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Baker Mayfield

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Baker Mayfield consensus QB21 with 112–133 ADP range.

ValueQB · TB

Baker Mayfield is ranked QB21 with ADP range 112–133 and consensus rank 125.2; expert disagreement is 5.9 points across 10 experts, placing him at overall pick 130.

FantasyPros ArticlesRead article

Baker Mayfield ranked QB21 in expert consensus with ADP 112.

ProjectionQB · TB

Ranked QB21 in FantasyPros' consensus draft rankings from the most accurate experts; ADP 112, consensus rank 133, expert consensus rating 125.2, average pick 5.9, with -2 expert variance and a 10-round consensus.

FantasyPros ArticlesRead article

Mayfield enters pivotal contract year after sub-4K yards in 2025.

ProjectionQB · TB

Mayfield has enjoyed a career renaissance in Tampa over the last three seasons and earned a three-year, $100 million deal after a strong 2023 campaign; however, he is a streaky player who can be electrifying at his best but also struggles to get out of his own way at times. In 2025, he started white hot with a 6-2 record but then encountered injuries and struggles that coincided with roster losses, finishing with fewer than 4,000 passing yards for the first time since 2022. He enters 2026 in a contract year without his favorite target Mike Evans and with fresh questions to answer.

NFL.com NewsRead article

Mayfield remains Bucs' franchise QB with proven track record of division titles and leadership.

RoleQB · TB

Mayfield remains the Buccaneers' franchise quarterback and primary reason for their competitive standing over the last three seasons. The source credits him with producing a career year in 2023 that kept Tampa Bay atop the NFC South, followed by an even better 2024 showing with career-high marks while leading the Buccaneers to a fourth consecutive division title. Despite the 2025 collapse, Mayfield's role as the team's starting QB and leadership presence is secure heading into 2026, and he is focused on proving his value in a contract year.

NFL.com NewsRead article

Mayfield enters contract year after injury-plagued 2025; motivated to prove $50M+ value in 2026.

ProjectionQB · TB

Mayfield is entering 2026 as a contract year with significant motivation after the Buccaneers failed to extend him before training camp. He suffered multiple injuries in 2025 after an MVP-caliber start, played through ailments that negatively affected performance, and contributed to Tampa Bay's late-season collapse and first postseason at home since 2019. The source notes his high ceiling doesn't come with a reliable floor, and his insistence on playing through injuries has been a recurring issue. However, Mayfield is publicly committing to a strong 2026 season, stating 'I'm going to have a really good year' and positioning himself for potential entry into the $50 million-per-year quarterback club (currently 12 QBs, ranging from Mahomes at $64M to Hurts at $51M) as a free agent in 2027.

NFL.com NewsRead article

Baker Mayfield suffered MCL and PCL sprains with unclear recovery timeline.

InjuryQB · TB

Baker Mayfield sustained MCL and PCL sprains, injuries that typically sideline quarterbacks for multiple weeks and carry risk of re-injury or complications during recovery.

NFL.com NewsRead article

Baker Mayfield consensus ADP 112 among most accurate experts.

ValueQB · TB

Baker Mayfield is ranked QB21 by the most accurate experts, with consensus ADP of 112 and a range of 133–125.2, placing him in the mid-tier quarterback range.

FantasyPros ArticlesRead article

Baker Mayfield ranked QB21 in expert consensus rankings.

ProjectionQB · TB

Ranked QB21 in FantasyPros' consensus draft rankings from the most accurate experts; ADP 112, consensus rank 133, expert consensus rating 125.2, average pick 5.9, with -2 change indicator.

FantasyPros ArticlesRead article

Mayfield is a low-ceiling QB2 option with limited upside after Round 9.

ProjectionQB · TB

Mayfield is classified as a low-ceiling QB2 available after Round 9, suggesting limited upside and unreliability as a fantasy option in 2026.

ESPN Fantasy FootballRead article

Played injured last year; possible rebound but not a target

InjuryQB · TB

Mayfield played injured last year, and it is very possible that he has a rebound this year, but the source is not specifically targeting him in 2026 fantasy.

Mattek Fantasy FootballWatch

Mayfield feels disrespected by Buccaneers' contract offer, halts negotiations.

ValueQB · TB
Felt 'disrespected' and 'undervalued' by Buccaneers' contract offer before training camp deadline; said he and his agent were 'not presented with an offer that's appealing whatsoever' and expressed disappointment at feeling undervalued after leading the Bucs to back-to-back NFC South titles in 2023-2024 before an injury-marred 2025 season; stated all contract discussions will cease until after the 2026 season concludes and won't speak to the organization unless 'actually recognized for his value.'
Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Mayfield threw 3,700 yards, 26 TDs in 2025 despite receiver injuries.

ProjectionQB · TB

Mayfield has no competition for the starting gig in Tampa despite being on an expiring contract entering 2026; during 2025, with three of the Bucs' top receivers missing significant time to injuries, Mayfield still managed to throw for nearly 3,700 yards and 26 touchdowns.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Mayfield cited as model for performance-based QB contract restructuring

ProjectionQB · TB

Baker Mayfield's contract structure was cited as an example of how quarterback compensation could be reformed; the source suggests that incentive-based contracts tied to wins and performance could allow players like Mayfield to reach $50M per year average if they deliver on the field year after year, rather than guaranteed money.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Mayfield frustrated with Bucs over failed contract extension negotiations

RoleQB · TB

Baker Mayfield expressed disappointment at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers not coming to an agreement on a contract extension, signaling tension between the quarterback and the organization heading into the 2026 season.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Coaching uncertainty makes long-term Mayfield commitment risky for Bucs' future regime.

RoleQB · TB

Uncertainty surrounding Tampa Bay's coaching and front office creates risk in committing to Mayfield now; Head Coach Todd Bowles is on the hot seat and unlikely to survive a second straight year without a playoff appearance, and if the team performs poorly enough to fire both Bowles and potentially GM Jason Licht, any new coaching or GM candidate would be stuck with Mayfield as their signal caller for 2027 and 2028, making it a tough sell to external candidates.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Extension could be bargain if Mayfield plays top-ten QB and leads Bucs back to playoffs.

ProjectionQB · TB

If Mayfield performs at a high level for an entire season and plays like a top-ten quarterback, an extension could look good for the Buccaneers long-term as the NFL salary cap continues to rise; a contract that may seem expensive now could look much better in 2-3 years, creating short-term pain for long-term gain.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Poor extension could saddle Bucs with worst-in-league QB deal if Mayfield regresses.

ProjectionQB · TB

The risk of extending Mayfield is that if he performs like he did in the second half of 2025, the Buccaneers would be stuck with one of the worst contracts in the NFL with no realistic way to get rid of it. The comparison is drawn to Kyler Murray and Tua Tagovailoa, both signed to massive extensions but never reached the next level; a bad QB contract at the quarterback position can sink a team.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Mayfield sets hard deadline on contract talks, vows big year despite tension.

RoleQB · TB
Mayfield set a firm deadline refusing to negotiate with Tampa Bay beyond the start of training camp, stating 'If you've waited this long to pay your franchise quarterback, it's only going to get worse…I'm going to have a big year.' He addressed the team confirming the contract situation won't be a distraction and plans to have a huge year, believing he's in best shape.
Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Mayfield felt disrespected by Buccaneers' contract offers.

ValueQB · TB

Baker Mayfield felt disrespected by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' contract offer, indicating tension in negotiations and potential dissatisfaction with the team's valuation of his services.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Mayfield felt disrespected in failed Buccaneers extension talks.

RoleQB · TB

Baker Mayfield felt "disrespected" and "undervalued" during extension talks with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, signaling tension in contract negotiations with the team he is preparing to lead for a fourth season.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Mayfield expected to improve from QB20 into streaming range this season.

ProjectionQB · TB

Mayfield finished QB20 last season and is projected to bounce back into streaming range; the source cites his injury history, offensive line injuries, and offensive injuries as context for underperformance, noting he didn't have Mike Evans last season so that loss is not a new factor. The source likes his aggressive play style for fantasy.

Fantasy Football AdviceWatch

Mayfield disappointed Bucs haven't agreed to extension

RoleQB · TB

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield expressed disappointment at the team not coming to an agreement on a contract extension, signaling tension in negotiations.

Yahoo Sports NFLRead article

Baker Mayfield ranked QB18 in superflex with ADP of 46.4

ProjectionQB · TB

Baker Mayfield ranked QB18 in superflex draft rankings with an ADP of 46.4 and average draft position variance of 9.9.

FantasyPros ArticlesRead article

Mayfield's strong camp performance signals big year ahead despite contract frustration.

ProjectionQB · TB

After expressing frustration over failed contract negotiations, Mayfield delivered his strongest training camp practice, connecting on multiple deep touchdown passes including scores to Emeka Egbuka and Jalen McMillan. Guard Cody Mauch stated Mayfield's mentality remains unchanged and predicted 'He's going to go off,' suggesting the quarterback is primed for a big year despite contract disputes.

ESPN NFLRead article

Mayfield's strong camp practice signals big year ahead despite contract frustration.

ProjectionQB · TB

After expressing frustration over failed contract negotiations, Mayfield delivered his strongest training camp practice, connecting on multiple deep touchdown passes including scores to Emeka Egbuka and Jalen McMillan. Guard Cody Mauch stated Mayfield's mentality remains unchanged and predicted 'He's going to go off,' suggesting the quarterback is primed for a big year despite contract disappointment.

ESPN NFLRead article

Extension locks in Mayfield despite coaching/GM uncertainty; could hamper future hires.

RoleQB · TB

Extending Mayfield now creates organizational risk given uncertainty around Head Coach Todd Bowles and General Manager Jason Licht. Bowles is on the hot seat after missing the playoffs in embarrassing fashion and likely won't survive a second straight year without a playoff appearance. If the team performs poorly enough to fire both Bowles and Licht, any new coaching or GM candidate would be stuck with Mayfield as their signal caller for 2027 and 2028, making it a tough sell to external candidates.

Bucs NationRead article

Poor performance would saddle Bucs with one of NFL's worst QB contracts.

BustQB · TB

If Mayfield performs poorly—similar to his second-half 2025 form—the Buccaneers would be saddled with one of the worst contracts in the NFL with no realistic way to escape it. The source cites Kyler Murray and Tua Tagovailoa as cautionary examples: both signed massive extensions with their original teams, failed to reach the next level, and are now playing for minimal money elsewhere. A bad QB contract at the quarterback position can sink a franchise for years.

Bucs NationRead article

Extension could be a bargain if Mayfield plays like a top-ten QB and leads playoff run.

ProjectionQB · TB

If Mayfield performs at a top-ten quarterback level and leads Tampa Bay back to the playoffs, an extension signed now could look like a bargain for the Buccaneers in 2-3 years as the NFL salary cap continues to rise. Short-term financial pain could yield long-term value if he outperforms his new contract, though this scenario depends entirely on sustained high-level performance.

Bucs NationRead article

Mayfield's hard deadline and frustration signal contract tension; team may have lost leverage.

RoleQB · TB

Mayfield set a hard deadline refusing to negotiate with Tampa Bay beyond the start of training camp, stating 'If you've waited this long to pay your franchise quarterback, it's only going to get worse…I'm going to have a big year.' He addressed the team confirming the contract situation won't be a distraction and plans to have a huge year, believing he's in best shape. However, the Buccaneers' delay in extending him has likely already damaged the relationship; while an improved offer could theoretically sway him, the team has lost the ability to keep him completely happy unless they provide an exceptional deal.

Bucs NationRead article

Drafted at pick 117 in underdog mock draft

ValueQB · TB

Drafted at pick 117 in Ricky Pierall's Flock Fantasy underdog mock draft.

Flock FantasyWatch