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Matt Harmon fantasy football takes on Zay Flowers

Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Matt Harmon about Zay Flowers.

36
Insights
30
Positive
3
Negative
Insight ledger

All Matt Harmon insights about Zay Flowers

PositiveNewsOct 19, 2026
Top 26 WRs in PPG from Thanksgiving of last season through the NFL playoffs to Week 6 of this season (pre-MNF). 15 possible games. Pretty good ballpark for overall production, but various efficiency and alignment metrics are shown too. - Yes, obviously, this is a Jalen Coker tweet - Average age of the Top 20 is 26, and it drops to 25 if you remove Evans and Adams as the two age outliers - Obvious small sample size alert for Omar Cooper Jr. - Chris Olave now has a sustained period of high-end...
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PositiveUsageOct 7, 2026
Matt Harmon notes a significant shift in Zay Flowers' usage, with his slot snap rate increasing to 45% and backfield usage to 13%, while route participation from the slot has risen to 66%. Flowers is being effectively schemed into layup opportunities, with 335 of his 352 receiving yards coming against non-cornerbacks. His route tree has evolved to feature a 29% slant and 21% dig rate, where he has been excellent, losing only two charted reps. He maintains a 92% success rate versus man coverage and is on pace for 1,500 receiving yards. Harmon plans to move him up in dynasty rankings due to his elite talent, connection with Lamar Jackson, and a favorable upcoming schedule against Atlanta, Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Buffalo.
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PositiveUsageSep 17, 2026
Matt Harmon identifies Zay Flowers as the featured piece of the Ravens' offense, citing his elite Week 1 usage where he earned six targets on just 11 first-half routes. Flowers demonstrated versatility by leading the team with a 13.8 aDOT while also recording 16.6 yards after catch per reception, proving his ability to win downfield and against man coverage. Harmon views this performance as 100% legitimate, contingent on Flowers maintaining his health, specifically his hamstring.
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PositiveBreakoutAug 3, 2026
Matt Harmon projects a career year for Zay Flowers, citing significant growth in his success rate versus press coverage, which climbed from 62.9% as a rookie to 75% (76th percentile) in his third season. Flowers has evolved beyond a 'Mickey Mouse' receiver, with his screen route rate dropping to 4.9% while his usage on intermediate routes like digs (20%), curls, and slants increased. He maintains an elite 85.4% success rate versus zone coverage (92nd percentile) and has improved catch-point consistency, recording a 1.6% drop rate and catching three of four contested targets. Despite Lamar Jackson missing time and struggling with consistency last season, Flowers ranked 6th in receiving yards and 14th in YPRR since 2023. Harmon notes his route profile mirrors elite peers like Puka Nacua and Rome Odunze, and he is not a slot receiver, having played primarily on the outside.
Insight pageOriginal
NegativeProjectionJun 4, 2026
Matt Harmon views Zay Flowers as a zone-beating WR1 in the Ravens offense who looks excellent on per-route metrics and is underrated in real-life play. However, from a fantasy standpoint, Flowers has a capped touchdown ceiling as long as Derrick Henry is in the Ravens offense. Harmon is excited about the Ravens offense and Declan Doyle's impact as offensive coordinator, but Flowers does not have top-five receiver outcomes in his range like Lad McConkey does.
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