Davis Mattek on Braelon Allen

Allen's projection assumes unsustainable 78% rush share; likely overowned

Priced at $5,200 against a bad Bears defense with strong DFS projection; likely to be the most owned play on the slate given salary and role assumptions. Projects similarly to Derrick Henry in simulation. Key risk is that simulation assumes Allen is the RB1 with 78% of rushes and 11% target share, which may be an overly optimistic assumption compared to historical backfield splits.

Braelon AllenRB · NYJPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight