Matt Harmon

I’ve seen enough. This 2026 Packers offense will obviously flow through Jayden Reed and MarShawn Lloyd.

I’ve seen enough. This 2026 Packers offense will obviously flow through Jayden Reed and MarShawn Lloyd.

.@​MattHarmon_BYB walking out of a draft with Josh Downs, Jalen Coker, and Rashod Bateman. [Retweeted](

.@​MattHarmon_BYB walking out of a draft with Josh Downs, Jalen Coker, and Rashod Bateman. [Retweeted](

Chris Olave has always been an extremely talented player, but he broke through last year to WR1 levels 🔥 Besides good health, what else led to his 2025 ascension? How does Jordyn Tyson fit in? Where does Tyler Shough overlap with their games? watch: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4SBXl7bl1iE&feature=youtu.be>

Talked about my decision to move Jonathon Brooks over Chuba Hubbard on the show with @​MattHarmon_BYB earlier this week. With the Chuba injury news today, the only question now is… how high will Brooks’ ADP rise over the next month? [Retweeted](

Talked about my decision to move Jonathon Brooks over Chuba Hubbard on the show with @​MattHarmon_BYB earlier this week. With the Chuba injury news today, the only question now is… how high will Brooks’ ADP rise over the next month? [Retweeted](

I think fantasy leagues have been far too slow to react to De'Zhaun Stribling's overwhelmingly positive training camp [Retweeted](

When you see James Cook's smile after my nephew's question, you will want to want to draft him in the back half of the first [Retweeted](

There's been a ton of buzz out of Bills camp that James Cook and the RBs will be more involved in the passing game this season. So, I asked the man himself. What did his answer suggest? You decide.

Matt Harmon views Jordan Tyson as an intriguing offensive addition, citing his elite success rate versus zone coverage—one of the top five marks since 2021 among Power Four receivers. Harmon suggests Tyson could play a complementary role, allowing Chris Olave to focus on man coverage while Tyson exploits zone looks.

Matt Harmon notes that Spencer Rattler developed a strong early-season connection with Chris Olave on out-breaking routes, such as quick outs, aided by his quick release. However, Rattler struggled to connect on in-breaking routes, leaving significant production on the table over the middle of the field.

Matt Harmon uses Puka Nacua as a comparison point for route distribution, noting that Nacua leans into heavy dig route usage, which contrasts with the more balanced route tree utilized by Chris Olave.

Matt Harmon identifies Tyler Shough as having superior chemistry with Chris Olave compared to previous quarterbacks. Shough consistently found Olave on big-breaking routes over the middle of the field, specifically dig and post routes, which were key to Olave's production.

Matt Harmon notes that Marquez Valdes-Scantling was limited to only six games during the 2024 season as part of a New Orleans Saints wide receiver corps that was decimated by injuries.

Matt Harmon attributes Chris Olave's breakout to a combination of health, improved deployment, and better QB chemistry. Olave's route tree is highly balanced with no single route exceeding 17.3% usage; his slant rate jumped to 17.3% with an 85.5% success rate. He maintains elite consistency with a 77.1% success rate vs. man coverage (91st percentile). Deployment shifted with his out-wide rate dropping from 79% to 64% due to increased pre-snap motion and slot usage. Harmon ranks him 8th in weighted success rate on out routes and 1st on corner routes. Chemistry with Tyler Shough on dig (78.3% success) and post (78.4% success) routes was the best of his career, contrasting sharply with his lack of chemistry with Derek Carr.

Rookie WR Denzel Boston has been getting a lot of pop from Browns training camp 👀 Some highlights from his #ReceptionPerception prospect profile: - 72.5% success rate vs. man - 72.7% success rate vs. press - Strong performance on in-breaking routes - More positional flexibility beyond X - 78% contested catch rate - Drake London, Tetaioroa McMillan, Michael Pittman family tree of WR While not as strong a prospect as those first two names, Boston belongs to an archetype of WR that is always un...

Mentioned this on @​RecepPerception pod recently but wanted to send a shoutout to my guy Jamie, who I met a couple years ago at the FF Expo, for this awesome Josh Downs t-shirt and illustration! He’s not on here but check out his site and IG below because he has a ton of NFL player shirts 👇

Talking sleeper TEs here coming soon! [Quoted](

Talking sleeper TEs here coming soon! [Quoted](

Finally moved Jonathon Brooks over Chuba Hubbard in my latest rankings. While Brooks might not be leading the backfield in Week 1, it's clear the Panthers are hoping he can take over at some point this season. [Retweeted](

Finally moved Jonathon Brooks over Chuba Hubbard in my latest rankings. While Brooks might not be leading the backfield in Week 1, it's clear the Panthers are hoping he can take over at some point this season. [Retweeted](

Puka Nacua Is The Embodiment Of The Modern WR1 <https://youtu.be/I66bX_Qi5to>

Matt Harmon credits Chris Godwin as the prototype for big-time receivers who perform the 'dirty work' in the run game, specifically as an insert player in Bruce Arians' offense. Godwin set the standard for running routes off the line of scrimmage during duo runs and blocking, which creates the foundation for his explosive playmaking.

Matt Harmon clarifies that the 'Puka Nacua-ish' role often attributed to Michael Wilson by fantasy analysts refers specifically to his responsibilities as an insert player in the run game. Wilson is expected to block and run routes off the line of scrimmage in duo run schemes, a role that requires physical toughness and 'getting his hands dirty' to earn explosive play opportunities.

Matt Harmon cites Nico Collins as a physical archetype for the traditional boundary X receiver, contrasting his profile with the modern, slot-leaning roles of players like Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Matt Harmon notes that Michael Pittman recorded a 27% dig route usage rate, serving as the statistical benchmark just behind Puka Nacua's record-setting 28.2% rate.

Matt Harmon expects Marvin Harrison Jr.'s role to change significantly in his second year under offensive coordinator Michael Floor. After a rookie season that was somewhat sacrificial and focused on vertical X routes, Harrison is expected to see more intermediate, breaking-area routes in the Rams-style offense.

Matt Harmon identifies Rashee Rice as a primary example of a receiver who works over the middle of the field more than almost any other player, using him as a benchmark for the injury risks associated with that role. Harmon further classifies Rice as a 'poor man's version' of the Puka Nacua/Amon-Ra St. Brown archetype, noting he is currently far less complete as a player than those elite options.

Matt Harmon views Amon-Ra St. Brown as a key player in the evolution of the modern WR1 archetype. Initially utilized as a 'power slot' receiver, St. Brown has evolved to be less exclusively a slot player, demonstrating that his body type and physicality can be maximized through strategic role placement. Harmon also notes St. Brown likely fits the modern WR1 trend of having a low nine-route rate.

Matt Harmon notes that Zay Flowers is part of a group of modern WR1 types with a low nine-route percentage, recording 9.8% on nine routes.

Matt Harmon notes that Jaylen Waddle is part of a group of modern WR1 types with a low nine-route percentage, recording 9.7% on nine routes.

Matt Harmon notes that Rome Odunze is part of a modern trend of WR1 types who record low nine-route percentages, with Odunze posting an 8.3% rate on nine routes last year.

Matt Harmon uses Julio Jones as a historical reference point for the traditional 'boundary X receiver' body type and role, contrasting him with modern, more versatile receivers like Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Jones represents the older archetype whose role was built around verticality and drawing defensive attention to open the middle.

Matt Harmon references Calvin Johnson as a historical standard for the traditional boundary X receiver, noting how the passing game was once built around the gravitational pull of such players, contrasting this with modern, more versatile receiver archetypes.

Matt Harmon compares Jaxon Smith-Njigba's route tree to Puka Nacua's, noting both excel on 90-degree angle cuts like dig and out routes. Harmon suggests this skill set is increasingly valuable in modern offenses that utilize condensed formations to create explosive plays. Additionally, Smith-Njigba is part of a modern trend of working inside more, with a 10.2% nine-route percentage, which remains below the NFL average.

Matt Harmon views Ja'Marr Chase as a superior X receiver option compared to Puka Nacua on a per-route basis, noting that Chase possesses the capability to play the X position on every single snap.

Matt Harmon identifies Cooper Kupp as the historical predecessor to Puka Nacua's current role. Harmon notes that the Rams began deprioritizing Kupp in the offense once both he and Nacua returned from injuries in 2024, shifting Nacua into the slot-heavy, off-ball Z receiver role previously occupied by Kupp.

Matt Harmon identifies Puka Nacua as a tier-one, top-five NFL receiver and the embodiment of the modern WR1. Since 2023, Nacua has led all qualifying receivers in successful plays, targets, first downs, yards per route run, and total EPA. His usage is elite in intermediate areas, featuring a record-setting 28.2% dig route rate. While he lacks high-volume vertical usage (8.3% nine routes), he maintains an elite 92.3% success rate on out routes and 82.1% on dig routes. Harmon notes his heavy reliance on middle-of-the-field work carries inherent injury risk, and while he has the technical profile (84th percentile vs. press, 80th vs. man) to play X, his current Z/slot role is highly productive.

Matt Harmon suggests that the New York offensive scheme under Nathaniel Hackett was largely dictated by Aaron Rodgers, which resulted in a more static alignment and usage pattern for receivers compared to previous systems.