wire to wire has been
10:09an elite player in reception perception.
10:12You know, one of the best players, like
10:13I said, at the receiver position. And,
10:15you know, the fact that there's like
10:16kind of a narrative about like, oh,
10:17maybe he's fallen No, he has fallen off
10:19exactly 0%.
10:21Um even like efficiency stats-wise, he
10:23has he averages 2.07 yards per route run
10:26this year. He gets a first down on 10.5%
10:28of his routes. Those are really good
10:29numbers. The problem is
10:31the offense stinks and they don't
10:33possess the ball long enough cuz they go
10:35three and out all the time. They're one
10:36of the the the the lowest plays per
10:38game. That Even that alone, like having
10:39somebody who could just keep possess the
10:42freaking football. The time of
10:43possession stuff on Monday night was
10:44disgusting. And so again, one of the
10:46things I think is under under discussed
10:48this year, Jefferson has been in the
10:50slot on 11% of his snaps.
10:53>> Hm.
10:53>> That is a career low. And I thought,
10:55okay, um you know, it's it's a career
10:58low by a lot. It's gone down each of the
11:00last four seasons. In 2023 it was 24%,
11:03then it was 20%, then it was 18%, and
11:05now this year 11%. I'm like, okay, is
11:07that more heavy personnel stuff that the
11:10the Vikings are using? No. When there
11:12are three wide three or more wide
11:14receivers on the field, Justin
11:17Jefferson's slot rate is still the
11:19lowest of his career. It's 15.4%,
11:23which again is down from 23% last year
11:26and 27 the year before. It was 30% in
11:292023.
11:31Like they have they have got to do more
11:32to put him in easy positions to like get
11:35catches. Like it just it's it's crazy
11:37that they've gotten worse about this
11:39under Kevin O'Connell. This was like the
11:41point of hiring O'Connell. He was going
11:43to move like Justin Jefferson around. He
11:45was going to get him more of these
11:46favorable looks and and and now they've
11:48like gotten away from that to roll Kater
11:50for Jordan Addison and all these other
11:52dudes. Like, no, you've got This is the
11:54This is the thing. Kirk Cousins, come in
11:55here and just put it in pen. 30% of the
11:58targets to Justin Jefferson. Kevin
11:59O'Connell move this guy around more. And
12:01I totally think that in that situation
12:03that at least Jefferson can get back to
12:05being like a great producer at the wide
12:07receiver position. We'll see about the
12:09rest of it.
12:10>> And listen, I'll tell you what, if
12:11Justin Jefferson does get back to that
12:13point, Matt, he will lift the offense.
12:15He is an offense lifter.
12:17So to to your point. Um so even worst
12:20case scenario, barring an injury
12:23to Kirk Cousins, which
12:25I don't know, 38 year old quarterback
12:26man who stands in the pocket and takes
12:28hits.
12:29Smaller dude. I'm just saying,
12:31man. Anyways,
12:33yes, for sure if you get Justin
12:34Jefferson the rock, he's lifting the
12:37offense, period. Point blank, period.
12:39And I do agree with that. And so maybe
12:41they can get to
12:42league average. If not, and again, by
12:44the way, this has got to be one of the
12:46situations in in the NFL where
12:49the range of outcomes is completely
12:51wild. Like it's Dude, I could also see
12:54Kirk Cousins being like, all right,
12:55dude, I'm back in Minnesota. I love
12:57Minnesota. The fans are going to go
12:59crazy for him. I could see him elevating
13:01this offense to like a top 10 offense
13:03because he's got Justin Jefferson,
13:05Jordan Addison. They don't have a run
13:07game, but who knows? Like, you know,
13:09maybe they get crazy here. Maybe they
13:10get hot going against [snorts] some of
13:12these bad defenses, bad secondary. He's
13:14going to see Detroit. He's going to see
13:15Chicago. Chicago's secondary stinks.
13:17Detroit's defense stinks. Green Bay's
13:19defense is very up and down. Like I
13:21don't know. Like he could absolutely go
13:24crazy. So it's like funny the the the
13:26range of outcomes is like
13:28it is really really good and it's also
13:31really really bad, you know? So I don't
13:33know. It's it's a very interesting setup
13:34in Minnesota.
13:35>> I mean, from week 15 to week 17 they get
13:38the Lions, the Commanders, and the Jets.
13:41>> Oh man.
13:42>> That's a great one. And the bar for this
13:44offense is so low. They are in my
13:47offensive efficiency metrics, they are
13:4829th in the NFL. The 29th offense in the
13:52NFL. The Raiders are the 11th best
13:54offense in the NFL.
13:55>> Wow.
13:57Wow.
13:58Well, Fernando, good luck.
14:01Let's go.
14:02>> Yeah, I mean, I'm I'm intrigued to see
14:03Fernando Mendoza for sure. I do wish his
14:06first two starts weren't coming against
14:07the Seahawks and the the Denver Broncos.
14:10That's
14:10>> what I'm saying.
14:12That's what I'm saying.
14:13>> just just get that ball to Brock Bowers.
14:15He's one of the best chain movers in the
14:17entire NFL. So let's that ball to Brock
14:19Bowers and see what happens.
14:20>> Okay.
14:21Um, anyways, by the way,
14:23before we leave, the the the the the
14:25press conference where Clint Kubiak
14:26looks like he's about to murder somebody
14:28is just he looks like he's about to
14:30absolutely sock Spytek in the face.
14:32>> Yeah.
14:33>> Which [laughter] is just
14:34amazing.
14:34>> I don't think this was I mean it's
14:37it's great business by the way for the
14:39Raiders.
14:39>> Oh yeah. Awesome.
14:42>> even if I really thought they were going
14:43to you know they were going to
14:45just obliterate Minnesota from a trade
14:47compensation perspective.
14:49Still getting a third round pick for a
14:5138-year-old quarterback who was going to
14:53maybe start three more games for you
14:55because they have a bye in week 13 which
14:57at that point that's when you get
14:59Mendoza in there.
15:00It's great business for them. But yeah,
15:02if I'm Clint Kubiak, I'm thinking damn
15:04it, we're still in the playoff mix and I
15:05love working with Kirk Cousins because
15:07he brings my very well designed offense
15:09to life.
15:10I could get I would get why he's pissed.

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