From the video
TJ Hawkinson who that game last week. I I could not have been more annoyed uh by a game than what TJ was discussing last week... He'll get like 26 points because Kyler Murray has like woken up this morning and he saw TJ Ainson's face... I don't think that we're going to get that level of spam if Jefferson plays.
STACKED’s take
Chalk play with volatile upside; fade despite 26-point projection if Jefferson plays.
Hockenson is a chalk play to avoid this week despite volatile upside. After scoring 16 points last week, he's projected around 26 points due to Kyler Murray's heavy target volume to him, but Davis Mattek expresses frustration with this volatility and notes that if Justin Jefferson plays, target volume will decrease significantly. Hockenson maintains a consistent double-digit target floor (10-17 targets per game) at $7,700, but Mattek was annoyed by last week's performance and initially pivoted to Cole Strange as a contrarian play. That pivot backfired when Strange also became heavily owned, reaching similar ownership levels as Hockenson, making the pivot strategy ineffective. Mattek ended up playing Hockenson anyway and got positive results despite poor process, but now views him as chalk to avoid rather than a value target.
T.J. HockensonTE · MINPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight