NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Sunday, June 7, 2026

Running back Davis Mattek suggests could have been a better draft choice than some wide receiver selections at mid-draft range. The source questions whether Jefferson was the right pick at this stage, implying Akers represents superior value compared to wide receivers available in that range.

The source uses Hall as context for Braelon Allen's backup role; Hall's health and playing time directly determine Allen's fantasy value in best ball formats.

Backup running back criticized by Davis Mattek for best ball formats; Allen projects for about 12 points in games where Breece Hall misses, but yields a zero 9 out of 10 times. The source frames Allen as a high-variance pick that represents poor roster construction in best ball, where zeros hurt significantly.

Early-round running back used by Davis Mattek as a hypothetical example of an elite RB whose injury would reshape fantasy football strategy. The source notes that if Gibbs, along with Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor, and Bijan Robinson, all suffered injuries, it would fundamentally alter how the fantasy community approaches early-round RB valuation.

First-round running back who has stayed healthy in recent seasons; Davis Mattek argues that Taylor's durability, along with Derrick Henry and Christian McCaffrey, has shaped drafters' perception of running back value and availability. The source notes that if these elite RBs suffered injury, it would fundamentally alter how the fantasy community approaches early-round RB selection.

Derrick Henry is a first-round running back pick who has stayed healthy in recent seasons; the source highlights Henry's durability as a key factor shaping the perception that elite RBs are reliable draft anchors. The source notes that if Henry suffered injury, it would fundamentally alter how the fantasy community approaches early-round RB selection, suggesting his health status has greatly shaped fantasy football perception and draft strategy.

Christian McCaffrey is a first-round running back pick who has stayed healthy in recent seasons; the source highlights McCaffrey's durability as a key factor shaping the perception that elite RBs are reliable draft anchors. The source notes that if McCaffrey suffered injury, it would fundamentally alter how the fantasy community approaches early-round RB selection, suggesting his health status has greatly shaped fantasy football perception and draft strategy.

Joe Mixon is cited as one of only two running backs to suffer season-ending injuries in recent seasons, supporting the source's argument that season-ending running back injuries are rarer than drafters assume. The source uses Mixon as a cautionary example of how elite RB health has shaped fantasy football perception and draft strategy.

Josh Jacobs is suspended for the entire year, making him unavailable for fantasy purposes.

Jordan James is positioned as a backup running back opportunity in the scenario where Christian McCaffrey breaks his leg, illustrating handcuff value.

Treveyon Henderson is rostered as part of the source's draft build, included in the final roster construction.

The source is not buying into Deshaun Watson as the Browns' starting quarterback at season's end, preferring to view another quarterback as more likely to be the starter by year-end.

Mike Washington Jr. is characterized as just a handcuff with no standalone role or fantasy value; the source groups him with other late-round backs that offer minimal production.

Emmet Johnson is avoided as a draft target because Kenneth Walker is already rostered on the team, making Johnson a redundant and blocked running back with no standalone value.

Sean Tucker is the archetype of an ideal running back on the Seahawks, with a more defined role than other late-round backs discussed. Davis Mattek selected him as his running back five in the draft, indicating confidence in his role and fit.

Emanuel Wilson is at best a handcuff with no standalone role; Davis Mattek groups him with other late-round backs that offer minimal fantasy value.

Alvin Kamara might get cut, making him an unreliable draft asset with uncertain roster status and fantasy viability.

Zonovan Knight is a running back two on his team who will not produce at all over a standard season; he is drafted purely for handcuffing reasons.

Isaiah Pacheco is a running back two on his team who will not produce at all over a standard season and is drafted purely for handcuffing reasons. The source expresses skepticism about Pacheco becoming a Jamaal Williams-type contributor, viewing him as a non-producer. However, the source later suggests Pacheco is undervalued in current draft strategy; if elite RBs suffer injuries, the fantasy community would retroactively recognize that Pacheco should have been drafted earlier, implying he offers better value than current market perception reflects. Pacheco is cited as one of only two running backs to suffer season-ending injuries in recent seasons, supporting the argument that season-ending RB injuries are rarer than drafters assume.

Brian Robinson Jr. is a pure handcuff with no standalone role; Davis Mattek groups him with late-round running backs like Tyler Allgeier and Pacheco that contribute nothing to lineups over a standard season. Mattek cites Robinson as an example of a pick that projects to lose money a lot of the time, alongside Zach Charbonnet. However, Mattek also suggests Robinson may be undervalued in current draft strategy—if elite RBs suffer injuries, the fantasy community would retroactively recognize that Robinson should have been drafted earlier, implying he offers better value than current market perception reflects.

Denzel Boston is drafted as a wide receiver to free up roster flexibility for a third quarterback later (Shedeur or Deshaun Watson), indicating the source views Boston as a viable target in this draft context and values the positional flexibility his selection provides.

Jonah Coleman is described as 'sort of interesting' in the late-draft range (around pick 155+), suggesting conditional appeal as a running back option in this tier.

Aaron Rodgers is described as 'sort of sort of interesting' in the late-draft range (around pick 155+), suggesting conditional appeal as a quarterback option in this tier.

Zach Charbonnet projects poorly and is cited as a pick that projects to lose money a lot of the time; he won't produce meaningful fantasy points until November and is either a late-season spike play in weeks 15–17 or a net-zero contributor. The source views him as supplementary upside only on teams with strong early-season running back production, comparing his range of outcomes favorably to pure handcuff backs like Brian Robinson Jr., Tyler Allgeier, and Pacheco who contribute nothing over a standard season.

Ihmir Smith-Marsette is listed as a stackable wide receiver option with Cam Ward in the late-draft range, alongside DK Metcalf and Calvin Ridley, indicating multiple viable pairing options for dual-stack upside in this tier.

Davis Mattek explicitly flags Isiah Pacheco as a running back to avoid being overweight on, placing him in a tier of running backs that do not project well and project to lose money a lot of the time.

Davis Mattek flags AJ Dillon (referenced as 'Sharps' in the transcript) as a running back to avoid being overweight on, placing him in a tier of running backs that do not project well.

Davis Mattek describes Malik Willis as the 'literal perfect' quarterback option to stack with Dallas Goedert, indicating strong stackability appeal and value at the position in this draft range.

Davis Mattek describes Dallas Goedert as 'an awesome second tight end' and selects him as a stack option, viewing him as a strong secondary tight end choice. Mattek identifies Goedert as a stackable tight end option that would have paired perfectly with Malik Willis at quarterback for dual-stack upside.

Davis Mattek identifies DK Metcalf as a stackable wide receiver option with Cam Ward in best ball draft strategy, listing him alongside Ihmir and Calvin Ridley as viable pairing options in this draft range. Mattek states 'I actually don't hate' DK in the context of evaluating wide receiver stacking options, indicating Metcalf is a reasonable target at his current ADP despite not being an enthusiastic endorsement.

Davis Mattek lists Calvin Ridley as an alternative stackable option with Cam Ward, alongside Ihmir and DK Metcalf, indicating multiple viable pairing options in this draft range.

Gunner Helm is the source's preferred wide receiver target to stack with Cam Ward in draft strategy. The source selected Helm at pick 179 as a tight end to pair with Cam Ward as the second quarterback, indicating strong confidence in Helm's value at that draft stage.

Cam Ward is stackable with Gunner Helm and is selected as a target in the source's draft strategy, offering value as a quarterback option. The source selected Ward as the second quarterback in the draft, noting that all good third quarterbacks were gone, making Ward a strategic pick at that stage.

The source likes Tyler Allgeier conceptually, but notes it is a pretty thin play with limited upside. Allgeier is a late-round running back who contributes nothing to lineups over a standard season; the source uses him as a comparison point for backs with poor standalone value.

The source likes Keaton Mitchell conceptually as a running back option, though notes it is a pretty thin play with limited upside. The source indicates willingness to be overweight on Mitchell, though frames it as a 'do as I say, not as I do situation,' suggesting conditional conviction in his value despite personal hesitation.

Worthy carries huge question marks and mediocre-to-bad production last season, though he played through injury; despite these concerns, the source still prefers him as a wide receiver dart over running back alternatives at the same draft position. The source included him in the final drafted roster.

Has a foot injury according to Jaguars beat writers and has not shown up to OTAs, raising real concerns about his availability and role for the upcoming season.

Davis Mattek expresses significant uncertainty about Jonathan Brooks' role and upside, describing him as a 'big, who knows?' option, suggesting substantial ambiguity around his usage and fantasy value.

At 31 years old, Aaron Jones presents age-related decline risk, making him a less attractive option compared to younger wide receiver alternatives in the same draft range.

R.J. Harvey's presence in the Ravens backfield limits J.K. Dobbins to approximately 10 rushes per game, reducing Dobbins' scoring ceiling and making the running back position less attractive than wide receiver alternatives in this draft strategy.

Projects to score approximately 10–10.5 points per game on DraftKings with zero passing game involvement; limited to around 10 rushes per game due to competition from R.J. Harvey and Coleman, making him an unattractive option compared to WR3/WR4 alternatives in the same draft range.

Davis Mattek cites Ted Hurst as an example of Best Ball players overreacting to positional designation news; Hurst jumped 50 spots in ADP simply because his team designated him as their X wide receiver, illustrating how casual players overvalue positional label changes without fundamental talent or role changes.

Davis Mattek argues there is no meaningful scoring difference between Ricky Pearsall and Chris Godwin Jr. or Jordan Addison, positioning Pearsall as an interchangeable WR3/WR4 option with similar floor and ceiling in the mid-round receiver tier.

Baker Mayfield played injured last season for the Buccaneers, which the source cites as context for why the Buccaneers' offensive outlook is uncertain and why Chris Godwin may be overvalued; the team could see a rebound, but the injury history adds risk.

Davis Mattek uses Marvin Harrison Jr. (pick 68) as a comparison point in the argument that younger receivers on better offenses are preferable to Chris Godwin; Harrison Jr. is positioned in the same tier discussion as Roma Odunze and Jameson Williams, all younger alternatives to aging receivers in the 60s–90s ADP range.

Davis Mattek prefers Jameson Williams at pick 49–50 over Chris Godwin as a value play; Williams is younger and on a better offense (Lions) than the aging Godwin on an uncertain Buccaneers team dealing with Baker Mayfield's prior injury, Mike Evans' departure, and Ikem Egbuka's injury history. The source frames younger receivers at similar ADP as superior value to aging receivers in the 60s–90s range.

Davis Mattek drafts Jalen Hurts and notes acquiring him 10 spots after ADP, representing significant value; emphasizes that consistently generating ADP value is the easiest way to draft good fantasy football teams. Mattek later selects Hurts as the quarterback to anchor the team, noting that quarterback points are taken care of with this selection, indicating confidence in his value and role in the draft strategy. Mattek includes Hurts as the quarterback in the final drafted roster and expresses satisfaction with the overall team construction, stating 'I really like this team' and calling it 'a very good team.'

Davis Mattek argues that Chris Godwin is overvalued relative to younger receivers on better offenses; specifically, Roma Odunze and Jameson Williams at picks 49–50 are preferable, and Odunze is preferred straight up. Mattek questions how many weeks Godwin would outscore Odunze if healthy, noting the Bears will be much better while the Buccaneers face uncertainty with Baker Mayfield having played injured, Mike Evans gone, and unclear passing game outlook. However, Mattek later projects Godwin favorably, arguing there is minimal meaningful difference in fantasy output between Godwin, Jordan Addison, and Ricky Pearsall, making him a solid floor play in the WR3/WR4 range. Mattek also flags Godwin as a potential end-of-career candidate with injury concerns, expressing uncertainty about his role in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers passing game going forward, yet still prefers him as a wide receiver dart over running back alternatives at the same draft position.

The source notes that Jaylen Warren went off the board, indicating he was selected in the draft before the source's turn.

Davis Mattek notes that Tony Pollard had fallen in the draft and would have been a consideration for selection, indicating value at that point in the draft.

The source uses Devonta Smith as a comparison point in a team drafted from the seven hole that also has Ladd McConkey, Devante Adams, and Jordan Addison; the source notes that teams with multiple high-ceiling wide receivers may have low floors on given weeks, potentially underperforming in playoffs compared to teams with more balanced wide receiver depth.

The source uses Devante Adams as part of a high-ceiling wide receiver stack (with Devonta Smith, Ladd McConkey, and Jordan Addison) that may have such low floors on given weeks that teams with more balanced wide receiver depth could outperform in playoff weeks.

The source expresses interest in adding Breshad Perriman (referred to as Byshell Tuiton in transcript) with an upcoming pick, betting on ceiling upside given how cheap he is on DraftKings; the source plans to have over 15% of this player on DraftKings.

Davis Mattek views Jadarian Price as a ceiling bet with an attractive profile on DraftKings given his cheap price; positions him as a non-projectable volume bet with upside rather than a floor play, planning to have over 15% of this player on DraftKings.

Source identifies Kyler Murray as one of the absolute best picks on the board on DraftKings, planning to target him later in the draft. The source emphasizes strong value at the quarterback position.

Source considers Caleb Williams as a potential pick but opts not to take him, preferring to wait for other quarterback options like Kyler Murray later in the draft. In a 2v2 roster comparison, the source finds Caleb Williams and R.J. Harvey versus Byshell Tuitan and Jalen Hurts to be 'actually kind of close,' suggesting both quarterback options have comparable merit.

Source targets Trevion Henderson at ADP 58 as running back two, viewing him as a safe starter in managed leagues; feels very good about his rushing profile from last season, though expresses concern about pass protection and Ramondre Stevenson's involvement. Later drafts him as a ceiling bet on DraftKings given his cheap price, betting on upside rather than just projectable volume; plans to have over 15% of him on DraftKings.

Source notes that Terry McLaurin went in the draft, listing him among wide receivers who were selected before the source's planned picks, alongside Davante Adams, Parker Washington, and Mike Evans.

Mike Evans is gone from the Buccaneers, reducing the receiving weapons available to Baker Mayfield and creating uncertainty around the team's offensive production. The source notes Evans went in the draft before the source's planned picks, listing him among wide receivers selected early.

Joe Burrow was drafted at pick 51, earlier than typical quarterback ADP, in a DraftKings format where quarterback selections can be unpredictable.

Drake May was drafted at pick 40 in an unusual DraftKings format where quarterback selections can be unpredictable, going earlier than typical QB ADP.

Source notes that Davante Adams went in the draft, listing him among wide receivers who were selected before the source's planned picks.

Davis Mattek views Tetairoa McMillan as a safe pick with low bust risk, but does not believe he is more likely than surrounding players to be a league winner; positions him as a floor/safety pick rather than a ceiling bet.

Davis Mattek views Ladd McConkey as a safe pick with low bust risk, but does not believe he is more likely than surrounding players to be a league winner; positions him as a floor/safety pick rather than a ceiling bet. Mattek contrasts McConkey with higher-upside selections like Malik Nabers and Colston Loveland, suggesting Christian Watson in the 60s range could easily outscore him. McConkey is also part of a high-ceiling wide receiver stack (with Devonta Smith, Devante Adams, and Jordan Addison) that may have such low floors on given weeks that teams with more balanced wide receiver depth could outperform in playoff weeks.

Davis Mattek views Garrett Wilson as a safe pick with low bust risk, but does not believe he is more likely than surrounding players to be a league winner; positions him as a floor/safety pick rather than a ceiling bet, contrasting with higher-upside selections like Malik Nabers and Colston Loveland.

Davis Mattek views Colston Loveland as a ceiling bet with Hall of Fame-level historical comps for his rookie season; describes him as a huge swing and $3 million pick (not a floor/safety pick) with league-winner upside. Loveland was acquired at pick 38, described as "basically just got kind of like a bonus pick here," indicating strong value satisfaction. Mattek is feeling great about Loveland as his tight end selection, eliminating the need to address the position later in the draft, and included him as a core piece in his final roster construction.

Davis Mattek suggests Christian Watson, available in the 60s range alongside Parker Washington and Carnell Tate, could easily outscore Ladd McConkey, positioning him as having upside relative to safer wide receiver picks at higher ADP.

Possibly available at picks 59–62 on DraftKings as a WR option. Davis Mattek positions Johnston as a viable target at these picks, though he prefers RBs (Jaylen Price, Bijan Robinson) at this stage because the available WR options (Carnell Tate, Jordan Addison, Makai Lemon, Brian Thomas Jr.) are not nearly as strong.

Davis Mattek targets Malik Nabers despite health uncertainty (PUP/IR risk) because of exceptional projected value. Nabers projects for 16–17 DraftKings points in full PPR in week 17, which Mattek views as an advantage that cannot be recreated elsewhere on the draft board. The health uncertainty is framed as a gift to drafters; Mattek acknowledges not wanting 25% exposure but prioritizes winning the $3 million contest over week-one performance. Nabers was rostered in Mattek's final draft build.

Available at picks 59–62 on DraftKings but described as not nearly as strong as the available RB options (Jaylen Price, Bijan Robinson). Davis Mattek prefers to target RBs at these picks rather than WRs like Lemon.

Davis Mattek argues there is minimal meaningful difference in fantasy output between Jordan Addison and Chris Godwin Jr. or Ricky Pearsall, positioning Addison as an interchangeable WR3/WR4 option with similar floor and ceiling. Addison is also grouped among weak wide receiver options at picks 59–62, not nearly as strong as available RB alternatives. Mattek uses Addison as part of a high-ceiling wide receiver stack (with Devonta Smith, Ladd McConkey, and Devante Adams) that may have such low floors on given weeks that teams with more balanced wide receiver depth could outperform in playoff weeks.

Available at picks 59–62 on DraftKings but described as not nearly as strong as the available RB options (Jaylen Price, Bijan Robinson). Davis Mattek prefers to target RBs at these picks rather than WRs like Tate.

Available at picks 59–62 on DraftKings but described as not nearly as strong as the available RB options (Jaylen Price, Bijan Robinson). Davis Mattek prefers to target RBs at these picks rather than WRs like Brian Thomas Jr.

Available at picks 59–62 on DraftKings as a strong RB option. Davis Mattek targets RBs at these picks rather than the available WR options (Carnell Tate, Jordan Addison, Makai Lemon, Brian Thomas Jr.), which are described as not nearly as strong. Robinson is used as a hypothetical example of an elite RB whose injury would reshape fantasy football strategy, implying he is currently healthy and a first-round consideration.

Considered as an alternative elite RB anchor at pick 13 alongside Kenneth Walker. Mattek prefers Kenneth Walker but hopes Saquon Barkley goes to the other drafter (the one who took CeeDee Lamb at pick 11). Later in the draft, Mattek suggests Barkley might have been a better draft pick than Jefferson or Neighbors at this stage, implying superior value and projection compared to wide receivers at this range.

Selected over Devon Achane at pick 13 as the elite anchor running back in a strategy designed to balance the fact that RBs project better than WRs for the next 80 picks. Mattek prefers Kenneth Walker and hopes Saquon Barkley goes to the other drafter. The strategy with Jefferson and Kenneth Walker is to then target explosive WR ceilings in later rounds to compensate for RB scoring advantage. Walker is the preferred running back on his team, blocking Emmet Johnson from being drafted. Included in the final roster with overall satisfaction expressed for the team construction.

Passed over in favor of Kenneth Walker at pick 13. In the context of needing explosive WR ceilings to balance RB scoring advantage in full PPR, Achane is not selected as the elite RB anchor.

Jamar Chase is cited as the benchmark for receiving yards per game among current active players, leading Justin Jefferson by a small margin. Jefferson caught up to Chase in receiving yards per game by the end of the 2024 season.

Mattek frames Jefferson as an elite WR anchor at pick 11 and a dip-buying opportunity despite 2024 concerns about Kyler Murray and Jefferson's sub-1,000-yard season. Jefferson ranks second in receiving yards per game among active players behind only Jamar Chase; Mattek believes there's a better chance Jefferson goes first overall in 2027 than falls out of the first round entirely. The strategy is to use Jefferson as an elite anchor and then ignore the WR position for the rest of the draft. Later in the draft, Mattek questions whether Jefferson was the right pick at this stage, suggesting Saquon Barkley might have been better value, as wide receivers at this range project worse than running backs.

Identified as one of three elite WR anchor options at pick 11 (alongside Amon-Ra St. Brown and Justin Jefferson). If available, Lamb would be a strong anchor to build around, allowing the drafter to ignore the WR position for the rest of the draft.

Identified as one of three elite WR anchor options at pick 11 (alongside CeeDee Lamb and Justin Jefferson). If available, St. Brown would be a strong anchor to build around, allowing the drafter to ignore the WR position for the rest of the draft.

Mattek expresses reluctance about drafting David Montgomery in the 50s, despite acknowledging that RBs project better than WRs in rounds 3–6. Mattek prefers young WRs with unexploited ceilings at this stage of the draft, though notes that the reality of 2025 scoring does not support that approach.

Kyle Pitts is lingering on the board in Titan Super Premium leagues and should be drafted if you have a super flex or flex position, as he can produce Kyle Pitts-level numbers.

JK Dobbins has a 51% injury probability according to the Injury Finder app due to multiple stacked lower body injuries that increase his likelihood of future injury.

Christian McCaffrey has accumulated significant lower body injuries and scar tissue in his legs, making him more injury-prone than Cam Scadaboo despite being a premium asset.

Saquon Barkley, whose next birthday will be 30, is not preferred over Cam Scadaboo in a dynasty startup because he's post-age apex with significant wear and tear.

Zay Flowers was drafted at 602 overall, which the drafter noted 'hurt' given they already had two wide receivers in a format that discounts the position.

Bucky Irving was drafted in the 500s range in a dynasty startup, shortly after Cam Ward at 509.

Breece Hall was drafted in the 500s range in a dynasty startup, shortly after Cam Ward at 509.

Baker Mayfield was drafted in the 500s range in a dynasty startup, after Cam Ward was selected at 509.

Lamar Jackson is not frequently drafted early in dynasty startups because young pre-age apex quarterbacks offer similar production with more upside.

CeeDee Lamb is not frequently drafted early in dynasty startups because young pre-age apex players offer similar production with more upside.

Marvin Harrison Jr. was drafted at 603 overall, completing a 'Marvin Gardens' stack with Brissette and Trey McBride in a dynasty startup.

Cam Ward fell to 509 overall, allowing the drafter to stack him with Carnell Tate and Chris Olave in a promising young core.

Chris Olave was drafted at 404 overall, chosen over Cam Ward at that pick to complete a three-player stack with Ward and Tate.

Carnell Tate was drafted at 309 overall and stacked with Cam Ward at 509, creating a promising young QB-WR stack.

Jeremiah Love was drafted at 204 overall in a dynasty startup, representing good value as a young ascending running back with elite production potential.

There is absolutely a path for Caleb Williams to be QB1 this year; at 109 overall with six points per passing touchdown scoring, he's worth the risk over Herbert despite being a gunslinger.

Joe Burrow is ranked behind Justin Herbert in dynasty rankings.

Trevor Lawrence was available late in the dynasty startup draft, suggesting he was not a priority pick in early rounds.

Michael Pittman made a commanding physical impression at the Senior Bowl, carrying himself like a superstar with elite athleticism at 6'4".

Devin Duvernay performed well at the Senior Bowl, exceeding pre-event expectations.

Denzel Mims looked like the best receiver at the Senior Bowl, generating significant buzz on social media and in person, despite not being pre-ranked highly.

Brandon Ayuk is back to where he started his career, suggesting a regression or return to a less favorable situation.

Drake London is ranked behind CD Lamb, though there is some discussion about whether this ranking differential is appropriate.

Caleb Williams could have the most passing yards this year and is not far down the odds for that prop, with potential to be QB1 as he continues to improve under Ben Johnson.

Jeremiah Love, not yet 21 years old, was the best player in the entire 2024 draft and is a strong dynasty pick due to his youth, talent, and team's rebuilding trajectory with a good offensive mind.

Rashawn Slater, the second-rated tackle per PFF two years ago, looks like a guard next to Joe Walt, indicating elite pass protection that should benefit the Chargers offense.

Justin Herbert at the back of the first round in a six-point passing touchdown league is a smash pick, with the author ranking him ahead of Joe Burrow.

In a six-point passing touchdown, half-point per first down scoring format, Bowers faces a steep curve to move up in rankings due to the scoring system favoring quarterbacks and running backs over tight ends.

Michael Wilson is being compared to Puka Nakua, suggesting elevated expectations for his role and production.

Christian Watson signed an extension, representing significant news with fantasy impact.

Author highlights Luther Burden's efficiency metrics including yards per target and yards per route run, positioning him as a breakout candidate alongside other emerging receivers.

Author acknowledges Tank Dell could return and impact the Texans receiving corps, but does not expect this to significantly limit Jaden Higgins' breakout potential.

Author notes Xavier Hutchinson was re-signed and will continue to receive targets, but expects Jaden Higgins to absorb some of his target share.

Author notes Christian Kirk is no longer with the Texans, opening up targets for Jaden Higgins and Nico Collins.

Author expects Nico Collins to remain the primary receiver with Jaden Higgins as the number-two threat in the Texans offense, with both potentially playing some slot.

Author expresses hope that C.J. Stroud can return to rookie-year form post-concussion with upgraded offensive line and improved offensive coordinator play, which would unlock Jaden Higgins' breakout potential.

Author projects Jaden Higgins as a breakout candidate at 105 ADP, citing impressive performance when given opportunities (13.8 PPR vs Buffalo, 15.2 vs Jacksonville, 15.5 vs Tennessee), potential for increased slot usage, and upgraded Texans offensive line.

Author highlights Parker Washington as available near the 10th round in drafts, representing good value as part of a high-octane Jaguars offense.

Author notes Travis Etienne had only one season with 58 receptions (under Doug Peterson) and was at 36 receptions last year, indicating the Jaguars offense does not heavily target running backs.

Author takes contrarian stance on Chris Rodriguez over Bejel Tootin, citing his 19 missed tackles forced on 85 carries (weeks 9-18), 6% explosive run rate, and potential for goal-line/early-down work in a high-octane Jaguars offense, available in 14th-16th rounds.

Oscar Dell from Tennessee can show in the Saints receiving game out of the backfield, with 35-39 receptions in three seasons at Tennessee and a standout year with 58 receptions.

The Saints sneakily brought in Bryce Lance as part of their receiving corps additions, though his role remains unclear.

Jordan Tyson was drafted in the first round by the Saints and is part of a strong receiving corps supporting the offense's upside.

Jeremiah has 52% best ball ownership in Jonah Coleman with the Saints, indicating strong confidence in his breakout potential in the backfield.

Jeremiah expects Tyler Shough's design rush carries to increase from 1-2 per game to 4-5 per game, and overall carries to rise from 4 to 6-7 per game, adding rushing upside to his QB1 projection.

Tyler Shough was QB1 in 5 of 10 games last year and ranked 9th in completion percentage versus zone, with Kellen Moore and Doug Nussmeyer expected to design concepts that exploit his strengths.

Jeremiah projects Tyler Shough as a backend QB1 breakout with the Saints, with his best ball ownership climbing to nearly 40% post-NFL draft, backed by a strong receiving corps and improved offensive scheme.

Theo Johnson could get opportunity in the Giants offense with Nagy and Roman, though Isaiah Likely's signing and contract suggest he will be the primary tight end target.

The Giants' slot receiver group is soft with Odell Beckham, Juju Smith-Schuster, Braxton Berrios, and Calvin Austin, allowing Likely to step in and absorb targets as a mismatch threat.

Isaiah Likely signed a 3-year, $40 million deal with the Giants and will function as the WR2 in the offense, with Nagy and Roman's track record of heavy tight end targeting (Travis Kelsey had 121-133 targets under Nagy).

Casey projects Isaiah Likely as a tight end breakout with the Giants at FFD ADP 10.04, expecting 90-110 targets given Nagy and Roman's historical tight end emphasis and Likely's 53.8% slot rate with Baltimore.

Jeremiah questions whether Brian Thomas Jr. will maintain his role given that new GM James Gladstone and coach Liam Cohen were not the ones who drafted him, and notes his breakout came in garbage time with Mac Jones rather than under pressure like Parker Washington's.

Parker Washington is ranked just inside the top 100 in FFD expert rankings and Shev hopes to acquire him in the ninth round of startups, representing significant value before his price becomes cemented.

Shev has repented on Parker Washington after weeks 12-18 showed him averaging 16 fantasy points per game with 58% slot alignment (vs. 42% earlier), second in missed tackles forced among WRs, and highest passer rating among Jags pass catchers.

Watson demonstrated a mini breakout at the end of last season and is expected to have linear growth in 2026 with consolidation of targets in the Packers offense.

In two-receiver sets with Love, Watson will benefit from a narrowed target tree focused on him and Tucker Craft, allowing multiple rounds of arbitrage value.

Jeremiah projects Watson to get 22-25% target share in the Packers offense with 15 healthy games, up from historical 13-19% range, positioning him as a perfect firewall WR2 in startups with elite athleticism (98th percentile burst, 97th percentile catch radius).

Allen is excellent at crushing deep balls and operating in space, and the analyst envisions him as a wide receiver 12-15 in fantasy, though he spreads the ball out too much for any single receiver to dominate.

Loveland is referenced as a tight end going in the fourth-fifth round, used as a comparison point for where Fannin should be valued given his historic season.

Njoku is no longer with the Texans and wasn't even a major factor towards the end of last year, so his departure shouldn't significantly impact Fannin's target share.

Tillman is referenced as a previous receiver in the Texans offense who was not a major threat to Fannin's target share, used as a comparison point for evaluating new receivers.

Judy is referenced as a previous receiver in the Texans offense who was not a major threat to Fannin's target share, used as a comparison point for evaluating new receivers.

The analyst questions whether Boston is a significant enough threat to Fannin's target share to justify Fannin's ADP drop, especially in year one of the offense.

Fannin is the only tight end in the tier-three group (Kraft, Fannin, Laporta, Pitts) that the analyst knows for a fact will lead his team in targets.

Fannin has dropped 9.1 ADP spots from May 1st (from 85th to 96th overall) despite having a historic season, and the analyst views him as undervalued going in the eighth round when he should be valued higher like Colston Loveland in the fourth-fifth round.

Uncertainty about whether Kincaid will play a full complement of snaps limits his ceiling in the Bills offense.

Brown is cited as a successful team-change example, having been a smash when traded, supporting the analyst's view that most star receivers who move teams perform well.

Brown is cited as a successful team-change example, having been a smash early when traded, supporting the analyst's view that most star receivers who move teams perform well.

Hopkins is cited as a successful team-change example, having been a smash when traded, supporting the analyst's view that most star receivers who move teams perform well.

Diggs is cited as a successful team-change example, having been a smash when traded to the Bills, supporting the analyst's view that most star receivers who move teams perform well.

There has been a lot of negative press about Kincaid, and it's uncertain whether he will play a full complement of snaps.

The analyst likes James Cook as part of the Bills' offensive core alongside Josh Allen.

The analyst is cautiously optimistic about Moore's fit with Josh Allen but expresses uncertainty about whether the pairing will work, noting he needs to see more evidence like camp highlights.

Moore has very high athleticism across all categories with excellent escapability and scrambling ability to buy time and throw, which could mesh well with Josh Allen's game.

Gabe Davis is the incumbent receiver the Bills are upgrading from with the DJ Moore trade.

Joshua Palmer is the incumbent receiver the Bills are upgrading from with the DJ Moore trade.

Dalton Kincaid has received a lot of negative press, and there's uncertainty about whether he will play a full complement of snaps for the Bills.

Khalil Shakir is the incumbent slot receiver for the Bills, and the analyst questions whether DJ Moore will be significantly better than Shakir.

Quentin Johnston could have a nice year and represents a better value than DJ Moore, with the analyst expecting Moore's production to be closer to Johnston's level.

Mike Evans is going ahead of DJ Moore and is expected to be really nice in San Francisco, representing better value than Moore at the same ADP range.

Jamison Williams is going ahead of DJ Moore and represents better value than Moore at the same ADP range.

Christian Watson is going ahead of DJ Moore and represents better value than Moore at the same ADP range.

Stefan Diggs had 160 targets in his last Bills season at age 29 (same age as DJ Moore now), but the analyst doesn't think Moore is near the route artist that Diggs was at that time.

DJ Moore's route-running metrics were poor last year (40th in target separation, 74th in first downs per route run, 72nd in yards per route run, 74th in EPA), raising questions about his ability to produce at his ADP on the Bills.

The Bills were the second most run-heavy team in the league last year and spread the ball out like crazy, making it unclear how much better DJ Moore will be than Khalil Shakir or what the offense actually needs from him.

DJ Moore was the fourth banana on the Bears offense last year and is now expected to be the first banana on the Bills, but the analyst questions whether the Bills offense actually needs him to fill a role that Josh Allen wasn't already manufacturing.

DJ Moore is going as WR24 at 54th overall, but the analyst has cooled off on him and expects his production to be closer to Quentin Johnston than to the elite wide receivers he's being compared to.

Ricky Pearsall is going in rounds 7-9 and represents a good value option to supplement production if Malik Nabers is delayed or playing himself into form.

Jordan Addison is going in rounds 7-9 and represents a good value option to supplement production if Malik Nabers is delayed or playing himself into form.

Chris Godwin is going in rounds 7-9 and represents a good value option to supplement production if Malik Nabers is delayed or playing himself into form.

Michael Wilson is going in rounds 7-9 and represents a good value option to supplement production if Malik Nabers is delayed or playing himself into form.

Jameis Winston is the backup quarterback for the Falcons and historically elevates wide receiver production; if Jackson Dart got hurt, Winston would likely raise Malik Nabers' ranking even higher.

If Nabers falls to the late third or early fourth round, he represents a big swing opportunity given his top-three ceiling, though the injury concern makes him hesitant at current ADP.

Malik Nabers is in the same target-earning situation he was in 2024 when he broke the rookie record for targets, and the Falcons re-signing OBJ is a boost of confidence for everyone else on the roster, suggesting Nabers' role is secure.

If healthy, Malik Nabers has a top-three ceiling as a wide receiver, with no other target earners on the Falcons roster besides Jackson Dart, and he broke the rookie record for targets in 2024.

Malik Nabers' knee injury is a major concern, with video of him running at a baseball game looking 'very bad,' creating uncertainty about his short-term future and making his floor relatively low.

The Buccaneers offense under new play-caller Zach Robinson should have room for multiple pass-catching running backs, and Irving averaged five receptions per game before his injury, suggesting he can maintain pass-catching volume.

Bucky Irving is RB23 at 48th overall and falling, but with Mike Evans gone, an improved offensive line, and new play-caller Zach Robinson (who oversaw Bijon's 175 targets over two years), Irving could maintain 19 touches per game on a top-10 offense.

Despite injury concerns and goal-line vulturing, Bucky Irving generated 113 touches (19 per game) from weeks 13-18, the fifth-most at running back, behind a brutally banged-up offensive line and injured quarterback, suggesting he could maintain high volume.

Brock Bowers' ceiling is limited next year due to the Raiders drafting Jeremiah Love and bringing in a new coach with more emphasis on running backs and wide receivers, making a repeat of McBride's historic season unlikely.

McBride's role is complicated by the possibility of Gardner Minshew and Carson playing at certain points this season, as rookie quarterbacks are historically poor for tight end production.

McBride cannot replicate his historic top-three tight end season from 2024, and the analyst would only draft him if he fell to the fourth round, citing the difficulty of repeating elite tight end seasons and the risk of backup quarterbacks (Minshew, Carson) playing during the season.