From the episode
The reason I had Jonathan Taylor is it's just the discrepancy in how many points he scores in wins versus losses is like historic... if you think the Ravens are going to be good, which I do, Derrick Henry's a great pick. My fear is that if the Colts are not as good as they were in the first half of the season, you're looking at, okay, well, if the Colts win seven games, you might have 10 really bad game scripts for Jonathan Taylor.
STACKED’s take
Negative signalValue
Taylor's production is too dependent on team wins to justify a first-round pick.
The source identifies Jonathan Taylor as a primary candidate for the worst first-round pick due to a historic discrepancy in fantasy production between wins and losses. If the Colts fail to replicate their early-season success from last year, Taylor faces significant risk of underperforming his ADP. The source notes that after Daniel Jones' injury last season, Taylor's production regressed to league-average levels, and with Michael Pittman gone and potential offensive regression, he is viewed as a frustrating, high-risk asset compared to other first-rounders.
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