From the episode

Downs' average depth of target so far this year, 11.5 yards... He leads the team in target share through three games, 25.5%. That ranks 11th among all wide receivers.

STACKED’s take

Positive signalValue

Downs' increased vertical usage and high target share make him a strong start this week.

Josh Downs is a strong buy-low candidate despite underwhelming recent production against tough defenses like the Chiefs and Texans. His role has evolved significantly with Alec Pierce out, shifting to a more vertical usage with an average depth of target (aDOT) of 11.5 yards compared to his previous career baseline of 7.2. He leads the Colts with a 25.5% target share (11th among WRs) and a 44% air yard share. A favorable matchup against the Commanders makes him a high-upside start.

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