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Fantasy Football with Ian Hartitz fantasy football takes on Patrick Mahomes
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Fantasy Football with Ian Hartitz about Patrick Mahomes.
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Insight ledger
All Fantasy Football with Ian Hartitz insights about Patrick Mahomes
PositiveProjectionJul 18, 2026
If Mahomes figures out the passing game again after his rushing upside last year, the Chiefs' wide receivers like Worthy and Thornton will look like missed opportunities.PositiveProjectionJul 15, 2026
Sits atop QB rankings, though analyst suggests waiting and getting Jared Goff or Stafford in round 11 instead.NegativeProjectionJul 9, 2026
Despite being a franchise-caliber QB, Mahomes' current situation with injury concerns, weak surrounding offensive talent, and lack of offensive changes makes him a fade at his current draft price.NegativeRoleJul 9, 2026
Mahomes' fantasy production last year came almost entirely from rushing rather than passing, with his passing fantasy points per game unchanged from the previous two seasons.NegativeProjectionJul 9, 2026
Against man coverage last year, Mahomes ranked 26th in QB rating, 21st in completion rate, and 28th in passing yards, indicating significant struggles when teams play man coverage against Kansas City's weak receiver room.NegativeRoleJul 9, 2026
Mahomes' supporting cast has deteriorated significantly; teams now play heavy man coverage against Kansas City's weak receiver room, with his lead WR being a Debo Samuel-type player and his best perimeter receiver being a 165-pound player vulnerable to physical coverage.NegativeProjectionJul 9, 2026
Despite being at his cheapest ADP ever, Mahomes has declined significantly over the past three years (17th in completion rate, 23rd in yards per attempt, 20th in TD rate, 20th in INT rate) and is coming off an ACL injury, making his rushing upside unreliable.NegativeProjectionJul 7, 2026
Ian Hartitz ranks Patrick Mahomes as QB13, a dramatic downgrade from his historical elite status. While Mahomes averaged north of 20 fantasy points per game in 2025 (his first time since 2022), nearly all of that production came from rushing rather than passing. His passing fantasy points per game remained flat at 15 PPG from 2023–2025, but his rushing production spiked from 2.4 to 2.7 to 5.2 PPG—a career-high that Hartitz does not expect to sustain. Hartitz cites Mahomes' torn ACL and advancing age as reasons to expect regression in rushing production. He also expresses skepticism that Eric Benemy's return as offensive coordinator will significantly improve the Chiefs' stale passing game, noting the offense remains a concern given aging Travis Kelce, Rasheed Rice's knee injury and limited route tree, Xavier Worley's injury history, and Taekquin Thornton as the primary deep threat. Despite Mahomes' elite talent, Hartitz expresses deep concern about fading him at his lowest price ever, comparing this fade to his 2024 Lamar Jackson fade, which he calls 'a horrible idea' that 'terrified' him—yet he still believes the fade is justified given the offensive context.