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Video: Arguing Inputs (Week 4 NFL DFS)
Kalif Raymond has been in the NFL since 2016. Um he didn't have over 100 yards receiving until 2019. He's never topped 616 receiving yards... he's not actually getting a ton of targets. Like, week one he had 31% and that was absurd. But since then, 14% week two, 17% last week... projecting him for 17, 18% like works fine, and then you just hope he doesn't house one again if you're not playing him.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Lions receiver with unsustainable breakout; fade unless expecting another TD.

Kalif Raymond's 18% target share masks an unsustainable breakout; he has been in the NFL since 2016 and never topped 616 receiving yards (2022, when Jameson Williams was out). With Ben Johnson as offensive coordinator in 2023–2024, Raymond had less than 700 receiving yards and three receiving touchdowns combined. His Week 1 target share of 31% was anomalous; since then he has averaged 14–17% targets. Removing his 41-yard catch-and-run, he had a normal slot game with six catches and low air yards. Davis Mattek projects him for 17–18% targets going forward and expects he will not continue scoring long touchdowns, making him a fade unless you believe in another explosive play.

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