From the video
Jaylen Warren projected for a billion all week when Rico Dowdle was not in... this is the only time Jaylen Warren in his entire career has had like full workload like this and yet he has shown efficiency time and time again in limited usage and now he finally has the reins pulled off of him... I looked at all the ownership and everything and I said I'm probably behind enough Jaylen Warren teams that I need to get off Tyler Shuck... you got guys paying $400 more for Chuba Hubbard over Jaylen Warren
STACKED’s take
First full workload of career with Dowdle out; exceptional value; 221% Sim ROI.
Warren projected for exceptional value in Week 3 with Rico Dowdle out, giving him a full workload for the first time in his career. This was the only time Jaylen Warren had a full workload in his entire career, yet he had shown efficiency time and time again in limited usage historically and finally had 'the reins pulled off' him. Warren was projected extremely high all week and was a decision point vs. Chuba Hubbard at RB3. He nearly scored an additional touchdown but was 'turf monstered' walking into the end zone, which would have made his performance even more dominant on a 123x pick'em parlay. Mattek looked at all ownership and determined he was 'probably behind enough Jaylen Warren teams' that he needed to pivot away from Tyler Shuck, indicating Warren was the sharper play from an ownership-adjusted perspective. Warren offered better value than Hubbard in cash games, with players paying $400 more for Hubbard despite similar production profiles. In a 400K contest lineup, Warren achieved 221% Sim ROI with 5% top 1% finish rate.
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